Multidecadal modulation of El Niño influence on the Euro-Mediterranean rainfall

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 39, Issue 2, 2012, Pages

  López Parages, Jorge ^a   Rodríguez Fonseca, Belén ^a  

^a INSTITUTO DE GEOCIENCIAS   (Spain)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; ICE; NICKEL COMPOUNDS; RAIN;

20TH CENTURY; ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATIONS; INTERANNUAL; PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES; STATIONARITY; TELECONNECTIONS; TIME-SCALES;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; DECADAL VARIATION; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION; RAINFALL; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TELECONNECTION; TIMESCALE; TWENTIETH CENTURY;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN;

EID: 84856159595     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2011GL050049     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Alexander, M. A., et al. (2002), The atmospheric bridge: Influence of ENSO teleconnections on air-sea interaction over the global oceans, J. Clim., 15, 2205-2231, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015〈2205:TABTIO〉 2.0.CO;2. (Pubitemid 35371976)
2. Brönnimann, S. (2007), Impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on European climate, Rev. Geophys., 45, RG3003, doi:10.1029/2006RG000199. (Pubitemid 350168235)
3. Cassou, C., and L. Terray (2001), Oceanic forcing of the wintertime low-frequency atmospheric variability in the North Atlantic European sector: A study with the ARPEGE model, J. Clim., 14, 4266-4291, doi:10.1175/1520- 0442(2001)014〈4266:OFOTWL〉2.0.CO;2. (Pubitemid 34004829)
4. Diaz, H., and V. Markgraf (Eds.) (2000), El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, doi:10.1017/CBO9780511573125.
5. Di Lorenzo, E., et al. (2010), Central Pacific El Niño and decadal climate change in the North Pacific, Nat. Geosci., 3, 762-795, doi:10.1038/ngeo984.
6. Enfield, D. B., A. M. Mestas-Nuñez, and P. J. Trimble (2001), The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental U.S., Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 2077-2080, doi:10.1029/2000GL012745. (Pubitemid 34039420)
7. García-Serrano, J., B. Rodriguez-Fonseca, I. Bladé, P. Zurita-Gotor, and A. de la Cámara (2011), Rotational atmospheric circulation during North Atlantic-European winter: The influence of ENSO, Clim. Dyn., 37, 1727-1743, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0968-y.
8. Greatbatch, R. J., J. Lu, and K. A. Peterson (2004), Nonstationary impact of ENSO on Euro-Atlantic winter climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L02208, doi:10.1029/2003GL018542.
9. Harrison, D. E., and N. K. Larkin (1998), El Niño-Southern Oscillation sea surface temperature and wind anomalies, Rev. Geophys., 36, 353-399, doi:10.1029/98RG00715. (Pubitemid 28555983)
10. Hurrell, J. W., Y. Kushnir, G. Ottersen, and M. Visbeck (2003), An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation, in The North Atlantic Oscillation: Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact, Geophys. Monogr. Ser., vol. 134, edited by J. W. Hurrell et al., pp. 1-35, AGU, Washington, D. C., doi:10.1029/134GM01.
11. Ineson, S., and A. A. Scaife (2009), The role of the stratosphere in the European climate response to El Niño, Nat. Geosci., 2, 32-36, doi:10.1038/ngeo381.
12. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by S. Solomon et al., Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
13. Kiem, A. S., S. W. Franks, and G. Kuczera (2003), Multi-decadal variability of flood risk, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(2), 1035, doi:10.1029/2002GL015992.
14. Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, F. Marques, and J. Corte-Real (2003), Decadal changes in the link between El Niño and springtime North Atlantic Oscillation and European-North African rainfall, Int. J. Climatol., 23, 1293-1311, doi:10.1002/joc.944. (Pubitemid 37224553)
15. Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and R. C. Francis (1997), A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 1069-1079, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997) 078〈1069:APICOW〉2.0.CO;2.
16. Mariotti, A., N. Zeng, and K.-M. Lau (2002), Euro-Mediterranean rainfall and ENSO: A seasonally varying relationship, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(12), 1621, doi:10.1029/2001GL014248.
17. McPhaden, M. J., S. E. Zebiak, and M. H. Glantz (2006), ENSO as an integrating concept in Earth science, Science, 314, 1740-1745, doi:10.1126/science.1132588. (Pubitemid 44969078)
18. North, G. R., T. L. Bell, R. F. Cahalan, and F. J. Moeng (1982), Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions, Mon. Weather Rev., 110, 699-706, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1982)110〈0699:SEITEO〉 2.0.CO;2.
19. Quadrelli, R., and J. M. Wallace (2002), Dependence of the structure of the Northern Hemisphere annular mode on the polarity of ENSO, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(23), 2132, doi:10.1029/2002GL015807.
20. Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan (2003), Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D14), 4407, doi:10.1029/ 2002JD002670.
21. Rodwell, M. J., D. P. Rowell, and C. K. Folland (1999), Oceanic forcing of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and European climate, Nature, 398, 320-323, doi:10.1038/18648. (Pubitemid 29161683)
22. Rogers, J. C. (1997), North Atlantic storm track variability and its association to the North Atlantic Oscillation and climate variability of northern Europe, J. Clim., 10, 1635-1647, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010〈 1635:NASTVA〉2.0.CO;2.
23. Schneider, U., et al. (2008), Global Precipitation Analysis Products of the GPCC, Global Precip. Climatol. Cent., Offenbach, Geramny.
24. Smith, T. M., R. W. Reynolds, T. C. Peterson, and J. Lawrimore (2008), Improvements to NOAA's historical merged land-ocean surface temperature analysis (1880-2006), J. Clim., 21, 2283-2296, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI2100.1. (Pubitemid 351844078)
25. Stephenson, D. B., V. Pavan, and R. Bojariu (2000), Is the North Atlantic Oscillation a random walk?, Int. J. Climatol., 20, 1-18, doi:10.1002/(SICI) 1097-0088(200001)20:1〈1::AID-JOC456〉3.0.CO;2-P. (Pubitemid 30149928)
26. Sutton, R. T., and D. L. R. Hodson (2003), Influence of the ocean North Atlantic climate variability 1871-1999, J. Clim., 16, 3296-3313, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016〈3296:IOTOON〉2.0.CO;2. (Pubitemid 37436390)
27. Ting, M.-F., and P. D. Sardeshmukh (1993), Factors determining the extratropical response to equatorial heating anomalies, J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 907-918, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1993)050〈0907:FDTERT〉2.0.CO;2.
28. Ting, M., M. P. Hoerling, T. Xu, and A. Kumar (1996), Northern Hemisphere teleconnection patterns during extreme phases of the zonal-mean circulation, J. Clim., 9, 2614-2633, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996) 009〈2614:NHTPDE〉2.0. CO;2.
29. Trenberth, K. E., and D. A. Paolino (1980), The Northern Hemisphere sea-level pressure data set: Trends, errors, and discontinuities, Mon. Weather Rev., 108, 855-872, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1980)108〈0855: TNHSLP〉2.0.CO;2.
30. Trenberth, K. E., G. W. Branstator, D. Karoly, A. Kumar, N.-C. Lau, and C. Ropelewski (1998), Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures, J. Geophys. Res., 103(C7), 14,291-14,324, doi:10.1029/97JC01444. (Pubitemid 28497208)
31. van Oldenborgh, G. J., and G. Burgers (2005), Searching for decadal variations in ENSO precipitation teleconnections, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L15701, doi:10.1029/2005GL023110. (Pubitemid 41398741)
32. Verdon, D. C., and S. W. Franks (2006), Long-term behaviour of ENSO: Interactions with the PDO over the past 400 years inferred from paleoclimate records, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L06712, doi:10.1029/2005GL025052.
33. Vicente-Serrano, S. M., and J. I. López-Moreno (2008), Nonstationary influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on European precipitation, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D20120, doi:10.1029/2008JD010382.
34. Von Storch, H., and F. Zwiers (2001), Statistical Analysis in Climate Research, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
35. Wang, B. (1995), Interdecadal changes in El Niño onset in the last four decades, J. Clim., 8, 267-285, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008〈0267: ICIENO〉2.0.CO;2.
36. Wang, B., and S. I. An (2002), A mechanism for decadal changes of ENSO behavior: roles of background wind changes, Clim. Dyn., 18, 475-486, doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0189-5. (Pubitemid 34213099)
37. Wang, C. (2002), Atlantic climate variability and its associated atmospheric circulation cells, J. Clim., 15, 1516-1536.
38. Wang, C. (2004), ENSO, Atlantic climate variability and the Walker and Hadley circulations, in The Hadley Circulation: Present, Past and Future, Adv. Global Change Res, vol. 21, edited by H. F. Diaz and R. S. Bradley, pp. 173-202, Kluwer Acad., Dordrecht, Netherlands, doi:10.1007/978-1-4020-2944-8-6.
39. Wang, C., and J. Picaut (2004), Understanding ENSO physics: A review, in Earth's Climate: The Ocean-atmosphere Interaction, Geophys. Monogr. Ser., vol. 147, edited by C. Wang et al., pp. 21-48, AGU, Washingtion, D. C., doi:10.1029/147GM02.
40. Zanchettin, D., S. W. Franks, P. Traverso, and M. Tomasino (2008), On ENSO impacts on European wintertime rainfalls and their modulation by the NAO and the Pacific multi-decadal variability described through the PDO index, Int. J. Climatol., 28, 995-1006, doi:10.1002/joc.1601. (Pubitemid 351935514)