Decadal changes in the link between El Niño and springtime North Atlantic oscillation and European-North African rainfall

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 23, Issue 11, 2003, Pages 1293-1311

  Knippertz, Peter ^a   Ulbrich, Uwe ^a   Marques, Filipa ^b   Corte Real, Joao ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF COLOGNE   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ÉVORA   (Portugal)

Author keywords

Circulation changes; Decadal variability; El Ni o; Europe North Africa; NAO; Precipitation; Running correlations; Sea level pressure anomalies

Indexed keywords

PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); PRESSURE EFFECTS; RAIN;

DECADAL CHANGES;

CLIMATOLOGY;

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE VARIATION; DECADAL VARIATION; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); SEA LEVEL PRESSURE;

AFRICA; EUROPE;

EID: 0141959765     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.944     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. Chen WY. 1982. Fluctuations in the Northern Hemisphere 700 mb height field associated with the southern oscillation. Monthly Weather Review, 110: 808-823.
2. Diaz HF, Hoerling MP, Eischeid JK. 2001. ENSO Variability, teleconnections and climate change. International Journal of Climatology 21: 1845-1862.
3. Fink AH, Knippertz P. In press. An extreme precipitation event in southern Morocco in spring 2002 and some hydrological implications. Weather.
4. Fraedrich K, Müller K. 1992. Climate anomalies in Europe associated with ENSO extremes. International Journal of Climatology 12: 25-31.
5. Garcia R, Ribera P, Gimeno L, Hernández E. 2000. Are the North Atlantic oscillation and the southern oscillation related in any time-scale? Annales Geophysicae 18: 247-251.
6. Gershunov A, Barnett TP. 1998. interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 79: 2715-2725.
7. Gerstengarbe F-W, Werner PC. 1993. Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas nach Paul Hess and Helmuth Brezowsky 1881-1992. Berichte des Deutschen Wetterdienstes 113.
8. Giannini A, Cane MA, Kushnir Y. 2001. Interdecadal changes in the ENSO teleconnection to the Caribbean region and the North Atlantic oscillation. Journal of Climate 14: 2867-2879.
9. Halpert MS, Ropelewski CF. 1992. Surface temperature patterns associated with the southern oscillation. Journal of Climate 5: 577-593.
10. Huang J, Higuchi K, Shabbar A. 1998. The relationship between the North Atlantic oscillation and El Niño southern oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters 25: 2707-2710.
11. Hurrell JW. 1995. Decadal changes in the North Atlantic oscillation: regional temperature and precipitation. Science 269: 676-679.
12. Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G, Visbeck M. 2002. The North Atlantic Oscillation: Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. Geophysical Monograph Series vol. 134, American Geophysical Union: Washington, DC.
13. Jacobeit J, Jönsson P, Bärring L, Beck C, Ekström M. 2001. Zonal indices for Europe 1780-1995 and running correlations with temperature. Climatic Change 48: 219-241.
14. Jones PD. 1987. The early twentieth century Arctic High - fact or fiction? Climate Dynamics 1: 63-75.
15. Jones PD, Jónsson T, Wheeler D. 1997. Extension to the North Atlantic oscillation using early instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and south-west Iceland. International Journal of Climatology 17: 1433-1450.
16. Kiladis GN, Diaz HF. 1989. Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the southern oscillation. Journal of Climate 2: 1069-1090.
17. Knippertz P, Christoph M, Speth P. 2003a. Long-term precipitation variability in Morocco and the link to the large-scale circulation in recent and future climates. Meteorology und Atmospheric Physics 83: 67-98.
18. Knippertz P, Fink AH, Reiner A, Speth P. 2003b, Three late summer/early autumn cases of tropical-extratropical interactions causing precipitation in northwest Africa. Monthly Weather Review, 131: 116-135.
19. Lamb PJ, Peppler RA. 1991. West Africa. In Teleconnections Linking Worldwide Climate Anomalies, Glantz MH, Katz RW, Nicholls N (eds), Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.
20. Latif M, Groetzner A. 2000. The equatorial Atlantic oscillation and its response to ENSO. Climate Dynamics 16: 213-218.
21. Lloyd-Hughes B, Saunders MA. 2002. Seasonal prediction of European spring precipitation from El Nin̄o-southern oscillation and local sea surface temperatures. International Journal of Climatology 22: 1-14.
22. Mariotti A, Zeng N, Lau KM. 2002. Euro-Mediterranean rainfall and ENSO - a seasonally varying relationship. Geophysical Research Letters 29: 591-594.
23. Marshall J, Kushnir Y, Battisti D, Chang O, Czaja A, Dickson R, Hurrell J, McCartney M, Saravanan R, Visbeck M. 2001. North Atlantic climate variability: phenomena, impacts and mechanisms. International Journal of Climatology 21: 1863-1898.
24. Mo KC, Häkkinen S. 2001. Interannual variability in the tropical Atlantic and linkages to the Pacific. Journal of Climate 14: 2740-2762.
25. Moron V, Gouirand I. 2003. Seasonal modulation of the El Niño-southern oscillation relationship with sea level pressure anomalies over the North Atlantic in October-March 1873-1996. International Journal of Climatology 23: 143- 155.
26. New M, Todd M, Hulme M. 2001. Precipitation measurements and trends in the twentieth century. International Journal of Climatology 21: 1899-1922.
27. Oldenborgh GJ, Burger G, Tank AK. 2000. On the El Niño teleconnection to spring precipitation in Europe. International Journal of Climatology 20: 565-574.
28. Pozo-Vázquez D, Estenan-Parra MJ, Rodrigo FS, Castro-Diez Y. 2001. The association between ENSO and winter atmospheric circulation and temperature in the North Atlantic region, Journal of Climate 14: 3408-3420.
29. Qian BD, Corte-Real J, Xu H. 2000. Is the North Atlantic oscillation the most important atmospheric pattern for precipitation in Europe? Journal of Geophysical Research 105(D9): 11901-11910.
30. Raible C, Luksch U, Fraedrich K, Voss R. 2001. North Atlantic decadal regimes in a coupled GCM simulation. Climate Dynamics 18: 321-330.
31. Rajagopalan B, Cook E, Lall U, Ray BK. 2000. Spatiotemporal variability of ENSO and SST teleconnections to summer drought over the united states during the twentieth century. Journal of Climate 13: 4244-4255.
32. Rodó X, Baert E, Comin FA. 1997. Variations in seasonal rainfall in southern Europe during the present century: relationship with the North Atlantic oscillation and the El Niño-southern oscillation. Climate Dynamics 13: 275-284.
33. Rogers JC. 1984. The association between the North Atlantic oscillation and the southern oscillation in the Northern Hemisphere. Monthly Weather Review, 112: 1999-2015.
34. Rogers JC. 1990. Patterns of low-frequency monthly sea level pressure variability (1899-1986) and associated wave cyclone frequencies. Journal of Climate 3: 1364-1379.
35. Ropelewski CF, Halpert MS. 1987. Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El-Niño/southern oscillation. Monthly Weather Review, 115: 1606-1626.
36. Saravanan R, Chang P. 2000. Interaction between tropical Atlantic variability and El-Niño-southern oscillation. Journal of Climate 13: 2177-2194.
37. Sickmöller M, Blender R, Fraedrich K. 2000. Observed winter cyclone tracks in the Northern Hemisphere in re-analysed ECMWF data. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 126: 591-620.
38. Slonosky V, Yiou P. 2002. Does the NAO index represent zonal flow? The influence of the NAO on North Atlantic surface temperature. Climate Dynamics 19: 17-30.
39. Slonosky VC, Jones PD, Davies TD. 2001. Atmospheric circulation and surface temperatures in Europe from the 18th century to 1995. International Journal of Climatology 21: 63-75.
40. Taubenheim J. 1969. Statistische Auswertung geophysikalischer und meteorologischer Daten. Akademische Verlagsgesellschaft: Leipzig.
41. Trenberth KE. 1997. The definition of El Niño. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78: 2771-2776.
42. Trenberth KE, Caron JM. 2000. The southern oscillation revisited: sea level pressures, surface temperatures, and precipitation. Journal of Climate 13: 4358-4365.
43. Trenberth KE, Shea DL. 1987. On the evolution of the southern oscillation. Monthly Weather Review 115: 3078-3096.
44. Trigo RM, Osborn TJ, Corte-Real JM. 2002. The North Atlantic oscillation influence on Europe: climate impacts and associated physical mechanisms. Climate Research 20: 9-17.
45. Ulbrich U, Christoph M, Pinto JG, Corte-Real J. 1999. Dependence of winter precipitation over Portugal on NAO and baroclinic wave activity. International Journal of Climatology 19: 379-390.
46. van Loon H, Madden RA. 1981. The southern oscillation I: global associations with pressure and temperature in northern winter. Monthly Weather Review 109: 1150-1162.
47. Vose RS, Schmoyer RL, Steurer PM, Peterson TC, Heim R, Karl TR. Eischeid JK. 1992. The Global Historical Climatology Network: long-term monthly temperature, precipitation, sea level pressure, and station pressure data. NDP-041. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN.
48. Ward MN, Lamb PJ, Portis DH, El Hamly M, Sebbari R. 1999. Climate variability in Northern Africa: understanding droughts in the Sahel and the Maghreb. In Beyond El Niño - Decadal and Interdecadal Climate Variability. Navarra A (ed.). Springer-Verlag: Berlin.
49. Wibig J. 1999. Precipitation in Europe in relation to circulation patterns at the 500 hPa level. International Journal of Climatology 19: 253-269.
50. Wibig J, Glowicki B. 2002. Trends of minimum and maximum temperature in Poland. Climate Research 20: 123-133.
51. Wilks DS. 1995. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, an Introduction. Academic Press: San Diego.