메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 11, Issue 24, 2011, Pages 12901-12916

Improvement of ozone forecast over Beijing based on ensemble Kalman filter with simultaneous adjustment of initial conditions and emissions

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR QUALITY; ATMOSPHERIC TRANSPORT; DATA ASSIMILATION; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; KALMAN FILTER; OZONE; SUBURBAN AREA; VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND;

EID: 84055212237     PISSN: 16807316     EISSN: 16807324     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/acp-11-12901-2011     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (71)

References (53)
  • 1
    • 77954258948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Principal component and multiple regress analysis predicting ozone concentrations: Case study in summer in Beijing
    • An, J. L., Wang, Y. S., and Zhu, B.: Principal component and multiple regress analysis predicting ozone concentrations: case study in summer in Beijing, Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae (in Chinese), 30, 1286-1294, 2010.
    • (2010) Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae (In Chinese) , vol.30 , pp. 1286-1294
    • An, J.L.1    Wang, Y.S.2    Zhu, B.3
  • 2
    • 0035655814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An ensemble adjustment Kalman filter for data assimilation
    • Anderson, J. L.: An ensemble adjustment Kalman filter for data assimilation, Mon. Weather Rev., 129, 2884-2903, 2001. (Pubitemid 34004796)
    • (2001) Monthly Weather Review , vol.129 , Issue.12 , pp. 2884-2903
    • Anderson, J.L.1
  • 4
    • 39549083218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting air quality: Improvements through advanced methods to integrate models and measurements
    • Carmichael, G. R., Sandu, A., Chai, T. F., Daescu, D. N., Con-stantinescu, E. M., and Tang, Y. H.: Predicting air quality: improvements through advanced methods to integrate models and measurements, J. Comput. Phys., 227, 3540-3571, 2008.
    • (2008) J. Comput. Phys. , vol.227 , pp. 3540-3571
    • Carmichael, G.R.1    Sandu, A.2    Chai, T.F.3    Daescu, D.N.4    Con-Stantinescu, E.M.5    Tang, Y.H.6
  • 5
    • 33644949215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Chemical data assimilation of Transport and Chemical Evolution over the Pacific (TRACE-P) aircraft measurements
    • doi:10.1029/2005JD005883
    • Chai, T. F., Carmichael, G. R., Sandu, A., Tang, Y. H., and Daescu, D. N.: Chemical data assimilation of Transport and Chemical Evolution over the Pacific (TRACE-P) aircraft measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D02301, doi:10.1029/2005JD005883, 2006.
    • (2006) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.111
    • Chai, T.F.1    Carmichael, G.R.2    Sandu, A.3    Tang, Y.H.4    Daescu, D.N.5
  • 7
    • 37349056404 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Air pollution in mega cities in China
    • DOI 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2007.09.003, PII S1352231007007911
    • Chan, C. K. and Yao, X.: Air pollution in mega cities in China, Atmos. Environ., 42, 1-42, 2008. (Pubitemid 350298026)
    • (2008) Atmospheric Environment , vol.42 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-42
    • Chan, C.K.1    Yao, X.2
  • 9
    • 33845203800 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of ensemble-based chemical data assimilation in an idealized setting
    • DOI 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2006.08.006, PII S1352231006008107
    • Constantinescu, E. M., Sandu, A., Chai, T. F., and Carmichael, G. R.: Assessment of ensemble-based chemical data assimilation in an idealized setting, Atmos. Environ., 41, 18-36, 2007b. (Pubitemid 44854618)
    • (2007) Atmospheric Environment , vol.41 , Issue.1 , pp. 18-36
    • Constantinescu, E.M.1    Sandu, A.2    Chai, T.3    Carmichael, G.R.4
  • 11
  • 12
    • 34249817837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emission rate and chemical state estimation by 4-dimensional variational inversion
    • Elbern, H., Strunk, A., Schmidt, H., and Talagrand, O.: Emission rate and chemical state estimation by 4-dimensional variational inversion, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 3749-3769, doi:10.5194/acp-7-3749-2007, 2007. (Pubitemid 47120428)
    • (2007) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics , vol.7 , Issue.14 , pp. 3749-3769
    • Elbern, H.1    Strunk, A.2    Schmidt, H.3    Talagrand, O.4
  • 13
    • 0028193070 scopus 로고
    • Sequential data assimilation with a nonlinear quasi-geostrophic model using monte-carlo methods to forecast error statistics
    • Evensen, G.: Sequential Data Assimilation with a Nonlinear Quasi-Geostrophic Model Using Monte-Carlo Methods to Forecast Error Statistics, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 10143-10162, 1994.
    • (1994) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.99 , pp. 10143-10162
    • Evensen, G.1
  • 14
    • 84884550570 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ensemble Kalman Filter: Theoretical formulation and practical implementation
    • Evensen, G.: The ensemble Kalman Filter: theoretical formulation and practical implementation, Ocean Dynam., 53, 343-367, 2003.
    • (2003) Ocean Dynam. , vol.53 , pp. 343-367
    • Evensen, G.1
  • 15
    • 66849101595 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Ensemble Kalman Filter for combined state and parameter estimation
    • Evensen, G.: The Ensemble Kalman Filter for combined state and parameter estimation, IEEE Control Systems Magazine, 29, 83-104, 2009.
    • (2009) IEEE Control Systems Magazine , vol.29 , pp. 83-104
    • Evensen, G.1
  • 16
    • 79952246361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ozone concentration forecast method based on genetic algorithm optimized back propagation neural networks and support vector machine data classification
    • Feng, Y., Zhang, W. F., Sun., D. Z., and Zhang, L. Q.: Ozone concentration forecast method based on genetic algorithm optimized back propagation neural networks and support vector machine data classification, Atmos. Environ., 45, 1979-1985, 2011.
    • (2011) Atmos. Environ. , vol.45 , pp. 1979-1985
    • Feng, Y.1    Zhang, W.F.2    Sun, D.Z.3    Zhang, L.Q.4
  • 19
    • 4243139631 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation of ground-level ozone in Europe with a Kalman filter and chemistry transport model
    • DOI 10.1029/2003JD004283
    • Hanea, R. G., Velders, G. J. M., and Heemink, A.: Data assimilation of ground-level ozone in Europe with a Kalman filter and chemistry transport model, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D10302, doi:10.1029/2003JD004283, 2004. (Pubitemid 39112636)
    • (2004) Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres , vol.109 , Issue.10
    • Hanea, R.G.1    Velders, G.J.M.2    Heemink, A.3
  • 20
    • 0032210775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo estimates of uncertainties in predictions by a photochemical grid model (UAM-IV) due to uncertainties in input variables
    • DOI 10.1016/S1352-2310(97)00419-6, PII S1352231097004196
    • Hanna, S. R., Chang, J. C., and Fernau, M. E.: Monte Carlo estimates of uncertainties in predictions by a photochemical grid model (UAM-IV) due to uncertainties in input variables, Atmos. Environ., 32, 3619-3628, 1998. (Pubitemid 28448595)
    • (1998) Atmospheric Environment , vol.32 , Issue.21 , pp. 3619-3628
    • Hanna, S.R.1    Chang, J.C.2    Fernau, M.E.3
  • 21
    • 34047152932 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Air quality impacts of power plant emissions in Beijing
    • DOI 10.1016/j.envpol.2006.06.013, PII S0269749106003939
    • Hao, J. M., Wang, L. T., Shen, M. J., Li, L., and Hu, J. N.: Air quality impacts of power plant emissions in Beijing, Environ. Pollut., 147, 401-408, 2007. (Pubitemid 46528019)
    • (2007) Environmental Pollution , vol.147 , Issue.2 , pp. 401-408
    • Hao, J.1    Wang, L.2    Shen, M.3    Li, L.4    Hu, J.5
  • 22
    • 0035129828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A sequential ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation
    • Houtekamer, P. L. and Mitchell, H. L.: A sequential ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation, Mon. Weather Rev., 129, 123-137, 2001. (Pubitemid 32180439)
    • (2001) Monthly Weather Review , vol.129 , Issue.1 , pp. 123-137
    • Houtekamer, P.L.1    Mitchell, H.L.2
  • 23
    • 0033792893 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emission inventory development and processing for the Seasonal Model for Regional Air Quality (SM-RAQ) project
    • Houyoux, M. R., Vukovich, J. M., Coats, C. J., Wheeler, N. J. M., and Kasibhatla, P. S.: Emission inventory development and processing for the Seasonal Model for Regional Air Quality (SM-RAQ) project, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 9079-9090, 2000.
    • (2000) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.105 , pp. 9079-9090
    • Houyoux, M.R.1    Vukovich, J.M.2    Coats, C.J.3    Wheeler, N.J.M.4    Kasibhatla, P.S.5
  • 25
    • 0033912092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation into a primitive-equation model with a parallel ensemble Kalman filter
    • Keppenne, C. L.: Data assimilation into a primitive-equation model with a parallel ensemble Kalman filter, Mon. Weather Rev., 128, 1971-1981, 2000. (Pubitemid 30464430)
    • (2000) Monthly Weather Review , vol.128 , Issue.6 , pp. 1971-1981
    • Keppenne, C.L.1
  • 26
    • 75649107752 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling of the impacts of China's anthropogenic pollutants on the surface ozone summer maximum on the northern Tibetan Plateau
    • doi:10.1029/2009GL041123
    • Li, J., Wang, Z. F., Akimoto, H., Tang, J., and Uno, I.: Modeling of the impacts of China's anthropogenic pollutants on the surface ozone summer maximum on the northern Tibetan Plateau, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L24802, doi:10.1029/2009GL041123, 2009.
    • (2009) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.36
    • Li, J.1    Wang, Z.F.2    Akimoto, H.3    Tang, J.4    Uno, I.5
  • 27
    • 79951630390 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of aerosols on summertime tropospheric photolysis frequencies and photochemistry over Central Eastern China
    • doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.01.016 in press
    • Li, J., Wang, Z., Wang, X., Yamaji, K., Takigawa, M., Kanaya, Y., Pochanart, P., Liu, Y., Irie, H., Hu, B., Tanimoto, H., and Akimoto, H.: Impacts of aerosols on summertime tropospheric photolysis frequencies and photochemistry over Central Eastern China, Atmos. Environ., doi:10.1016/j. atmosenv.2011.01.016, in press, 2011.
    • (2011) Atmos. Environ.
    • Li, J.1    Wang, Z.2    Wang, X.3    Yamaji, K.4    Takigawa, M.5    Kanaya, Y.6    Pochanart, P.7    Liu, Y.8    Irie, H.9    Hu, B.10    Tanimoto, H.11    Akimoto, H.12
  • 28
    • 78650538581 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecast of analyses: Coupling data assimilation and sequential aggregation
    • doi:10.1029/2010JD014259
    • Mallet, V.: Ensemble forecast of analyses: Coupling data assimilation and sequential aggregation, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D24303, doi:10.1029/ 2010JD014259, 2010.
    • (2010) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.115
    • Mallet, V.1
  • 29
    • 65849343753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ozone ensemble forecast with machine learning algorithms
    • doi:10.1029/2008JD009978
    • Mallet, V., Stoltz, G., and Mauricette, B.: Ozone ensemble forecast with machine learning algorithms, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D05307, doi:10.1029/ 2008JD009978, 2009.
    • (2009) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.114
    • Mallet, V.1    Stoltz, G.2    Mauricette, B.3
  • 30
    • 0034082826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An adaptive ensemble Kalman filter
    • Mitchell, H. L. and Houtekamer, P. L.: An adaptive ensemble Kalman filter, Mon. Weather Rev., 128, 416-433, 2000. (Pubitemid 30205909)
    • (2000) Monthly Weather Review , vol.128 , Issue.2 , pp. 416-433
    • Mitchell, H.L.1    Houtekamer, P.L.2
  • 31
    • 39049173291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implications of the form of the ensemble transformation in the ensemble square root filters
    • DOI 10.1175/2007MWR2021.1
    • Sakov, P. and Oke, P. R.: Implications of the form of the ensemble transformation in the ensemble square root filters, Mon. Weather Rev., 136, 1042-1053, 2008. (Pubitemid 351753162)
    • (2008) Monthly Weather Review , vol.136 , Issue.3 , pp. 1042-1053
    • Sakov, P.1    Oke, P.R.2
  • 33
    • 33748416478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • City clusters in China: Air and surface water pollution
    • DOI 10.1890/1540-9295(2006)004[0353:CCICAA]2.0.CO;2
    • Shao, M., Tang, X. Y., Zhang, Y. H., and Li, W. J.: City clusters in China: air and surface water pollution, Front. Ecol. Environ., 4, 353-361, 2006. (Pubitemid 44343965)
    • (2006) Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment , vol.4 , Issue.7 , pp. 353-361
    • Shao, M.1    Tang, X.2    Zhang, Y.3    Li, W.4
  • 37
    • 79952481048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preliminary application of Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis in ozone simulation
    • (in Chinese)
    • Tang, X., Wang, Z. F., Zhu, J., Wu, Q. Z., and Gbaguidi, A.: Preliminary application of Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis in ozone simulation, Climate and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 15, 541-550, 2010b.
    • (2010) Climate and Environmental Research , vol.15 , pp. 541-550
    • Tang, X.1    Wang, Z.F.2    Zhu, J.3    Wu, Q.Z.4    Gbaguidi, A.5
  • 38
    • 77955843945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of ozone to precursor emissions in urban Beijing with a Monte Carlo scheme
    • Tang, X., Wang, Z. F., Zhu, J., Gbaguidi, A., Wu, Q. Z., Li, J., and Zhu, T.: Sensitivity of ozone to precursor emissions in urban Beijing with a Monte Carlo scheme, Atmos. Environ., 44, 3833-3842, 2010c.
    • (2010) Atmos. Environ. , vol.44 , pp. 3833-3842
    • Tang, X.1    Wang, Z.F.2    Zhu, J.3    Gbaguidi, A.4    Wu, Q.Z.5    Li, J.6    Zhu, T.7
  • 39
    • 0033622543 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation of ozone in the atmospheric transport chemistry model LOTOS
    • DOI 10.1016/S1364-8152(00)00048-7, PII S1364815200000487
    • Van Loon, M., Builtjes, P. J. H., and Segers, A. J.: Data assimilation of ozone in the atmospheric transport chemistry model LOTOS, Environ. Model. Softw., 15, 603-609, 2000. (Pubitemid 32948680)
    • (2000) Environmental Modelling and Software , vol.15 , Issue.6-7 , pp. 603-609
    • Van Loon, M.1    Builtjes, P.J.H.2    Segers, A.J.3
  • 41
    • 81855191965 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using a mobile laboratory to characterize the distribution and transport of sulfur dioxide in and around Beijing
    • doi:10.5194/acp-11-11631-2011
    • Wang, M., Zhu, T., Zhang, J. P., Zhang, Q. H., Lin, W. W., Li, Y., and Wang, Z. F.: Using a mobile laboratory to characterize the distribution and transport of sulfur dioxide in and around Beijing, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 11631-11645, doi:10.5194/acp-11-11631-2011, 2011.
    • (2011) Atmos. Chem. Phys. , vol.11 , pp. 11631-11645
    • Wang, M.1    Zhu, T.2    Zhang, J.P.3    Zhang, Q.H.4    Lin, W.W.5    Li, Y.6    Wang, Z.F.7
  • 42
    • 79954600805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ozone air quality during the 2008 Beijing Olympics: Effectiveness of emission restrictions
    • doi:10.5194/acp-9-5237-2009
    • Wang, Y., Hao, J., McElroy, M. B., Munger, J. W., Ma, H., Chen, D., and Nielsen, C. P.: Ozone air quality during the 2008 Beijing Olympics: effectiveness of emission restrictions, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 5237-5251, doi:10.5194/acp-9-5237-2009, 2009.
    • (2009) Atmos. Chem. Phys. , vol.9 , pp. 5237-5251
    • Wang, Y.1    Hao, J.2    McElroy, M.B.3    Munger, J.W.4    Ma, H.5    Chen, D.6    Nielsen, C.P.7
  • 43
    • 33751272721 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neutralization of soil aerosol and its impact on the distribution of acid rain over east Asia: Observations and model results
    • DOI 10.1029/2001JD001040
    • Wang, Z., Akimoto, H., and Uno, I.: Neutralization of soil aerosol and its impact on the distribution of acid rain over East Asia: Observations and model results, J. Geophys. Res., 107, doi:10.1029/2001JD001040, 2002. (Pubitemid 44793881)
    • (2002) Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres , vol.107 , Issue.19 , pp. 4389
    • Wang, Z.1    Akimoto, H.2    Uno, I.3
  • 44
    • 0006361450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Studies on transport of acid substance in China and East Asia part I: 3-D Eulerian transport model for pollutants
    • Wang, Z. F., Huang, M. Y., He, D., Xu, H. Y., and Zhou, L.: Studies on transport of acid substance in China and East Asia part I: 3-D Eulerian transport model for pollutants, Chin. J. Atmos. Sci., 21, 367-375, 1997.
    • (1997) Chin. J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.21 , pp. 367-375
    • Wang, Z.F.1    Huang, M.Y.2    He, D.3    Xu, H.Y.4    Zhou, L.5
  • 46
    • 0024472311 scopus 로고
    • Parameterization of surface resistances to gaseous dry deposition in regional-scale numerical models
    • Wesely, M. L.: Parameterization of surface resistances to gaseous dry deposition in regional-scale numerical models, Atmos. Environ., 23, 1293-1304, 1989.
    • (1989) Atmos. Environ. , vol.23 , pp. 1293-1304
    • Wesely, M.L.1
  • 47
    • 58149252059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison study of data assimilation algorithms for ozone forecasts
    • doi:10.1029/2008JD009991
    • Wu, L., Mallet, V., Bocquet, M., and Sportisse, B.: A comparison study of data assimilation algorithms for ozone forecasts, J. Geo-phys. Res., 113, D20310, doi:10.1029/2008JD009991, 2008.
    • (2008) J. Geo-phys. Res. , vol.113
    • Wu, L.1    Mallet, V.2    Bocquet, M.3    Sportisse, B.4
  • 48
    • 79960114796 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A numerical study of contributions to air pollution in Beijing during CAREBeijing-2006
    • doi:10.5194/acp-11-5997-2011
    • Wu, Q. Z., Wang, Z. F., Gbaguidi, A., Gao, C., Li, L. N., and Wang, W.: A numerical study of contributions to air pollution in Beijing during CAREBeijing-2006, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 5997-6011, doi:10.5194/acp-11-5997- 2011, 2011.
    • (2011) Atmos. Chem. Phys. , vol.11 , pp. 5997-6011
    • Wu, Q.Z.1    Wang, Z.F.2    Gbaguidi, A.3    Gao, C.4    Li, L.N.5    Wang, W.6
  • 49
    • 77953880065 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variability and reduction of atmospheric pollutants in Beijing and its surrounding area during the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games
    • (in Chinese)
    • Xin, J. Y., Wang, Y. S., Tang, G. Q., Wang, L. L., Sun, Y., Wang, Y. H., Hu, B., Song, T., Ji, D. S., Wang, W. F., Li, L., and Liu, G. R.: Variability and reduction of atmospheric pollutants in Beijing and its surrounding area during the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games, Chinese Sci. Bull. (in Chinese), 55, 1937-1944, 2010.
    • (2010) Chinese Sci. Bull. , vol.55 , pp. 1937-1944
    • Xin, J.Y.1    Wang, Y.S.2    Tang, G.Q.3    Wang, L.L.4    Sun, Y.5    Wang, Y.H.6    Hu, B.7    Song, T.8    Ji, D.S.9    Wang, W.F.10    Li, L.11    Liu, G.R.12
  • 50
    • 0033590403 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new lumped structure photochemical mechanism for large-scale applications
    • Zaveri, R. A. and Peters, L. K.: A new lumped structure photochemical mechanism for large-scale applications, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 30387-30415, 1999.
    • (1999) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.104 , pp. 30387-30415
    • Zaveri, R.A.1    Peters, L.K.2
  • 52
    • 84055165514 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Update the ensemble air quality modeling system with BP model during Beijing Olympics (in Chinese)
    • Zhang, W., Wang, Z. F., An, J. L., Yang, T., and Tang, X.: Update the ensemble air quality modeling system with BP model during Beijing Olympics (in Chinese), Clim. Environ. Res., 15, 595-601, 2010.
    • (2010) Clim. Environ. Res. , vol.15 , pp. 595-601
    • Zhang, W.1    Wang, Z.F.2    An, J.L.3    Yang, T.4    Tang, X.5
  • 53
    • 79952460348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Update of industrial pollution source in Hebei and its effects on regional air quality modeling during 2008 Beijing Olympics Games (in Chinese)
    • Zou, Y. F., Wu, Q., Wang, Z. F., and Zhu, J.: Update of industrial pollution source in Hebei and its effects on regional air quality modeling during 2008 Beijing Olympics Games (in Chinese), Clim. Environ. Res., 15, 624-635, 2010.
    • (2010) Clim. Environ. Res. , vol.15 , pp. 624-635
    • Zou, Y.F.1    Wu, Q.2    Wang, Z.F.3    Zhu, J.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.