Nonlinear response of summer temperature to holocene insolation forcing in Alaska

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Volumn 108, Issue 48, 2011, Pages 19299-19304

  Clegg, Benjamin F ^a   Kelly, Ryan ^a   Clarke, Gina H ^a,c   Walker, Ian R ^b   Hu, Feng Sheng ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT URBANA CHAMPAIGN   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA   (Canada)

^c UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Chironomidae; Climate change; High latitudes; Land ocean atmosphere interaction; Paleotemperature

Indexed keywords

DISSOLVED ORGANIC MATTER; ORGANIC CARBON;

AIR TEMPERATURE; ARCTIC; ARTICLE; CERATOPOGONIDAE; CHIRONOMIDAE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONTROLLED STUDY; EL NINO; ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE; HOLOCENE; LAKE SEDIMENT; NONHUMAN; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; PALEOCLIMATE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RADIATIVE FORCING; SEA; SUMMER; SUNLIGHT; UNITED STATES;

ALASKA; ANIMALS; CHIRONOMIDAE; GEOLOGIC SEDIMENTS; GLOBAL WARMING; HISTORY, ANCIENT; LAKES; MODELS, THEORETICAL; NONLINEAR DYNAMICS; SEASONS; TEMPERATURE;

EID: 82755187703     PISSN: 00278424     EISSN: 10916490     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1110913108     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM (1998) The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophys Res Lett 25:1297-1300. (Pubitemid 28437547)
2. Laskar J, et al. (2004) A long-term numerical solution for the insolation quantities of the Earth. Astron Astrophys 428:261-285.
3. CAPE Project Members (2001) Holocene paleoclimate data from the Arctic: Testing models of global climate change. Quat Sci Rev 20:1275-1287.
4. Kaufman DD, et al. (2004) Holocene thermal maximum in the western Arctic (0-180°W). Quat Sci Rev 23:529-560.
5. Hu FS, Ito E, Brubaker LB, Anderson PM (1998) Ostracode geochemical record of Holocene climatic change and implications for vegetational response in the northwestern Alaska Range. Quat Res 49:86-95.
6. Kurek J, Cwynar LC, Ager TA, Abbott MA, Edwards ME (2009) Late Quaternary paleoclimate of western Alaska inferred from fossil chironomids and its relation to vegetation histories. Quat Sci Rev 28:799-811.
7. Clegg BF, et al. (2010) Six millennia of summer temperature variation based on midge analysis of lake sediments from Alaska. Quat Sci Rev 29:3308-3316.
8. de Vernal A, Hillaire-Marcel C, Darby DA (2005) Variability of sea ice cover in the Chukchi Sea (western Arctic Ocean) during the Holocene. Paleoceanography 20: PA4018.
9. Walker IR, Smol JP, Engstrom DR, Birks HJB (1991) An assessment of Chironomidae as quantitative indicators of past climatic change. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 48:975-987.
10. Barley EM, et al. (2006) A northwest North American training set: Distribution of freshwater midges in relation to air temperature and lake depth. J Paleolimnol 36: 295-314. (Pubitemid 44521469)
11. Velle G, Brodersen KP, Birks HJB, Willassen E (2010) Midges as quantitative temperature indicator species: Lessons for palaeoecology. Holocene 20:989-1002.
12. Larocque I, Hall RI (2003) Chironomids as quantitative indicators of mean July air temperature: Validation by comparison with century-long meteorological records from northern Sweden. J Paleolimnol 29:475-493.
13. Heiri O, Lotter AF, Hausmann S, Kienast F (2003) A chironomid-based Holocene summer air temperature reconstruction from the Swiss Alps. Holocene 13:477-484.
14. Davi NK, Jacoby GC, Wiles GC (2003) Boreal temperature variability inferred from maximum latewood density and tree-ring width data, Wrangell Mountain region, Alaska. Quat Res 60:252-262. (Pubitemid 38012830)
15. Wiles GC, D'Arrigo RD, Villalba R, Calkin PE, Barclay DJ (2004) Century-scale solar variability and Alaskan temperature change over the past millennium. Geophys Res Lett 31:L15203.
16. Singarayer JS, Valdes PJ (2010) High-latitude climate sensitivity to ice-sheet forcing over the last 120 kyr. Quat Sci Rev 29:43-55.
17. Hu FS, et al. (2003) Cyclic variation and solar forcing of Holocene climate in the Alaskan subarctic. Science 301:1890-1893. (Pubitemid 37221391)
18. Brubaker LB, Anderson PM, Hu FS (2001) Vegetation ecotone dynamics in southwest Alaska during the late Quaternary. Quat Sci Rev 20:175-188. (Pubitemid 32143110)
19. Tinner W, et al. (2006) Postglacial vegetational and fire history: Pollen, plant macrofossil and charcoal records from two Alaskan lakes. Veget Hist Archaeobot 15:279-293. (Pubitemid 44273104)
20. Anderson PM, Brubaker LB (1994) Holocene vegetation and climate histories of northcentral Alaska: A mapped summary of late-Quaternary pollen data. Quat Sci Rev 13:71-92. (Pubitemid 2159665)
21. Bigelow NH (1997) Late-Quaternary vegetation and lake-level changes in central Alaska. PhD dissertation (University of Alaska, Fairbanks).
22. Abbott MB, Finney BP, Edwards ME, Kelts KR (2000) Lake-level reconstructions and paleohydrology of Birch Lake, central Alaska, based on seismic reflection profiles and core transects. Quat Res 53:154-166. (Pubitemid 30239243)
23. Kurek J, Cwynar LC, Vermaire JC (2009) A late Quaternary paleotemperature record from Hanging Lake, northern Yukon Territory, eastern Beringia. Quat Res 72:246-257.
24. Renssen H, Seppä H, Heiri O, Goosse H, Fichefet T (2009) The spatial and temporal complexity of the Holocene thermal maximum. Nat Geosci 2:411-414.
25. Khotinskiy NA (1984) Late Quaternary Environments of the Soviet Union, eds Wright HE, Jr., Barnosky CW (Univ of Minnesota Press, Minnesota), pp 179-200.
26. MacDonald GM, et al. (2000) Holocene treeline history and climate change across northern Eurasia. Quat Res 53:302-311. (Pubitemid 30334568)
27. Hu FS, Brubaker LB, Anderson PM (1993) A 12,000 year record of vegetation change and soil development from Wien Lake, central; Alaska. Can J Bot 71:1133-1142. (Pubitemid 24398209)
28. Rimbu N, Lohmann G, Kim J-H, Arz W, Schneider R (2003) Arctic/North Atlantic Oscillation signature in Holocene sea surface temperature trends as obtained from alkenone data. Geophys Res Lett 30:1280.
29. Andersen C, Koç N, Jennings A, Andrews JT (2004) Nonuniform response of the major surface currents in the Nordic Seas to insolation forcing: Implications for the Holocene climate variability. Paleoceanography 19:PA2003.
30. de Vernal A, Hillaire-Marcel C (2006) Provincialism in trends and high frequency changes in the northwest North Atlantic during the Holocene. Global Planet Change 54:263-290. (Pubitemid 44739259)
31. Bendle JAP, Rosell-Melé A (2007) High-resolution alkenone sea surface temperature variability on the North Icelandic shelf: Implications for Nordic Seas paleoclimatic development during the Holocene. Holocene 17:9-24. (Pubitemid 47304019)
32. Rodbell DT, et al. (1999) An approximately 15,000-year record of El Nino-driven alluviation in southwestern ecuador. Science 283:516-520.
33. Marchitto TM, Muscheler R, Ortiz JD, Carriquiry JD, van Geen A (2010) Dynamical response of the tropical Pacific Ocean to solar forcing during the early Holocene. Science 330:1378-1381.
34. Rigor IG, Wallace JM, Colony RL (2002) Response of sea ice to the Arctic Oscillation. J Clim 15:2648-2663. (Pubitemid 35151363)
35. McKay JL, et al. (2008) Holocene fluctuations in Arctic sea-ice cover: Dinocyst-based reconstructions for the eastern Chukchi Sea. Can J Earth Sci 45:1377-1397.
36. Cavalieri DJ, Parkinson CL (1987) On the relationship between atmospheric circulation and the fluctuations in the sea ice extents of the Bering and Okhotsk Seas. J Geophys Res 92:7141-7162.
37. Alexander MA, Tomas R, Deser C, Lawrence DM (2010) The atmospheric response to projected terrestrial snow changes in the late twenty-first century. J Clim 23:6430-6437.
38. Niebauer HJ (1988) Effects of El Niño-Southern Oscillation and North Pacific weather patterns on interannual variability in the subarctic Bering Sea. J Geophys Res 93:5051-5068.
39. Katsuki K, et al. (2009) Land-sea linkage of Holocene paleoclimate on the Southern Bering Continental Shelf. Holocene 19:747-756.
40. Honda M, Nakamura H, Ukita J, Kousaka I, Takeuchi K (2001) Interannual seesaw between the Aleutian and Icelandic Lows. Part I: Seasonal dependence and life cycle. J Clim 14:1029-1042. (Pubitemid 33053188)
41. Sasaki YN, Minobe S (2005) Seasonally dependent interannual variability of sea ice in the Bering Sea and its relation to atmospheric fluctuations. J Geophys Res 110:C05011.
42. Pozo-Vázques D, Esteban-Parra MJ, Rodrigo FS, Castro-Díez T (2001) The association between ENSO and winter atmospheric circulation and temperature in the North Atlantic region. J Clim 14:3408-3420.
43. Foley JA, Kutzbach JE, Coe MT, Levis S (1994) Feedbacks between climate and boreal forests during the Holocene epoch. Nature 371:52-54. (Pubitemid 24278267)
44. DeMenocal P, et al. (2000) Abrupt onset and termination of the African humid period: Rapid climate responses to gradual insolation forcing. Quat Sci Rev 19:347-361.
45. Hodell DA, et al. (2001) Abrupt cooling of Antarctic surface waters and sea ice expansion in the South Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean at 5000 cal yr BP. Quat Res 56:191-198.
46. Bush ABG (1999) Assessing the impact of Mid-Holocene insolation on the atmosphere-ocean system. Geophys Res Lett 26:99-102.
47. Clement AC, Seager R, Cane MA (2000) Suppression of El Niño during the mid-Holocene by changes in the Earth's orbit. Paleoceanography 15:731-737. (Pubitemid 32300473)
48. Liu Z, Kutzbach J, Wu L (2000) Modeling climate shift of El Niño variability in the Holocene. Geophys Res Lett 27:2265-2268. (Pubitemid 32040354)
49. Shindell DT, Miller RL, Schmidt GA, Pandolfo L (1999) Simulation of recent northern winter climate trends by greenhouse-gas forcing. Nature 399:452-455.
50. Rind D, Perlwitz J, Lonergan P, Lerner J (2005) AO/NAO response to climate change: 2. Relative importance of low- and high-latitude temperature changes. J Geophys Res 110:D12.
51. Stephenson DB, Pavan V, Collins M (2006) North Atlantic Oscillation response to transient greenhouse gas forcing and the impact on European winter climate: A CMIP2 multi-model assessment. Clim Dyn 27:401-420. (Pubitemid 43997758)
52. Eakins JD, Morrison RT (1978) A new procedure for the determination of lead-210 in lake and marine sediments. Int J Appl Radiat Isot 29:531-536. (Pubitemid 9048970)
53. 210Pb in an oligotrophic lake with seasonally anoxic hypolimnion. Geochim Cosmochim Acta 51:1445-1456.
54. 210Pb dates for PIRLA project lake sediment cores. J Paleolimnol 3:252-267.
55. Oswald WW, et al. (2005) Effects of sample mass and macrofossil type on radiocarbon dating of arctic and boreal lake sediments. Holocene 15:758-767. (Pubitemid 41009381)
56. 14C age calibration program. Radiocarbon 35:215-230.
57. Reimer PJ, et al. (2004) Intcal04 terrestrial radiocarbon age calibration, 0-26 cal kyr B.P. Radiocarbon 46:1029-1058.
58. Higuera PE, Brubaker LB, Anderson PM, Hu FS, Brown TA (2009) Vegetation mediated the impacts of postglacial climatic change on fire regimes in the south-central Brooks Range. Ecol Monogr 79:201-219.
59. Wiederholm T (1983) Chironomidae of the Holarctic Region. keys and diagnoses. Part 1. Larvae. Entomol Scand (Suppl 19):1-457.
60. Oliver DR, Roussel ME (1983) The Insects and Arachnids of Canada, Part 11: The Genera of Larval Midges of Canada, Diptera: Chironomidae (Research Branch, Agriculture Canada, Ottawa), pp 1-263.
61. Brooks SJ, Langdon PG, Heiri O (2007) The identification and use of palaearctic Chironomidae larvae in Palaeoecology. Quaternary Research Association. Technical Guide 10:1-276.
62. Heiri O, Lotter AF (2001) Effect of low count sums on quantitative environmental reconstructions: An example using subfossil chironomids. J Paleolimnol 26:343-350. (Pubitemid 32901207)
63. Cleveland WS (1979) Robust locally weighted regression and smoothing scatterplots. J Am Stat Assoc 74:829-836.