A game-theoretic model for protest in the context of post-communism

Communist and Post-Communist Studies

Volumn 44, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 1-15

  Ash, Konstantin ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Game theory; Mass movements; Protests; Repression

Indexed keywords

EID: 79952364203     PISSN: 0967067X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.postcomstud.2011.01.007     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Baker P., Glasser S.B. Georgian President resigns; uprising Topples Shevardnadze. Washington Post November 24, 2003, Extracted through LexisNexis.
2. Beissinger M. Structure and example in modular political phenomena: the diffusion of Bulldozer/Rose/Orange/Tulip revolutions. Perspectives in Politics 2007, 5(2):259-276.
3. Bernhard M. Civil society and democratic transition in East Central Europe. Political Science Quarterly 1993, 108(2):307-326.
4. Bernhard M. Civil society after the first transition: dilemmas of post-communist democratization in Poland and beyond. Communist and Post-Communist Studies 1996, 29(3):309-330.
5. Bueno de Mesquita B., et al. The Logic of Political Survival 2004, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
6. Bunce V., Wolchik S. International diffusion and post-communist politics. Communist and Post-Communist Studies 2006, 39:283-304.
7. Bunce V., Wolchik S. Favorable conditions and electoral revolutions. Journal of Democracy 2006, 17(4):5-18.
8. Bunce, V., Wolchik, S., 2008. Mixed regimes in postcommunist Eurasia: tipping democratic and tipping Authoritarian. Paper Prepared for the Workshop on Democratization in European Former Soviet Republics: Limits, Obstacles and Perspectives, Florence, Italy, June 13-15, 2008.
9. Carey S.C. The dynamic relationship between protest and repression. Political Research Quarterly 2006, 59(1):1-11.
10. Chollet D., Gordon P.H. Georgia: don't let the Rose Revolution wilt. Brookings Institution August 18th, 2005, Extracted through LexisNexis.
11. Daragahi B. A Georgian soldier of the Velvet Revolution. Los Angeles Times September 03, 2008, Extracted through LexisNexis.
12. De Tocqueville A. Democracy in America 1863, Sever and Francis, Cambridge, (H. Reeve, Trans.).
13. Engdahl F.W. Color revolutions and the Baku pipeline. Global Research June 25, 2005, Extracted through LexisNexis.
14. Foley M.W., Edwards B. The paradox of civil society. Journal of Democracy 1996, 7(3):38-52.
15. Friedman L.C., Pee D. Return to a note on screening regression equations. The American Statistician 1989, 43(4):279-282.
16. Gibson J.L. Social networks, civil society, and the prospects for consolidating Russia's democratic transition. American Journal of Political Science 2001, 45(1):51-68.
17. Goldstone J.A., Tilly C. Threat and opportunity: popular action and state response in the dynamics of contentious action. Silence and Voice in the Study of Contentious Politics 2001, 179-195. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. R.R. Aminzade (Ed.).
18. Gupta D.K., Singh H., Sprague T. Government coercion of dissidents: deterrence or provocation?. The Journal of Conflict Resolution 1993, 37(2):301-339.
19. Hale H.E. Regime cycles: democracy, autocracy and revolution in post-Soviet Eurasia. World Politics 2005, 58:133-165.
20. Hale H.E. Democracy or autocracy on the March? The colored revolutions as normal dynamics of patronal presidentialism. Communist and Post-Communist Studies 2006, 39:305-329.
21. Halpin T. End of the rose revolution as riot police are sent in to quell protests. The Times November 8, 2007, Extracted through LexisNexis.
22. Hendrix C.S. Measuring state capacity: theoretical and empirical implications for the study of civil conflict. Journal of Peace Research 2010, 47:273-285.
23. Howard M.M. The Weakness of Civil Society in Post-Communist Europe 1999, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.; New York, NY.
24. Jackman S. Bayesian analysis for political research. Annual Review of Political Science 2004, 7:483-505.
25. Karklins R., Petersen R. Decision calculus of protesters and regimes: Eastern Europe 1989. The Journal of Politics 1993, 55(3):588-614.
26. King G., Zheng L. Explaining rare events in international relations. International Organization 2001, 55(3):693-715.
27. Koopmans R. The dynamics of protest waves: West Germany, 1965 to 1989. American Sociological Review 1993, 58(5):637-658.
28. Kuran T. Now out of never: the element of surprise in the East European revolution of 1989. World Politics 1991, 44(1):7-48.
29. Levitsky S., Way L.A. The rise of competitive authoritarianism. Journal of Democracy 2002, 13(2):51-65.
30. Lichbach M.I. Deterrence of escalation? The puzzle of aggregate studies of repression and dissent. Journal of Conflict Resolution 1987, 31(2):266-297.
31. McFaul M. Transitions from post-communism. Journal of Democracy 2005, 16(3):5-19.
32. Moore W.H. Repression and dissent: substitution, context, and timing. American Journal of Political Science 1998, 42(3):851-873.
33. Opp K.D., Roehl W. Repression micromobilization and political protest. Social Forces 1990, 69(2):521-547.
34. Putnam R. Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy 1994, Princeton University Press, Ewing, NJ.
35. Rasler K. Concessions, repression and political protest in the Iranian revolution. American Sociological Review 1996, 61(1):132-152.
36. Shields S. Parties near talks in Georgia: opposition leader offers to negotiate with the President. Wall Street Journal April 18, 2009, Extracted through LexisNexis.
37. Tarrow S. Power in Movement: Social Movements, Collective Action and Politics 1994, Cambridge University Press, New York.
38. Tucker J.A. Enough! electoral fraud, collective action problems, and post-communist colored revolutions. Perspectives in Politics 2007, 5(3):535-551.
39. Vreeland J.R. The effect of political regime on civil war: unpacking anocracy. Journal of Conflict Resolution 2008, 52(3):401-425.
40. Walzer M. The civil society argument. Dimensions of Radical Democracy: Pluralism, Citizenship, Community 1992, 89-107. Verso, London. C. Mouffe (Ed.).
41. Way L.A. The real causes of the color revolutions. Journal of Democracy 2008, 19(3):55-69.
42. Weingast B.R. The political foundations of democracy and the rule of law. The American Political Science Review 1997, 91(2):245-263.