Ecological conditions in wintering and passage areas as determinants of timing of spring migration in trans-Saharan migratory birds

Journal of Animal Ecology

Volumn 80, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 320-331

  Robson, David ^a   Barriocanal, Carles ^a,b  

^a Museu de Zoologia   (Spain)

^b UNIVERSITY OF GIRONA   (Spain)

Author keywords

Bird migration; Climate change; ENSO; Mediterranean; NAO; NDVI; Northern Africa; Sahel

Indexed keywords

BREEDING SITE; CLIMATE CHANGE; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; LIFE HISTORY TRAIT; MIGRATORY BEHAVIOR; NDVI; PASSERINE; PRIMARY PRODUCTION; REPRODUCTIVE SUCCESS; SELECTION; SPRING (SEASON); TEMPERATURE EFFECT;

AFRICA; ANIMAL; ARTICLE; ASSOCIATION; BIRD; CLIMATE; EVOLUTION; FLYING; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION MIGRATION; SEASON; SPAIN;

AFRICA, NORTHERN; ANIMAL MIGRATION; ANIMALS; BIOLOGICAL EVOLUTION; BIRDS; CLIMATE; CUES; FLIGHT, ANIMAL; SEASONS; SPAIN;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; ATLANTIC OCEAN (NORTH); MEDITERRANEAN REGION; SAHEL [SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA];

AVES;

EID: 79551612680     PISSN: 00218790     EISSN: 13652656     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2010.01772.x     Document Type: Article

References (112)

1. Ahola, M., Laaksonen, T., Sippola, K., Eeva, T., Rainio, K. & Lehikoinen, E. (2004) Variation in climate warming along the migration route uncouples arrival and breeding dates. Global Change Biology, 10, 1610-1617.
2. Anyamba, A. & Tucker, C.J. (2005) Analysis of Sahelian vegetation dynamics using NOAA-AVHRR NDVI data from 1981-2003. Journal of Arid Environments, 63, 596-614.
3. Baayen, R.H. (2008). Analyzing Linguistic Data: A Practical Introduction to Statistics Using R. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
4. Baayen, R.H., Davidson, D.J. & Bates, D.M. (2008) Mixed-effects modeling with crossed random effects for subjects and items. Journal of Memory and Language, 59, 390-412.
5. Balbontín, J., Møller, A.P., Hermosell, I.G., Marzal, A., Reviriego, M. & de Lope, F. (2009a) Divergent patterns of impact of environmental conditions on life history traits in two populations of a long-distance migratory bird. Oecologia, 159, 859-872.
6. Balbontín, J., Møller, A.P., Hermosell, I.G., Marzal, A., Reviriego, M. & de Lope, F. (2009b) Individual responses in spring arrival date to ecological conditions during winter and migration in a migratory bird. Journal of Animal Ecology, 78, 981-989.
7. Barriocanal, C. & Robson, D. (2006) Late arrivals on islands of some spring migrating passerines in the western Mediterranean. Ardeola, 53, 333-340.
8. Bates, D., Maechler, M. & Dai, B. (2008). lme4: Linear mixed-effects models using S4 classes. R package version 0.999375-27
9. Beaumont, L.J., Mcallan, I.A.W. & Hughes, L. (2006) A matter of timing: changes in the first date of arrival and last date of departure of Australian migratory birds. Global Change Biology, 12, 1339-1354.
10. Bell, C.P. (2007) Climate change and spring migration in the Yellow Wagtail Motacilla flava: an Afrotropical perspective. Journal of Ornithology, 148, S495-S499.
11. Berthold, P. (2001) Bird Migration: A General Survey. Oxford University Press, Oxford, New York.
12. Berthold, P., Møller, A.P. & Fiedler, W. (2004) Preface. Birds and Climate Change (eds A. Møller, P. Berthold & Fiedler W.), pp. vii. Advances in Ecological Research, 35 Elsevier Academic Press, Amsterdam.
13. Boersma, P.D. (1998) Population trends of the Galapagos penguin: Impacts of El Nino and La Nina. Condor, 100, 245-253.
14. Böhning-Gaese, K. & Lemoine, N. (2004) Importance of Climate Change for the Ranges, Communities and Conservation of Birds. Birds and Climate Change (eds A. Møller, P. Berthold & W. Fiedler), pp. 211. Advances in Ecological Research, 35 Elsevier Academic Press.
15. Bolger, D.T., Patten, M.A. & Bostock, D.C. (2005) Avian reproductive failure in response to an extreme climatic event. Oecologia, 142, 398-406.
16. Both, C., Bijlsma, R.G. & Visser, M.E. (2005) Climatic effects on timing of spring migration and breeding in a long-distance migrant, the pied flycatcher Ficedula hypoleuca. Journal of Avian Biology, 36, 368-373.
17. Both, C. & te Marvelde, L. (2007) Climate change and timing of avian breeding and migration throughout Europe. Climate Research, 35, 93-105.
18. Both, C., Bouwhuis, S., Lessells, C.M. & Visser, M.E. (2006) Climate change and population declines in a long-distance migratory bird. Nature, 441, 81-83.
19. Both, C., Van Turnhout, C.A.M., Bijlsma, R.G., Siepel, H., Van Strien, A.J. & Foppen, R.P.B. (2009) Avian population consequences of climate change are most severe for long-distance migrants in seasonal habitats. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 277, 1259-1266.
20. Bruderer, B. & Liechti, F. (1999) Bird migration across the Mediterranean. Proc. 22 Int. Ornithol. Congr., 1983-1999 (eds N. Adams & R. Slotow), pp. 1983-1999. BirdLife South Africa, Johannesburg.
21. Burnham, K.P. & Anderson, D.R. (2002): Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: A Practical Information- Theoretic Approach, 2nd edn. Springer, New York.
22. Butler, C.J. (2003) The disproportionate effect of global warming on the arrival dates of short-distance migratory birds in North America. Ibis, 145, 484-495.
23. Cotton, P.A. (2003) Avian migration phenology and global climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 100, 12219-12222.
24. Cowley, E. & Siriwardena, G.M. (2005) Long-term variation in survival rates of Sand Martins Riparia riparia: dependence on breeding and wintering ground weather, age and sex, and their population consequences. Bird Study, 52, 237-251.
25. Cramp, S. (1998). The Complete Birds of the Western Palearctic on CDROM. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
26. Dunn, P.O. & Winkler, D.W. (1999) Climate change has affected the breeding date of tree swallows throughout North America. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences, 266, 2487-2490.
27. FAO/GIEWS(2001) Africa Report No. 4, FAO/GIEWS, Rome, Italy, December 2001. Available on the Internet at.
28. Forchhammer, M.C., Post, E. & Stenseth, N.C. (2002) North Atlantic Oscillation timing of long- and short-distance migration. Journal of Animal Ecology, 71, 1002-1014.
29. Fransson, T. (1995) Timing and speed of migration in North and West European populations of Sylvia warblers. Journal of Avian Biology, 26, 39-48.
30. Gienapp, P., Leimu, R. & Merilä, J. (2007) Responses to climate change in avian migration time - microevolution versus phenotypic plasticity. Climate Research, 35, 25-35.
31. Giorgi, F. (2006) Climate change hot-spots. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L08707.
32. Gordo, O. (2007) Why are bird migration dates shifting? A review of weather and climate effects on avian migratory phenology Climate Research, 35, 37-58.
33. Gordo, O. & Sanz, J.J. (2006) Climate change and bird phenology: a long-term study in the Iberian Peninsula. Global Change Biology., 12, 1993-2004.
34. Gordo, O. & Sanz, J.J. (2008) The relative importance of conditions in wintering and passage areas on spring arrival dates: the case of long-distance Iberian migrants. Journal of Ornithology, 149, 199-210.
35. Gordo, O., Brotons, L., Ferrer, X. & Comas, P. (2005) Do changes in climate patterns in wintering areas affect the timing of the spring arrival of trans-Saharan migrant birds? Global Change Biology, 11, 12-21.
36. Grattarola, A., Spina, F. & Pilastro, A. (1999) Spring migration of the garden warbler (Sylvia borin) across the Mediterranean Sea. Journal fur Ornithologie, 140, 419-430.
37. Gwinner, E. (1977) Circannual Rhythms in Bird Migration. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 8, 381-405.
38. Helbig, A.J. (2003) Evolution of bird migration: a phylogenetic and biogeographic perspective. Avian Migration (eds P. Berthold, E. Gwinner & E. Sonnenschein). pp. 3-20, Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg New York.
39. Hudson, I.L. (2010) Interdisciplinary approaches: towards new statistical methods for phenological studies. Climatic Change, 100, 143-171.
40. Huin, N. & Sparks, T.H. (1998) Arrival and progression of the Swallow Hirundo rustica through Britain. Bird Study, 45, 361-370.
41. Huntley, B., Collingham, Y.C., Green, R.E., Hilton, G.M., Rahbek, C. & Willis, S.G. (2006) Potential impacts of climatic change upon geographical distributions of birds. Ibis, 148, 8-28.
42. Hüppop, O. & Hüppop, K. (2003) North Atlantic Oscillation and timing of spring migration in birds. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences, 270, 233-240.
43. Hurrell, J.W. (1995) Decadal Trends in the North-Atlantic Oscillation - Regional Temperatures and Precipitation. Science, 269, 676-679.
44. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
45. Janicot, S., Trzaska, S. & Poccard, I. (2001) Summer Sahel-ENSO teleconnection and decadal time scale SST variations. Climate Dynamics, 18, 303-320.
46. Jenni, L. & Kéry, M. (2003) Timing of autumn bird migration under climate change: advances in long-distance migrants, delays in short-distance migrants.. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences, 270, 1467-1471.
47. Jonzén, N., Lindén, A., Torbjørn, E., Knudsen, E., Vik, J.O., Rubolini, D., Piacentini, D., Brinch, C., Spina, F., Karlsson, L., Stervander, M., Andersson, A., Waldenström, J., Lehikoinen, A., Edvardsen, E., Solvang, R. & Stenseth, N.C. (2006) Rapid advance of spring arrival dates in long-distance migratory birds. Science, 312, 1959-1961.
48. Knudsen, E., Lindén, A., Ergon, T. Jonzén, N., Vik, J.O., Knape, J., Røer, J.E. & Stenseth, N.C. (2007) Characterizing bird migration phenology using data from standardized monitoring at bird observatories. Climate Research, 35, 59-77.
49. Komenda-Zehnder, S., Jenni, L. & Liechti, F. (2010) Do bird captures reflect migration intensity? Trapping numbers on an Alpine pass compared with radar counts Journal of Avian Biology, 41, 434-444.
50. Kutiel, H. & Maheras, P. (1998) Variations in the temperature regime across the Mediterranean during the last century and their relationship with circulation indices. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 61, 39-53.
51. Laaksonen, T., Ahola, M., Eeva, T., Vaisanen, R.A. & Lehikoinen, E. (2006) Climate change, migratory connectivity and changes in laying date and clutch size of the pied flycatcher. Oikos, 114, 277-290.
52. Lehikoinen, E., Sparks, T.H. & Zalakevicius, M. (2004) Arrival and departure dates. Birds and Climate Change, 35, 1-31.
53. Lunn, D.J.(2003) WBDevDJLTruncatedNormal documentation. Imperial College School of Medicine, London. Cited 27 Jul 2009.
54. Lunn, D.J., Thomas, A., Best, N. & Spiegelhalter, D. (2000) WinBUGS - A Bayesian modelling framework: Concepts, structure, and extensibility. Statistics and Computing, 10, 325-337.
55. Maheras, P. & Kutiel, H. (1999) Spatial and temporal variations in the temperature regime in the Mediterranean and their relationship with circulation during the last century. International Journal of Climatology, 19, 745-764.
56. Martín-Vide, J. & Lopez-Bustins, J.A. (2006) The western Mediterranean oscillation and rainfall in the Iberian Peninsula. International Journal of Climatology, 26, 1455-1475.
57. Messineo, A., Grattarola, A. & Spina, F. (2001) Dieci anni di Progetto Piccole Isole. Biologia e Conservazione della Fauna. Biologia e Conservazione della Fauna, 106, 1-244.
58. Miller-Rushing, A.J., Lloyd-Evans, T.L., Primack, R.B. & Satzinger, P. (2008) Bird migration times, climate change, and changing population sizes. Global Change Biology, 14, 1959-1972.
59. Møller, A.P. (2008) Distribution of arrival dates in a migratory bird in relation to environmental conditions, natural selection and sexual selection. Ethology Ecology & Evolution, 20, 193-210.
60. Møller, A.P. & Merilä, J. (2004) Analysis and interpretation of long-term studies investigating responses to climate change. Birds and Climate Change, 35, 111-130.
61. Møller, A.P., Rubolini, D. & Lehikoinen, E. (2008) Populations of migratory bird species that did not show a phenological response to climate change are declining. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 105, 16195-16200.
62. Newton, I. (2008) The Migration Ecology of Birds. Academic Press, Boston, Nicholson.
63. Nowakowski, J.K. & Busse, P. 2002. SEEN - bird ringing station network in Central and Eastern Europe, West Asia and Africa. Proc. Int. Symp.: Long-term dynamic of bird and mammal populations and global climatic changes. 11-16 November, Kazan, Russia: 250-255.
64. Ottosson, U., Waldenström, J., Hjort, C. & McGregor, R. (2005) Garden Warbler Sylvia borin migration in sub-Saharan West Africa: phenology and body mass changes. Ibis, 147, 750-757.
65. Parmesan, C. & Yohe, G. (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421, 37-42.
66. Peach, W., Baillie, S. & Underhill, L. (1991) Survival of British Sedge Warblers Acrocephalus-Schoenobaenus in Relation to West African Rainfall. Ibis, 133, 300-305.
67. Peckford, M. & Taylor, P. (2008) Within night correlations between radar and ground counts of migrating songbirds. Journal of Field Ornithology, 79, 2.
68. Perrins, C.M. (1970) Timing of Birds Breeding Seasons. Ibis, 112, 242-255.
69. Pettorelli, N., Vik, J.O., Mysterud, A., Gaillard, J.M., Tucker, C.J. & Stenseth, N.C. (2005) Using the satellite-derived NDVI to assess ecological responses to environmental change. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 20, 503-510.
70. Pilastro, A. & Spina, F. (1997) Ecological and morphological correlates of residual fat reserves in passerine migrants at their spring arrival in southern Europe. Journal of Avian Biology, 28, 309-318.
71. Pulido, F. & Berthold, P. (2010) Current selection for lower migratory activity will drive the evolution of residency in a migratory bird population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107, 7341-7346.
72. Rainio, K., Laaksonen, T., Ahola, M., Vahatalo, A.V. & Lehikoinen, E. (2006) Climatic responses in spring migration of boreal and arctic birds in relation to wintering area and taxonomy. Journal of Avian Biology, 37, 507-515.
73. Root, T.L., Price, J.T., Hall, K.R., Schneider, S.H., Rosenzweig, C. & Pounds, J.A. (2003) Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature, 421, 57-60.
74. Rowell, D.P. (2001) Teleconnections between the tropical Pacific and the Sahel. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127, 1683-1706.
75. Rowell, D.P. (2005) A scenario of European climate change for the late twenty-first century: seasonal means and interannual variability. Climate Dynamics, 25, 837-849.
76. Rubolini, D., Spina, F. & Saino, N. (2005) Correlates of timing of spring migration in birds: a comparative study of trans-Saharan migrants. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 85, 199-210.
77. Rubolini, D., Møller, A.P., Rainio, K. & Lehikoinen, E. (2007) Intraspecific consistency and geographic variability in temporal trends of spring migration phenology among European bird species. Climate Research, 35, 135-146.
78. Sæther, B.E., Tufto, J., Engen, S., Jerstad, K., Rostad, O.W. & Skåtan, J.E. (2000) Population dynamical consequences of climate change for a small temperate songbird. Science, 287, 854-856.
79. Saino, N., Szép, T., Romano, M., Rubolini, D., Spina, F. & Møller, A.P. (2004) Ecological conditions during winter predict arrival date at the breeding quarters in a trans-Saharan migratory bird. Ecology Letters, 7, 21-25.
80. Saino, N., Rubolini, D., Jonzén, N., Ergon, T., Montemaggiori, A., Stenseth, N.C. & Spina, F. (2007) Temperature and rainfall anomalies in Africa predict timing of spring migration in trans-Saharan migratory birds. Climate Research, 35, 123-134.
81. Saino, N., Rubolini, D., von Hardenberg, J., Ambrosini, R., Provenzale, A., Romano, M. & Spina, F. (2010a) Spring migration decisions in relation to weather are predicted by wing morphology among trans-Mediterranean migratory birds. Functional Ecology, 24, 658-669.
82. Saino, N., Ambrosini, R., Rubolini, D., von Hardenberg, J., Provenzale, A., Hüppop, K., Hüppop, O., Lehikoinen, A., Lehikoinen, E., Rainio, K., Romano, M. & Sokolov, L. (2010b) Climate warming, ecological mismatch at arrival and population decline in migratory birds. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.
83. Salewski, V. & Schaub, M. (2007) Stopover duration of Palearctic passerine migrants in the western Sahara - independent of fat stores? Ibis, 149, 223-236.
84. Salewski, V, Falk, K.H., Bairlein, F. & Leisler, B. (2002) Numbers, body mass and fat scores of three Palearctic migrants at a constant effort mist netting site in Ivory Coast, West Africa. Ardea, 90, 479-487.
85. Sanz, J.J. (2002) Climate change and breeding parameters of great and blue tits throughout the western Palaearctic. Global Change Biology, 8, 409-422.
86. Schaub, M., Jenni, L. & Bairlein, F. (2008) Fuel stores, fuel accumulation, and the decision to depart from a migration stopover site. Behavioral Ecology, 19, 657-666.
87. Schiano, M.E., Sparnocchia, S., Cappa, C. & Bozzano, R. (2005) An analysis of the climate variability over the Mediterranean sea by means of the surface water vapour density. International Journal of Climatology, 25, 1731-1748.
88. Schmaljohann, H., Liechti, F. & Bruderer, B. (2007) Songbird migration across the Sahara: the non-stop hypothesis rejected! Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 274, 735-739.
89. Shamoun-Baranes, J., Leyrer, J., van Loon, E., Bocher, P., Robin, F., Meunier, F. & Piersma, T. (2010) Stochastic atmospheric assistance and the use of emergency staging sites by migrants. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 277, 1505-1511.
90. Simons, T.R., Moore, F.R. & Gauthreaux, J.R.S.A. (2004) Mist netting trans-Gulf migrants at coastal stopover sites: the influence of spatial and temporal variability on capture data. Studies in Avian Biology, 29, 135-143.
91. Sinelschikova, A., Kosarev, V., Panov, I. & Baushev, A.N. (2007) The influence of wind conditions in Europe on the advance in timing of the spring migration of the song thrush (Turdus philomelos) in the south-east Baltic region. International Journal of Biometeorology, 51, 431-440.
92. Sparks, T.H. (1999) Phenology and the changing pattern of bird migration in Britain. International Journal of Biometeorology, 42, 134-138.
93. Sparks, T.H., Bairlein, F., Bojarinova, J.G., Hüppop, O., Lehikoinen, E., Rainio, K., Sokolov, L.V. & Walker, D. (2005) Examining the total arrival distribution of migratory birds. Global Change Biology, 11, 22-30.
94. Speich, S. (1999) Temporal and spatial pattern of nocturnal bird migration across the western Mediterranean Sea studied by radar. Polycopied diploma thesis, University of Basel and Swiss Ornithological Institute, Sempach.
95. Spina, F., Massi, A., Montemaggiori, A. & Baccetti, N. (1993) Spring migration across central Mediterranean:general results from the 'Progetto Piccole Isole'. Vogelwarte, 37, 1-94.
96. Stervander, M., Lindstrom, K., Jonzén, N. & Andersson, A. (2005) Timing of spring migration in birds: long-term trends, North Atlantic Oscillation and the significance of different migration routes. Journal of Avian Biology, 36, 210-221.
97. Svensson, S. (2000) European bird monitoring: geographical scales and sampling strategies. Ring, 22, 2.
98. Szép, T. (1995) Relationship Between West-African Rainfall and the Survival of Central-European Sand Martins Riparia-Riparia. Ibis, 137, 162-168.
99. Thorup, K., Tøttrup, A.P. & Rahbek, C. (2007) Patterns of phenological changes in migratory birds. Oecologia, 151, 697-703.
100. Tøttrup, A.P., Thorup, K., Rainio, K., Yosef, R., Lehikoinen, E. & Rahbek, C. (2008) Avian migrants adjust migration in response to environmental conditions en route. Biology Letters, 4, 685-688.
101. Tøttrup, A.P., Rainio, K., Coppack, T., Lehikoinen, E., Rahbek, C. & Thorup, K. (2010) Local Temperature Fine-Tunes the Timing of Spring Migration in Birds. Integrative and Comparative Biology, 50, 293-304.
102. Tucker, C.J. & Nicholson, S.E. (1999) Variations in the size of the Sahara Desert from 1980 to 1997. Ambio, 28, 587-591.
103. Vähätalo, A.V., Rainio, K., Lehikoinen, A. & Lehikoinen, E. (2004) Spring arrival of birds depends on the North Atlantic Oscillation. Journal of Avian Biology, 35, 210-216.
104. Van den Born, G., Leemans, R. & Schaeffer, M. (2004) Climate change scenarios for dryland West Africa 1990-2050. The Impact of Climate Change on Drylands: With a Focus on West Africa (eds T. Dietz, R. Ruben & J. Verhagen). pp. 43-48, Kluwer Academic, Boston and Dordrecht, Netherlands.
105. Végvári, Z., Bókony, V., Barta, Z. & Kovács, G. (2010) Life history predicts advancement of avian spring migration in response to climate change. Global Change Biology, 16, 1-11.
106. Visser, M.E., van Noordwijk, A.J., Tinbergen, J.M. & Lessells, C.M. (1998) Warmer springs lead to mistimed reproduction in great tits (Parus major). Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences, 265, 1867-1870.
107. Wang, G. (2003) Reassessing the impact of North Atlantic oscillation in the sub-Saharan vegetation productivity. Global Change Biology, 9, 493-499.
108. Weber, T.P., Ens, B.J. & Houston, A.I. (1998) Optimal avian migration: A dynamic model of fuel stores and site use. Evolutionary Ecology, 12, 377-401.
109. Wisz, M.S., Walther, B.A. & Rahbek, C. (2007) Using potential distributions to explore determinants of western Palaearctic migratory songbird species richness in sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Biogeography, 34, 828-841.
110. Yohannes, E., Biebach, H., Nikolaus, G. & Pearson, D. (2009a) Passerine migration strategies and body mass variation along geographic sectors across East Africa, the Middle East and the Arabian Peninsula. Journal of Ornithology, 150, 369-381.
111. Yohannes, E., Biebach, H., Nikolaus, G. & Pearson, D. (2009b) Migration speeds among eleven species of long-distance migrating passerines across Europe, the desert and eastern Africa. Journal of Avian Biology, 40, 126-134.
112. Zehnder, S. & Karlsson, L. (2001) Do ringing numbers reflect true migratory activity of nocturnal migrants? Journal für Ornithologie, 142, 173-183.