Assessing sensitivity of hydrologic responses to climate change from forested watershed in Mississippi

Hydrological Processes

Volumn 24, Issue 26, 2010, Pages 3785-3797

  Parajuli, Prem B ^a  

^a MISSISSIPPI STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Hydrology; Sensitivity; Streamflow; SWAT; Watershed

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CO; CLIMATIC PROCESS; FLOW PREDICTION; FLOW SENSITIVITY; FORESTED WATERSHEDS; FUTURE CLIMATE; GAGE STATIONS; HYDROLOGIC RESPONSE; LONG-TERM POTENTIAL; MISSISSIPPI; MODEL CALIBRATION AND VALIDATION; MODEL SIMULATION; PEARL RIVER; QUALITY IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM; ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERRORS; SENSITIVITY; SOIL AND WATER ASSESSMENT TOOLS; SPATIAL CHARACTERISTICS; SWAT;

CARBON DIOXIDE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; GAGES; HYDRAULICS; LANDFORMS; RATING; RIVERS; STREAM FLOW; WATER POLLUTION; WATER QUALITY; WATER RESOURCES; WATERSHEDS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONCENTRATION (COMPOSITION); FOREST COVER; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; NUMERICAL MODEL; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; PREDICTION; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; STREAMFLOW; WATER RESOURCE; WATERSHED;

MISSISSIPPI; PEARL RIVER [UNITED STATES]; UNITED STATES;

EID: 78650018637     PISSN: 08856087     EISSN: 10991085     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.7793     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. Aber JD, Ollinger SV, Federer CA, Reich PB, Goulden ML, Kicklighter DW, Melillo JM, Lathrop RG Jr. 1995. Predicting the effects of climate change on water yield and forest production in the northeastern United States. Climate Research 5: 207-222.
2. Arnell NW, Liv C. 2001. Hydrology and water resources, In Climate Change 2001: Impacts Adaptation and Vulnerability, McCarthy JJ, Canziani OF, Leary NA, Dokken DJ, White KS (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; 191-233.
3. Arnold JG, Srinivasan R, Muttiah RS, Williams JR. 1998. Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment part I: model development. Journal of American Water Resources Association 34(1): 73-89.
4. Bendient PB, Huber WC. 2002. Hydrology and Floodplain Analysis, 3rd edn, Prentice Hall: Upper Saddle River, NJ.
5. 2 concentration and to changes in precipitation and air temperature. Journal of Hydrology 337(1-2): 159-171.
6. Cho J, Bosch D, Lowrance R, Strickland T. 2009. Effect of spatial distribution of rainfall on temporal and spatial uncertainty of SWAT output. Transactions of the ASABE 52(5): 1545-1555.
7. Choi I, Munster C L, Victor DM, White RH, Stewart GA, Richards CE. 2005. Calibration and validation of the SWAT model on a field-scale watershed for turfgrass sod establishment. ASAE Paper No. 701P0105. In Proc. 3rd Conference of Watershed Management to Meet Water Quality Standards and Emerging TMDL. P. W. Gassman, ed. St. Joseph, Mich.: ASAE.
8. Chu TW, Shirmohammadi A. 2004. Evaluation of the SWAT model's hydrology component in the piedmont physiographic region of Maryland. Transactions of the ASAE 47(4): 1057-1073.
9. Diaz-Ramirez JN, Alarcon VJ, Duan Z, Tagert ML, McAnally WH, Martin JL, O'Hara CG. 2008. Impacts of landuse characterization in modeling hydrology and sediments for the Luxapallila Creek watershed, Alabama and Mississippi. Transactions of the ASAE 51(1): 139-151.
10. Eckhardt K. 2005. How to construct recursive digital filters for baseflow separation. Hydrological Processes 19(2): 507-515.
11. Eckhardt K, Ulbrich U. 2003. Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater recharge and streamflow in a central European low mountain range. Journal of Hydrology 284(1-4): 244-252.
12. Faith G, Gitau W, Mutuab F, Bauwensa W. 2009. Climate change impact on SWAT simulated streamflow in western Kenya. International Journal of Climatology 29: 1823-1834.
13. Ficklin DL, Yuzhou L, Luedeling E, Zhang M. 2009. Climate change sensitivity assessment of a highly agricultural watershed using SWAT. Journal of Hydrology 374: 16-29.
14. Fontaine TA, Klassen JF, Hotchkiss RH. 2001. Hydrological response to climate change in the Black Hills of South Dakota, USA. Hydrological Sciences 46(1): 27-40.
15. Gassman PW, Reyes MR, Green CH, Arnold JG. 2007. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool: historical development, applications, and future research directions. Transactions of the ASABE 50(4): 1211-1250.
16. Geter WF and Theurer FD. 1998. AnnAGNPS - RUSLE Sheet and Rill erosion. In Proceedings of the 1st Federal Interagency Hydrologic Modeling Conference. Interagency Advisory Committee on Water Data, Sub-committee on Hydrology. Washington, DC.
17. Gosain AK, Rao S, Srinivasan R, Reddy NG. 2005. Return-flow assessment for irrigation command in the Palleru river basin using SWAT model. Hydrological Processes 19: 673-682.
18. Green CH, Griensven AV. 2007. Autocalibration in hydrologic modeling: using SWAT 2005 in small-scale watersheds. Environmental Modelling & Software 23(4): 422-434.
19. Hanratty MP, Stefan HG. 1998. Simulating climate change effects in a Minnesota agricultural watershed. Journal of Environmental Quality 27(6): 1524-1532.
20. Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2009. The Physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY. Available at: Accessed on 15 December 2009.
21. Kalnay E, Cai M. 2003. Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate. Nature 423: 528-531.
22. Kyoung JL, Engel BA, Tang Z, Choi J, Kim KS, Muthukrishnan S, Tripathy D. 2005. Automated web GIS based hydrograph analysis tool, WHAT. Journal of American Water Resources Association 41(6): 1407-1416.
23. Legates DR, McCabe GJ Jr. 1999. Evaluating the use of "goodness-of-fit" measures in hydrologic and hydroclimatic model validation. Water Resources Research 35(1): 233-241.
24. Lettenmaier DP, Wood AW, Palmer RN, Wood EF, Stakhiv EZ. 1999. Water resources implications of global warming: a US regional perspective. Climatic Change 43(3): 537-579.
25. Maidment DR. 1993. Handbook of Hydrology. McGraw-Hill Professional.
26. Moriasi DN, Arnold JG, Van Liew MW, Bingner RL, Harmel RD, Veith TL. 2007. Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulations. Transactions of the ASABE 50(3): 885-900.
27. Nash JE, Sutcliffe JV. 1970. River flow forecasting through conceptual models: part I. A discussion of principles. Journal of Hydrology 10(3): 282-290.
28. Nash LL, Gleick PH. 1993. Colorado River Basin and Climatic Change. The Sensitivity of Streamflow and Water Supply to Variations in Temperature and Precipitation. Pacific Institute for Studies in Development, Environment and Security: Oakland, CA. PB-94-128527/XAB.
29. National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). 2009. Locate weather observation station record. Available at: Accessed on 8 September 2009.
30. Neitsch SL, Arnold JG, Kiniry JR, Williams JR. 2005. Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), Theoretical Documentation. Blackland Research Center, Grassland, Soil and Water Research Laboratory, Agricultural Research Service: Temple, TX.
31. Parajuli PB. 2007. SWAT bacteria sub-model evaluation and application. PhD dissertation. Department of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS.
32. Parajuli PB, Mankin KR, Barnes PL. 2008. Source specific fecal bacteria modelling using SWAT model. Bioresource Technology 100(2): 953-963.
33. Parajuli PB, Nathan ON, Lyle DF, Kyle RM. 2009. Comparison of AnnAGNPS and SWAT model simulation results in USDA-CEAP agricultural watersheds in south-central Kansas. Hydrological Processes 23(5): 748-763.
34. Pepper W, Leggett JA, Swarf RJ, Wasson J, Edmonds J, Mintzer I. 1992. Emission Scenarios for the IPCC, an Update: Assumptions, Methodology, and Results. Mimeo, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
35. Qi C, Grunwald S. 2005. GIS-based hydrologic modeling in the Sandusky watershed using SWAT. Transactions of the ASAE 48(1): 160-180.
36. Rosenberg NJ, Epstein DJ, Wang D, Vail L, Srinivasan R, Arnold JG. 1999. Possible impacts of global warming on the hydrology of the Ogallala aquifer region. Climatic Change 42(4): 677-692.
37. Saleh A, Du B. 2004. Evaluation of SWAT and HSPF within BASINS program for the Upper North Bosque River watershed in central Texas. Transactions of the ASAE 47(4): 1039-1049.
38. Santhi C, Arnold JG, Williams JR, Dugas WA, Srinivasan R, Hauck LM. 2001. Validation of the SWAT model on a large river basin with point and non-point sources. Journal of American Water Resources Association 37(5): 1169-1188.
39. Schaake JC. 1990. Water resources. In Water Resources, Chapter 8, Waggoner PE (ed.). John Wiley: New York, 177-206.
40. Schuol J, Abbaspour KC, Srinivasan R, Yang H. 2008. Estimation of freshwater availability in the west African sub-continent using the SWAT hydrologic model. Journal of Hydrology 352(1-2): 30-49.
41. Sharpley AN, Williams JR (eds). 1990. EPIC-Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator, 1. Model Documentation. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, Technical Bulletin, 1768. USDA-ARS Grassland, Soil, and Water Research Lab: Temple, TX.
42. Srinivasan R, Arnold JG. 1994. Integration of basin-scale water quality model with GIS. Water Resource Bulletin 30(3): 453-462.
43. Stonefelt MD, Fontaine TA, Hotchkiss RH. 2000. Impacts of climate change on water yield in the Upper Wind River Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 36(2): 321-336.
44. U.S. Census Bureau (USCB). 2009. International database. Available at: Accessed on 15 December 2009.
45. U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service. 2008. The cropland data layer. Available at: Accessed on 8 September 2009.
46. U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). 2005. Soil data mart. Natural Resources Conservation Service. Available at: Accessed 8 September 2009.
47. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA). 2008. National Summary of Impaired Waters and TMDL Information. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency: Washington, DC. Available at: Accessed on 8 September 2009.
48. U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). 1999. National elevation dataset. Available at: Accessed on 20 August 2009.
49. Vache KB, Eilers JM, Santelmann MV. 2002. Water quality modelling of alternative agricultural scenarios in the U.S. Corn Belt. Journal of American Water Resources Association 38(3): 773-787.
50. Van Liew MW, Arnold JG, Garbrecht JD. 2003. Hydrologic simulation on agricultural watersheds choosing between two models. Transactions of the ASAE 46(6): 1539-1551.
51. Varanou E, Gkouvatsou E, Baltas E, Mimikou M. 2002. Quantity and quality integrated catchment modelling under climate change with user of soil and water assessment tool model. ASCE Journal of Hydrological Engineering 7(3): 228-244.
52. Wang X, Melesse AM, Yang W. 2006. Influences of potential evapotranspiration estimation methods on SWAT's hydrologic simulation in a Northwestern Minnesota watershed. Transactions of the ASABE 49(6): 1755-1771.
53. White KL, Chaubey I. 2005. Sensitivity analysis, calibration, and validations for a multisite and multivariable SWAT Model. Journal of American Water Resources Association 41(5): 1077-1089.
54. Wilcox BP, Rawls WJ, Brakensiek DL, Wight JR. 1990. Predicting runoff from rangeland catchments: a comparison of two models. Water Resources Research 26: 2401-2410.
55. Willmott CJ. 1984. On the evaluation of model performance in physical geography, In Spatial Statistics and Models. Gaile GL, Reidel D. (eds). Norwell, MA; 443-460.