A spatio-temporal modelling framework for assessing the fluctuations of avalanche occurrence resulting from climate change: Application to 60 years of data in the Northern French Alps

Climatic Change

Volumn 101, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 515-553

  Eckert, Nicolas ^a   Parent, E ^b   Kies, R ^a   Baya, H ^a  

^a Cemagref   (France)

^b AGROPARISTECH   (France)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ABRUPT CHANGE; ANNUAL COMPONENT; BAYESIAN INFERENCE; CHANGE-POINTS; CLIMATIC FACTORS; CONDITIONAL AUTOREGRESSIVE; FRENCH ALPS; FUTURE RESPONSE; HIERARCHICAL STRUCTURES; HIGH ACTIVITY; MODELLING FRAMEWORK; MONTE CARLO SIMULATION; PERIODIC CYCLES; RANDOM NOISE; RELATIVE RISKS; SCALE MODELS; SNOW AVALANCHE; SPATIAL EFFECT; SPATIO-TEMPORAL; SPATIO-TEMPORAL FLUCTUATIONS; SUBMODELS; TEMPORAL PATTERN; TEMPORAL TERMS; TIME SERIES MODELS; TIME TRENDS;

AVALANCHES (SNOWSLIDES); BAYESIAN NETWORKS; CLIMATE MODELS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; INFERENCE ENGINES; MONTE CARLO METHODS; NONLINEAR ANALYSIS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; TIME SERIES;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AUTOCORRELATION; AVALANCHE; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; DATA INTERPRETATION; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; MOUNTAIN REGION; NUMERICAL MODEL; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TIME SERIES; VARIANCE ANALYSIS;

ALPS; FRANCE;

EID: 77955088505     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-009-9718-8     Document Type: Article

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