The rate of growth in scientific publication and the decline in coverage provided by science citation index

Scientometrics

Volumn 84, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 575-603

  Larsen, Peder Olesen ^a   von Ins, Markus ^b  

^a Institute for Research Information and Quality Assurance iFQ ^*  (Denmark)

^b Institute for Research Information and Quality Assurance   (Germany)

Author keywords

Coverage of conference proceedings; Coverage of databases; Coverage of science citation index; Cumulative values; Databases for scientific publications; Doubling time; Exponential growth; Growth rate for science; Growth rate for scientific publication; Little Science, Big Science; Number of scientific journals

Indexed keywords

EID: 77954960071     PISSN: 01389130     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11192-010-0202-z     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. Archambault, É., Gagné, É.-T., Côté, G., Larivière, V., & Gingras, Y. (2005). Welcome to the linguistic warp zone: Benchmarking scientific output in the social sciences and humanities. In P. Ingwersen & B. Larsen, (Eds.), Proceedings of the ISSI 2005 Conference, Stockholm, July 24-28 (Vol. 1, pp. 149-158).
2. Bar-Ilan, J. (2008). Which h-index?-a comparison of WoS, Scopus and Google Scholar. Scientometrics, 74, 257-271.
3. Bar-Ilan, J. (2009). Web of Science with the conference proceedings citation indexes-the case of computer science. In B. Larsen & J. Leta (Eds.), Proceedings of ISSI 2009-the 12th international conference of the international society for scientometrics and informetrics, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (Vol 1, pp. 399-409). Published by BIREME/PAHO/WHO and Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, 2009. ISSN 2175-1935.
4. Björk, B.-C., Roos, A., & Lauro, M. (2008). Global annual volume of peer reviewed scholarly articles and the share available via Open Access options. Proceedings ELPUB2008 Conference on Electronic Publishing. Toronto, Canada, June 2008, pp. 1-10. Retrieved December 9, 2008 from http://elpub. scix. net.
5. Bradford, S. C. (1950). Documentation, Washington DC, Public Affairs Office. See: Bradford, S. C. (1953). Documentation, London: Crosby Lockwood & Sons.
6. Butler, L. (2008). ICT assessment: Moving beyond journal outputs. Scientometrics, 74, 39-55.
7. Carpenter, M. P., & Narin, F. (1982). The adequacy of the Science Citation Index (SCI) as an indicator of international scientific activity. Journal of the American Society for Information Science, 32, 430-439.
8. Centre International de l'ISSN, 2008. Retrieved November 19, 2008 from http://www. issn. org.
9. Clarke, A., Gatineau, M., Grimaud, O., Royer-Devaux, S., Wyn-Roberts, N., Le Bis, I., et al. (2007). A bibliometric overview of public health research in Europe. European Journal of Public Health, 17(Supplement 1), 43-49.
10. Crespi, G. A., & Geuna, A. (2008). An empirical study of scientific production: A cross country analysis, 1981-2002. Research Policy, 37, 565-579.
11. European Commission. (2007). Towards a European research area. Science, Technology and Innovation. Key Figures 2007. Retrieved May 8, 2008 from http://ec. europea. eu.
12. Garfield, E. (1972). Citation analysis as a tool in journal evaluation. Science, 178, 472-479.
13. Garfield, E. (1979). Citation indexing: Its theory and application in science. Technology and humanities. New York: Wiley.
14. Gauffriau, M., Larsen, P. O., Maye, I., Roulin-Perriard, A., & von Ins, M. (2007). Publication, cooperation and productivity measures in scientific research. Scientometrics, 73, 175-214.
15. Gauffriau, M., Larsen, P. O., Maye, I., Roulin-Perriard, A., & von Ins, M. (2008). Comparison of results of publication counting using different methods. Scientometrics, 77, 147-176.
16. Google. (2008). About Google Scholar, support for scholarly publishers. Retrieved November 19, 2008 from http://scholar. google. com.
17. Harnad, S., Brody, T., Vallières, F., Carr, L., Hitchcock, S., Gingras, Y., et al. (2004). The access/impact problem and the green and gold roads to open access. Serials Review, 30, 310-314.
18. Hill, D., Rapoport, A. I., Lehming, R. F., & Bell, R. K. (2007), Changing U. S. output of scientific articles: 1988-2003. National Science Foundation, Division of Science Resources Statistics, NSF 07-320. Retrieved November 24, 2008 from http://www. nsf. gov/statistics/nsf07320.
19. Hirsch, J. E. (2005). An index to quantify an individual's scientific output. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the United States of America, 102, 16569-16572.
20. Kousha, K., & Thelwall, M. (2008). Sources of Google Scholar citations outside the Science Citation Index: A comparison between four disciplines. Scientometrics, 74, 273-294.
21. Larsen, P. O., Maye, I., & von Ins, M. (2008). Scientific output and impact: Relative positions of China, Europe, India, Japan and the USA. The COLLNET Journal of Scientometrics and Information Management, 2(2), 1-10.
22. Larsen, P. O., & von Ins, M. (2009). The steady growth of scientific publication and the declining coverage provided by science citation index. In B. Larsen & J. Leta (Eds.), Proceedings of ISSI 2009-the 12th international conference of the international society for scientometrics and informetrics, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (Vol. 2, pp. 597-606). Published by BIREME/PAHO/WHO and Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, 2009. ISSN 2175-1935.
23. Mabe, M. (2003). The growth and number of journals. Serials, 16(2), 191-197.
24. Mabe, M. A., & Amin, M. (2001). Growth dynamics of scholarly and scientific journals. Scientometrics, 51, 147-162.
25. Mabe, M. A., & Amin, M. (2002). Dr Jekyll and Dr Hyde: Author-reader asymmetries in scholarly publishing. Aslib Proceedings, 54, 149-175.
26. MacRoberts, M. H., & MacRoberts, B. R. (1989). Problems of citation analysis: A critical review. Journal of the American Society for Information Science, 40, 342-349.
27. May, R. (1997). The scientific wealth of nations. Science, 275, 793-796.
28. Meho, L. I. (2006). The rise and rise of citation analysis. Physics World (arXiv: physics/0701012v1), pp. 1-15.
29. Meho, L. I., & Yang, K. (2007). Impact of data sources on citation counts and rankings of LIES faculty: Web of science versus scopus and Google Scholar. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 58, 2105-2125.
30. Merton, R. K. (1968). The Matthew effect in science. Science, 159, 56-63.
31. Merton, R. K. (1988). The Matthew Effect in science, II, Cumulative advantage and the symbolism of intellectual property. Isis, 79, 607-623.
32. Moed, H. F., & Visser, M. S. (2007). Developing bibliometric indicators of research performance in computer science: An exploratory study. Research Report to the Council for Physical Sciences of the Netherlands Organisation (NOW). CWTS Report 2007-1. Retrieved January 9, 2008 from http://www. socialsciences. leidenuniv. nl/cwts/publications/nwo_indcompsciv. lsp.
33. National Science Board. (2008). Science and engineering indicators 2008. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www. nsf. gov/statistics/seind08.
34. National Science Foundation. (2006). Science and engineering Indicators 2006.
35. OECD. (2008). Science, Technology and industry outlook. Paris. ISBN 978-92-64-04991-8.
36. Price, D. J. de S. (1961). Science since Babylon. New Haven, Connecticut: Yale University Press.
37. Price, D. J. de S. (1963). Little science. Big Science. New York: Columbia University Press.
38. Price, D. J. de S. (1965). The scientific foundations of science policy. Nature, 206, 233-238.
39. Reed Elsevier. (2008). Scopus. Retrieved November 19, 2008 from http://www. reed-elsevier. com.
40. Shelton, R. D., Foland, P., & Gorelsky, R. (2009). Do new SCI journals have a different national bias? Scientometrics (in press). doi: 10. 1007/s11192-009-0423-1.
41. Smith, A. G. (2008). Benchmarking Google Scholar with the New Zealand PBRF research assessment exercise. Scientometrics, 74, 309-316.
42. Testa, J. (2008a). The Thomson Scientific journal selection process. Retrieved December 7, 2008 from http://www. thomsonreuters. com/business_units/scientific/free/essays/journalselection/ pp. 1-6.
43. Testa, J. (2008b). Regional content expansion in web of science: Opening borders to exploration (pp. 1-3). Retrieved December 7, 2008 from http://www. thomsonreuters. com/business_units/scientific/free/essays/regionalcontent/.
44. Thomson Reuters. (2008a). ISI web of knowledge, science citation index expanded, social science citation index, web of science. Retrieved January 15, 2009 from http://thomsonreuters. com/products_services/scientific/ISI_Web_of_Knowledge.
45. Thomson Reuters. (2008b). Conference proceedings citation index. Retrieved January 15, 2009 from http://www. thomsonreuters. com/products_services/scientific/Conf_Proceedings_Citation_Index.
46. Thomson Reuters. (2009a). ISI web of knowledge, journal citation reports, science edition and social sciences edition. Retrieved February 1, 2009.
47. Thomson Reuters. (2009b). ISI web of knowledge, journal citation reports, science edition and social sciences edition. Retrieved July 30, 2009.
48. UC Davis University Library Blogs, Department Blog, Physical Sciences & Engineering Library (2009), INSPEC moving to Web of Science site, http://blogs. lib. ucdavis. edu/pse/2009/04/08/inspec-moving-t-web-of-science-site/. Retrieved August 6, 2009.
49. van Dalen, H. P., & Klamer, A. (2005). Is science a case of wasteful competition? KYKLOS, 58, 395-414.
50. van Leuwen, T. N., Moed, H. F., Tijssen, R. J. W., Visser, M. S., & van Raan, A. F. J. (2001). Language biases in the coverage of the Science Citation Index and its consequences for international comparisons of national research performance. Scientometrics, 51, 335-346.
51. Vasconselos, S. M. R., Sorenson, M. M., & Leta, S. (2009). A new input indicator for the assessment of science and technology research. Scientometrics, 80, 217-230.
52. Vaughan, V., & Shaw, D. (2008). A new look at evidence of scholarly citation in citation indexes and from web sources. Scientometrics, 74, 317-330.
53. Whitley, K. M. (2002). Analysis of SciFinder scholar and web of science citation searches. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 53, 1210-1215.
54. Ziman, J. (1968). Public knowledge. An essay concerning the social dimension of science. Cambridge: University Press.
55. Zitt, M., Ramanana-Rahary, S., & Bassecoulard, E. (2003). Correcting glasses help fair comparisons in international science landscape: Country indicators as a function of ISI database delineation. Scientometrics, 56, 259-282.