Migratory behaviour constrains the phenological response of birds to climate change

Climate Research

Volumn 42, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 45-55

  Rubolini, Diego ^a   Saino, Nicola ^a   Møller, Anders P ^b,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MILAN   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITÉ PARIS SUD   (France)

^c Centre of Advanced Study   (Norway)

Author keywords

Brooding; First singing date; Migration distance; Residency

Indexed keywords

BIRDS; STATISTICAL TESTS;

AVIAN SPECIES; BREEDING GROUNDS; CLIMATE WARMING; CLIMATIC CHANGES; CLIMATIC REGIONS; DATA SETS; DIFFERENTIAL RESPONSE; ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; ENVIRONMENTAL CUES; ENVIRONMENTAL VARIATIONS; GERMANY; HIGHER TEMPERATURES; LIFE HISTORY; LOCAL TEMPERATURE; MIGRATION DISTANCE; MIGRATORY BIRDS; TEMPERATURE RESPONSE; TEMPORAL CHANGE; TEMPORAL TRENDS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

BIRD; BREEDING SITE; CLIMATE CHANGE; DATA SET; ENVIRONMENTAL CUE; LIFE HISTORY TRAIT; MIGRATORY BEHAVIOR; PHENOLOGY; PHENOTYPIC PLASTICITY; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TEMPERATURE EFFECT;

GERMANY;

AVES;

EID: 77954124631     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: 16161572     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr00862     Document Type: Article

References (67)

1. Badyaev AV (1997) Altitudinal variation in sexual dimorphism: a new pattern and alternative hypotheses. Behav Ecol 8:675-690
2. Balbontín J, Møller AP, Hermosell IG, Marzal A, and others (2009) Individual responses in spring arrival date to ecological conditions during winter and migration in a migratory bird. J Anim Ecol 78:981-989
3. Barker FK, Cibois A, Schikler P, Feinstein J, Cracraft J (2004) Phylogeny and diversification of the largest avian radiation. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101:11040-11045
4. Berthold P (1991) Patterns of avian migration in light of current global 'greenhouse' effects: a central European perspective. Acta XX Congr Int Ornithol 20:780-786
5. BirdLife International (2004) Birds in Europe: population estimates, trends and conservation status. BirdLife International, Cambridge
6. Blondel J, Catzeflis F, Perret P (1996) Molecular phylogeny and the historical biogeography of the warblers of the genus Sylvia (Aves). J Evol Biol 9:871-891
7. Böhning-Gaese K, Halbe B, Lemoine N, Oberrath R (2000) Factors influencing the clutch size, number of broods and annual fecundity of North American and European land birds. Evol Ecol Res 2:823-839
8. Both C, te Marvelde L (2007) Climate change and timing of avian breeding and migration throughout Europe. Clim Res 35:93-105
9. Both C, Visser ME (2001) Adjustment of climate change is constrained by arrival date in a long-distance migrant bird. Nature 411:296-298
10. Both C, Artemyev AV, Blaauw B, Cowie RJ, and others (2004) Large-scale geographical variation confirms that climate change causes birds to lay earlier. Proc R Soc Lond B 271:1657-1662
11. Both C, Bouwhuis S, Lessells CM, Visser ME (2006) Climate change and population declines in a long-distance migratory bird. Nature 441:81-83
12. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (2002) Model selection and multimodel inference. Springer, New York
13. Catchpole CK, Slater PJB 1995. Bird song: biological themes and variations. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
14. Cramp S (1998) The complete birds of the western Palearctic. Oxford University Press, Oxford (CD-ROM)
15. Crick HQP, Sparks TH (1999) Climate change related to egglaying trends. Nature 399:423
16. Curio E (1959) Verhaltensstudien am Trauerschnäpper; Beiträge zur Ethologie und ökologie von Muscicapa h. hypoleuca Pallas. Parey, Berlin
17. Drovetski SV, Zink RM, Fadeev IV, Nesterov EV, Koblik EA, Red'kin YA, Rohwer S (2004) Mitochondrial phylogeny of Locustella and related genera. J Avian Biol 35:105-110
18. Dunn PO (2004) Breeding dates and reproductive performance. Adv Ecol Res 35:67-85
19. Dunn PO, Winkler DW (1999) Climate change has affected the breeding date of tree swallows throughout North America. Proc R Soc Lond B 266:2487-2490
20. Dunning JB (1993) Handbook of avian body masses. CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL
21. Felsenstein J (1985) Phylogenies and the comparative method. Am Nat 125:1-15
22. Fontaine JJ, Decker KL, Skagen SK, van Riper C III (2009) Spatial and temporal variation in climate change: a bird's eye view. Clim Change 97:305-311
23. Garson PJ, Hunter ML Jr (1979) Effects of temperature and time of year on the singing behaviour of wrens Troglodytes troglodytes and great tits Parus major. Ibis 121:481-487
24. Gienapp P, Leimu R, Merilä J (2007) Responses to climate change in avian migration time-microevolution versus phenotypic plasticity. Clim Res 35:25-35
25. Gienapp P, Teplitsky C, Alho JS, Mills JA, Merilä J (2008) Climate change and evolution: disentangling environmental and genetic responses. Mol Ecol 17:167-178
26. Gill FB, Slikas B, Sheldon FH (2005) Phylogeny of titmice (Paridae): II. Species relationships based on sequences of the mitochondrial cytochrome-b gene. Auk 122:121-143
27. Hurrell JW (1995) Decadal trends in the North-Atlantic Oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269:676-679
28. IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
29. IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
30. Jenkins D, Watson A (2000) Dates of first arrival and song of birds during 1974-99 in mid-Deeside, Scotland. Bird Study 47:249-251
31. Johnson KP, de Kort S, Dinwoodey K, Mateman AC, ten Cate C, Lessells CM, Clayton DH (2001) A molecular phylogeny of the dove genera Streptopelia and Columba. Auk 118:874-887
32. Jones T, Cresswell W (2010) The phenology mismatch hypothesis: Are declines of migrant birds linked to uneven global climate change? J Anim Ecol 79:98-108
33. Jonzén N, Lindén A, Ergon T, Knudsen E, and others (2006) Rapid advance of spring arrival dates in long-distance migratory birds. Science 312:1959-1961
34. Lack D (1954) The natural regulation of animal numbers. Methuen, London
35. Lehikoinen E, Sparks TH, Zalakevicius M (2004) Arrival and departure dates. Adv Ecol Res 35:1-31
36. Leisler B, Heidrich P, Schulze-Hagen K, Wink W (1997) Tax-I onomy and phylogeny of reed warblers (genus Acrocephalus) based on mtDNA sequences and morphology. J Ornithol 138:469-496
37. McClave JT, Sincich T (2003) Statistics, 9th edn. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ
38. Møller AP (2007) Tardy females, impatient males: protandry and divergent selection on arrival date in the two sexes of the barn swallow. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 61:1311-1319
39. Møller AP, Brohede J, Cuervo JJ, de Lope F, Primmer CR (2003) Extrapair paternity in relation to sexual ornamentation, arrival date and condition in a migratory bird. Behav Ecol 14:707-712
40. Møller AP, Fiedler W, Berthold P (eds) (2004) Birds and climate change. Elsevier, Amsterdam
41. Møller AP, Rubolini D, Lehikoinen E (2008) Populations of migratory bird species that did not show a phenological response to climate change are declining. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105:16195-16200
42. Møller AP, Flensted-Jensen E, Klarborg K, Mardal W, Nielsen JT (2010) Climate change affects the duration of the reproductive season in birds. J Anim Ecol (in press). doi:10. 1111/j.365-2565.2010.01677.x
43. Przybylo R, Sheldon BC, Merilä J (2000) Climate effects on breeding and morphology: evidence for phenotypic plasticity. J Anim Ecol 69:395-403
44. Pulido F, Berthold P (2004) Microevolutionary response to climatic change. Adv Ecol Res 35:151-184
45. Pulido F, Widmer M (2005) Are long-distance migrants constrained in their evolutionary response to environmental change? Causes of variation in the timing of autumn migration in a blackcap (S. atricapilla) and two garden warbler (Sylvia borin) populations. Ann NY Acad Sci 1046:228-241
46. Purvis A, Rambaut A (1995) Comparative analysis by independent contrasts (CAIC). Comput Appl Biosci 11:247-251
47. R Development Core Team (2008) R: a language and environment for statistical computing, reference index version 2.8.1. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, available at www.r-project.org
48. Root TL, Price JL, Hall KR, Schneider SH and others (2003) Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421:57-60
49. Rubolini D, Spina F, Saino N (2005) Correlates of timing of spring migration in birds: a comparative study of trans-Saharan migrants. Biol J Linn Soc 85:199-210
50. Rubolini D, Møller AP, Rainio K, Lehikoinen E (2007) Intraspecific consistency and geographic variability in temporal trends of spring migration phenology among European bird species. Clim Res 35:135-146
51. Saino N, Szép T, Romano M, Rubolini D, Spina F, Møller AP (2004) Ecological conditions during winter predict arrival date at the breeding quarters in a trans-Saharan migratory bird. Ecol Lett 7:21-25 (Pubitemid 38154316)
52. Saino N, Rubolini D, Jonzén N, Ergon T, Montemaggiori A, Stenseth NC, Spina F (2007) Temperature and rainfall anomalies in Africa predict timing of spring migration in trans-Saharan migratory birds. Clim Res 35:123-134
53. Sanderson FJ, Donald PF, Pain DJ, Burfield IJ, van Bommel FPJ (2006) Long-term population declines in Afro-Palearctic migrant birds. Biol Conserv 131:93-105
54. Sanz JJ, Potti J, Moreno J, Merino S, Frias O (2003) Climate change and fitness components of a migratory bird breeding in the Mediterranean region. Glob Change Biol 9:461-472
55. Schmidt E, Hüppop K (2007) Erstbeobachtung und Sangesbeginn von 97 Vogelarten in den Jahren 1963 bis 2006 in einer Gemeinde im Landkreis Parchim (Mecklenburg-Vorpommern). Vogelwarte 45:27-58
56. Sheldon BC, Kruuk LEB, Merilä J (2003) Natural selection and inheritance of breeding time and clutch size in the collared flycatcher. Evolution 57:406-420
57. Sibley CG, Ahlquist JE (1990) Phylogeny and classification of birds. Yale University Press, New Haven, CT
58. Spottiswoode CM, Møller AP (2004) Extrapair paternity, migration, and breeding synchrony in birds. Behav Ecol 15:41-57
59. Strain JG, Mumme RL (1988) Effects of food supplementation, song playback, and temperature on vocal territorial behavior of Carolina wrens. Auk 105:11-16
60. Tøttrup AP, Thorup K, Rainio K, Yosef R, Lehikoinen E, Rahbek C (2008) Avian migrants adjust migration in response to environmental conditions en route. Biol Lett 4:685-688
61. Tryjanowski P, Kuzniak S, Sparks T (2005) What affects the magnitude of change in first arrival dates of migrant birds? J Ornithol 146:200-205
62. Végværi Z, Bokony V, Barta Z, Kovacs G (2010) Life history predicts advancement of avian spring migration in response to climate change. Glob Change Biol 16:1-11
63. Visser ME (2008) Keeping up with a warming world; assessing the rate of adaptation to climate change. Proc R Soc Lond B 275:649-659
64. Visser ME, Perdeck AC, van Balen JH, Both C (2009) Climate change leads to decreasing bird migration distances. Glob Change Biol 15:1859-1865
65. Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, and others (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416:389-395
66. Werner A, Schönwiese CD (2002) A statistical analysis of the North Atlantic oscillation and its impact on European temperature. Glob Atmos Ocean Syst 8:293-306
67. Zuur AF, Ieno EI, Walker NJ, Saveliev AA, Smith GM (2009) Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R. Springer, New York