Climate change and the precipitation variations in the northwestern Himalaya: 1866-2006

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 30, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 535-548

  Bhutiyani, M R ^a   Kale, V S ^b   Pawar, N J ^b  

^a Faculty of Civil Engineering   (India)

^b UNIVERSITY OF PUNE   (India)

Author keywords

Climate change; Epochal behaviour; Global teleconnections; Greenhouse gases; Northwestern himalaya; Winter and monsoon precipitation

Indexed keywords

EPOCHAL BEHAVIOUR; HIMALAYAS; MONSOON PRECIPITATION; NORTHWESTERN HIMALAYA; TELECONNECTIONS;

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE; GREENHOUSE GASES; GREENHOUSES; NICKEL COMPOUNDS; OSCILLATORS (MECHANICAL); SNOW; SPECTRUM ANALYSIS; SPECTRUM ANALYZERS;

GLOBAL WARMING;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONCENTRATION (COMPOSITION); EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE GAS; PERIODICITY; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION; REGIONAL CLIMATE; TELECONNECTION; TREND ANALYSIS;

HIMALAYAS;

EID: 77950185297     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.1920     Document Type: Article

References (74)

1. Agnihotri R, Dutta K. 2003. Centennial scale variations in monsoonal rainfall (Indian, east equatorial and Chinese monsoons): manifestations of solar variability. Current Science 85: 459-463.
2. Ahmed ASMS, Minum AA, Begum QN. 1996. El-Niño southern oscillation and rainfall variation over Bangladesh. Mausam 47: 157-162.
3. Ananthakrishnan R, Parthasarathy B. 1984. Indian rainfall in relation to the sunspot cycle: 1871-1978. Journal of Climatology 4: 149-169.
4. Archer DR, Fowler HJ. 2004. Spatial and temporal variations in precipitation in the Upper Indus Basin, global teleconnections and hydrological implications. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 8(1): 47-61.
5. Baines PG, Folland CK. 2007. Evidence for rapid global climate shift across the late 1960s. Journal of Climate 20: 2721-2744.
6. Beniston M. 1997. Variation of snow depth and duration in the Swiss Alps over the last 50 years: Links to changes in large-scale climatic forcings. Climatic Change 36: 281-300.
7. Beniston M, Diaz FD, Bradley RS. 1997. Climatic change at high elevation sites: an overview. Climatic Change 36: 233-251.
8. Beniston M. 2003. Climatic change in mountainous regions: a review of possible impacts. Climatic Change 59: 5-31.
9. Bhalme HN, Mooley DA. 1981. Cyclic fluctuations in the flood area and relationship with double (Hale) sunspot cycle. Journal of Applied Meteorology 20: 1041-1048.
10. Bhalme HN, Sikdar AB, Jadhav SK. 1990. Relationships between planetary-scale waves, Indian monsoon rainfall and ENSO. Mausam 41: 279-284.
11. Bhaskar Rao DV, Naidu CV, Sriniwasa Rao BR. 2001. Trends and fluctuations of the cyclonic systems over North Indian Ocean. Mausam 52: 37-46.
12. Bhutiyani MR. 1992. Avalanche problems in Nubra and Shyok valleys in Karakoram Himalaya, India. Journal of Institution of Military Engineers of India 3: 3-5.
13. Bhutiyani MR, Kale VS, Pawar NJ. 2007. Long-term trends in maximum, minimum and mean annual air temperatures across the northwestern Himalaya during the 20th century. Climatic Change 85: 159-177.
14. Blackman RB, Turkey JW. 1958. The Measurement of Power Spectra, Dover Publication Inc.: New York; 190.
15. Borgaonkar HP, Pant GB, Rupa Kumar K. 1996. Ring-width variations in Cedrus deodara and its climatic response over the western Himalaya. International Journal of Climatology 16: 1409-1422.
16. Borgaonkar HP, Pant GB. 2001. Long-term climate variability over monsoon Asia as revealed by some proxy sources. Mausam 52: 9-22.
17. Brown RD. 1997. Historical variability in North Hemisphere spring snow covered area. Annals of Glaciology 25: 340-346.
18. Brown RD. 2002. Reconstructed North American, Eurasian, and Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover Extent, 1915-1997. National Snow and Ice Data Center, Digital media: Boulder; CO.
19. Brown RD, Petkova N. 2007. Snowcover variability in Bulgarian mountainous regions. International Journal of Climatology 27: 1215-1229.
20. Crowley TJ. 2000. Causes of climate change over the past 1000 years. Science 289: 270-276.
21. Diaz HF, Bradley RS. 1997. Temperature variations during the last century at high elevation sites. Climatic Change 36: 253-279.
22. Diaz HF, Grosjean M, Graumlich L. 2003. Climate variability and change in high elevation regions: past, present and future. Climatic Change 59: 1-4.
23. De US, Mukhopadhyay RK. 1998. Severe heat wave over the Indian subcontinent in 1998, in perspective of global climate. Current Science 75: 1308-1311.
24. Easterling DR, Horton B, Jones PD, Peterson TC, Karl TR, Parker DE, Salinger JM, Razuvzyev V, Plummer N, Jamason P, Folland CK. 1997. Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe. Science 227: 364-365.
25. Ellsaesser HW, MacCracken MC, Walton JJ, Grotch SL. 1986. Global climatic trends as revealed by recorded data. Reviews of Geophysics 24: 745-792.
26. Fallot JM, Barry RG, Hoogstrate D. 1997. Variation of mean cold season temperature, precipitation and Snow depths during the last 100 years in the former depths during the last 100 years in the former Soviet Union (FSU). Hydrological Sciences-Journal 42: 301-327.
27. Fowler HJ, Archer DR. 2005. Hydro-climatological variability in Upper Indus Basin and implications for water resources. In: Wagner, T. et al., (eds.) Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change - Impact Assessment and Decision Making. Proceedings of Symposium S6 held during the Seventh IAHS Scientific Assembly at Foz do lguacu, Brazil, IAHS Publication 295, pp. 131-138.
28. Fowler HJ, Archer DR. 2006. Conflicting signals of climatic change in the upper Indus Basin. Journal of Climate 19: 4276-4293.
29. IPCC. 2001. Climate Change. The IPCC Third Assessment Report, Vol. I, The Scientific basis, II-Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, IIIMitigation, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge and New York
30. IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Working Group II Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - Fourth Assessment Report Summary for Policymakers.
31. Jones PD, Raper SCB, Bradley RS, Diaz HF, Kelly PM, Wigley TMC. 1986a. Northern Hemispheric surface air variation: 1851-1984. Journal of Climatology and Applied Meteorology 25: 161-179.
32. Jones PD, Raper SCB, Bradley RS, Diaz HF, Kelly PM, Wigley TMC. 1986b. Southern Hemispheric surface air variation: 1851-1984. Journal of Climatology and Applied Meteorology 25: 1213-1230.
33. Jones PD, Jonsson T, Wheeler D. 1997. Extension to the North Atlantic oscillation using early instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and south-west Iceland. International Journal of climatology 17: 1433-1450.
34. Kane PR. 1998. El Niño, southern oscillation, equatorial eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures and summer monsoon rainfall in India. Mausam 49: 103-114.
35. Karl TR, Knight RW, Plummer N. 1995. Trends in high frequency climate variability in the twentieth century. Nature 377: 217-220.
36. Kendall MG, Stuart A. 1961. The advance theory of Statistics, Vol. 2. Hafner Publishing Co.: New York, USA.
37. Knappenberger PC, Michaels PJ, Davis RE. 2001. Nature of observed temperature changes across the United States during the 20th century. Climatic Research 17: 45-53.
38. Kripalani RH, Kulkarni A, Sabade SS. 2001. El Niño Southern Oscillation, Eurasian snow cover and the Indian monsoon rainfall. PINSA 67 A: 361-368.
39. Krishna Kumar K, Rajgopalan B, Cane MK. 1999. On the weakening relationship between the Indian monsoon and ENSO. Science 284: 2156-2159.
40. Laternser M, Schneebeli M. 2003. Long-term snow climate trends of the Swiss Alps (1931-1999). International Journal of Climatology 23: 733-750.
41. Liu X, Chen H. 2000. Climatic warming in the Tibetan plateau during recent decades. International Journal of Climatology 20: 1729-1742.
42. Ma Y, Zhong L, Su Z. 2006. Determination of regional distributions and seasonal variations of land surface heat fluxes from Landsat - 7 enhanced thematic mapper data over the central Tibetan plateau area. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 111: D10305. DOI: 10.1029/2005JD006742.
43. Mitchell JM(jr), Dzerdzeevskii B, Flohn H, Hofmeyr WL, Lamb HH, Rao KN, Wallen CC. 1966. WMO Technical Note No. 79, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva.
44. Mohan Rao N, Rangachary N, Kumar V, Verdhan A. 1987. Some aspects of snow cover development and avalanche formation in Indian Himalaya. Proceedings of Davos Symposium on Avalanche Formation, Movement and Effects. IAHS Publication No. 162, 453-462.
45. Mooley DA, Parthasarathy B. 1983. Indian summer monsoon and El Niño. Pageoph 121: 339-352.
46. Mutreja KN. 1986. Applied Hydrology. Tata McGraw Hill Publishing Company Limited: New Delhi.
47. Nakamura T, Shimizu M. 1996. Variation of snow, winter precipitation and winter air temperature during the last century at Nagaoka, Japan. Journal of Glaciology 42: 136-140.
48. Ogurtsov MG, Nagovitsyn YA, Kocharov GE, Jungner H. 2002. Longperiod cycles of the Sun's activity recorded in direct solar data and proxies. Solar Physics 211: 371-394.
49. Oerlemans J. 1994. Quantifying global warming from retreat of glaciers. Science 264: 243-245.
50. Pant GB, Borgaonkar HP. 1984. Climate of the hill regions of Uttar Pradesh. Himalayan Research and Development 3: 13-20.
51. Pant GB, Rupa Kumar K, Parthasarathy B, Borgaonkar HP. 1988. Long-term variability of the Indian summer monsoon and related parameters. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 5: 469-481.
52. Pant GB, Rupa Kumar K. 1997. Climates of South Asia: Behaviour Studies in Climatology. John Wiley and Sons: West Sussex, England; 126-127.
53. Petkova N, Koleva E, Alexandrov V. 2004. Snowcover variability and change in mountainous regions of Bulgaria, 1931-2000. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 13: 19-23.
54. Qiang F, Celeste MJ, Stephen GW, Dian JS. 2004. Contribution of stratospheric cooling to satellite inferred tropospheric temperature trends. Nature 429: 55-57.
55. Rakhecha PR, Kulkarni AK, Mandal BN, Dhar ON. 1983. Winter and spring precipitation over the northwestern Himalaya. Proceedings of the First National Symposium on Seasonal Snow Cover, New Delhi, 175-181.
56. Rebetez M. 2004. Summer 2003 maximum and minimum daily temperature over a 3300 m altitudinal range in the Alps. Climate Research 27: 45-50.
57. Reddy RS, Neralla VR, Godson WL. 1989. The solar cycle and Indian rainfall. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 39: 194-198.
58. SASE. 1999. Snow Meteorological data of Western Himalaya Vol. 1. Snow and Avalanche Study Establishment, Manali, India.
59. Schaer C, Vidale PL, Luthi D, Frei C, Haberli C, Liniger MA, Appenzeller C. 2004. The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heat waves. Nature 427: 332-336.
60. Seko K, Takahashi S. 1991. Characteristics of winter precipitation and its effects on glaciers in Nepal Himalaya. Bulletin of Glacier Research 9: 9-16.
61. Sharma KP, Moore B, Vorosmarty CJ III. 2000. Anthropogenic, climatic and hydrologic trends in the Kosi Basin, Himalaya. Climate Change 47: 141-165.
62. Sharma SS, Ganju A. 2000. Complexities of avalanche forecasting in western Himalaya - an overview. Journal of CRST 31: 95-102.
63. Shreshtha AB, Wake CP, Dibb JE, Mayewski PA. 2000. Precipitation fluctuations in the Nepal Himalaya and its vicinity and relationship with some large-scale climatological parameters. International Journal of Climatology 20: 317-327.
64. Singh OP. 2001. Long-term trends in the frequency of monsoonal cyclonic disturbances over the north Indian Ocean. Mausam 52: 655-658.
65. Singh N, Sontakke NA. 2002. On climatic fluctuations and environmental changes of the Indo-Gangetic Plains, India. Climatic Change 52: 287-313.
66. Solanki SK, Usoskin IG, Kromer B, Scḧussler M, Beer J. 2004. Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years. Nature 431: 1084-1087.
67. Srivastava HN, Dewan BN, Dikshit SK, Prakasha Rao GS, Singh SS, Rao KR. 1992. Decadal trends in climate over India. Mausam 43: 7-20.
68. Thapliyal V, Kulshrestha SM. 1991. Decadal changes and trends over India. Mausam 42: 333-338.
69. Villaba R, Lara A, Boninsegna JA, Masiokas M, Delgado S, Aravena JC, Roig FA, Schmelter A, Wolodarsky A, Ripalta A. 2003. Largescale temporal changes across the southern Andes: 20th century variations in the context of the past 400 years. Climatic Change 59: 177-232.
70. Vinnikov K, Graisman PYa, Lugina KM. 1990. Empirical data on contemporary global climatic changes (Temperature and Precipitation). Journal of Climate 3: 662-677.
71. Vuille M, Bradley RS, Werner M, Keimig F. 2003. 20th Century climate change in the tropical Andes: observations and model results. Climatic Change 59: 75-99.
72. Wibig J, Glowicki B. 2002. Trends in minimum and maximum temperature in Poland. Climate Research 20: 123-133.
73. Yadav RR, Park Won-Kyu, Singh J, Dubey B. 2004. Do the western Himalaya defy global warming? Geophysical Research Letters 31: L17201.
74. Zhai P, Sun A, Ren F, Xiaonin L, Gao B, Zhang Q. 1999. Changes in climate extreme in China. Climate Change 42: 203-218.