Large-scale temperature changes across the southern Andes: 20th-century variations in the context of the past 400 years

Climatic Change

Volumn 59, Issue 1-2, 2003, Pages 177-232

  Villalba, Ricardo ^a   Lara, Antonio ^b   Boninsegna, José A ^a   Masiokas, Mariano ^a   Delgado, Silvia ^a   Aravena, Juan C ^c   Roig, Fidel A ^a   Schmelter, Andrea ^d   Wolodarsky, Alexia ^b   Ripalta, Alberto ^a  

^a Institute Argentine de Glaciologia y Nivologia   (Argentina)

^b UNIVERSIDAD AUSTRAL DE CHILE   (Chile)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CHILE   (Chile)

^d UNIVERSITY OF BONN   (Germany)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COOLING; GLACIERS; GLOBAL WARMING;

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; TEMPERATURE; TREE RING; TWENTIETH CENTURY; WARMING;

SOUTH AMERICA;

EID: 0042769824     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1023/A:1024452701153     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (86)

1. Aceituno, P., Fuenzalida, H., and Rosenblüth, B.: 1993, 'Climate along the Extratropical Coast of South America', in Mooney, H. A., Fuentes, E. R., and Kronberg, B. I. (eds.), Earth Systems Responses to Global Change: Contrast between North and South America, Academic Press, New York, U.S.A., pp. 61-69.
2. Alexandersson, H.: 1986, 'A Homogeneity Test Applied to Precipitation Data', J. Climatol. 6, 661-675.
3. Allan, R. J.: 2000, 'ENSO and Climatic Variability in the Past 150 Years', in Diaz, H. and Markgraf, V. (eds.), El Niño and the Southern Oscillation, Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, Cambridge University Press, pp. 3-56.
4. Almeyda, A. E. and Saez. S. F.: 1958, Recopilación de datos climáticos de Chile y mapas sinópticos respectivos, Ministerio de Agricultura, Santiago, Chile.
5. Aravena, J. C., Lara, A., Wolodarsky, A., and Cuq, E.: 2000, 'Dendroclimatology of Nothofagus pumilio Forests in the Upper Treeline of Magallanes Region, Chile', International Conference on Dendrochronology for the Third Millenium, Abstracts Vol., Mendoza, Argentina, 216 pp.
6. Beniston, M. (ed.): 1994, Mountain Environments in Changing Climates, Routledge Publishing Co., London and New York, 492 pp.
7. Blasing, T. J., Solomon, A. M., and Duvick, D. N.: 1984, 'Response Functions Revisited', Tree-Ring Bull. 44, 1-15.
8. Boninsegna, J. A., Keegan, J., Jacoby, G. C., D'Arrigo, R. D., and Holmes, R. L.: 1989, 'Dendrochronological Studies in Tierra del Fuego, Argentina', Quaternary of South America and Antarctic Peninsula 7, 315-326.
9. Bradley, R. S.: 1999, 'Paleoclimatology: Reconstructing Climates of the Quaternary', Academic Press, San Diego, U.S.A., 610 pp.
10. Bradley, R. S. and Jones, P. D.: 1993, 'Little Ice Age Summer Temperature Variations: Their Nature and Relevance to Recent Global Warming Trends', The Holocene 3, 367-376.
11. Bretherton, C. S., Widmann, M., Dymnikov, V. P., Wallace, J. M., and Blade, I.: 1999, 'The Effective Number of Spatial Degrees of Freedom of a Time-Varying Field', J. Climate 12, 1990-2009.
12. Briffa, K. R.: 1995, 'Interpreting High-Resolution Proxy Climate Data - The Example of Dendroclimatology', in von Storch, H. and Navarra, A. (eds.), Analysis of Climate Variability, Applications of Statistical Techniques, Springer, Berlin, pp. 77-94.
13. Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D., Bartholin, T. S., Eckstein, D., Schweingruber, F. H., Karlen, W., Zetterberg, P., and Eronen, M.: 1992, 'Fennoscandian Summers from AD 500: Temperature Changes on Short and Long Time Scales', Clim. Dyn. 7, 111-119.
14. Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D., Bartholin, T. S., Schweingruber, F. H., Karlen, W., and Shiyatov, S. G.: 1996, 'Tree-Ring Variables as Proxy-Climate Indicators: Problems with Low-Frequency Signals', in Jones, P. D., Bradley, R. S., Jouzel, J. (eds), Climate Variations and Forcing Mechanisms of the Last 2000 Years, NATO ASI Series, Vol. I41, Springer, Heidelberg, pp. 9-41.
15. Casassa, G.: 1995, 'Glacier Inventory in Chile: Current Status and Recent Glacier Variations', Ann. Glaciol. 21, 317-322.
16. Cook, E. R.: 1987, 'The Decomposition of Tree Ring Series for Environmental Studies', Tree-Ring Bull. 47, 37-59.
17. Cook, E. R., Briffa, K., Shiyatov, S., and Mazepa, V.: 1990, 'Tree-Ring Standardization and Growth-Trend Estimation', in Cook, E. and Kairiukstis, L. (eds.), Methods of Dendrochronology, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, pp. 104-132.
18. Cook, E. R., Buckley, B. M., D'Arrigo, R. D., and Peterson, M. J.: 2000, 'Warm-Season Temperatures since 1600 BC Reconstructed from Tasmanian Tree Rings and their Relationship to Large-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies', Clim. Dyn. 16, 79-91.
19. Cook, E. R. and Peters, K.: 1981, 'The Smoothing Spline: A New Approach to Standardizing Forest Interior Ring-Width Series for Dendroclimatic Studies', Tree-Ring Bull. 41, 45-53.
20. Cooley, W. W. and Lohnes, P. R.: 1971, Multivariate Data Analysis, Wiley, New York, U.S.A.
21. De Fina, A. L.: 1972, 'El clima de la región del los bosques andino-patagónicos argentinos', in Dimitri, M. J. (ed.), La región de los bosques andino-patagónicos, Colección Científica del INTA, 10, 35-58.
22. Diaz, H. F. and Kiladis, G. N.: 1992, 'Atmospheric Teleconnections Associated with the Extreme Phases of the Southern Oscillation', in Diaz, H. F. and Markgraf, V. (eds.), El Niño: Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 7-28.
23. Doake, C. S. M. and Vaughan, D. G.: 1991, 'Rapid Disintegration of the Wordie Ice Shelf in Response to Atmospheric Warming', Nature 350, 328-330.
24. Draper, N. R. and Smith, H.: 1981, Applied Regression Analysis, 2nd edn., John Wiley and Sons, New York, U.S.A.
25. Ebbesmeyer, C. C., Cayan, D. R., McLain, D. R., Nichols, F. H., Peterson, D. H., and Redmond, K. T.: 1991, '1976 Step in the Pacific Climate: Forty Environmental Changes between 1968-75 and 1977-84', in Betancourt, J. L. and Tharp, V. L. (eds.), Proceedings of the 7th Annual Pacific Climate Workshop, California Department of Water Resources, Interagency Ecological Studies Program, Report 26, pp. 115-126.
26. Enfield, D. B. and Mestas-Nuñez, A. M.: 1999, 'Multiscale Variabilities in Global Sea Surface Temperature and their Relationships with Tropospheric Climate Patterns', J. Climate 12, 2719-2733.
27. Enfield, D. B. and Mestas-Nuñez, A. M.: 2000, 'Global Modes of ENSO and Non-ENSO Sea Surface Temperature Variability and their Associations with Climate, in Diaz, H. and Markgraf, V. (eds.), El Niño and the Southern Oscillation, Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, Cambridge University Press, pp. 89-112.
28. Fritts, H. C.: 1976, Tree Rings and Climate, Academic Press, London.
29. Gallopín, G. C.: 1978, 'Estudio ecológico integrado de la cuenca superior del Río Manso Superior (Río Negro, Argentina). I. Descripción general de la cuenca', Anales de Parques Nacionales 14, 161-230.
30. Garreaud, R. and Battisti, D. S.: 1999, 'Interannual and Interdecadal (ENSO-Like) Variability in the Southern Hemisphere Tropospheric Circulation', J. Climate 12, 2113-2123.
31. Geiger, R.: 1965, The Climate near the Ground, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, U.S.A., 277 pp.
32. Graham, N. E.: 1994, 'Decadal-Scale Climate Variability in the 1970s and 1980s: Observations and Model Results', Clim. Dyn. 10, 135-162.
33. Guiot, J.: 1990: 'Methods of Calibration', in Cook, E. R. and Kairiukstis, L. A. (eds.), Methods of Dendrochronology. Applications in the Environmental Sciences, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, pp. 165-178.
34. Gordon, G. A. and LeDuc, S. K.: 1981, 'Verification Statistics for Regression Models', in Am. Meteorol. Soc. (ed.), Preprints Seventh Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, California, U.S.A., pp. 129-133
35. Hoffman, A. J.: 1990, 'De las variaciones de la temperatura del aire en la Argentina y estaciones de la zona subantártica adyacente, desde 1903 hasta 1989 inclusive', Primera Conferencia Latinoamericana sobre Geofísica, Geodesia e Investigación Espacial Antárcticas, Buenos Aires, pp. 160-168.
36. Jacoby, G. C. and D' Arrigo, R. D.: 1989, 'Reconstructed Northern Hemisphere Annual Temperature since 1671 Based on High-Latitude Tree-Ring Data from North America', Clim. Change 14, 39-49.
37. Jenkins, G. M. and Watts, D. G.: 1968, Spectral analysis and its applications, Holden-Day, San Francisco, U.S.A., 525 pp.
38. Jobbágy, E. G., Paruelo, J. M., and León, R. J. C.: 1995, 'Estimación del régimen de precipitación a partir de la distancia a la cordillera en el noroeste de la Patagonia', Ecología Austral 5, 47-54.
39. Jones, P. D. and Briffa, K. R.: 1992, 'Global Surface Air Temperature Variations during the Twentieth Century: Part 1, Spatial, Temporal and Seasonal Details', The Holocene 2, 165-179.
40. Kaplan, A., Cane, M. A., Kushnir, Y., Clement, A. C., Blumenthal, M. B., and Rajagopalan, B.: 1998, 'Analyses of Global Sea Surface Temperature 1856-1991', J. Geophys. Res. 103, 1856-18589.
41. Karl, T. R., Jones, P. D., Knight, R. W., Kukla, G., Plummer, N., Gallo, K. P., Lindesay, J., Charlson, R. J., and Peterson, T. C.: 1993, 'Asymmetric Trends of Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperature', Bull. Amer. Meteorol. 74, 1007-1023.
42. Karoly, D. J.: 1989, 'Southern Hemisphere Circulation Features Associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation', J. Climate 2, 1239-1252.
43. King, J. C.: 1994, 'Recent Climate Variability in the Vicinity of the Antarctic Peninsula', Int. J. Clim. 14, 357-369.
44. Köner, C.: 1999, Alpine Plant Life. Functional Plant Ecology of High Mountain Ecosystems, Springer, Berlin.
45. Lara, A., Aravena, J. C., Villalba, R., Wolodarsky-Franke, A., Luckman, B. H., and Wilson, R.: 2001, 'Dendroclimatology of High-Elevation Nothofagus pumilio Forests at their Northern Distribution Limit in the Central Andes of Chile, Can. J. Forest Res. 31, 925-936.
46. Lara, A. and Villalba, R.: 1993, 'A 3620-Year Temperature Record from Fitzroya cupressoides Tree Rings in Southern South America', Science 260: 1104-1106.
47. Luckman, B. H. and Boninsegna, J. A.: 2001, 'The Assessment of Present, Past and Future Climate Variability in the Americas from Treeline Environments', PAGES News 9, 17-19.
48. Luckman, B. H. and Villalba, R.: 2001, 'Assessing the Synchroneity of Glacier Fluctuations in the Western Cordillera of the Americas during the Last Millennium', in Markgraf, V. (ed.), Inter-Hemispheric Climate Linkages, Academic Press, San Diego, Califormia, U.S.A., pp. 119-140.
49. Mantua, J. N., Hare, S. R., Zhang, Y., Wallace, J. M., and Francis, R. C.: 1997, 'A Pacific Interdecadal Climate Oscillation with Impacts on Salmon Production', Bull. Amer. Meteorol. 78, 1069-1080.
50. Masiokas, M. H., Villalba, R., Trombotto, D., Delgado,S., Luckman, B., Ripalta, A., and Hernandez, J.: 2001, 'Dendrogeomorphological Reconstruction of Glacier Variations in Northern Patagonia during the Past 1000 Years', in Kaennel Dobbertin, M. and Bräker, O. U. (eds.), International Conference on Tree Rings and People, Abstracts, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
51. Miller, A.: 1976, 'The Climate of Chile', in Schwerdtfeger, W. (ed.), World Survey of Climatology. Climates of Central and South America, Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, pp. 113-131.
52. Mitchell, J. M. Jr., Dzerdseevskii, B., Flohn, H., Hofmeyr, W. L., Lamb, H. H., Rao, K. N., and Wallen, C. C.: 1966, Climatic Change, World Meteorological Organization, Technical Note 79, pp. 79.
53. Mo, K.: 2000, 'Relationships between Low-Frequency Variability in the Southern Hemisphere and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies', J. Climate 13, 3599-3610.
54. Naruse, R. and Aniya, M.: 1992, 'Outline of Glacier Research Project in Patagonia', Bull. Glacier Res. 10, 31-38.
55. Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R., and Jones, P. D.: 1997, 'Adjusting Variance for Sample-Size in Tree-Ring Chronologies and other Regional-Mean Time Series', Dendrochronologia 15, 89-99.
56. Overpeck, J., Hughen, K., Hardy, D., Bradley, R., Case, R., Douglas, M., Finney, B., Gajewski, K., Jacoby, G., Jennings, A., Lamoureux, S., Lasca, A., MacDonald, G., Moore, J., Retelle, M., Smith, S., Wolfe, A., and Zielinski, G.: 1997, 'Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries', Science 278, 1251-1256.
57. Percival, D. B. and Walden, A. T.: 1993, 'Multitaper Spectral Estimation', in Percival D. B. and Walden A. T. (eds.), Spectral Analysis for Physical Applications: Multitaper and Conventional Univariate Techniques, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 331-337.
58. Preisendorfer, R. W., Zwiers, F. W., and Barnett, T. P.: 1981, Foundations of Principal Components Selection Rules, SIO Ref. Ser. 81-14, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California, U.S.A.
59. Prohaska, F.: 1976, 'The Climate of Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay', in Schwerdtfeger, W. (ed.), World Survey of Climatology, Climates of Central and South America, Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, pp. 13-112.
60. Priestley, M. B.: 1992, Spectral Analysis and Time Series, Academic Press, London.
61. Quinn, W. H.: 1992, 'A Study of Southen Oscillation-Related Climatic Activity for A.D. 622-1990 Incorporating Nile River Flow Data', in Diaz, H. F. and Markgraf, V. (eds.), El Niño: Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 119-149.
62. Richman, M. B.: 1986, 'Rotation of Principal Components: A review', J. Climatol. 6, 293-336.
63. Roig, F. A., Aravena, J. C., and Lara, A.: 2000, 'Tree-Ring Studies from Upper Treeline Environments of Tierra del Fuego and Navarino Island', International Conference on Dendrochronology for the Third Millenium, Abstracts Vol., Mendoza, Argentina, 239 pp.
64. Rosenblüth, B., Casassa, G., and Fuenzalida, H.: 1995, 'Recent Climatic Changes in Western Patagonia', Bull. Glacier Res. 13, 127-132.
65. Rosenbluth, B., Fuenzalida, H. A., and Aceituno, P.: 1997, 'Recent Temperature Variations in Southern South America', Int. J. Clim. 17, 67-85.
66. Taljaard, J. J.: 1972, 'Synoptic Meteorology of the Southern Hemisphere', Meteorological Monographs 13, 139-213.
67. Thomson, D. J.: 1990, 'Time Series Analysis of Holocene Climate Data', Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. London 330, 601-616.
68. Tranquillini, W.: 1979, Physiological Ecology of the Alpine Timberline, Springer-Verlag, New York, U.S.A., 137 pp.
69. Trenberth, K. E.: 1990, 'Recent Observed Interdecadal Climate Changes in the Northern Hemisphere', Bull. Amer. Meteorol. 71, 988-993.
70. Trenberth, K. E. and Hurrell, J. W.: 1994, 'Decadal Atmosphere-Ocean Variations in the Pacific', Clim. Dyn. 9, 303-319.
71. Schmelter, A.: 2000. Climatic Response and Growth-Trends of Nothofagus pumilio along Altitudinal Gradients from Arid to Humid Sites in Northern Patagonia, Ph.D. Dissertation, Universität Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
72. Schwerdtfeger, W.: 1960, 'The Seasonal Variation of the Strength of the Southern Circulation Vortex', Mon. Wea Rev. 88, 203-208.
73. Schwerdtfeger, W.: 1962, Meteorología del área del Pasaje de Drake', Servicio de Hidrografía Naval, Secretaría de Marina, Buenos Aires, 78 pp.
74. Van Loon, H., Kidson, J. W., and Mullan, A. N.: 1993, 'Decadal Variation of the Annual Cycle in the Australian Dataset', J. Climate 6, 1227-1231.
75. Vautard, R. and Ghil, M.: 1989, 'Singular Spectrum Analysis in Nonlinear Dynamics, with Applications to Paleoclimatic Time Series', Physica D 35, 395-424.
76. Villalba, R.: 1990, 'Climatic Fluctuations in Northern Patagonia in the Last 1000 Years as Inferred from Tree-Ring Records', Quatern. Res. 34, 346-360.
77. Villalba, R.: 1994, 'Tree-Ring and Glacial Evidence for the Medieval Warm Epoch and the Little Ice Age in Southern South America', Clim. Change 26, 183-197.
78. Villalba, R.: 2000, 'Dendroclimatology: A Southern Hemisphere Perspective', in Smolka, P. and Volkheimer, W. (eds.), Paleo- and Neoclimates of the Southern Hemisphere: The State of the Arts, Springer, Germany, pp. 105-143.
79. Villalba, R., Boninsegna, J. A., and Cobos. D. R.: 1989, 'A Tree-Ring Reconstruction of Summer Temperature between AD 1500 and 1974 in Western Argentina', Third International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, Buenos Aires, Argentina, American Meteorological Society, pp. 196-197.
80. Villalba, R., Boninsegna, J. A., Veblen, T. T., Schmelter, A., and Rubulis, S.: 1997, 'Recent Trends in Tree-Ring Records from High Elevation Sites in the Andes of Northern Patagonia, Clim. Change 36, 425-454.
81. Villalba, R., D'Arrigo, R. D., Boninsegna, J. A., Lara, A., and Delgado, S.: 'Decade- to Century-Scale Climatic Variability in the South American Sector of the Southern Oceans: Evidence from Tree-Ring Records during the Past Four Centuries', J. Climate, submitted.
82. Villalba, R., D'Arrigo, R. D., Cook, E. R., Wiles, G., and Jacoby, G. C.: 2001, 'Decadal-Scale Climatic Variability along the Extratropical Western Coast of the Americas: Evidences from Tree-Ring Records', in Markgraf, V. (ed.), Inter-Hemispheric Climate Linkages, Academic Press, San Diego, Califormia, U.S.A., pp. 155-172.
83. Von Storch, H.: 1995, 'Spatial Patterns: EOFs and CCA', in von Storch, H. and Navarra, A. (eds.), Analysis of Climate Variability, Applications of Statistical Techniques, Springer, Berlin, pp. 259-279.
84. Vose, R. S., Schmoyer, R. L., Steurer, P. M., Peterson T. C., Heim, R., Karl, T. R., and Eischeid, J. K.: 1992, The Global Historical Climatology Network: Long-Term Monthly Temperature, Precipitation, Sea Level Pressure, and Station Pressure Data, ORNL/CDIAC-53, Environmental Science Division, Pub. No. 3912.
85. WMO: 1998, 'The Global Climate System Review, December 1993-May 1996', Nicholls, J. M. (ed.), World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme, WMO No. 856, 95 pp.
86. Wolodarsky-Franke, A., Lara, A., Aravena, J. C., and Cuq, E.: 2000, 'Dendroclimatology of Nothofagus pumilio Treeline Forests in the Aysén Region, Chile (43°to 48° S)', International Conference on Dendrochronology for the Third Millenium, Abstracts Vol., Mendoza, Argentina, 249 pp.