메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 15, Issue 4, 2006, Pages 327-348

Compressed foresight and narrative bias: Pitfalls in assessing high technology futures

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 74349083924     PISSN: 09505431     EISSN: 14701189     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/09505430601022668     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (67)

References (79)
  • 3
    • 34249938635 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Too little, too late? Research policies on the societal implications of nanotechnology in the United States
    • Bennett, I., and Sarewitz, D., 2006. Too little, too late? Research policies on the societal implications of nanotechnology in the United States. Science as Culture, 15 (4)
    • (2006) Science as Culture , vol.15 , Issue.4
    • Bennett, I.1    Sarewitz, D.2
  • 4
    • 34250071433 scopus 로고
    • Do not despair: There is life after constructivism
    • Bijker, W., 1993. Do not despair:there is life after constructivism. Science, Technology and Human Values, 18 (4):113–138.
    • (1993) Science, Technology and Human Values , vol.18 , Issue.4 , pp. 113-138
    • Bijker, W.1
  • 6
    • 85035339100 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hope against hype—accountability in biopasts, presents and futures
    • Brown, N., 2003. Hope against hype—accountability in biopasts, presents and futures. Science Studies, 16 (2):3–21.
    • (2003) Science Studies , vol.16 , Issue.2 , pp. 3-21
    • Brown, N.1
  • 9
    • 18944374086 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Public participation: Agoras, ancient and modern, and a framework for science–society debate
    • Davenport, S., and Leith, S., 2005. Public participation:agoras, ancient and modern, and a framework for science–society debate. Science and Public Policy, 32 (2):137–153.
    • (2005) Science and Public Policy , vol.32 , Issue.2 , pp. 137-153
    • Davenport, S.1    Leith, S.2
  • 10
    • 0242654340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • London: Department of Trade and Industry, DTI/Pub 6914/0.5 k/09/03/NP, URN 03/1292
    • Department of Trade Industry. 2003. GM Nation? The Findings of the Public Debate, London:Department of Trade and Industry, DTI/Pub 6914/0.5 k/09/03/NP, URN 03/1292. Available at:http://www.dti.gov.uk
    • (2003) GM Nation? The Findings of the Public Debate
  • 15
    • 0004832578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring expertise: Issues and perspectives
    • Williams R., Faulkner W., Fleck J., (eds), Basingstoke: Macmillan
    • Faulkner, W., Fleck, J., and Williams, R., 1998. “ Exploring expertise:issues and perspectives ”. In Exploring Expertise, Edited by:Williams, R., Faulkner, W., and Fleck, J., 1–27. Basingstoke:Macmillan.
    • (1998) Exploring Expertise , pp. 1-27
    • Faulkner, W.1    Fleck, J.2    Williams, R.3
  • 16
    • 21644484994 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lessons learned from the Ethical, Legal and Social Implications (ELSI): Planning societal implications research for the National Nanotechnology Programme
    • Fisher, E., 2005. Lessons learned from the Ethical, Legal and Social Implications (ELSI):planning societal implications research for the National Nanotechnology Programme. Technology in Society, 27 (3):321–328.
    • (2005) Technology in Society , vol.27 , Issue.3 , pp. 321-328
    • Fisher, E.1
  • 17
    • 0002182480 scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of I.T. implementation: A reassessment of paradigms and trajectories of development
    • Fleck, J., Webster, J., and Williams, R., 1990. The dynamics of I.T. implementation:a reassessment of paradigms and trajectories of development. Futures, 22:618–640.
    • (1990) Futures , vol.22 , pp. 618-640
    • Fleck, J.1    Webster, J.2    Williams, R.3
  • 19
    • 0038746736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Levels of expertise and trading zones: A framework for multidisciplinary collaboration
    • Gorman, M. E., 2002. Levels of expertise and trading zones:a framework for multidisciplinary collaboration. Social Studies of Science, 32 (5–6):933–938.
    • (2002) Social Studies of Science , vol.32 , Issue.5-6 , pp. 933-938
    • Gorman, M.E.1
  • 22
    • 84883236236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CRIs in the wilderness: Toward centers for responsible innovation in the commercialized academy
    • Stein D., (ed), New Brunswick: Rutgers University Press
    • Guston, D. H., 2004. “ CRIs in the wilderness:toward centers for responsible innovation in the commercialized academy ”. In Buying In or Selling Out:Essays in the Commercialization of the American Research University, Edited by:Stein, D., 161–174. New Brunswick:Rutgers University Press.
    • (2004) Buying In or Selling Out: Essays in the Commercialization of the American Research University , pp. 161-174
    • Guston, D.H.1
  • 23
  • 24
    • 84936628244 scopus 로고
    • Situated knowledge: The science question in feminism as a site of discourse on the privilege of partial perspective
    • Haraway, D., 1988. Situated knowledge:the science question in feminism as a site of discourse on the privilege of partial perspective. Feminist Studies, 14 (3):575–599.
    • (1988) Feminist Studies , vol.14 , Issue.3 , pp. 575-599
    • Haraway, D.1
  • 25
    • 85024592676 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large policy issues for small scale technology (Report prepared for the American Institute of Chemical Engineers & the National Science Foundation)
    • Washington Internships for Students of Engineering (Washington, DC). : (accessed 15 June 2006)
    • Hathaway and Kyle. 2000. Large policy issues for small scale technology (Report prepared for the American Institute of Chemical Engineers & the National Science Foundation). Journal of Engineering and Public Policy, 4 Washington Internships for Students of Engineering (Washington, DC). Available at:http://www.wise-intern.org/journal00/khathaway2000.pdf (accessed 15 June 2006)
    • (2000) Journal of Engineering and Public Policy , vol.4
    • Hathaway1    Kyle2
  • 26
    • 0003802467 scopus 로고
    • Baltimore, MD and London: Johns Hopkins University Press
    • Hughes, T., 1983. Networks of Power, Baltimore, MD and London:Johns Hopkins University Press.
    • (1983) Networks of Power
    • Hughes, T.1
  • 27
  • 28
    • 0037967292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can ‘the public’ be considered as a fourth helix in university–industry–government relations? Report of the Fourth Triple Helix conference
    • Leydesdorff, L., and Etzkowitz, H., 2003. Can ‘the public’ be considered as a fourth helix in university–industry–government relations? Report of the Fourth Triple Helix conference. Science and Public Policy, 30 (1):55–61.
    • (2003) Science and Public Policy , vol.30 , Issue.1 , pp. 55-61
    • Leydesdorff, L.1    Etzkowitz, H.2
  • 32
    • 0038603716 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The certainty trough
    • Williams R., Faulkner W., Fleck J., (eds), Basingstoke: Macmillan
    • MacKenzie, D., 1998. “ The certainty trough ”. In Exploring Expertise, Edited by:Williams, R., Faulkner, W., and Fleck, J., 325–329. Basingstoke:Macmillan.
    • (1998) Exploring Expertise , pp. 325-329
    • MacKenzie, D.1
  • 34
    • 6444244368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Informing technology policy decisions: The US Human Genome Project's Ethical, Legal, and Social Implications programs as a critical case
    • McCain, L., 2002. Informing technology policy decisions:the US Human Genome Project's Ethical, Legal, and Social Implications programs as a critical case. Technology in Society, 24:111–132.
    • (2002) Technology in Society , vol.24 , pp. 111-132
    • McCain, L.1
  • 35
    • 0037344931 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mind the gap’: Science and ethics in nanotechnology
    • Mnyusiwalla, A. D., Abdallah, S., and Singer, P. A., 2003. ‘Mind the gap’:science and ethics in nanotechnology. Nanotechnology, 14:R9–R13.
    • (2003) Nanotechnology , vol.14 , pp. R9-R13
    • Mnyusiwalla, A.D.1    Abdallah, S.2    Singer, P.A.3
  • 36
    • 0002222334 scopus 로고
    • Social choice in machine design: The case of automatically controlled machine tools
    • Zimbalist A., (ed), New York: Monthly Review Press
    • Noble, D., 1979. “ Social choice in machine design:the case of automatically controlled machine tools ”. In Case Studies on the Labour Process, Edited by:Zimbalist, A., 18–50. New York:Monthly Review Press.
    • (1979) Case Studies on the Labour Process , pp. 18-50
    • Noble, D.1
  • 38
    • 84972633924 scopus 로고
    • The social construction of facts and artefacts: Or how the sociology of science and the sociology of technology might benefit each other
    • Pinch, T., and Bijker, W., 1984. The social construction of facts and artefacts:or how the sociology of science and the sociology of technology might benefit each other. Social Studies of Science, 14 (3):399–441.
    • (1984) Social Studies of Science , vol.14 , Issue.3 , pp. 399-441
    • Pinch, T.1    Bijker, W.2
  • 39
    • 84972596128 scopus 로고
    • Normative reflexions on constructivist approaches to science and technology
    • Radder, H., 1992. Normative reflexions on constructivist approaches to science and technology. Social Studies of Science, 22 (1):141–173.
    • (1992) Social Studies of Science , vol.22 , Issue.1 , pp. 141-173
    • Radder, H.1
  • 41
    • 85024566498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Presentation to workshop ‘Does STS Mean Business Too?’, Oxford. : Said Business School, mimeo, : (accessed 15 June 2006), June
    • Rip, A., There is mainstreaming, loss of critical distance:are STS scholars finally growing up?. Presentation to workshop ‘Does STS Mean Business Too?’. June292005, Oxford. Said Business School. mimeo, Available at:www.sbs.ox.ac.uk/downloads/sts2-rip.pdf (accessed 15 June 2006)
    • There is mainstreaming, loss of critical distance: Are STS scholars finally growing up?
    • Rip, A.1
  • 43
    • 1842520859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying loci for influencing the dynamics of technological development
    • Sørensen K.H., Williams R., (eds), Aldershot: Edward Elgar
    • Rip, A., and Schot, J., 2002. “ Identifying loci for influencing the dynamics of technological development ”. In Shaping Technology, Guiding Policy:Concepts, Spaces and Tools, Edited by:Sørensen, K. H., and Williams, R., 155–172. Aldershot:Edward Elgar.
    • (2002) Shaping Technology, Guiding Policy: Concepts, Spaces and Tools , pp. 155-172
    • Rip, A.1    Schot, J.2
  • 49
    • 1842622509 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Concepts, spaces and tools for action? Exploring the policy potential of the social shaping of technology perspective
    • Sørensen K.H., Williams R., (eds), Aldershot: Edward Elgar
    • Russell, S., and Williams, R., 2002a. “ Concepts, spaces and tools for action? Exploring the policy potential of the social shaping of technology perspective ”. In Shaping Technology, Guiding Policy:Concepts, Spaces and Tools, Edited by:Sørensen, K. H., and Williams, R., 133–154. Aldershot:Edward Elgar.
    • (2002) Shaping Technology, Guiding Policy: Concepts, Spaces and Tools , pp. 133-154
    • Russell, S.1    Williams, R.2
  • 50
    • 25644432510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social shaping of technology: Frameworks, findings and implications for policy, with glossary of social shaping concepts
    • Knut H.S., Robin W., (eds), Aldershot: Edward Elgar
    • Russell, S., and Williams, R., 2002b. “ Social shaping of technology:frameworks, findings and implications for policy, with glossary of social shaping concepts ”. In Shaping Technology, Guiding Policy:Concepts, Spaces and Tools, Edited by:Knut, H. Sørensen, and Robin, Williams. 37–132. Aldershot:Edward Elgar.
    • (2002) Shaping Technology, Guiding Policy: Concepts, Spaces and Tools , pp. 37-132
    • Russell, S.1    Williams, R.2
  • 51
    • 0035354451 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of change in research work: Constructing a new research area in a research group
    • Saari, E., and Miettinen, R., 2001. Dynamics of change in research work:constructing a new research area in a research group. Science, Technology & Human Values, 26 (3):300–321.
    • (2001) Science, Technology & Human Values , vol.26 , Issue.3 , pp. 300-321
    • Saari, E.1    Miettinen, R.2
  • 53
    • 84965404499 scopus 로고
    • Constructive technology assessment and technology dynamics: The case of clean technologies
    • Schot, J., 1992. Constructive technology assessment and technology dynamics:the case of clean technologies. Science, Technology & Human Values, 17 (1):36–56.
    • (1992) Science, Technology & Human Values , vol.17 , Issue.1 , pp. 36-56
    • Schot, J.1
  • 54
    • 84938601780 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bibliography of studies on nanoscience and nanotechnology
    • Baird D., Nordmann A., Schummer J., (eds), Amsterdam: IOS Press
    • Schummer, J., 2004. “ Bibliography of studies on nanoscience and nanotechnology ”. In Discovering the Nanoscale, Edited by:Baird, D., Nordmann, A., and Schummer, J., 311–316. Amsterdam:IOS Press.
    • (2004) Discovering the Nanoscale , pp. 311-316
    • Schummer, J.1
  • 55
    • 85024587578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Megabucks for nanotech
    • Scientific American; The Editors. 2001. Megabucks for nanotech. Scientific American, 285 (3):8
    • (2001) Scientific American , vol.285 , Issue.3 , pp. 8
  • 56
    • 0023324565 scopus 로고
    • Perception of risk
    • Slovic, P., 1987. Perception of risk. Science, 236 (17 April):280–285.
    • (1987) Science , vol.236 , Issue.17 April , pp. 280-285
    • Slovic, P.1
  • 57
    • 85024587783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Proceedings of the Joint Conference of The Society for Social Studies of Science (4S) and the European Association for the Study of Science and Technology (EASST), Paris. : Ecole des Mines de Paris, Centre de Sociologie de l'innovation)
    • Society for Social Studies of Science. Proceedings of the Joint Conference of The Society for Social Studies of Science (4S) and the European Association for the Study of Science and Technology (EASST). Paris. Public Proofs. Science, Technology and Democracy—Preuves Publiques. Science, technologie et démocratie, Ecole des Mines de Paris, Centre de Sociologie de l'innovation).
    • Public Proofs. Science, Technology and Democracy—Preuves Publiques. Science, technologie et démocratie
  • 58
    • 0141772345 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social shaping on the move? On the policy relevance of the social shaping of technology perspective
    • Sørensen K.H., Williams R., (eds), Aldershot: Edward Elgar
    • Sørensen, K. H., 2002. “ Social shaping on the move? On the policy relevance of the social shaping of technology perspective ”. In Shaping Technology, Guiding Policy:Concepts, Spaces and Tools, Edited by:Sørensen, K. H., and Williams, R., 17–34. Aldershot:Edward Elgar.
    • (2002) Shaping Technology, Guiding Policy: Concepts, Spaces and Tools , pp. 17-34
    • Sørensen, K.H.1
  • 59
    • 1842587388 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cultural politics of technology: Combining critical and constructive interventions?
    • Sørensen, K. H., 2004. Cultural politics of technology:combining critical and constructive interventions?. Science Technology & Human Values, 29:184–190.
    • (2004) Science Technology & Human Values , vol.29 , pp. 184-190
    • Sørensen, K.H.1
  • 62
    • 0014684374 scopus 로고
    • Social benefit versus technological risk
    • Starr, C., 1969. Social benefit versus technological risk. Science, 165 (19 September):1232–1238.
    • (1969) Science , vol.165 , Issue.19 September , pp. 1232-1238
    • Starr, C.1
  • 64
    • 84882028979 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The wrong trousers? Beyond the design fallacy: Social learning and the user
    • Howcroft D., Trauth E.M., (eds), Cheltenham: Edward Elgar
    • Stewart, J., and Williams, R., 2005. “ The wrong trousers? Beyond the design fallacy:social learning and the user ”. In Critical Information Systems Handbook, Edited by:Howcroft, D., and Trauth, E. M., 194–221. Cheltenham:Edward Elgar.
    • (2005) Critical Information Systems Handbook , pp. 194-221
    • Stewart, J.1    Williams, R.2
  • 65
    • 0011295546 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Waiting for breakthroughs
    • Stix, G., 1996. Waiting for breakthroughs. Scientific American, 274 (4):36
    • (1996) Scientific American , vol.274 , Issue.4 , pp. 36
    • Stix, G.1
  • 66
    • 0035451441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Little big science
    • Stix, G., 2001. Little big science. Scientific American, 285 (3):94–99.
    • (2001) Scientific American , vol.285 , Issue.3 , pp. 94-99
    • Stix, G.1
  • 67
    • 0032820719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Policy approaches to research and development: Foresight, framework and competitiveness
    • Tait, J., and Williams, R., 1999. Policy approaches to research and development:foresight, framework and competitiveness. Science and Public Policy, 26 (2):101–112.
    • (1999) Science and Public Policy , vol.26 , Issue.2 , pp. 101-112
    • Tait, J.1    Williams, R.2
  • 68
    • 84859578946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stockport: UK Biobank, : (accessed 24 September 2003)
    • UK Biobank. 2003. Ethics and Governance Framework, Stockport:UK Biobank. Available at:www.ukbiobank.ac.uk (accessed 24 September 2003)
    • (2003) Ethics and Governance Framework
  • 69
    • 0038855110 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The rise of membrane technology: From rhetorics to social reality
    • van Lente, H., and Rip, A., 1998a. The rise of membrane technology:from rhetorics to social reality. Social Studies of Science, 28 (2):221–254.
    • (1998) Social Studies of Science , vol.28 , Issue.2 , pp. 221-254
    • van Lente, H.1    Rip, A.2
  • 70
    • 0007730173 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expectations in technological developments: An example of prospective structures to be filled in by agency
    • Disco C., van der Meulen B., (eds), New York: Walter de Gruyter
    • van Lente, H., and Rip, A., 1998b. “ Expectations in technological developments:an example of prospective structures to be filled in by agency ”. In Getting New Technologies Together:Studies in Making Sociotechnical Order, Edited by:Disco, C., and van der Meulen, B., 203–229. New York:Walter de Gruyter.
    • (1998) Getting New Technologies Together: Studies in Making Sociotechnical Order , pp. 203-229
    • van Lente, H.1    Rip, A.2
  • 74
    • 77955003937 scopus 로고
    • Do artefacts have politics?
    • Winner, L., 1980. Do artefacts have politics?. Daedalus,:121–136.
    • (1980) Daedalus , pp. 121-136
    • Winner, L.1
  • 77
    • 0038070115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science studies and activism: Possibilities and problems for reconstructivist agendas
    • Woodhouse, E., Hess, D., Breyman, S., and Martin, B., 2002. Science studies and activism:possibilities and problems for reconstructivist agendas. Social Studies of Science, 32 (2):297–319.
    • (2002) Social Studies of Science , vol.32 , Issue.2 , pp. 297-319
    • Woodhouse, E.1    Hess, D.2    Breyman, S.3    Martin, B.4
  • 78
    • 84928832559 scopus 로고
    • The turn to technology in social studies of science
    • Woolgar, S., 1991. The turn to technology in social studies of science. Science, Technology & Human Values, 16 (1):20–50.
    • (1991) Science, Technology & Human Values , vol.16 , Issue.1 , pp. 20-50
    • Woolgar, S.1
  • 79
    • 21744433896 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Creating public alienation: Expert cultures of risk and ethics on GMOs
    • Wynne, B., 2001. Creating public alienation:expert cultures of risk and ethics on GMOs. Science as Culture, 10 (4):445–481.
    • (2001) Science as Culture , vol.10 , Issue.4 , pp. 445-481
    • Wynne, B.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.