Evacuation modelling in the United States: Does the demand model choice matter?

Transport Reviews

Volumn 28, Issue 6, 2008, Pages 757-779

  Yazici, Mustafa Anil ^a   Ozbay, Kaan ^a  

^a Rutgers University   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

LITERATURE REVIEW; MODELING; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SOFTWARE; TRAVEL TIME;

NORTH AMERICA; UNITED STATES;

EID: 57049152995     PISSN: 01441647     EISSN: 14645327     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/01441640802041812     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Aguirre, B. (1993) Planning, warning, evacuation, and search and rescue: a review of the social science research literature. Proceedings of the United States-Former Soviet Union Seminar on Social Science Research on Mitigation for and Recovery from Disasters and Large Scale Hazards. Volume I: The American Participation Disaster Research Center, University of Delaware, pp. 210-240. Newark, DE
2. Alsnih, R. and Stopher, P. R. (2004) A review of the procedures associated with devising emergency evacuation plans. Paper presented at the 83rd annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board Washington, DC
3. Baker, E. J. (1991) Hurricane evacuation behavior. International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters, 9:2, pp. 287-310.
4. Baker, E. J. (2000) Hurricane evacuation in the United States. Storms, 1, pp. 306-319.
5. Cape May County Planning Department (2003) Cape May County Data Book, Author, Cape May, NJ
6. Chen, X., Meaker, J. W. and Zhan, F. B. (2006) Agent-based modeling and analysis of hurricane evacuation procedures for the Florida keys. Natural Hazards, 38:3, pp. 321-338.
7. Chien, S. I.-Jy., Mouskos, K. C. and Ziliaskopoulos, A. K. (2005) Development of a Dynamic Simulation/Assignment Model for NJDOT's I80 ITS Priority Corridor
8. Chien, S. I.-Jy. and Opie, K. (2006) Analysis and Modeling of Cape May County Roadway Elevations and Evacuation Routes
9. Chiu, Y.-C., Korada, P. and Mirchandani, P. B. (2005) Dynamic traffic management for evacuation. Paper presented at the 84th annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board Washington, DC
10. Church, R. L. and Sexton, R. M. (2002) Modeling Small Area Evacuation: Can Existing Transportation Infrastructure Impede Public Safety? California Department of Transportation, Testbed Center for Interoperability, Task Order 3021, Final Report, VITAL, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA
11. Comprehensive Hurricane Data Preparedness Study Website, U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency and U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (2007)
12. Cova, T. J. and Johnson, J. P. (2002) Microsimulation of neighborhood evacuations in the urban wildland interface. Environment and Planning A, 34, pp. 2211-2229.
13. Daganzo, C. F. (1994) The cell transmission model: A simple dynamic representation of highway traffic consistent with the hydrodynamic theory. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 28, pp. 269-287.
14. Daganzo, C. F. (1995) The cell transmission model, Part II: Network traffic. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 29, pp. 79-93.
15. Dow, K. and Cutter, S. L. (1997) Crying wolf: Repeat responses to hurricane evacuation orders. Coastal Management, 26, pp. 237-251.
16. Dow, K. and Cutter, S. L. (2000) Public orders and personal opinions: household strategies for hurricane risk assessment. Environmental Hazards, 2:4, pp. 143-155.
17. Fu, H. (2004) Development of dynamic travel demand models for hurricane evacuation. PhD thesis, Louisiana State University
18. Fu, H. and Wilmot, C. G. (2004) Sequential logit dynamic travel demand model for hurricane evacuation. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1882, pp. 19-26.
19. Fu, H. and Wilmot, C. G. (2007) Static versus dynamic and aggregate versus disaggregate: A comparison between practice and research in hurricane evacuation travel demand modeling. Paper presented at the 86th annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board Washington, DC
20. Fu, H., Wilmot, C. G. and Baker, E. J. (2007) Sequential logit dynamic travel demand model and its transferability. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1977, pp. 17-26.
21. Gladwin, H. and Peacock, W. G. (1997) Warning and evacuation: A night of hard choices. Hurricane Andrew: Ethnicity, Gender and the Sociology of Disasters, pp. 52-74. Routledge, London
22. Han, A. F. (1990) TEVACS, decision support system for evacuation planning in Taiwan. Journal of Transportation Engineering, 116:6, pp. 821-830.
23. HMM Associates (1980) Evacuation Time Estimates for Area Near Pilgrim Station, Boston Edison, Boston, MA
24. Hobeika, A. G. (2002) TEDSS - a software for evacuating people around nuclear power stations. Applications of Advanced Technology in Transportation, pp. 688-695.
25. Hobeika, A. G. and Jamei, B. (1985) MASSVAC: A model for calculating evacuation times under natural disaster. Proceedings of the Conference Computer Simulation in Emergency Planning Society of Computer Simulation, 15, pp. 5-15. La Jolla, CA
26. Hobeika, A. G. and Kim, C. (1998) Comparison of traffic assignments in evacuation modeling. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 45:2, pp. 192-198.
27. Hobeika, A. G., Kim, S. and Beckwith, R. E. (1994) A decision support system for developing evacuation plans around nuclear power stations. Interfaces Journal, 24:5, pp. 22-35.
28. Irwin, M. D. and Hurlbert, J. S. (1995) A Behavioral Analysis of Hurricane Preparedness and Evacuation in Southwestern Louisiana, Louisiana Population Data Center, Baton Rouge, LA
29. Johnson, J. and Zeigler, D. (1986) Modeling evacuation behavior during the Three Mile Island reactor crisis. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 20:3, pp. 165-171.
30. Kicinger, R. and Bronzini, M. (2006) Model of a self-organizing traffic management hazard response system. Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on the Applications of Advanced Technology in Transportation Chicago, IL
31. KLD Associates (1984) Formulations of the DYNEV and I-DYNEV traffic simulation models used in ESF, Prepared for the Federal Emergency Management Agency
32. Kwon, E. (2004) Development of Operational Strategies for Travel Time Estimation and Emergency Evacuation on a Freeway Network. Final Report, Minnesota Department of Transportation, St Paul, MN
33. Kwon, E. and Pitt, S. (2005) Evaluation of emergency evacuation strategies for downtown event traffic using a dynamic network model. Journal of the Transportation Research Board, p. 1922.
34. Lewis, D. C. (1985) Transportation planning for hurricane evacuations. Institute of Transportation Engineers Journal, 55:8, pp. 31-35.
35. McGhee, C. C. and Grimes, M. C. (2006) An Operational Analysis of the Hampton Roads Hurricane Evacuation Traffic. Report No. VTRC 06-R15, Virginia Department of Transportation, Richmond, VA
36. Mei, B. (2002) Development of trip generation models of hurricane evacuation. MS thesis, Louisiana State University
37. Moeller, M. P., Urbanik, T. and Desrosiers, A. E. (1981) CLEAR (calculated logical evacuation and response): A generic transportation network model for the calculation of evacuation time estimates, Prepared for the Nuclear Regulatory Commission by Pacific Northwest Laboratory
38. Moriarty, K. D., Ni, D. and Collura, J. (2007) Modeling traffic flow under emergency evacuation situations: Current practice and future directions. Paper presented at the 86th annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board Washington, DC
39. Ozbay, K. and Yazici, M. A. (2006) Analysis of network-wide impacts of behavioral response curves for evacuation conditions. Proceedings of the IEEE ITSC 2006 Conference Toronto
40. Ozbay, K., Yazici, M. A. and Chien, S. I.-Jy. (2006) Study of the network-wide impact of various demand generation methods under hurricane evacuation conditions. Paper presented at the 85th annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board Washington, DC
41. Perry, R. W., Lindell, M. K. and Greene, M. R. (1981) Evacuation Planning in Emergency Management, Lexington Books, Lanham, MD
42. Post, Buckley, Schuh & Jernigan (PBS&J) (2000) Southeast United States Hurricane Evacuation Study, Evacuation Traffic Information System (ETIS) for U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Mobile District and U.S. Department of Transportation
43. Prater, C., Wenger, D. and Grady, K. (2000) Hurricane Bret Post-Storm Assessment: A Review of the Utilization of Hurricane Evacuation Studies and Information Dissemination, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
44. Radwan, A. E., Hobeika, A. G. and Sivasailam, D. (1985) A computer simulation model for rural network evacuation under natural disasters. Institute of Transportation Engineers Journal, 55:9, pp. 25-30.
45. Radwan, A. E., Mansooreh, M., Mitchell, S. and Yildirim, G. (2005) Framework for Modeling Emergency Evacuation. Report submitted to Florida Department of Transportation, CATSS, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL
46. Regional Development Service (RDS) (1999) Executive Summary of a Socioeconomic Hurricane Impact Analysis and a Hurricane Evacuation Impact Assessment Tool (Methodology) for Coastal North Carolina: A Case Study of Hurricane Bonnie, Department of Sociology, and Department of Economics, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
47. Riad, J. K. and Norris, F. (1998) Hurricane Threat and Evacuation Intentions: An Analysis of Risk Perception, Preparedness, Social Influence, and Resources, Disaster Research Center, University of Delaware, Newark, DE
48. Riad, J. K., Norris, F. and Ruback, R. B. (1997) Predicting evacuation from two major disasters. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 29, pp. 918-934.
49. Sheffi, Y., Mahmassani, H. and Powell, W. B. (1982) A transportation network evacuation model. Transportation Research Part A, 16:3, pp. 209-218.
50. Sisiopiku, V. P., Jones, S. L., Sullivan, A. J., Patharkar, S. S. and Tang, X. (2004) Regional Traffic Simulation for Emergency Preparedness
51. Sorensen, J. H., Vogt, B. M. and Mileti, D. S. (1987) Evacuation: An Assessment of Planning and Research, Report prepared for the Federal Emergency Management Agency, Washington, DC
52. Theodoulou, G. (2002) Contraflow evacuation on the westbound I-10 out of the city of New Orleans. MSc thesis, Louisiana State University
53. Tufekci, S. and Kisko, T. (1991) Regional evacuation modeling system (REMS): A decision support system for emergency area evacuations. Computers Industrial Engineering, 21:1, pp. 89-93.
54. Tuydes, H. and Ziliaskopoulos, A. K. (2006) A Tabu-based heuristic approach for the optimization of network evacuation contraflow. Paper presented at the 85th annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board Washington, DC
55. Tweedie, S., Rowland, J., Walsh, S. and Rhoten, R. (1986) A methodology for estimating emergency evacuation times. Social Science Journal, 23:2, pp. 189-204.
56. Urbanik, T. (1978) Texas Hurricane Evacuation Study, Texas Transportation Institute, College Station, TX
57. Urbanik, T. and Desrosler, A. E. (1981) An Analysis of Evacuation Time Estimates Around 52 Nuclear Power Plant Sites: An Evacuation. Report No. NUREG/CR 7856, 1, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Rockville, MD
58. US Army Corps of Engineers, Galveston District (1979) Texas Coast Hurricane Study: Galveston Bay Study Segment, US Army Corps of Engineers, Galveston, TX
59. Whitehead, J. C. (2003) One million dollars per mile? The opportunity costs of hurricane evacuation. Ocean & Coastal Management, 46, pp. 1069-1083.
60. Whitehead, J. C., Edwards, B., Van Willigen, M., Maiolo, J. and Wilson, K. (2000) Hurricane evacuation behavior: A preliminary comparison of Bonnie, Dennis, and Floyd. Conference on Social, Physical, and Economic Impacts on Groups and Individuals East Carolina University
61. Whitehead, J. C., Edwards, B., Van Willigen, M., Maiolo, J. and Wilson, K. (2000) Heading for higher ground factors affecting real and hypothetical hurricane evacuation behavior. Environmental Hazards, 2, pp. 133-142.
62. William, B. M., Tagliaferri, A. P., Meinhold, S. S., Hummer, J. E. and Rouphail, N. M. (2007) Simulation and analysis of freeway lane reversal for coastal hurricane evacuation. Journal of Urban Planning and Development, 133:1, pp. 61-72.
63. Wilmot, C. G. and Mei, B. (2004) Comparison of alternative trip generation models for hurricane evacuation. Natural Hazards Review, 5, pp. 170-178.
64. Wolshon, B., Urbina, E., Wilmot, C. and Levitan, M. (2005) Review of policies and practices for hurricane evacuation. I: Transportation planning, preparedness, and response. Natural Hazards Review, 6:3, pp. 129-142.
65. Ziliaskopoulos, A. K. (2000) A linear programming model for the single destination system optimum dynamic traffic assignment problem. Transportation Science, 34:1, pp. 37-49.