-
1
-
-
0009826384
-
Assessing the adequacy of natural science information - a Bayesian approach
-
Adams RM, Crocker TD, Katz RW (1984) Assessing the adequacy of natural science information - a Bayesian approach. Rev Econ Stat 66:568-575
-
(1984)
Rev Econ Stat
, vol.66
, pp. 568-575
-
-
Adams, R.M.1
Crocker, T.D.2
Katz, R.W.3
-
2
-
-
0037471002
-
Abrupt climate change
-
Alley RB, Marotzke J, Nordhaus WD, Overpeck JT, Peteet DM, Pielke RA, Pierrehumbert RT, Rhines PB, Stocker TF, Talley LD, Wallace JM (2003) Abrupt climate change. Science 299:2005-2010
-
(2003)
Science
, vol.299
, pp. 2005-2010
-
-
Alley, R.B.1
Marotzke, J.2
Nordhaus, W.D.3
Overpeck, J.T.4
Peteet, D.M.5
Pielke, R.A.6
Pierrehumbert, R.T.7
Rhines, P.B.8
Stocker, T.F.9
Talley, L.D.10
Wallace, J.M.11
-
3
-
-
54949114670
-
Detecting potential changes in the meridional overturning circulation at 26 °N in the Atlantic
-
Baehr J, Keller K, Marotzke J (2007a) Detecting potential changes in the meridional overturning circulation at 26 °N in the Atlantic. Clim Change, http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9153-z
-
(2007)
Clim Change
-
-
Baehr, J.1
Keller, K.2
Marotzke, J.3
-
4
-
-
84872984858
-
Global optimization of an observing system design for the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
-
(in review). Available at
-
Baehr J, McInerney D, Keller K, Marotzke J (2007) Global optimization of an observing system design for the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, J Atmos Oceanic Technol (in review). Available at: http://www.geosc.psu.edu/~kkeller/publications.html
-
(2007)
J Atmos Oceanic Technol
-
-
Baehr, J.1
McInerney, D.2
Keller, K.3
Marotzke, J.4
-
5
-
-
84873012546
-
Observing oxygen improves the detection capabilities of an ocean observation array
-
(in review). Available at
-
Brennan C, Matear R, Keller K (2007) Observing oxygen improves the detection capabilities of an ocean observation array. J Geophys Res Oceans (in review). Available at: http://www.geosc.psu.edu/~kkeller/ publications.html
-
(2007)
J Geophys Res Oceans
-
-
Brennan, C.1
Matear, R.2
Keller, K.3
-
6
-
-
0028974495
-
Analysis of short-time series - Correcting for autocorrelation
-
Bence JR (1995) Analysis of short-time series - correcting for autocorrelation. Ecology 76:628-639
-
(1995)
Ecology
, vol.76
, pp. 628-639
-
-
Bence, J.R.1
-
9
-
-
33846929503
-
Towards the probability of rapid climate change
-
In: Schellnhuber HJ (ed) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
-
Challenor PG, Hankin RKS, March R (2006) Towards the probability of rapid climate change. In: Schellnhuber HJ (ed) Avoiding dangerous climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
-
(2006)
Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change
-
-
Challenor, P.G.1
Hankin, R.K.S.2
March, R.3
-
10
-
-
0042190515
-
Predictability of decadal variations in the thermohaline circulation and climate
-
Collins M, Sinha B (2003) Predictability of decadal variations in the thermohaline circulation and climate. Geophys Res Lett 30:1306
-
(2003)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.30
, pp. 1306
-
-
Collins, M.1
Sinha, B.2
-
11
-
-
26844462202
-
Atlantic thermohaline circulation in a coupled general circulation model: Unforced variations versus forced changes
-
Dai AG, Hu A, Meehl GA, Washington WM, Strand WG (2005) Atlantic thermohaline circulation in a coupled general circulation model: unforced variations versus forced changes. J Clim 18(16):3270-3293
-
(2005)
J Clim
, vol.18
, Issue.16
, pp. 3270-3293
-
-
Dai, A.G.1
Hu, A.2
Meehl, G.A.3
Washington, W.M.4
Strand, W.G.5
-
12
-
-
0033809760
-
Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere
-
Delworth TL, Mann ME (2000) Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Clim Dyn 16:661-676
-
(2000)
Clim Dyn
, vol.16
, pp. 661-676
-
-
Delworth, T.L.1
Mann, M.E.2
-
13
-
-
0034130859
-
Multidecadal thermohaline circulation variability driven by atmospheric surface flux forcing
-
Delworth TL, Greatbatch RJ (2000) Multidecadal thermohaline circulation variability driven by atmospheric surface flux forcing. J Clim 13(9):1481-1495
-
(2000)
J Clim
, vol.13
, Issue.9
, pp. 1481-1495
-
-
Delworth, T.L.1
Greatbatch, R.J.2
-
14
-
-
0033373383
-
The influence of transient surface fluxes on North Atlantic overturning in a coupled GCM climate change experiment
-
Dixon KW, Delworth TL, Spelman MJ, Stouffer RJ (1999) The influence of transient surface fluxes on North Atlantic overturning in a coupled GCM climate change experiment. Geophys Res Lett 26:2749-2752
-
(1999)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.26
, pp. 2749-2752
-
-
Dixon, K.W.1
Delworth, T.L.2
Spelman, M.J.3
Stouffer, R.J.4
-
15
-
-
0002276308
-
Assessment and propagation of model uncertainty
-
Draper D (1995) Assessment and propagation of model uncertainty. J Roy Stat Soc Ser B Methodol 57:45-97
-
(1995)
J Roy Stat Soc Ser B Methodol
, vol.57
, pp. 45-97
-
-
Draper, D.1
-
16
-
-
0031166563
-
Advanced data assimilation for strongly nonlinear dynamics
-
Evensen G (1997) Advanced data assimilation for strongly nonlinear dynamics. Monthly Weather Rev 125:1342-1354
-
(1997)
Monthly Weather Rev
, vol.125
, pp. 1342-1354
-
-
Evensen, G.1
-
17
-
-
0346216924
-
Implications of changes in freshwater flux from the Greenland ice sheet for the climate of the 21st. century
-
doi: 10.1029/2003GL017826
-
Fichefet T, Poncin C, Goosse H, Huybrechts P, Janssens I, Le Treut H (2003) Implications of changes in freshwater flux from the Greenland ice sheet for the climate of the 21st. century. Geophys Res Lett 30. doi: 10.1029/2003GL017826
-
(2003)
Geophys Res Lett
, pp. 30
-
-
Fichefet, T.1
Poncin, C.2
Goosse, H.3
Huybrechts, P.4
Janssens, I.5
Le Treut, H.6
-
18
-
-
0141902740
-
Error budget of inverse box models: The North Atlantic
-
Ganachaud A (2003) Error budget of inverse box models: The North Atlantic. J Atmos Oceanic Technol 20:1641-1655
-
(2003)
J Atmos Oceanic Technol
, vol.20
, pp. 1641-1655
-
-
Ganachaud, A.1
-
19
-
-
0035843151
-
Rapid changes of glacial climate simulated in a coupled climate model
-
Ganopolski A, Rahmstorf S (2001) Rapid changes of glacial climate simulated in a coupled climate model. Nature 409:153-158
-
(2001)
Nature
, vol.409
, pp. 153-158
-
-
Ganopolski, A.1
Rahmstorf, S.2
-
20
-
-
33748848850
-
Bayes linear calibrated prediction for complex systems
-
Goldstein M, Rougier JC (2006) Bayes linear calibrated prediction for complex systems. J Am Stat Assoc 101:1132-1143
-
(2006)
J Am Stat Assoc
, vol.101
, pp. 1132-1143
-
-
Goldstein, M.1
Rougier, J.C.2
-
21
-
-
25844465765
-
A model intercomparison of changes in the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration
-
Gregory JM, Dixon KW, Stouffer RJ, Weaver AJ, Driesschaert E, Eby M, Fichefet T, Hasumi H, Hu A, Jungclaus JH, Kamenkovich IV, Levermann A, Montoya M, Murakami S, Nawrath S, Oka A, Sokolov AP, Thorpe RB (2005) A model intercomparison of changes in the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration. Geophys Res Lett 32:L12703
-
(2005)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.32
-
-
Gregory, J.M.1
Dixon, K.W.2
Stouffer, R.J.3
Weaver, A.J.4
Driesschaert, E.5
Eby, M.6
Fichefet, T.7
Hasumi, H.8
Hu, A.9
Jungclaus, J.H.10
Kamenkovich, I.V.11
Levermann, A.12
Montoya, M.13
Murakami, S.14
Nawrath, S.15
Oka, A.16
Sokolov, A.P.17
Thorpe, R.B.18
-
22
-
-
0030621009
-
Predictability of North Atlantic multidecadal climate variability
-
Griffies SM, Bryan K (1997) Predictability of North Atlantic multidecadal climate variability. Science 275:181-184
-
(1997)
Science
, vol.275
, pp. 181-184
-
-
Griffies, S.M.1
Bryan, K.2
-
23
-
-
27544463979
-
Introducing BACCO, an R bundle for Bayesian analysis of computer code output
-
Hankin RKS (2005) Introducing BACCO, an R bundle for Bayesian analysis of computer code output. J Stat Softw 14(16):21
-
(2005)
J Stat Softw
, vol.14
, Issue.16
, pp. 21
-
-
Hankin, R.K.S.1
-
24
-
-
0036689332
-
Assimilation of paleo-data in a simple Earth system model
-
Hargreaves JC, Annan JD (2002) Assimilation of paleo-data in a simple Earth system model. Clim Dyn 19:371-381
-
(2002)
Clim Dyn
, vol.19
, pp. 371-381
-
-
Hargreaves, J.C.1
Annan, J.D.2
-
25
-
-
20844440745
-
Using ensemble prediction methods to examine regional climate variation under global warming scenarios
-
Hargreaves JC, Annan JD (2006) Using ensemble prediction methods to examine regional climate variation under global warming scenarios. Ocean Model 11:174-192
-
(2006)
Ocean Model
, vol.11
, pp. 174-192
-
-
Hargreaves, J.C.1
Annan, J.D.2
-
26
-
-
12744278428
-
An efficient climate forecasting method using an intermediate complexity Earth System Model and the ensemble Kalman filter
-
Hargreaves JC, Annan JD, Edwards NR, Marsh R (2004) An efficient climate forecasting method using an intermediate complexity Earth System Model and the ensemble Kalman filter. Clim Dyn 23:745-760
-
(2004)
Clim Dyn
, vol.23
, pp. 745-760
-
-
Hargreaves, J.C.1
Annan, J.D.2
Edwards, N.R.3
Marsh, R.4
-
27
-
-
0030838981
-
A Markov chain Monte Carlo method for estimation and assimilation into models
-
Harmon R, Challenor P (1997) A Markov chain Monte Carlo method for estimation and assimilation into models. Ecol Model 101:41-59
-
(1997)
Ecol Model
, vol.101
, pp. 41-59
-
-
Harmon, R.1
Challenor, P.2
-
28
-
-
77956890234
-
Monte-Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications
-
Hastings WK (1970) Monte-Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications. Biometrika 57:97-109
-
(1970)
Biometrika
, vol.57
, pp. 97-109
-
-
Hastings, W.K.1
-
29
-
-
0027847782
-
Optimal fingerprints for the detection of time-dependent climate-change
-
Hasselmann K (1993) Optimal fingerprints for the detection of time-dependent climate-change. J Clim 6(10):1957-1971
-
(1993)
J Clim
, vol.6
, Issue.10
, pp. 1957-1971
-
-
Hasselmann, K.1
-
30
-
-
16644399750
-
Detection of climate system bifurcations by degenerate fingerprinting
-
Held H, Kleinen T (2004) Detection of climate system bifurcations by degenerate fingerprinting. Geophys Res Lett 31(23):L23207
-
(2004)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.31
, Issue.23
-
-
Held, H.1
Kleinen, T.2
-
31
-
-
0034523469
-
The impact of rising atmospheric CO 2 on simulated sea ice induced thermohaline circulation variability
-
Holland MM, Brasket AJ, Weaver AJ (2000) The impact of rising atmospheric CO 2 on simulated sea ice induced thermohaline circulation variability. Geophys Res Lett 27(10):1519-1522
-
(2000)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.27
, Issue.10
, pp. 1519-1522
-
-
Holland, M.M.1
Brasket, A.J.2
Weaver, A.J.3
-
32
-
-
4544374979
-
Detecting thermohaline circulation changes from ocean properties in a coupled model
-
Hu AX, Meehl GA, Han WQ (2004) Detecting thermohaline circulation changes from ocean properties in a coupled model. Geophys Res Lett 31:L13204
-
(2004)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.31
-
-
Hu, A.X.1
Meehl, G.A.2
Han, W.Q.3
-
33
-
-
1942453071
-
Trends in marine dissolved oxygen: Implications for ocean circulation changes and the carbon budget
-
Joos F, Plattner G-K, Stocker TF, Körtzinger A, Wallace DWR (2003) Trends in marine dissolved oxygen: Implications for ocean circulation changes and the carbon budget. EOS 84:197-204
-
(2003)
EOS
, vol.84
, pp. 197-204
-
-
Joos, F.1
Plattner, G.-K.2
Stocker, T.F.3
Körtzinger, A.4
Wallace, D.W.R.5
-
35
-
-
33846901351
-
Early detection of changes in the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation: Implications for the design of ocean observation systems
-
Keller K, Deutsch C, Hall MG, Bradford DF (2007a) Early detection of changes in the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation: implications for the design of ocean observation systems. J Clim 20:145-157
-
(2007)
J Clim
, vol.20
, pp. 145-157
-
-
Keller, K.1
Deutsch, C.2
Hall, M.G.3
Bradford, D.F.4
-
36
-
-
54949136074
-
Managing the risks of climate thresholds: Uncertainties and information needs
-
Keller K, Schlesinger M, Yohe G (2007b) Managing the risks of climate thresholds: Uncertainties and information needs. Clim Change. http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9114-6
-
(2007)
Clim Change
-
-
Keller, K.1
Schlesinger, M.2
Yohe, G.3
-
37
-
-
38849155363
-
-
Working Paper Series, Research Unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University. FNU-124:
-
Keller K, Miltich LI, Robinson A, Tol RSJ (2007c) How overconfident are current projections of carbon dioxide emissions? Working Paper Series, Research Unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University. FNU-124: http://www.ideas.repec.org/s/sgc/wpaper.html
-
(2007)
How Overconfident Are Current Projections of Carbon Dioxide Emissions?
-
-
Keller, K.1
Miltich, L.I.2
Robinson, A.3
Tol, R.S.J.4
-
38
-
-
0036140084
-
Possible biological or physical explanations for decadal scale trends in North Pacific nutrient concentrations and oxygen utilization
-
Keller K, Slater R, Bender M, Key RM (2002) Possible biological or physical explanations for decadal scale trends in North Pacific nutrient concentrations and oxygen utilization. Deep-Sea-Res II 49:345-362
-
(2002)
Deep-Sea-Res II
, vol.49
, pp. 345-362
-
-
Keller, K.1
Slater, R.2
Bender, M.3
Key, R.M.4
-
39
-
-
0033779681
-
Preserving the ocean circulation: Implications for climate policy
-
Keller K, Tan K, Morel FMM, Bradford DF (2000) Preserving the ocean circulation: Implications for climate policy. Clim Change 47:17-43
-
(2000)
Clim Change
, vol.47
, pp. 17-43
-
-
Keller, K.1
Tan, K.2
Morel, F.M.M.3
Bradford, D.F.4
-
40
-
-
0348013345
-
Ensemble filtering for nonlinear dynamics
-
Kim S, Eyink GL, Restrepo JM, Alexander FJ, Johnson G (2003) Ensemble filtering for nonlinear dynamics. Monthly Weather Rev 131:2586-2594
-
(2003)
Monthly Weather Rev
, vol.131
, pp. 2586-2594
-
-
Kim, S.1
Eyink, G.L.2
Restrepo, J.M.3
Alexander, F.J.4
Johnson, G.5
-
41
-
-
0242482780
-
The potential role of spectral properties in detecting thresholds in the Earth system: Application to the thermohaline circulation
-
Kleinen T, Held H, Petschel-Held G (2003) The potential role of spectral properties in detecting thresholds in the Earth system: Application to the thermohaline circulation. Ocean Dyn 53:53-63
-
(2003)
Ocean Dyn
, vol.53
, pp. 53-63
-
-
Kleinen, T.1
Held, H.2
Petschel-Held, G.3
-
42
-
-
28944441534
-
A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate
-
Knight JR, Allan RJ, Folland CK, Vellinga M, Mann ME (2005) A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate. Geophys Res Lett 32:L20708
-
(2005)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.32
-
-
Knight, J.R.1
Allan, R.J.2
Folland, C.K.3
Vellinga, M.4
Mann, M.E.5
-
43
-
-
0142230508
-
Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks
-
Knutti R, Stocker TF, Joos F, Plattner GK (2003) Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks. Clim Dyn 21:257-272
-
(2003)
Clim Dyn
, vol.21
, pp. 257-272
-
-
Knutti, R.1
Stocker, T.F.2
Joos, F.3
Plattner, G.K.4
-
44
-
-
0034210560
-
Tropical stabilization of the thermohaline circulation in a greenhouse warming simulation
-
Latif M, Roeckner E, Mikolajewski U, Voss R (2000) Tropical stabilization of the thermohaline circulation in a greenhouse warming simulation. J Clim 13:1809-1813
-
(2000)
J Clim
, vol.13
, pp. 1809-1813
-
-
Latif, M.1
Roeckner, E.2
Mikolajewski, U.3
Voss, R.4
-
46
-
-
0037076360
-
A new decision sciences for complex systems
-
Lempert RJ (2002) A new decision sciences for complex systems. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 99:7309-7313
-
(2002)
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
, vol.99
, pp. 7309-7313
-
-
Lempert, R.J.1
-
47
-
-
84873010578
-
-
Working paper, Hamburg University, Department of Economics, Research Unit Sustainability and Global Change, Center for Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (ZMAW), pp 14. Available at
-
Link PM, Tol RSJ (2006) The economic impact of a slowdown of the thermohaline circulation: An application of fund. Working paper, Hamburg University, Department of Economics, Research Unit Sustainability and Global Change, Center for Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (ZMAW), pp 14. Available at http://www.uni-hamburg.de/Wiss/FB/15/Sustainability/ Working_Papers.htm
-
(2006)
The Economic Impact of A Slowdown of the Thermohaline Circulation: An Application of Fund
-
-
Link, P.M.1
Tol, R.S.J.2
-
48
-
-
0032764306
-
Dynamics and predictability of Stommel's box model. A phase-space perspective with implications for decadal climate variability
-
Lohmann G, Schneider J (1999) Dynamics and predictability of Stommel's box model. A phase-space perspective with implications for decadal climate variability. Tellus Series A-Dyn Meteorol Oceanogr 51:326-336
-
(1999)
Tellus Series A-Dyn Meteorol Oceanogr
, vol.51
, pp. 326-336
-
-
Lohmann, G.1
Schneider, J.2
-
49
-
-
0000241853
-
Deterministic nonperiodic flow
-
Lorenz EN (1963) Deterministic nonperiodic flow. J Atmos Sci 20:130-141
-
(1963)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.20
, pp. 130-141
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
50
-
-
0002105825
-
Climate Predictability
-
In: World Meteorological Organization, Washington
-
Lorenz EN (1975) Climate Predictability. In: The physical basis of climate modeling, World Meteorological Organization, Washington
-
(1975)
The Physical Basis of Climate Modeling
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
51
-
-
0028195351
-
Multiple-century response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide
-
Manabe S, Stouffer RJ (1994) Multiple-century response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide. J Clim 7:5-23
-
(1994)
J Clim
, vol.7
, pp. 5-23
-
-
Manabe, S.1
Stouffer, R.J.2
-
52
-
-
0034652114
-
Abrupt climate change and thermohaline circulation: Mechanisms and predictability
-
Marotzke J (2000) Abrupt climate change and thermohaline circulation: mechanisms and predictability. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 97:1347-1350
-
(2000)
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
, vol.97
, pp. 1347-1350
-
-
Marotzke, J.1
-
54
-
-
12744269658
-
Bistability of the thermohaline circulation identified through comprehensive 2-parameter sweeps of an efficient climate model
-
Marsh R, Yool A, Lenton TM, Gulamati MY, Edwards NR, Shepherd JG, Krznaric M, Newhouse S, Cox SJ (2004) Bistability of the thermohaline circulation identified through comprehensive 2-parameter sweeps of an efficient climate model. Clim Dyn 23:761-777
-
(2004)
Clim Dyn
, vol.23
, pp. 761-777
-
-
Marsh, R.1
Yool, A.2
Lenton, T.M.3
Gulamati, M.Y.4
Edwards, N.R.5
Shepherd, J.G.6
Krznaric, M.7
Newhouse, S.8
Cox, S.J.9
-
55
-
-
1942435219
-
Collapse and rapid resumption of Atlantic meridional circulation linked to deglacial climate changes
-
McManus JF, Francois R, Gherardi JM, Keigwin LD, Brown-Leger S (2004) Collapse and rapid resumption of Atlantic meridional circulation linked to deglacial climate changes. Nature 428:834-837
-
(2004)
Nature
, vol.428
, pp. 834-837
-
-
McManus, J.F.1
Francois, R.2
Gherardi, J.M.3
Keigwin, L.D.4
Brown-Leger, S.5
-
56
-
-
5744249209
-
Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines
-
Metropolis N, Rosenbluth AW, Rosenbluth MN, Teller AH, Teller E (1953) Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines. J Chem Phys 21:1087-1092
-
(1953)
J Chem Phys
, vol.21
, pp. 1087-1092
-
-
Metropolis, N.1
Rosenbluth, A.W.2
Rosenbluth, M.N.3
Teller, A.H.4
Teller, E.5
-
57
-
-
0036635368
-
Stabilization of climate regimes by noise in a simple model of the thermohaline circulation
-
Monahan AH (2002) Stabilization of climate regimes by noise in a simple model of the thermohaline circulation. J Phys Oceanogr 32:2072-2085
-
(2002)
J Phys Oceanogr
, vol.32
, pp. 2072-2085
-
-
Monahan, A.H.1
-
59
-
-
0037438981
-
On Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian inference
-
Qian SS, Stow CA, Borsuk ME (2003) On Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian inference. Ecol Model 159(2-3):269-277
-
(2003)
Ecol Model
, vol.159
, Issue.2-3
, pp. 269-277
-
-
Qian, S.S.1
Stow, C.A.2
Borsuk, M.E.3
-
60
-
-
0242535102
-
Uncertainty and the management of multistate ecosystems: An apparently rational route to collapse
-
Peterson GD, Carpenter SR, Brock WA (2003) Uncertainty and the management of multistate ecosystems: An apparently rational route to collapse. Ecology 84:1403-1411
-
(2003)
Ecology
, vol.84
, pp. 1403-1411
-
-
Peterson, G.D.1
Carpenter, S.R.2
Brock, W.A.3
-
61
-
-
1242281714
-
The number of iterations, convergence diagnostics, and generic Metropolis algorithms
-
In: Gilks WR, Spiegelhalter DJ, Richardson S (eds) Chapman and Hall, London
-
Raftery AE, Lewis SM (1995) The number of iterations, convergence diagnostics, and generic Metropolis algorithms. In: Gilks WR, Spiegelhalter DJ, Richardson S (eds) Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Praxis. Chapman and Hall, London, pp 115-130
-
(1995)
Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Praxis
, pp. 115-130
-
-
Raftery, A.E.1
Lewis, S.M.2
-
62
-
-
0032821316
-
Long-term global warming scenarios computed with an efficient coupled climate model
-
Rahmstorf S, Ganopolski A (1999) Long-term global warming scenarios computed with an efficient coupled climate model. Clim Change 43:353-367
-
(1999)
Clim Change
, vol.43
, pp. 353-367
-
-
Rahmstorf, S.1
Ganopolski, A.2
-
63
-
-
15244350271
-
Thermohaline circulation changes: A question of risk assessment - an editorial review essay
-
Rahmstorf S, Zickfeld K (2005) Thermohaline circulation changes: A question of risk assessment-an editorial review essay. Clim Change 68:241-247
-
(2005)
Clim Change
, vol.68
, pp. 241-247
-
-
Rahmstorf, S.1
Zickfeld, K.2
-
64
-
-
8644279252
-
-
Technical Report 349, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
-
Roeckner E, Baeuml G, Bonaventura L, Brokopf R, Esch M, Giorgetta M, Hagemann S, Kirchner I, Kornblueh L, Manzinie E, Rhodin A, Schlese U, Schulzweida U, Tompkins A (2003) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5, part I: Model description, Technical Report 349, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
-
(2003)
The Atmospheric General Circulation Model ECHAM5, Part I: Model Description
-
-
Roeckner, E.1
Baeuml, G.2
Bonaventura, L.3
Brokopf, R.4
Esch, M.5
Giorgetta, M.6
Hagemann, S.7
Kirchner, I.8
Kornblueh, L.9
Manzinie, E.10
Rhodin, A.11
Schlese, U.12
Schulzweida, U.13
Tompkins, A.14
-
65
-
-
0029475449
-
Ocean variability and its influence on the detectability of greenhouse warming signals
-
Santer BD, Mikolajewicz U, Bruggemann W, Cubasch U, Hasselmann K, Hock H, Maierreimer E, Wigley TML (1995) Ocean variability and its influence on the detectability of greenhouse warming signals. J Geophys Res-Oceans 100:10693-10725
-
(1995)
J Geophys Res-Oceans
, vol.100
, pp. 10693-10725
-
-
Santer, B.D.1
Mikolajewicz, U.2
Bruggemann, W.3
Cubasch, U.4
Hasselmann, K.5
Hock, H.6
Maierreimer, E.7
Wigley, T.M.L.8
-
66
-
-
0027880810
-
Stratospheric aerosol optical depths 1850-1990
-
Sato M, Hansen JE, McCormick MP, Pollack JB (1993) Stratospheric aerosol optical depths, 1850-1990. J Geophys Res-Atmos 98(D12):22987-22994
-
(1993)
J Geophys Res-Atmos
, vol.98 D12
, pp. 22987-22994
-
-
Sato, M.1
Hansen, J.E.2
McCormick, M.P.3
Pollack, J.B.4
-
67
-
-
0000629644
-
Theories of decision-making in economics and behavioral-science
-
Simon HA (1959) Theories of decision-making in economics and behavioral-science. Am Econ Rev 49:253-283
-
(1959)
Am Econ Rev
, vol.49
, pp. 253-283
-
-
Simon, H.A.1
-
68
-
-
0002537922
-
Algorithm 808: Arfit - A Matlab package for the estimation of parameters and eigenmodes of multivariate autoregressive models
-
Schneider T, Neumaier A (2001) Algorithm 808: Arfit - a Matlab package for the estimation of parameters and eigenmodes of multivariate autoregressive models. ACM Trans Math Softw 27:58-65
-
(2001)
ACM Trans Math Softw
, vol.27
, pp. 58-65
-
-
Schneider, T.1
Neumaier, A.2
-
69
-
-
0035218547
-
Rates of North Atlantic Deep water formation calculated from chlorofluorocarbon inventories
-
Smethie WM, Fine RA (2001) Rates of North Atlantic Deep water formation calculated from chlorofluorocarbon inventories. Deep Sea Res 48:189-215
-
(2001)
Deep Sea Res
, vol.48
, pp. 189-215
-
-
Smethie, W.M.1
Fine, R.A.2
-
70
-
-
0034302772
-
Reducing uncertainty in site characterization using Bayes Monte Carlo methods
-
Sohn MD, Small MJ, Pantazidou M (2000) Reducing uncertainty in site characterization using Bayes Monte Carlo methods. J Environ Eng ASCE 126(10):893-902
-
(2000)
J Environ Eng ASCE
, vol.126
, Issue.10
, pp. 893-902
-
-
Sohn, M.D.1
Small, M.J.2
Pantazidou, M.3
-
71
-
-
0033401291
-
Abrupt climate changes: From the past to the future - a review
-
Stocker TF (1999) Abrupt climate changes: From the past to the future - a review. Int J Earth Sci 88:365-374
-
(1999)
Int J Earth Sci
, vol.88
, pp. 365-374
-
-
Stocker, T.F.1
-
72
-
-
0000248310
-
Thermohaline convection with two stable regimes of flow
-
Stommel H (1961) Thermohaline convection with two stable regimes of flow. Tellus 13:224-230
-
(1961)
Tellus
, vol.13
, pp. 224-230
-
-
Stommel, H.1
-
73
-
-
33646449957
-
Investigating the causes of the response of the thermohaline circulation to past and future climate changes
-
Stouffer RJ, Yin J, Gregory JM, Dixon KW, Spelman MJ, Hurlin W, Weaver AJ, Ebyd M, Flato GM, Hasumi H, Hu A, Jungclaus JH, Kamenkovich IV, Levermann A, Montoya M, Murakami S, Nawrath S, Oka A, Peltier WR, Robitaille DY, Sokolov A, Vettoretti G, Weber SL (2006) Investigating the causes of the response of the thermohaline circulation to past and future climate changes. J Clim 19:1365-1387
-
(2006)
J Clim
, vol.19
, pp. 1365-1387
-
-
Stouffer, R.J.1
Yin, J.2
Gregory, J.M.3
Dixon, K.W.4
Spelman, M.J.5
Hurlin, W.6
Weaver, A.J.7
Ebyd, M.8
Flato, G.M.9
Hasumi, H.10
Hu, A.11
Jungclaus, J.H.12
Kamenkovich, I.V.13
Levermann, A.14
Montoya, M.15
Murakami, S.16
Nawrath, S.17
Oka, A.18
Peltier, W.R.19
Robitaille, D.Y.20
Sokolov, A.21
Vettoretti, G.22
Weber, S.L.23
more..
-
74
-
-
0015731803
-
Relative operating characteristic in psychology
-
Swets JA (1973) Relative operating characteristic in psychology. Science 182:990-1000
-
(1973)
Science
, vol.182
, pp. 990-1000
-
-
Swets, J.A.1
-
75
-
-
0033801058
-
Noise-induced transitions in a simplified model of the thermohaline circulation
-
Timmermann A, Lohmann G (2000) Noise-induced transitions in a simplified model of the thermohaline circulation. J Phys Oceanogr 30:1891-1900
-
(2000)
J Phys Oceanogr
, vol.30
, pp. 1891-1900
-
-
Timmermann, A.1
Lohmann, G.2
-
76
-
-
4644316328
-
Timely detection of anthropogenic change in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
-
Vellinga M, Wood RA (2004) Timely detection of anthropogenic change in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Geophys Res Lett 31:L14203
-
(2004)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.31
-
-
Vellinga, M.1
Wood, R.A.2
-
78
-
-
38849146616
-
Estimating the probability distributions from complex models with bifurcations: The case of ocean circulation collapse, in Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
-
Report Number 133. MIT, Boston
-
Webster M, Scott J, Sokolov A, Stone P (2006) Estimating the probability distributions from complex models with bifurcations: The case of ocean circulation collapse, in Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Report Number 133. MIT, Boston
-
(2006)
-
-
Webster, M.1
Scott, J.2
Sokolov, A.3
Stone, P.4
-
79
-
-
0000613410
-
A skill score based on economic value for probability forecasts
-
Wilks DS (2001) A skill score based on economic value for probability forecasts. Meteorol Appl 8:209-219
-
(2001)
Meteorol Appl
, vol.8
, pp. 209-219
-
-
Wilks, D.S.1
-
80
-
-
33644590971
-
Abrupt climate change: An alternative view
-
Wunsch C (2006) Abrupt climate change: An alternative view. Quaternary Res 65:191-203
-
(2006)
Quaternary Res
, vol.65
, pp. 191-203
-
-
Wunsch, C.1
-
81
-
-
0000699401
-
Bayesian analysis of the regression model with autocorrelated errors
-
Zellner A, Tian GC (1964) Bayesian analysis of the regression model with autocorrelated errors. J Am Stat Assoc 59:763-778
-
(1964)
J Am Stat Assoc
, vol.59
, pp. 763-778
-
-
Zellner, A.1
Tian, G.C.2
-
82
-
-
34248519187
-
Variability regimes of simulated Atlantic MOC
-
(21, L21603 Artn l21603)
-
Zhu XH, Fraedrich K, Blender R (2006) Variability regimes of simulated Atlantic MOC. Geophys Res Lett 33(21, L21603 Artn l21603)
-
(2006)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.33
-
-
Zhu, X.H.1
Fraedrich, K.2
Blender, R.3
-
83
-
-
34247195097
-
Present state and future fate of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation as viewed by experts
-
Zickfeld K, Levermann A, Morgan MG, Kuhlbrodt T, Rahmstorf S, Keith DW (2007) Present state and future fate of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation as viewed by experts. Clim Change 82:235-265
-
(2007)
Clim Change
, vol.82
, pp. 235-265
-
-
Zickfeld, K.1
Levermann, A.2
Morgan, M.G.3
Kuhlbrodt, T.4
Rahmstorf, S.5
Keith, D.W.6
-
84
-
-
4944234191
-
A low-order model for the response of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to climate change
-
Zickfeld K, Slawig T, Rahmstorf S (2004) A low-order model for the response of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to climate change. Ocean Dyn 54:8-26
-
(2004)
Ocean Dyn
, vol.54
, pp. 8-26
-
-
Zickfeld, K.1
Slawig, T.2
Rahmstorf, S.3
|