메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 82, Issue 3-4, 2007, Pages 176-197

The North American Animal Disease Spread Model: A simulation model to assist decision making in evaluating animal disease incursions

Author keywords

Animal disease model; Computer simulation; Foot and mouth disease (FMD); Herd level; Spatial; State transition model; Stochastic

Indexed keywords

ALGORITHM; ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISEASE; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; COMPUTER SIMULATION; COST; DECISION MAKING; EPIDEMIOLOGY; NORTH AMERICA; TIME; VACCINATION;

EID: 35548950274     PISSN: 01675877     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2007.05.019     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (129)

References (32)
  • 1
    • 0037314809 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Description of an epidemic simulation model for use in evaluating strategies to control an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease
    • Bates T.W., Thurmond M.C., and Carpenter T.E. Description of an epidemic simulation model for use in evaluating strategies to control an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. Am. J. Vet. Res. 6 (2003) 195-204
    • (2003) Am. J. Vet. Res. , vol.6 , pp. 195-204
    • Bates, T.W.1    Thurmond, M.C.2    Carpenter, T.E.3
  • 2
    • 0037314855 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Results of epidemic simulation modeling to evaluate strategies to control an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease
    • Bates T.W., Thurmond M.C., and Carpenter T.E. Results of epidemic simulation modeling to evaluate strategies to control an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. Am. J. Vet. Res. 64 (2003) 205-210
    • (2003) Am. J. Vet. Res. , vol.64 , pp. 205-210
    • Bates, T.W.1    Thurmond, M.C.2    Carpenter, T.E.3
  • 4
    • 35548988248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dubé, C., Stevenson, M.A., Garner, M.G., Sanson, R.L., Corso, B.A., Harvey, N., Griffin, J., Wilesmith, J.W., Estrada, C., 2007. A comparison of predictions made by three simulation models of foot-and-mouth disease, submitted for publication.
  • 5
    • 0034687365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An extended state-transition model for foot-and-mouth disease epidemics in France
    • Durand B., and Mahul O. An extended state-transition model for foot-and-mouth disease epidemics in France. Prev. Vet. Med. 47 (2000) 121-139
    • (2000) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.47 , pp. 121-139
    • Durand, B.1    Mahul, O.2
  • 6
    • 0033399010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The classical swine fever epidemic 1997-1998 in the Netherlands: descriptive epidemiology
    • Elbers A.R.W., Stegeman A., Moser H., Ekker H.M., Smak J.A., and Pluimers F.H. The classical swine fever epidemic 1997-1998 in the Netherlands: descriptive epidemiology. Prev. Vet. Med. 42 (1999) 157-184
    • (1999) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.42 , pp. 157-184
    • Elbers, A.R.W.1    Stegeman, A.2    Moser, H.3    Ekker, H.M.4    Smak, J.A.5    Pluimers, F.H.6
  • 7
    • 0035843902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions
    • Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., and Anderson R.M. The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions. Science 292 (2001) 1155-1160
    • (2001) Science , vol.292 , pp. 1155-1160
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2    Anderson, R.M.3
  • 8
    • 0035807295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain
    • Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., and Anderson R.M. Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Nature 413 (2001) 542-548
    • (2001) Nature , vol.413 , pp. 542-548
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2    Anderson, R.M.3
  • 9
    • 35549000412 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Free Software Foundation, 1991. GNU General Public License. Web page http://www.fsf.org/licensing/licenses/gpl.html. Last accessed January 31, 2007.
  • 10
    • 33644849907 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease in Australia
    • Garner M.G., and Beckett S.D. Modelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease in Australia. Aust. Vet. J. 83 (2005) 758-766
    • (2005) Aust. Vet. J. , vol.83 , pp. 758-766
    • Garner, M.G.1    Beckett, S.D.2
  • 11
    • 33750975931 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Should we use models to inform policy development?
    • Guitian J., and Pfeiffer D. Should we use models to inform policy development?. Vet. J. 172 (2006) 393-395
    • (2006) Vet. J. , vol.172 , pp. 393-395
    • Guitian, J.1    Pfeiffer, D.2
  • 12
    • 4344701248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The UK foot-and-mouth disease outbreak-the aftermath
    • Haydon D.T., Kao R.R., and Kitching R.P. The UK foot-and-mouth disease outbreak-the aftermath. Nat. Rev. Microbiol. 2 (2004) 675-681
    • (2004) Nat. Rev. Microbiol. , vol.2 , pp. 675-681
    • Haydon, D.T.1    Kao, R.R.2    Kitching, R.P.3
  • 13
    • 0033378373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in the Netherlands. Part I. Description of simulation model
    • Jalvingh A.W., Nielen M., Maurice H., Stegeman A.J., Elbers A.R.W., and Dijkhuizen A.A. Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in the Netherlands. Part I. Description of simulation model. Prev. Vet. Med. 42 (1999) 271-295
    • (1999) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.42 , pp. 271-295
    • Jalvingh, A.W.1    Nielen, M.2    Maurice, H.3    Stegeman, A.J.4    Elbers, A.R.W.5    Dijkhuizen, A.A.6
  • 14
    • 20444420161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo simulation of classical swine fever epidemics and control. Part I. General concepts and description of the model
    • Karsten S., Rave G., and Krieter J. Monte Carlo simulation of classical swine fever epidemics and control. Part I. General concepts and description of the model. Vet. Microbiol. 108 (2005) 187-198
    • (2005) Vet. Microbiol. , vol.108 , pp. 187-198
    • Karsten, S.1    Rave, G.2    Krieter, J.3
  • 15
    • 24044547093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Models of foot-and-mouth disease
    • Keeling M.J. Models of foot-and-mouth disease. Proc. R. Soc. B 272 (2005) 1195-1202
    • (2005) Proc. R. Soc. B , vol.272 , pp. 1195-1202
    • Keeling, M.J.1
  • 18
    • 33745285310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use and abuse of mathematical models: an illustration from the 2001 foot and mouth disease epidemic in the United Kingdom
    • Kitching R.P., Thrusfield M.V., and Taylor N.M. Use and abuse of mathematical models: an illustration from the 2001 foot and mouth disease epidemic in the United Kingdom. Rev. Sci. Tech. Office Int. Epiz. 25 (2006) 293-311
    • (2006) Rev. Sci. Tech. Office Int. Epiz. , vol.25 , pp. 293-311
    • Kitching, R.P.1    Thrusfield, M.V.2    Taylor, N.M.3
  • 19
    • 0033375441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model to estimate the financial consequences of classical swine fever outbreaks: principles and outcomes
    • Meuwissen M.P.M., Horst S.H., Huirne R.B.M., and Dijkhuizen A.A. A model to estimate the financial consequences of classical swine fever outbreaks: principles and outcomes. Prev. Vet. Med. 42 (1999) 249-270
    • (1999) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.42 , pp. 249-270
    • Meuwissen, M.P.M.1    Horst, S.H.2    Huirne, R.B.M.3    Dijkhuizen, A.A.4
  • 21
    • 0033391624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands. Part II. Comparison of control strategies
    • Nielen M., Jalvingh A.W., Meuwissen M.P.M., Horst S.H., and Dijkhuizen A.A. Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands. Part II. Comparison of control strategies. Prev. Vet. Med. 42 (1999) 297-317
    • (1999) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.42 , pp. 297-317
    • Nielen, M.1    Jalvingh, A.W.2    Meuwissen, M.P.M.3    Horst, S.H.4    Dijkhuizen, A.A.5
  • 22
    • 35549002052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic Impacts of Regionalization of a Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Outbreak in the United States
    • Paarlberg P.L., Seitzinger A.H., and Lee J.G. Economic Impacts of Regionalization of a Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Outbreak in the United States. J. Agric. Appl. Econ. 39 (2007) 325-333
    • (2007) J. Agric. Appl. Econ. , vol.39 , pp. 325-333
    • Paarlberg, P.L.1    Seitzinger, A.H.2    Lee, J.G.3
  • 23
    • 35548970994 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pendell, D.L., 2006. Value of animal traceability systems in managing a foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in Southwest Kansas. Ph.D. Thesis. Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS.
  • 24
    • 35548973266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk Solutions, 2005. Cost benefit analysis of foot and mouth disease controls. A Report for the Department for Environmental, Food, and Rural Affairs, UK. Web page http://www.defra.gov.uk/footandmouth/pdf/costben.pdf. Last accessed February 14, 2007.
  • 25
    • 0037473397 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling alternative mitigation strategies for a hypothetical outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in the United States
    • Schoenbaum M.A., and Disney W.T. Modeling alternative mitigation strategies for a hypothetical outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in the United States. Prev. Vet. Med. 58 (2003) 25-52
    • (2003) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.58 , pp. 25-52
    • Schoenbaum, M.A.1    Disney, W.T.2
  • 26
    • 35548969641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stevenson, M.A., Sanson, R.L., Stern, M.W., O'Leary, B.D., Mackereth, G., Sujau, M., Moles-Benfell, N., Morris, R.S., submitted for publication. InterSpread Plus: a spatial and stochastic simulation model of disease in animal populations.
  • 27
    • 35548939705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Taylor, N., 2003. Review of the use of models in informing disease control policy development and adjustment. A Report for the Department for Environmental, Food, and Rural Affairs, UK. Web page http://www.defra.gov.uk/science/documents/publications/2003/UseofModelsi nDisease-ControlPolicy.pdf. Last accessed February 14, 2007.
  • 29
    • 0037199617 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A decision-tree to optimize control measures during the early stage of a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic
    • Tomassen F.H.M., de Koeijer A., Mourits M.C.M., Dekker A., Bouma A., and Huirne R.B.M. A decision-tree to optimize control measures during the early stage of a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Prev. Vet. Med. 54 (2002) 301-324
    • (2002) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.54 , pp. 301-324
    • Tomassen, F.H.M.1    de Koeijer, A.2    Mourits, M.C.M.3    Dekker, A.4    Bouma, A.5    Huirne, R.B.M.6
  • 30
    • 0038070322 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foot-and-mouth disease in the UK: what should we do next time?
    • Woolhouse M.E.J. Foot-and-mouth disease in the UK: what should we do next time?. J. Appl. Microbiol. 94 (2003) 126S-130S
    • (2003) J. Appl. Microbiol. , vol.94
    • Woolhouse, M.E.J.1
  • 31
    • 0033604756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemiological characteristics and financial costs of the 1997 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Taiwan
    • Yang P.C., Chu R.M., Chung W.B., and Sung H.T. Epidemiological characteristics and financial costs of the 1997 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Taiwan. Vet. Rec. 145 (1999) 731-734
    • (1999) Vet. Rec. , vol.145 , pp. 731-734
    • Yang, P.C.1    Chu, R.M.2    Chung, W.B.3    Sung, H.T.4
  • 32
    • 33646447054 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation analyses to evaluate alternative control strategies for the 2002 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in the Republic of Korea
    • Yoon H., Wee S.-H., Stevenson M.A., O'Leary B.D., Morris R.S., Hwang I.-J., Park C.-K., and Stern M.W. Simulation analyses to evaluate alternative control strategies for the 2002 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in the Republic of Korea. Prev. Vet. Med. 74 (2006) 212-225
    • (2006) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.74 , pp. 212-225
    • Yoon, H.1    Wee, S.-H.2    Stevenson, M.A.3    O'Leary, B.D.4    Morris, R.S.5    Hwang, I.-J.6    Park, C.-K.7    Stern, M.W.8


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.