메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 3, Issue 3-4, 2007, Pages 317-333

Project's duration prediction: Traditional tools or simulation?

Author keywords

Case study; MCS; Monte Carlo simulation; PERT; Project management; Risk management; Scheduling

Indexed keywords


EID: 34848848113     PISSN: 17460573     EISSN: 17460581     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1504/wremsd.2007.014049     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (14)

References (31)
  • 3
    • 0032346794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effectiveness of working group risk identification and assessment techniques
    • Chapman, R. (1998) 'The effectiveness of working group risk identification and assessment techniques', International Journal of Project Management, Vol. 16, No. 6, pp. 333-343.
    • (1998) International Journal of Project Management , vol.16 , Issue.6 , pp. 333-343
    • Chapman, R.1
  • 4
    • 0017539360 scopus 로고
    • Analysis of schedule simulation
    • Crandall, C.K. (1977) 'Analysis of schedule simulation', J. Construction Division, ASCE, Vol. 133, No. 2, pp. 387-394.
    • (1977) J. Construction Division, ASCE , vol.133 , Issue.2 , pp. 387-394
    • Crandall, C.K.1
  • 5
    • 0344894852 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating project and activity duration: A risk management approach using network analysis
    • Dawood, N. (1998) 'Estimating project and activity duration: a risk management approach using network analysis', Construction Management and Economics, Vol. 16, pp. 41-48.
    • (1998) Construction Management and Economics , vol.16 , pp. 41-48
    • Dawood, N.1
  • 9
    • 0001083779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The triangular distribution as a proxy for the beta distribution in risk analysis
    • Johnson, D. (1997) 'The triangular distribution as a proxy for the beta distribution in risk analysis', The Statistician, Vol. 46, No. 3, pp. 387-398.
    • (1997) The Statistician , vol.46 , Issue.3 , pp. 387-398
    • Johnson, D.1
  • 10
    • 0001378333 scopus 로고
    • Better estimation of PERT activity time parameters
    • Keefer, D.L. and Verdini, W.A. (1993) 'Better estimation of PERT activity time parameters', Management Science, Vol. 39, pp. 1086-1091.
    • (1993) Management Science , vol.39 , pp. 1086-1091
    • Keefer, D.L.1    Verdini, W.A.2
  • 12
    • 32944482015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Automated statistical analysis in stochastic project scheduling simulation
    • Lee, D.E. and Arditi, D. (2006) 'Automated statistical analysis in stochastic project scheduling simulation', Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 132, No. 3, pp. 268-277.
    • (2006) Journal of Construction Engineering and Management , vol.132 , Issue.3 , pp. 268-277
    • Lee, D.E.1    Arditi, D.2
  • 14
    • 0001501655 scopus 로고
    • Application of a technique for research and development program evaluation
    • Malcolm, D.G., Rooseboom, J.H., Clarkm, C.E. and Fazer, W. (1959) 'Application of a technique for research and development program evaluation', Operations Research, Vol. 7, pp. 646-669.
    • (1959) Operations Research , vol.7 , pp. 646-669
    • Malcolm, D.G.1    Rooseboom, J.H.2    Clarkm, C.E.3    Fazer, W.4
  • 16
    • 13944275955 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating Risk in Construction - Schedule Model (ERIC-S): Construction schedule risk model
    • Nasir, D., McGabe, B. and Hartono, L. (2003) 'Evaluating Risk in Construction - Schedule Model (ERIC-S): construction schedule risk model', Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 129, No. 5, pp. 518-527.
    • (2003) Journal of Construction Engineering and Management , vol.129 , Issue.5 , pp. 518-527
    • Nasir, D.1    McGabe, B.2    Hartono, L.3
  • 17
    • 20544431718 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Judgemental risk analysis process development in construction projects
    • Oztas, A. and Okmen, O. (2005) 'Judgemental risk analysis process development in construction projects', Building and Environment, Vol. 40, pp. 1244-1254.
    • (2005) Building and Environment , vol.40 , pp. 1244-1254
    • Oztas, A.1    Okmen, O.2
  • 18
    • 0343580653 scopus 로고
    • Springer-Verlang, Berlin-Heidelberg, New York
    • Pagnoni, A. (1990) Project Engineering, Springer-Verlang, Berlin-Heidelberg, New York.
    • (1990) Project Engineering
    • Pagnoni, A.1
  • 20
    • 0023532720 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic project management
    • Pohl, J. and Chapman, A. (1987) 'Probabilistic project management', Building and Environment, Vol. 22, No. 3, pp. 209-214.
    • (1987) Building and Environment , vol.22 , Issue.3 , pp. 209-214
    • Pohl, J.1    Chapman, A.2
  • 21
    • 34848830678 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Business process engineering with ARIS simulation - a case study of a call centre operation assessment
    • Ponis, S.T., Hadzilias, E.A. and Panayiotou, NA. (2004) 'Business process engineering with ARIS simulation - a case study of a call centre operation assessment', WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, Vol. 1, No. 4, pp. 338-343.
    • (2004) WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics , vol.1 , Issue.4 , pp. 338-343
    • Ponis, S.T.1    Hadzilias, E.A.2    Panayiotou, N.A.3
  • 22
    • 0035113601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An approximation of the activity duration distribution in PERT
    • Premachandra, I.M. (2001) 'An approximation of the activity duration distribution in PERT', Computers and Operations Research, Vol. 28, pp. 443-452.
    • (2001) Computers and Operations Research , vol.28 , pp. 443-452
    • Premachandra, I.M.1
  • 23
    • 0000302001 scopus 로고
    • GERT: Graphical evaluation and review technique; PERT', fundamentals
    • Pritsker, A.A.B. and Happ, W.W. (1966) 'GERT: graphical evaluation and review technique; PERT', fundamentals', The Journal of Industrial Engineering, Vol. 17, No. 5, pp. 267-274.
    • (1966) The Journal of Industrial Engineering , vol.17 , Issue.5 , pp. 267-274
    • Pritsker, A.A.B.1    Happ, W.W.2
  • 25
  • 26
    • 0026881995 scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo technique with correlated random variables
    • Touran, A. (1992) 'Monte Carlo technique with correlated random variables', Journal of Construction Engineering Management, Vol. 118, No. 2, pp.258-272.
    • (1992) Journal of Construction Engineering Management , vol.118 , Issue.2 , pp. 258-272
    • Touran, A.1
  • 28
    • 0033524327 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical dependence in risk analysis for project networks using Monte Carlo Methods
    • van Dorp, J. R. and Duffey, M. R. (1999) 'Statistical dependence in risk analysis for project networks using Monte Carlo Methods', International Journal of Production Economics, Vol. 58, pp. 17-29.
    • (1999) International Journal of Production Economics , vol.58 , pp. 17-29
    • van Dorp, J.R.1    Duffey, M.R.2
  • 29
    • 0000738834 scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo methods and the PERT problem
    • van Slyke, R.M. (1963) 'Monte Carlo methods and the PERT problem', Operations Research, Vol. 11, No. 5, pp. 839-860.
    • (1963) Operations Research , vol.11 , Issue.5 , pp. 839-860
    • van Slyke, R.M.1
  • 31
    • 27944510967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of soft logic on the probabilistic duration of construction projects
    • Wang, W.C. (2005) 'Impact of soft logic on the probabilistic duration of construction projects', International Journal of Project Management, Vol. 23, No. 8, pp. 60-610.
    • (2005) International Journal of Project Management , vol.23 , Issue.8 , pp. 60-610
    • Wang, W.C.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.