Evaluating Risk in Construction-Schedule Model (ERIC-S): Construction schedule risk model

Journal of Construction Engineering and Management

Volumn 129, Issue 5, 2003, Pages 518-527

  Nasir, Daud ^a   McCabe, Brenda ^a   Hartono, Loesie ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO   (Canada)

Author keywords

Construction; Models; Risk analysis; Scheduling

Indexed keywords

EXPERT SYSTEMS; ITERATIVE METHODS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PROBABILITY; PROJECT MANAGEMENT; RISK ASSESSMENT; SCHEDULING; SURVEYS;

CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM (CLT); CONTROL ENGINEERING; EVALUATING RISK IN CONSTRUCTION-SCHEDULE (ERIC-S); RISK ANALYSIS;

CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY;

EID: 13944275955     PISSN: 07339364     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2003)129:5(518)     Document Type: Article

References (79)

1. Abdelhamid, T. S., and Everett, J. G. (1999a). "Physiological demands of concrete slab placing and finishing work." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 125(1), 47-52.
2. Abdelhamid, T. S., and Everett, J. G. (1999b). "Time series analysis for construction productivity experiments." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 125(2), 87-95.
3. AbouRizk, S. M., and Wales, R. J. (1997). "Combined discrete-event/ continuous simulation for project planning." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 123(1), 11-20.
4. Amirkhanian, S. N., and Baker, N. J. (1992). "Expert system for equipment selection for earth-moving operations." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(2), 318-331.
5. Anson, M., and Wang, S. Q. (1998). "Performance of concrete placing in Hong Kong buildings." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(2), 116-124.
6. Arditi, D., and Gunaydin, H. M. (1998). "Factors that affect process quality in the life cycle of building projects." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(3), 194-203.
7. Bell, L. C., and Stukhart, G. (1986). "Attributes of materials management systems." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 112(1), 14-21.
8. Bennett, J. (1985). Construction project management, Butterworth's, London.
9. Bent, J. A., and Humphreys, K. K. (1996). Effective project management through applied cost and schedule control, Marcel Dekker, New York, 313-316.
10. Bulick, W. J. (1993). "Project evaluation procedures." Cost Eng., 35(10), 27-32.
11. Burati, J. C., Farrington, J. J., and Ledbetter, W. B. (1992). "Causes of quality deviations in design and construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(1), 34-49.
12. Burleson, R. C., Haas, C. T., Tucker, R. L., and Stanley, A. (1998). "Multiskilled labor utilization strategies in construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(6), 480-489.
13. Christian, J., and Hachey, D. (1995). "Effects of delay times on production rates in construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 121(1), 20-26.
14. Construction Industry Institute (CII). (1986). "Project control for engineering." Publication 6-1, Cost/Schedule Control Task Force, University of Texas, Austin, Tex., 9
15. Construction Industry Institute (CII). (1989). "Management of project risks and uncertainties." Publication 6-8, Cost/Schedule Control Task Force, University of Texas, Austin, Tex., 2-23.
16. Daoud, O. E. K. (1997). "The architect/engineer's role in rehabilitation work." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 123(1), 1-5.
17. Diekmann, J. E., and Kim, M. P. (1992). "Superchange: Expert system for analysis of changes claims." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(2), 399-411.
18. Diekmann, J. E., Thrush, K. B., and Wilson, T. A. (1987). "Design engineering and project control." Proc., Project Controls: Needs and Solutions, William Ibbs and David B. Ashley, eds., ASCE, New York, 38-46.
19. Dozzi, P., Hartman, F., Tidsbury, N., and Ashrafi, R. (1996). "More-stable owner-contractor relationships." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 122(1), 30-35.
20. Edwards, L. (1995). Practical risk management in the construction industry, Thomas Telford, London, 4-21.
21. Everett, G. J. (1999). "Overexertion injuries in construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 125(2), 109-114.
22. Finke, M. R. (1998). "A better way to estimate and mitigate disruption." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(6), 490-497.
23. Fisher, D. J., and Rajan, N. (1996). "Automated constructability analysis of work-zone traffic-control planning." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 122(1), 36-43.
24. Fisk, E. R. (1997). Construction project administration, 5th Ed., Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle River N.J.
25. Franks, J. (1990). Building procurement systems, 2nd Ed., Chartered Institute of Building, Berks, U.K., 56-57.
26. Friedrich, D. R., Daly, J. P., and Dick, W. G. (1987). "Revisions, repairs, and rework on large projects." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 113(3), 488-500.
27. Heckerman, D., and Wellman, M. P. (1995). "Real world applications of Bayesian networks." Commun. ACM, 38(3), 29.
28. Hertz, D. B., and Thomas, H. (1983). Risk analysis and its applications, Wiley, New York, 1-5.
29. Hester, W. T., and Kuprenas, J. A. (1987). "Assessing changes and their real impact." Proc., Project Controls: Needs and Solutions, William Ibbs and David B. Ashley, eds., ASCE, New York, 58-67.
30. Hinze, J., and Russell, D. B. (1995). "Analysis of fatalities recorded by OSHA." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 121(2), 209-214.
31. Hinze, J., Pederson, C., and Fredley, J. (1998). "Identifying root causes of construction injuries." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(1), 67-71.
32. Jaselkis, E. J., and Talukhaba, A. (1998). "Bidding considerations in developing countries." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(3), 185-193.
33. Jensen, F. V. (1996). An introduction to Bayesian networks, University College London, London, 2-62.
34. Kagan, H. A., Leary, D. J., and Pratter, G. E. K. (1986). "Design engineers' responsibilities during construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 112(3), 394-402.
35. Kangari, R. (1995). "Risk management perceptions and trends of U.S. construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 121(4), 422-429.
36. Kartam, N. A. (1996). "Making effective use of construction lessons learned in project life cycle." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 122(1), 14-21.
37. Kerzner, H. (2001). Project management: A systems approach to planning, scheduling, and controlling, 7th Ed., Wiley, Toronto.
38. Koehn, E., and Kothari, R. K. (1995). "Safety in developing countries: Professional and bureaucratic problems." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 121(3), 261-265.
39. Krizek, R. J., Lo, W., and Hadavi, A. (1996). "Lessons learned from multiphase reconstruction project." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 122(1), 44-54.
40. Laufer, A., and Cohenca, D. (1990). "Factors affecting construction-planning outcomes." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 116(1), 135-156.
41. Lemna, G. J., Borcherding, J. D., and Tucker, R. L. (1986). "Productive foremen in industrial construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 112(2), 192-210.
42. Lifson, M. W., and Shaifer, E. F. (1982). Decision and risk analysis for construction management, Wiley, New York, 133-134.
43. Luiten, G. T., and Tolman, F. P. (1997). "Automating communication in civil engineering." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 123(2), 113-120.
44. Maloney, W. F., and McFillen, J. M. (1986a). "Motivational implications of construction work." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 112(1), 137-151.
45. Maloney, W. F., and McFillen, J. M. (1986b). "Motivation in unionized construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 112(1), 122-136.
46. McCabe, B., AbouRizk, S. M., and Goebel, R. (1998). "Belief networks for construction performance diagnostics." J. Comput. Civ. Eng., 12(2), 93-100.
47. Megill, R. E. (1984). An introduction to risk analysis, 2nd. Ed., PennWell Publishing, Tulsa, Okla., 124-250.
48. Mulholland, B., and Christian, J. (1999). "Risk assessment in construction schedules." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 125(1), 8-15.
49. Nam, C. H., and Tatum, C. B. (1992). "Noncontractual methods of integration on construction projects." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(2), 385-398.
50. Ng, W. M., Khor, E. L., Tiong, L. K., and Lee, J. (1998). "Simulation modeling and management of a large basement construction." J. Comput. Civ. Eng., 12(2), 101-110.
51. Okpala, D. C., and Aniekwu, A. N. (1988). "Causes of high costs of construction in Nigeria." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 114(2), 233-244.
52. Pearl, J. (1988). Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference, Morgan Kaufmann San Francisco.
53. Randolph, D. (1993). "Chapt. 8" Civil engineering for the community, ASCE, New York.
54. Riley, D. R., and Sanvido, V. E. (1997). "Space planning methods for multistory building construction." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 123(2), 171-180.
55. Rowings, J. E., Federle, M. O., and Birkland, S. A. (1996). "Characteristics of the craft workforce." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 122(1), 83-90.
56. Ruff, C. M., Dzombak, D. A., and Hendrickson, C. T. (1996). "Owner-contractor relationships on contaminated site remediation projects." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 122(4), 348-353.
57. Russell, A. D. (1993). "Computerized daily site reporting." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 119(2), 385-402.
58. Russell, J. S., and Jaselskis, E. J. (1992a). "Predicting construction contractor failure prior to contract award." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(4), 791-811.
59. Russell, J. S., and Jaselskis, E. J. (1992b). "Quantitative study of contractor evaluation programs and their impact." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(3), 612-624.
60. Sanvido, V., Grobler, F., Parfitt, K., Guvenis, M., and Coyle, M. (1992). "Critical success factors for construction projects." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(1), 94-111.
61. Smith, G. R., and Bohn, C. M. (1999). "Small to medium contractor contingency and assumption of risk." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 125(2), 101-108.
62. Songer, A. D., and Molenaar, K. R. (1997). "Project characteristics for successful public-sector design-build." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 123(1), 34-40.
63. Sonmez, R., and Rowings, J. E. (1998). "Construction labor productivity modeling with neural networks." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(6), 498-504.
64. Stacey, D. (1991). Fast build, Thomas Telford, London, 1-4.
65. Teicholz, P. M. (1987). "Current needs for cost control systems." Proc., Project Controls: Needs and Solutions, ASCE, New York, 47-57.
66. Tenah, K. A. (1986). "Construction personnel role and information needs." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 112(1), 33-48.
67. Thomas, H. R. (1992). "Effects of scheduled overtime on labor productivity." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(1), 60-76.
68. Thomas, H. R., and Napolitan, C. L. (1995). "Quantitative effects of construction changes on labor productivity." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 121(3), 290-296.
69. Thomas, H. R., and Raynar, K. A. (1997). "Scheduled overtime and labor productivity: A quantitative analysis." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 123(2), 181-188.
70. Thomas, R. T., Riley, D. R., and Sanvido, V. E. (1999). "Loss of labor productivity due to delivery methods and weather." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 125(1), 39-46.
71. Thomas, H. R., Sanders, S. R., and Bilal, S. (1992). "Comparison of labor productivity." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(4), 635-650.
72. Thomas, S. R., Tucker, R. L., and Kelly, W. R. (1998). "Critical communication variables." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(1), 58-66.
73. Thompson, P. A., and Perry, J. G. (1992). Engineering construction risks, Thomas Telford, London, 18-19.
74. Touran, A. (1992). "Monte Carlo technique with correlated random variables." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 118(2), 258-272.
75. Vlatas, D. A. (1986). "Owner and contractor review to reduce claims." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 112(1), 104-111.
76. Williams, G. V. (1995). "Fast track pros and cons: Considerations for industrial projects." J. Manage. Eng., 1(5), 24-32.
77. Wong, T. K., and Logcher, R. D. (1986). "Contractors in cyclical economic environments." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 112(3), 310-325.
78. Woodworth, B. M. (1993). "A statistical evaluation of the impact of limited resources on project scheduling." Cost Eng., 35(2), 25-32.
79. Yates, J. K. (1993). "Construction decision support system for delay analysis." J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 119(2), 226-244.