Comparison of regional climate model and statistical downscaling simulations of different winter precipitation change scenarios over Romania

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 86, Issue 1-4, 2006, Pages 101-123

  Busuioc, A ^a   Giorgi, F ^b   Bi, X ^b   Ionita, M ^a  

^a NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION   (Romania)

^b ABDUS SALAM INTERNATIONAL CENTRE FOR THEORETICAL PHYSICS   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CANONICAL ANALYSIS; CLIMATE MODELING; HUMIDITY; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; REGIONAL CLIMATE; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE;

EURASIA; EUROPE; ROMANIA; SOUTHERN EUROPE;

EID: 33748192145     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-005-0210-8     Document Type: Article

References (48)

1. Ahrens B (2003) Rainfall downscaling in an alpine watershed applying a multiresolution approach. J Geophy Res 108: 8388 doi:10.1029/2001JD001485
2. TP Barnett R Preisendorfer 1987 Origin and levels of monthly and seasonal forecast skill for United States surface air temperatures determined by canonical correlation analysis Mon Wea Rev 115 1825-1850 10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<1825:OALOMA>2.0.CO;2
3. Ag Bartmann WA Landman CJD Rautenbach 2003 Recalibration of general circulation model output to austral summer rainfall over Southern Africa Int J Climatol 23 1407-1419 10.1002/joc.954
4. RF Benestad 2002 Empirically downscaled multimodel ensemble temperature and precipitation. Scenarios for Norway J Climate 21 3008-3027 10.1175/ 1520-0442(2002)015<3008:EDMETA>2.0.CO;2
5. A Busuioc H von Storch 1996 Changes in the winter precipitation in Romania and its relation to the large scale circulation Tellus 48A 538-552
6. A Busuioc H von Storch R Schnur 1999 Verification of GCM generated regional seasonal precipitation for current climate and of statistical downscaling estimates under changing climate conditions J Climate 12 258-272
7. A Busuioc D Chen C Hellström 2001 Performance of statistical downscaling models in GCM validation and regional climate change estimates: Application for Swedish precipitation Int J Climatol 21 557-578 10.1002/joc.624
8. Busuioc A (2001) Large-scale mechanisms influencing the winter Romanian climate variability. In: Brunet M, Lopez D (eds) Detecting and modelling regional climate change and associated impacts. ISBN 3-540-42239-0, Springer, pp 333-343
9. A Busuioc H von Storch 2003 Conditional stochastic model for generating daily precipitation time series Climate Res 24 181-195
10. T Cavazos 1999 Large-scale circulation anomalies conductive to extreme precipitation events and derivation of daily rainfall in northeastern Mexico and southeastern Texas J Climate 12 1506-1523 10.1175/ 1520-0442(1999)012<1506:LSCACT>2.0.CO;2
11. T Cavazos 2000 Using self-organizing maps to investigate extreme climate events: An application to wintertime precipitation in the Balkans J Climate 13 1718-1732 10.1175/ 1520-0442(2000)013<1718:USOMTI>2.0.CO;2
12. T Cavazos AC Comrie DM Liverman 2002 Intraseasonal variability associated with wet monsoons in southeast Arizona J Climate 15 2477-2490 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2477:IVAWWM>2.0.CO;2
13. DL Chen YM Chen 2003 Association between winter temperature in China and upper air circulation over East Asia revealed by canonical correlation analysis Global Planet Change 37 315-325 10.1016/S0921-8181(02)00199-6
14. JH Christensen TR Carter F Giorgi 2002 PRUDENCE employs new methods to assess European climate change EOS 83 147
15. F Giorgi MR Marinucci GT Bates 1993a Development of a second generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part I: Boundary layer and radiative transfer processes Mon Wea Rev 121 2794-2813 10.1175/ 1520-0493(1993)121<2794:DOASGR>2.0.CO;2
16. F Giorgi MR Marinucci GT Bates G De Canio 1993b Development of a second generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part II: Convective processes and assimilation of lateral boundary conditions Mon Wea Rev 121 2814-2832 10.1175/1520-0493(1993)121<2814:DOASGR>2.0.CO;2
17. F Giorgi LO Mearns 1999 Introduction to special section: Regional climate modeling revisited J Geophys Res 104 6335-6352 10.1029/98JD02072
18. F Giorgi PW Whetton RG Jones JH Christensen LO Mearns B Hewitson H von Storch R Francisco C Jack 2001 Emerging patterns of simulated regional climatic changes for the 21st century due to anthropogenic forcings Geophys Res Lett 28 3317-3320 10.1029/2001GL013150
19. F Giorgi B Xunqiang J Pal 2004a Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. I: Present day climate (1961-1990) Clim Dyn 22 733-756 10.1007/s00382-004-0409-x
20. Giorgi F, Xunqiang B, Pal J (2004b) Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. II: Climate change scenarios (2071-2100). Clim Dyn (in press)
21. C Goodess J Palutikof 1998 Development of daily rainfall scenarios for southeast Spain using a circulation-type approach to downscaling Int J Climatol 10 1051-1083 10.1002/ (SICI)1097-0088(199808)18:10<1051::AID-JOC304>3.0.CO;2-1
22. BC Hewitson RG Crane 1996 Climate downscaling techniques and applications Climate Research 7 85-95
23. H Heyen E Zorita H von Storch 1996 Statistical downscaling of monthly mean North Atlantic air-pressure to sea level anomalies in the Baltic Sea Tellus 48A 312-323
24. R Huth 2001 Statistical downscaling of daily temperature in Central Europe J Climate 15 1731-1742 10.1175/ 1520-0442(2002)015<1731:SDODTI>2.0.CO;2
25. R Huth 2004 Sensitivity of local daily temperature change estimates to the selection of downscaling models and predictors J Climate 17 640-652 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0640:SOLDTC>2.0.CO;2
26. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2000) Special Report on Emissions cenarios. In: Nakicenovic N (ed). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
27. Jones RG, Murphy JM, Hassell D, Taylor R (2001) Ensemble mean changes in a simulation of the European mean climate of 2071-2100 using the new adly Centre regional modeling system HadAM3H/HadRM3H. Hadley Centre report, 19pp
28. E Kalnay 1996 The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project Bull Amer Meteor Soc 77 437-471 10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2
29. TR Karl WC Wang ME Schlesinger RW Knight D Portman 1990 A method of relating general circulation model simulated climate to the observed local climate. Part I: Seasonal statistics J Climate 1 1057-1064
30. RW Katz 1996 Use of conditional stochastic models to generate climate change scenarios Climate Change 32 237-255 10.1007/BF00142464
31. JJ McGregor 1997 Regional climate modeling Meteorol Atmos Phys 63 105-117 10.1007/BF01025367
32. LO Mearns T Mavromatis E Tsvetsinskaya C Hays W Easterling 1999 Comparative responses of EPIC and CERES crop models to high and low resolution climate change scenario J Geophys Res 104 D6 6623-6646 10.1029/1998JD200061
33. JM Murphy 1999 An evaluation of statistical and dynamical techniques for downscaling local climate J Climate 12 2256-2284 10.1175/ 1520-0442(1999)012<2256:AEOSAD>2.0.CO;2
34. JM Murphy 2000 Prediction of climate change over Europe using statistical and dynamical downscaling techniques Int J Climatol 20 489-501 10.1002/ (SICI)1097-0088(200004)20:5<489::AID-JOC484>3.0.CO;2-6
35. JS Pal EE Small EAB Eltahir 2000 Simulation of regional scale water and energy budgets: Representation of sub-grid cloud and precipitation processes within RegCM J Geophys Res 105 29579-29594 10.1029/2000JD900415
36. JP Palutikof CM Goodes SJ Watkins T Holt 2002 Generating rainfall and temperature scenarios at multiple sites: Examples from the Mediterranean J Climate 15 3549-3568 10.1175/ 1520-0442(2002)015<3529:GRATSA>2.0.CO;2
37. VD Pope ML Gallani PR Rowntree RA Stratton 2000 The impact of new Physical parameterizations in the Hadley Centre climate model Clim Dyn 16 123-146 10.1007/s003820050009
38. H von Storch E Zorita U Cubasch 1993 Downscaling of global climate change estimates to regional scale: An application to Iberian rainfall in wintertime J Climate 6 1161-1171 10.1175/ 1520-0442(1993)006<1161:DOGCCE>2.0.CO;2
39. von Storch HV(1995) Spatial patterns: EOFs and CCA. In: von Storch H, Navara A (eds) Analysis of climate variability: Application of statistical techniques. Springer, pp 227-258
40. R Trigo J Palutikof 2001 Precipitation scenarios over Iberia: A comparison between direct GCM output and different downscaling techniques J Climate 16 4422-4446 10.1175/ 1520-0442(2001)014<4422:PSOIAC>2.0.CO;2
41. P Werner H von Storch 1993 Interannual variability of Central European mean temperature in January-February and its relation to large-scale circulation Clim Res 3 195-207
42. TML Wigley PD Jones KR Briffa G Smith 1990 Obtaining subgrid scale information from coarse-resolution general circulation model output J Geophys Res 95 1943-1953
43. RL Wilby TML Wigley D Conway PD Jones BC Hewitson J Main DS Wilks 1998 Statistical downscaling of general circulation model output: A comparison of methods Water Resour Res 34 2995-3008 10.1029/98WR02577
44. D Wilks 1992 Adapting stochastic weather generation algorithms for climate change studies Climate Change 22 67-84 10.1007/BF00143344
45. M Witdmann CS Bretherton EP Salathe 2003 Statistical precipitation downscaling over the Northwestern United States using numerically simulated precipitation as a predictor J Climate 16 799-816 10.1175/ 1520-0442(2003)016<0799:SPDOTN>2.0.CO;2
46. E Xoplaky J Luterbacher R Burkard 2000 Connection between the large-scale 500hPa geopotential height fields and precipitation over Greece during wintertime Clim Res 14 129-146
47. E Zorita JP Hughes DP Lettemaier H von Storch 1995 Stochastic characterization of regional circulation patterns for climate model diagnosis and estimation of local precipitation J Climate 8 1024-1042 10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<1023:SCORCP>2.0.CO;2
48. E Zorita H von Storch 1999 The analogue method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods J Climate 12 2474-2489 10.1175/ 1520-0442(1999)012<2474:TAMAAS>2.0.CO;2