Large-scale circulation anomalies conducive to extreme precipitation events and derivation of daily rainfall in northeastern Mexico and southeastern Texas

Journal of Climate

Volumn 12, Issue 5 II, 1999, Pages 1506-1523

  Cavazos, Tereza ^a,b  

^a PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN   (South Africa)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC HUMIDITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; FEEDFORWARD NEURAL NETWORKS; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY);

ATMOSPHERIC CONTROLS; CLIMATE DIAGNOSIS; PACIFIC NORTH AMERICAN PATTERN; SELF ORGANIZING MAP;

RAIN;

ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE MODELING; EXTREME EVENT; PRECIPITATION (CHEMISTRY); RAINFALL;

MEXICO; UNITED STATES;

EID: 0032875821     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1506:lscact>2.0.co;2     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Barston, A. G., and R. E. Livezey, 1987: Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1083-1126.
2. Burk, S. D., and W. T. Thompson, 1992: Airmass modification over the Gulf of Mexico: Mesoscale model and airmass transformation model forecasts. J. Appl. Meteor., 31, 925-937.
3. Cavazos, T., 1997: Downscaling large-scale circulation to local winter rainfall in north-eastern Mexico. Int. J. Climatol, 17, 1069-1082.
4. _, and S. Hastenrath, 1990: Convection and rainfall over Mexico and their modulation by the Southern Oscillation. Int. J. Climatol, 10, 377-386.
5. _, and V. Molina, 1992: Registros climatológicos de la Región Citrícola de Nuevo Léon. Boletín Técnico 1, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo Léon, México, 65 pp. [Available from Facultad de Ciencias Forestales, UANL, Linares, NL 7700, Mexico.]
6. Colle, B. A., and C. F. Mass, 1995: The structure and evolution of cold surges east of the Rocky Mountains. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2577-2609.
7. Crisp, C. A., and J. M. Lewis, 1992: Return flow in the Gulf of Mexico. Part I: A classificatory approach with global historical perspective. J. Appl. Meteor., 31, 868-880.
8. DiMego, G. J., L. F. Bosart, and G. W. Endersen, 1976: An examination of the frequency and mean conditions surrounding frontal incursions into the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 709-718.
9. Douglas, A. V., and P. J. Englehart, 1981: On a statistical relationship between autumn rainfall in the central equatorial Pacific and subsequent winter rainfall in Florida. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 2377-2382.
10. Erickson, C. O., 1979: The large scale upper-tropospheric circulation associated with unusually heavy rainfall over the southern United States, spring 1979. Proc. Fourth Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop, Madison, WI, NOAA, 108-119. [NTIS PB-201130]
11. Fitzjarrald, D. R., 1986: Slope winds in Veracruz. J. Appl. Meteor., 25, 133-144.
12. Giorgi, F., and L. O. Mearns, 1991: Approaches to simulation of regional climate change: A review. Rev. Geophys., 29, 191-216.
13. Goodman, P. H., 1996: NevProp software. Version 3. University of Nevada.
14. Hartjenstein, G., and R. Beck, 1991: Factors affecting cold-air outbreaks east of the Rocky Mountains. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 2280-2292.
15. Hewitson, B. C., and R. G. Crane, 1996: Climate downscaling: Techniques and application. Climate Res., 7, 85-75.
16. Hoerling, M. P., M. Ting, and A. Kumar, 1995: Zonal flow-stationary wave relationship during El Niño: Implications for seasonal forecasting. J. Climate, 8, 1838-1852.
17. _, A. Kumar, and M. Zhong, 1997: El Niño, La Niña, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections. J. Climate, 10, 1769-1786.
18. Horel, J. D., and J. M. Wallace, 1981: Planetary-scale atmospheric phenomena associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 813-829.
19. Iskenderian, H., 1995: Tropical cloud plumes and the interannual variability of precipitation over the southeastern United States and Mexico. Ph.D. dissertation, State University of New York at Albany, 147 pp. [Available from University at Albany, State University of New York, 1400 Washington Ave., Albany, NY 12222.]
20. Kiladis, G. N., and H. Diaz, 1989: Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 1069-1090.
21. Klaus, D., 1973: Las invasiones de aire frío en los tropicos a sotavento de las Montañas Rocallosas. Geofis. Int., 43, 99-143.
22. Kohonen, T., 1982: Self-organized formation of topologically correct feature maps. Biolog. Cybernetics, 43, 59-69.
23. _, 1990: The self-organizing map. Proc. IEEE, 78, 1464-1480.
24. _, 1995: Self-Organizing Maps. Vol. 30. Springer Series in Information Sciences, Springer-Verlag, 362 pp.
25. _, J. Hynninen, J. Kangas, and J. Laaksonen, 1995: SOM_PAK, The self-organizing map program package, version 3.1. Laboratory of Computer and Information Science, Helsinki University of Technology, Helsinki, Finland, 27 pp. [Available online at ftp://cochlea.hut.fi.]
26. Kousky, V. E., 1993: The global climate of December 1991-February 1992: Mature phase warm (ENSO) episode conditions develop. J. Climate, 6, 1639-1655.
27. Lawrence, S., C. L. Giles, and A. C. Tsoi, 1996: What size neural network gives optimal generalization? Convergence properties of backpropagation. Tech. Rep. UMIACS-TR-96-22 and CS-TR-3617, University of Maryland at College Park, 30 pp. [Available from University of Maryland at College Park, College Park, MD 20742.]
28. Lydolph, P. E., 1989: The Climate of the Earth. Rowan and Littlefleld, 386 pp.
29. Main, J. P. L., 1997: Seasonality of circulation in Southern Africa using the Kohonen self organizing map. M.S. thesis, Department of Environmental and Geographical Sciences, University of Cape Town, South Africa, 84 pp.
30. Mecikalski, J., and J. Tilley, 1992: Cold surges along the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains: Development of a classification scheme. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 48, 249-271.
31. Rasmusson, E. M., and K. Mo, 1993: Linkages between 200-mb tropical and extratropical circulation anomalies during the 1986-1989 ENSO cycle. J. Climate, 6, 595-616.
32. Reding, P. J., 1992: The Central American cold surge: An observational analysis of the deep southward penetration of North American cold fronts. M.S. thesis, Dept. of Meteorology, Texas A&M University, 177 pp. [Available from Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77801.]
33. Schubert, S. D., R. B. Rood, and J. Pfaendtner, 1993: An assimilated set for earth science applications. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 2331-2342.
34. Schultz, D. M., W. Edward, W. E. Bracken, and L. Bosart, 1998: Planetary- and synoptic-scale signatures associated with Central American cold surges. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 5-27.
35. Wallace, J. M., and D. S. Gutzler, 1981: Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 784-812.
36. _, C. Smith, and Q. Jiang, 1990: Spatial patterns of atmosphere-ocean interaction in the northern winter. J. Climate, 3, 990-998.
37. Wigley, T. M. L., 1985: Impact of extreme events. Nature, 316, 106-107.
38. Wilks, D. S., 1995: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, 467 pp.