메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 76, Issue 1-2, 2006, Pages 91-119

Risk-based reanalysis of the effects of climate change on U.S. cold-water habitat

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BIODIVERSITY; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; GAS EMISSIONS; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PROBABILITY; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 33744957945     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-005-9014-1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (24)

References (72)
  • 1
    • 0034037482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic analysis of the potential impact of climate change on recreational trout fishing in the southern appalachian mountains: An application of a nested multinominal logit model
    • Ahn, S., de Steiguer, J. E., Palmquist, R. B., and Holmes, T. P.: 2000, 'Economic analysis of the potential impact of climate change on recreational trout fishing in the southern appalachian mountains: An application of a nested multinominal logit model', Clim. Change 45, 493-509.
    • (2000) Clim. Change , vol.45 , pp. 493-509
    • Ahn, S.1    De Steiguer, J.E.2    Palmquist, R.B.3    Holmes, T.P.4
  • 2
    • 33744956420 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward objective probabilistic climate forecasting
    • Allen, M. R. and Stainforth, D. A.: 2002, 'Toward objective probabilistic climate forecasting', Science 419, 229.
    • (2002) Science , vol.419 , pp. 229
    • Allen, M.R.1    Stainforth, D.A.2
  • 3
    • 0037040553 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision-making when science is ambiguous
    • Anand, P.: 2002, 'Decision-making when science is ambiguous', Science 295, 1839.
    • (2002) Science , vol.295 , pp. 1839
    • Anand, P.1
  • 7
    • 0029818888 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of climate warming on fish thermal habitat in streams of the United States
    • Eaton, J. G. and Scheller, R. M.: 1996, 'Effects of climate warming on fish thermal habitat in streams of the United States', Limnol. Oceanogr., 41, 1109-1115.
    • (1996) Limnol. Oceanogr. , vol.41 , pp. 1109-1115
    • Eaton, J.G.1    Scheller, R.M.2
  • 9
    • 0035812764 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constraint to adaptive evolution in response to global warming
    • Etterson, J. R. and Shaw, R. G.: 2001, 'Constraint to adaptive evolution in response to global warming,' Science 294, 151-154.
    • (2001) Science , vol.294 , pp. 151-154
    • Etterson, J.R.1    Shaw, R.G.2
  • 10
    • 0037016454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying uncertainties in climate system properties with the use of recent climate observations
    • Forest, C. E., Stone, P. H., Sokolov, A. P., Allen, M. R., and Webster, M. D.: 2002, 'Quantifying uncertainties in climate system properties with the use of recent climate observations', Science 295, 113-117.
    • (2002) Science , vol.295 , pp. 113-117
    • Forest, C.E.1    Stone, P.H.2    Sokolov, A.P.3    Allen, M.R.4    Webster, M.D.5
  • 11
    • 0037092719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calculation of average, uncertainty range, and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the "Reliability ensemble averaging" (REA) method
    • Giorgi, F. and Mearns, L. O.: 2002, 'Calculation of average, uncertainty range, and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the "Reliability ensemble averaging" (REA) method', J Climate 15, 1141-1158.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 1141-1158
    • Giorgi, F.1    Mearns, L.O.2
  • 12
    • 0348044464 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability of regional climate change based on the reliability ensemble averaging (REA) method
    • doi:10.1029/2003GL017130
    • Giorgi, F. and Mearns, L. O.: 2003, 'Probability of regional climate change based on the reliability ensemble averaging (REA) method', Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, doi:10.1029/2003GL017130.
    • (2003) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.30
    • Giorgi, F.1    Mearns, L.O.2
  • 13
    • 16444372838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A slippery slope: How Much global warming constitutes "Dangerous anthropogenic interference
    • Hansen, J. E.: 2005, 'A slippery slope: How Much global warming constitutes "Dangerous anthropogenic interference', Clim. Change 68, 269-279.
    • (2005) Clim. Change , vol.68 , pp. 269-279
    • Hansen, J.E.1
  • 17
    • 26444486436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and biodiversity
    • H. Gitay, A. Suárez, R. T. Watson, and D. J. Dokken (eds.), Geneva, Switzerland
    • IPCC: 2002, 'Climate change and biodiversity', in H. Gitay, A. Suárez, R. T. Watson, and D. J. Dokken (eds.), Technical Paper V, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, Switzerland, 86 pp.
    • (2002) Technical Paper V, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
  • 18
    • 0034120381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing uncertainty in climate change projections - Issues for impact assessment
    • Jones, R. N.: 2000, 'Managing uncertainty in climate change projections - issues for impact assessment', Clim. Change 45, 403-419.
    • (2000) Clim. Change , vol.45 , pp. 403-419
    • Jones, R.N.1
  • 19
    • 0035030556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An Environmental risk assessment/management framework for climate change impact assessments
    • Jones, R. N.: 2001, 'An Environmental risk assessment/management framework for climate change impact assessments', Nat. Hazards 23, 197-230.
    • (2001) Nat. Hazards , vol.23 , pp. 197-230
    • Jones, R.N.1
  • 20
    • 17644399535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incorporating agency into climate change risk assessments
    • Jones, R. N.: 2004, "Incorporating agency into climate change risk assessments', Clim. Change 67, 13-26.
    • (2004) Clim. Change , vol.67 , pp. 13-26
    • Jones, R.N.1
  • 22
    • 0029659386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thermal limits to salmonid distributions in the rocky mountain region and potential habitat loss due to global warming: A geographic information system (GIS) Approach
    • Keleher, C. J. and Rahel, F. J.: 1996, 'Thermal limits to salmonid distributions in the rocky mountain region and potential habitat loss due to global warming: A geographic information system (GIS) Approach', Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. 125, 1-13.
    • (1996) Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 1-13
    • Keleher, C.J.1    Rahel, F.J.2
  • 23
    • 0037129209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles
    • Knutti, R., Stocker, T. F., Joos, F., and Plattner, G.-K.: 2002, 'Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles', Nature 416, 719-723.
    • (2002) Nature , vol.416 , pp. 719-723
    • Knutti, R.1    Stocker, T.F.2    Joos, F.3    Plattner, G.-K.4
  • 24
    • 0037044760 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological predictions and risk assessment for alien fishes in North America
    • Kolar, C. S. and Lodge, D. M.: 2002, 'Ecological predictions and risk assessment for alien fishes in North America', Science 298, 1233-1236.
    • (2002) Science , vol.298 , pp. 1233-1236
    • Kolar, C.S.1    Lodge, D.M.2
  • 25
    • 84953598365 scopus 로고
    • Potential changes in the thermal habitat of great lakes fish after global climate warming
    • Magnuson, J. J., Meisner, J. D., and Hill, D. K.: 1990, 'Potential changes in the thermal habitat of great lakes fish after global climate warming', Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. 119, 254-264.
    • (1990) Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. , vol.119 , pp. 254-264
    • Magnuson, J.J.1    Meisner, J.D.2    Hill, D.K.3
  • 26
    • 2142644460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic integrated assessment of "dangerous" climate change
    • Mastrandrea, M. D. and Schneider, S. H.: 2004, 'Probabilistic integrated assessment of "dangerous" climate change', Science 304, 571-575.
    • (2004) Science , vol.304 , pp. 571-575
    • Mastrandrea, M.D.1    Schneider, S.H.2
  • 27
    • 0001994424 scopus 로고
    • Potential effects of global warming on native fishes of the southern great plains and the Southwest
    • Matthews, W. J. and Zimmerman, E. G.: 1990, 'Potential effects of global warming on native fishes of the southern great plains and the Southwest', Fisheries 15, 26-32.
    • (1990) Fisheries , vol.15 , pp. 26-32
    • Matthews, W.J.1    Zimmerman, E.G.2
  • 28
    • 0025225203 scopus 로고
    • Effect of climate warming on the southern margins of the native range of brook trout, Salvelinus fontinalis
    • Meisner, J. D.: 1990, 'effect of climate warming on the southern margins of the native range of brook trout, Salvelinus fontinalis', Can. J. Fish Aquat. Sci. 47, 1065-1070.
    • (1990) Can. J. Fish Aquat. Sci. , vol.47 , pp. 1065-1070
    • Meisner, J.D.1
  • 30
    • 0033383495 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of climate change on aquatic ecosystem functioning and health
    • Meyer, J. L., Sale, M. J., Mulholland, P. J., and Poff, N. L.: 1999, 'Impacts of climate change on aquatic ecosystem functioning and health', J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 35, 1373-1386.
    • (1999) J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. , vol.35 , pp. 1373-1386
    • Meyer, J.L.1    Sale, M.J.2    Mulholland, P.J.3    Poff, N.L.4
  • 31
    • 0041859373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming and potential changes in fish habitat in U.S. streams
    • Mohseni, O., Stefan, H. G., and Eaton, J. G.: 2003, 'Global warming and potential changes in fish habitat in U.S. streams', Clim. Change 59, 289-409.
    • (2003) Clim. Change , vol.59 , pp. 289-409
    • Mohseni, O.1    Stefan, H.G.2    Eaton, J.G.3
  • 32
    • 0031662199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nonlinear regression model for weekly stream temperatures
    • Mohseni, O., Stefan, H. G., and Erikson, T. R.: 1998, 'A nonlinear regression model for weekly stream temperatures', Water Res. 34, 2685-2692.
    • (1998) Water Res. , vol.34 , pp. 2685-2692
    • Mohseni, O.1    Stefan, H.G.2    Erikson, T.R.3
  • 33
    • 0029128396 scopus 로고
    • Subjective judgments by climate experts
    • Morgan, M. G. and Keith, D. W.: 1995, 'Subjective judgments by climate experts', Environ. Sci. Technol. 29, 468A-476A.
    • (1995) Environ. Sci. Technol. , vol.29
    • Morgan, M.G.1    Keith, D.W.2
  • 34
    • 0028992686 scopus 로고
    • Avoiding "Dangerous" interference in the climate system: The role of values, science and policy
    • Moss, R. H.: 1995, 'Avoiding "Dangerous" interference in the climate system: The role of values, science and policy', Global Environ. Chang. 5, 3-6.
    • (1995) Global Environ. Chang. , vol.5 , pp. 3-6
    • Moss, R.H.1
  • 35
    • 4043124611 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantification of modeling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
    • Murphy, J. M., Sexton, D. M., Barnett, D. N., Jones, G. S., Webb, M. J., Collins, M., and Stainforth, D. A.: 2004, 'Quantification of modeling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations', Nature 430, 768-772.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.430 , pp. 768-772
    • Murphy, J.M.1    Sexton, D.M.2    Barnett, D.N.3    Jones, G.S.4    Webb, M.J.5    Collins, M.6    Stainforth, D.A.7
  • 37
    • 0033102436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part I: Development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology
    • New, M., Hulme, M., and Jones, P. D.: 1999, 'Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part I: Development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology', J Clim. 12, 829-856.
    • (1999) J. Clim. , vol.12 , pp. 829-856
    • New, M.1    Hulme, M.2    Jones, P.D.3
  • 38
    • 0035826711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The current biodiversity extinction event: Scenarios for mitigation and recovery
    • Novacek, M. J. and Cleland, E. E.: 2001, 'The current biodiversity extinction event: Scenarios for mitigation and recovery', Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 98, 5466-5470.
    • (2001) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA , vol.98 , pp. 5466-5470
    • Novacek, M.J.1    Cleland, E.E.2
  • 39
    • 0027336940 scopus 로고
    • Validation of some extrapolation methods with toxicity data derived from multiple species experiments
    • Okkerman, P. C., Plassche, E. J. V. D., Emans, H. J. B., and Canton, J. H.: 1993, 'Validation of some extrapolation methods with toxicity data derived from multiple species experiments', Ecotox. Environ. Safe. 25, 341-359.
    • (1993) Ecotox. Environ. Safe , vol.25 , pp. 341-359
    • Okkerman, P.C.1    Plassche, E.J.V.D.2    Emans, H.J.B.3    Canton, J.H.4
  • 41
    • 0037076764 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dangerous climate impacts and the kyoto protocol
    • O'Neill, B. C. and Oppenheimer, M.: 2002, 'Dangerous climate impacts and the kyoto protocol', Science 296, 1971-1972.
    • (2002) Science , vol.296 , pp. 1971-1972
    • O'Neill, B.C.1    Oppenheimer, M.2
  • 43
    • 0035921921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilities will help us plan for climate change
    • Pittock, A. B., Jones, R. N, and Mitchell, C. D.: 2001, 'Probabilities will help us plan for climate change,' Nature 413, 249.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.413 , pp. 249
    • Pittock, A.B.1    Jones, R.N.2    Mitchell, C.D.3
  • 45
    • 0029800105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential habitat loss and population fragmentation for cold water fish in the North Platte river drainage of the Rocky Mountains: Response to climate warming
    • Rahel, F. J., Keleher, C. J., and Anderson, J. L.: 1996, 'Potential habitat loss and population fragmentation for cold water fish in the North Platte river drainage of the Rocky Mountains: Response to climate warming', Linmol. Oceanogr. 41, 1116-1123.
    • (1996) Linmol. Oceanogr. , vol.41 , pp. 1116-1123
    • Rahel, F.J.1    Keleher, C.J.2    Anderson, J.L.3
  • 47
    • 17644403579 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Agency and the assignment of probabilities to greenhouse emissions scenarios
    • Risbey, J. S.: 2004, 'Agency and the assignment of probabilities to greenhouse emissions scenarios', Clim. Change 67, 37-42.
    • (2004) Clim. Change , vol.67 , pp. 37-42
    • Risbey, J.S.1
  • 50
    • 0035799690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What is "dangerous" climate change?
    • Schneider, S. H.: 2001, 'What is "dangerous" climate change?' Nature 411, 17-19.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.411 , pp. 17-19
    • Schneider, S.H.1
  • 52
    • 0027226430 scopus 로고
    • Stream temperature estimation from air temperature
    • Stefan, H. G. and Preud'homme, E. B. 1993, 'Stream temperature estimation from air temperature', Water Resour. Bull. 29, 1-19.
    • (1993) Water Resour. Bull. , vol.29 , pp. 1-19
    • Stefan, H.G.1    Preud'homme, E.B.2
  • 53
    • 0038725000 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Acclimation capacity underlies susceptibility to climate change
    • Stillman, J. H.: 2003, 'Acclimation capacity underlies susceptibility to climate change,' Science 301, 65.
    • (2003) Science , vol.301 , pp. 65
    • Stillman, J.H.1
  • 54
    • 0037129227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise
    • Stott, P. A. and Kettleborough, J. A., 2002, 'Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise', Nature 416, 723-726.
    • (2002) Nature , vol.416 , pp. 723-726
    • Stott, P.A.1    Kettleborough, J.A.2
  • 55
  • 56
    • 0027995305 scopus 로고
    • The "ultimate objective" of the framework convention on climate change requires a new approach in climate change research
    • Swart, R. J. and Vellinga, P.: 1994, 'The "ultimate objective" of the framework convention on climate change requires a new approach in climate change research', Clim. Change 26, 343-349.
    • (1994) Clim. Change , vol.26 , pp. 343-349
    • Swart, R.J.1    Vellinga, P.2
  • 57
    • 14544276393 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional probabilities of precipitation change: A bayesian analysis of multimodel simulations
    • doi:10.1029/2004GL021276
    • Tebaldi, C., Mearns, L. O., Nychka, D., and Smith, R. L.: 2004, 'Regional probabilities of precipitation change: a bayesian analysis of multimodel simulations', Geophys. Res. Lett. 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL021276.
    • (2004) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.31
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Mearns, L.O.2    Nychka, D.3    Smith, R.L.4
  • 60
    • 0029764641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The risk of sea level rise
    • Titus, J. G. and Narayanan, V.: 1996, 'The risk of sea level rise', Clim. Change 33, 151-212.
    • (1996) Clim. Change , vol.33 , pp. 151-212
    • Titus, J.G.1    Narayanan, V.2
  • 61
    • 0033847844 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate impact response functions: An introduction
    • Toth, F. L., Cramer, W., and Hizsnyik, E.: 2000, 'Climate impact response functions: An introduction', Clim. Change 46, 225-246.
    • (2000) Clim. Change , vol.46 , pp. 225-246
    • Toth, F.L.1    Cramer, W.2    Hizsnyik, E.3
  • 63
    • 0003730917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U. S. Department of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service and U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Washington, D.C.
    • U.S. DOI: 1997, 1996 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated Recreation, U. S. Department of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service and U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Washington, D.C.
    • (1997) 1996 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated Recreation
  • 65
    • 0034118238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying key sources of uncertainty in climate change projections
    • Visser, H., Folkert, R. J. M., Hoekstra, J., and de Wolff, J. J.: 2000, 'Identifying key sources of uncertainty in climate change projections', Clim. Change 45, 421-457.
    • (2000) Clim. Change , vol.45 , pp. 421-457
    • Visser, H.1    Folkert, R.J.M.2    Hoekstra, J.3    De Wolff, J.J.4
  • 69
    • 15244348974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The climate change commitment
    • Wigley, T. M. L.: 2005, 'The climate change commitment', Science 307, 1766-1769.
    • (2005) Science , vol.307 , pp. 1766-1769
    • Wigley, T.M.L.1
  • 70
    • 0035919689 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interpretations of high projections for global-mean warming
    • Wigley, T. M. L. and Raper, S. C. B.: 2001, 'Interpretations of high projections for global-mean warming', Science 293, 451-454.
    • (2001) Science , vol.293 , pp. 451-454
    • Wigley, T.M.L.1    Raper, S.C.B.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.