Calculation of average, uncertainty range, and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the "Reliability Ensemble Averaging" (REA) method

Journal of Climate

Volumn 15, Issue 10, 2002, Pages 1141-1158

  Giorgi, Filippo ^a   Mearns, Linda O ^a  

^a ABDUS SALAM INTERNATIONAL CENTRE FOR THEORETICAL PHYSICS   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EARTH ATMOSPHERE; OCEANOGRAPHY; THERMAL EFFECTS;

PRECIPITATIONS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN SYSTEM; CLIMATE CHANGE; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; REGIONAL CLIMATE; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 0037092719     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1141:COAURA>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (36)

1. Objective estimation of the probability density function for climate sensitivity
2. Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies
3. Climates of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries simulated by the NCAR climate system model
4. Warming asymmetry in climate change simulations
5. Enhanced climate change and its detection over the rocky mountains
6. Approaches to regional climate change simulation: A review
7. Uncertainties in regional climate change predictions. A regional analysis of ensemble simulations with the HADCM2 GCM
8. Evaluating uncertainties in the prediction of regional climate change
9. Elevation signal in surface climate change: A model study
10. Emerging patterns of simulated regional climatic changes for the 21st century due to anthropogenic forcings
11. Regional climate information - Evaluation and projections
12. Transient climate change in the CSIRO coupled model with dynamic sea ice
13. The changing climate of Europe
14. Managing uncertainty in climate change projections - Issues for impact assessment
15. Analysing the risk of climate change using an irrigation demand model
16. Climate models - Projections of future climate
17. Techniques for estimating uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies
18. 2 sensitivity of coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model experiments
19. Model assessment of regional surface temperature trends (1949-97)
20. Improved weather and seasonal climate forecasts from multimodel superensemble
21. Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate
22. CMIPI evaluation and intercomparison of coupled climate models
23. Validation and analysis of regional present-day climate and climate change simulations over Europe
24. Climate scenario development
25. Towards the construction of climate change scenarios
26. Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios: A Monte-Carlo approach
27. Representing twentieth-century space time climate fields. Part II: Development of a 1901-1996 mean monthly terrestrial climatology
28. 2-induced warming pattern: MRI AOGCM experiment
29. A probability and decision model analysis of PROVOST seasonal multi-model ensemble integrations
30. What is dangerous climate change?
31. The climate of the 21st century: Transient dimulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model
32. Scale-dependent detection of climate change
33. Identifying key sources of uncertainty in climate change projections
34. Global comparison of the regional rainfall results of enhanced greenhouse coupled and mixed layer ocean experiments: Implications for climate change scenario development
35. Interpretation of high projections for global-mean warming