메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 127, Issue 1-2, 2006, Pages 207-223

Using state polls to forecast U.S. Presidential election outcomes

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 33646754551     PISSN: 00485829     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11127-006-1259-3     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (10)

References (22)
  • 1
    • 0001309156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bill and Al's excellent adventure: Forecasting the 1996 presidential election
    • Abramowitz, A. (1996). Bill and Al's excellent adventure: Forecasting the 1996 presidential election. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 434-442.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 434-442
    • Abramowitz, A.1
  • 2
    • 84976115121 scopus 로고
    • An improved model for predicting presidential outcomes
    • Abramowitz, A. (1992). An improved model for predicting presidential outcomes. PS: Political Science and Politics, 21, 843-847.
    • (1992) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.21 , pp. 843-847
    • Abramowitz, A.1
  • 3
    • 0347088036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting presidential elections using history and polls
    • Brown, L., & Chappell, H. (1999). Forecasting presidential elections using history and polls. International Journal of Forecasting, 15, 127-135.
    • (1999) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.15 , pp. 127-135
    • Brown, L.1    Chappell, H.2
  • 4
    • 84970749458 scopus 로고
    • Trial-heat forecasts of the presidential vote
    • Campbell, J., & Wink, K. ( 1990). Trial-heat forecasts of the presidential vote. American Politics Quarterly, 18, 251-269.
    • (1990) American Politics Quarterly , vol.18 , pp. 251-269
    • Campbell, J.1    Wink, K.2
  • 5
    • 84933491918 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the presidential vote in the states
    • Campbell, J. (1992). Forecasting the presidential vote in the states. American Journal of Political Science, 36, 386-407.
    • (1992) American Journal of Political Science , vol.36 , pp. 386-407
    • Campbell, J.1
  • 6
    • 0001524786 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Polls and votes: The trial heat presidential election forecasting model, certainty, and political campaigns
    • Campbell, J. (1996). Polls and votes: The trial heat presidential election forecasting model, certainty, and political campaigns. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 408-433.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 408-433
    • Campbell, J.1
  • 8
    • 0042627070 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using state polls to forecast presidential election outcomes in the American states
    • DeSart, J., & Holbrook, T. (1999). Using state polls to forecast presidential election outcomes in the American states. International Journal of Forecasting, 15, 137-142.
    • (1999) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.15 , pp. 137-142
    • DeSart, J.1    Holbrook, T.2
  • 9
    • 84973964077 scopus 로고
    • Economic conditions and the presidential vote
    • Erikson, R. (1989). Economic conditions and the presidential vote. American Political Science Review, 83, 567-573.
    • (1989) American Political Science Review , vol.83 , pp. 567-573
    • Erikson, R.1
  • 10
    • 0001745218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal horizons and presidential election forecasts
    • Erikson, R., & Wlezien, C. (1996). Temporal horizons and presidential election forecasts. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 492-505.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 492-505
    • Erikson, R.1    Wlezien, C.2
  • 11
    • 0003061079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Econometrics and presidential elections
    • Fair, R. (1996). Econometrics and presidential elections. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3, 89-102.
    • (1996) The Journal of Economic Perspectives , vol.3 , pp. 89-102
    • Fair, R.1
  • 12
    • 0000675837 scopus 로고
    • The effect of economic events on votes for president
    • Fair, R. (1978). The effect of economic events on votes for president. Review of Economics and Statistics, 60, 159-173.
    • (1978) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.60 , pp. 159-173
    • Fair, R.1
  • 13
    • 0000133859 scopus 로고
    • The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1980 results
    • Fair, R. (1982). The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1980 results. Review of Economics and Statistics, 64, 322-325.
    • (1982) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.64 , pp. 322-325
    • Fair, R.1
  • 14
    • 34248320248 scopus 로고
    • The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1984 update
    • Fair, R. (1988). The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1984 update. Political Behavior, 10, 168-179.
    • (1988) Political Behavior , vol.10 , pp. 168-179
    • Fair, R.1
  • 15
    • 0000163134 scopus 로고
    • Short-term fluctuations in U.S. voting behavior. 1896-1964
    • Kramer, G. (1971). Short-term fluctuations in U.S. voting behavior. 1896-1964. American Political Science Review, 65, 131-143.
    • (1971) American Political Science Review , vol.65 , pp. 131-143
    • Kramer, G.1
  • 16
    • 0034379021 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bread and peace voting in U.S. presidential elections
    • Hibbs, D. (2000). Bread and peace voting in U.S. presidential elections. Public Choice, 104, 149-180.
    • (2000) Public Choice , vol.104 , pp. 149-180
    • Hibbs, D.1
  • 18
    • 0345968215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reading the political tea leaves: A forecasting model of contemporary presidential elections
    • Holbrook, T. (1996). Reading the political tea leaves: A forecasting model of contemporary presidential elections. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 434-442.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 434-442
    • Holbrook, T.1
  • 19
  • 20
    • 0000050435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The future in forecasting: Prospective presidential models
    • Lewis-Beck, M., & Tien, C. (1996). The future in forecasting: Prospective presidential models. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 468-492.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 468-492
    • Lewis-Beck, M.1    Tien, C.2
  • 22
    • 0040034506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating presidential elections: The importance of state fixed effects and the role of national versus local information
    • Strumpf, C., & Phillippe, J. (1999) Estimating presidential elections: The importance of state fixed effects and the role of national versus local information. Economics and Politics, 11, 33-50.
    • (1999) Economics and Politics , vol.11 , pp. 33-50
    • Strumpf, C.1    Phillippe, J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.