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Volumn 24, Issue 4, 1996, Pages 506-519

Reading the political tea leaves: A forecasting model of contemporary presidential elections

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Indexed keywords


EID: 0345968215     PISSN: 1532673X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/1532673X9602400407     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (26)

References (15)
  • 1
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    • (1988) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.21 , pp. 843-847
    • Abramowitz, A.1
  • 3
    • 0010663265 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the 1992 presidential election: The message is in the confidence interval
    • Beck, Nathaniel. 1992. Forecasting the 1992 presidential election: The message is in the confidence interval. The Public Perspective 3:32-4.
    • (1992) The Public Perspective , vol.3 , pp. 32-34
    • Beck, N.1
  • 4
    • 34248249679 scopus 로고
    • Why are American presidential election campaign polls so variable when votes are so predictable?
    • Gelman, Andrew, and Gary King. 1993. Why are American presidential election campaign polls so variable when votes are so predictable? British Journal of Political Science 23:409-51.
    • (1993) British Journal of Political Science , vol.23 , pp. 409-451
    • Gelman, A.1    King, G.2
  • 5
    • 84970395500 scopus 로고
    • Media coverage of the economy and aggregate economic evaluations: Uncovering evidence of indirect media effects
    • Goidel, Robert K., and Ronald E. Langley. 1995. Media coverage of the economy and aggregate economic evaluations: Uncovering evidence of indirect media effects. Political Research Quarterly 48:313-28.
    • (1995) Political Research Quarterly , vol.48 , pp. 313-328
    • Goidel, R.K.1    Langley, R.E.2
  • 6
    • 0011628461 scopus 로고
    • Forewarned before forecast: Presidential election forecasting models and the 1992 election
    • Greene, Jay P. 1993. Forewarned before forecast: Presidential election forecasting models and the 1992 election. PS: Political Science and Politics 26:17-21.
    • (1993) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.26 , pp. 17-21
    • Greene, J.P.1
  • 8
    • 0030559204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Homo-economus? Economic information and economic voting
    • Holbrook, Thomas, and James Garand. 1996. Homo-economus? Economic information and economic voting. Political Research Quarterly 49:351-76.
    • (1996) Political Research Quarterly , vol.49 , pp. 351-376
    • Holbrook, T.1    Garand, J.2
  • 10
    • 0000163134 scopus 로고
    • Short-term fluctuations in U.S. voting behavior
    • Kramer, Gerald H. 1971. Short-term fluctuations in U.S. voting behavior. American Political Science Review 65:131-43.
    • (1971) American Political Science Review , vol.65 , pp. 131-143
    • Kramer, G.H.1
  • 12
    • 84973969232 scopus 로고
    • Promise and performance: A dynamic model of presidential popularity
    • Ostrom, Charles W., Jr., and Dennis Simon. 1985. Promise and performance: A dynamic model of presidential popularity. American Political Science Review 79:334-58.
    • (1985) American Political Science Review , vol.79 , pp. 334-358
    • Ostrom Jr., C.W.1    Simon, D.2
  • 14
    • 0004282654 scopus 로고
    • Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce
    • U.S. Department of Commerce. 1992. Survey of current business (August). Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce.
    • (1992) Survey of Current Business (August)
  • 15
    • 0004282654 scopus 로고
    • Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce
    • _. 1994. Survey of current business (July). Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce.
    • (1994) Survey of Current Business (July)


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.