메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 104, Issue 1-2, 2000, Pages 149-180

Bread and Peace voting in U.S. presidential elections

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 0034379021     PISSN: 00485829     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (125)

References (61)
  • 1
    • 84976115121 scopus 로고
    • An improved model for predicting presidential election outcomes
    • Abramowitz, A.L. (1988). An improved model for predicting presidential election outcomes. PS: Political Science and Politics 21: 843-847.
    • (1988) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.21 , pp. 843-847
    • Abramowitz, A.L.1
  • 2
    • 21344456679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 1992, 1994 and 1996 elections: A comment and a forecast
    • Alesina, A., Londregan, J. and Rosenthal, H. (1996). The 1992, 1994 and 1996 elections: A comment and a forecast. Public Choice 88: 115-125.
    • (1996) Public Choice , vol.88 , pp. 115-125
    • Alesina, A.1    Londregan, J.2    Rosenthal, H.3
  • 5
    • 0007214165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Correspondence: Economics and elections
    • Bartels, L. (1997). Correspondence: Economics and elections. Journal of Economic Perspectives 11: 195-197.
    • (1997) Journal of Economic Perspectives , vol.11 , pp. 195-197
    • Bartels, L.1
  • 7
    • 0001727501 scopus 로고
    • Voter response to short-run economic conditions
    • Bloom, H. and Price, H. (1985). Voter response to short-run economic conditions. American Political Science Review 69: 124-154.
    • (1985) American Political Science Review , vol.69 , pp. 124-154
    • Bloom, H.1    Price, H.2
  • 9
    • 84973959798 scopus 로고
    • The expansion of the public economy
    • Cameron, D. (1978). The expansion of the public economy. American Political Science Review 72: 1243-1261.
    • (1978) American Political Science Review , vol.72 , pp. 1243-1261
    • Cameron, D.1
  • 10
    • 0001013075 scopus 로고
    • Prospections, retrospections and rationality: The "bankers" model of presidential approval reconsidered
    • Clarke, H.D. and Stewart, M.C. (1994). Prospections, retrospections and rationality: The "bankers" model of presidential approval reconsidered. American Journal of Political Science 38: 1104-1123.
    • (1994) American Journal of Political Science , vol.38 , pp. 1104-1123
    • Clarke, H.D.1    Stewart, M.C.2
  • 11
    • 84970520823 scopus 로고
    • Electoral costs of the last five wars
    • Cotton, T.Y.C. (1986). Electoral costs of the last five wars. Journal of Conflict Resolution 30: 616-635.
    • (1986) Journal of Conflict Resolution , vol.30 , pp. 616-635
    • Cotton, T.Y.C.1
  • 14
    • 84973964077 scopus 로고
    • Economic conditions and the presidential vote
    • Erikson, R.S. (1989). Economic conditions and the presidential vote. American Political Science Review 83: 567-573.
    • (1989) American Political Science Review , vol.83 , pp. 567-573
    • Erikson, R.S.1
  • 16
    • 84977702570 scopus 로고
    • The term structure as a predictor of real activity
    • Estrella, A. and Hardouvelis, G.A. (1991). The term structure as a predictor of real activity. Journal of Finance 46: 555-576.
    • (1991) Journal of Finance , vol.46 , pp. 555-576
    • Estrella, A.1    Hardouvelis, G.A.2
  • 17
    • 0039066423 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting U.S. recessions: Financial variables and leading indicators
    • Estrella, A. and Mishkin, F.S. (1998). Predicting U.S. recessions: Financial variables and leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics 80: 45-61.
    • (1998) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.80 , pp. 45-61
    • Estrella, A.1    Mishkin, F.S.2
  • 18
    • 0000675837 scopus 로고
    • The effect of economic events on votes for President
    • Fair, R.C. (1978). The effect of economic events on votes for President. Review of Economics and Statistics 60: 159-173.
    • (1978) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.60 , pp. 159-173
    • Fair, R.C.1
  • 19
    • 0003061079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Econometrics and presidential elections
    • Fair, R.C. (1996). Econometrics and presidential elections. Journal of Economic Perspectives 10: 89-102.
    • (1996) Journal of Economic Perspectives , vol.10 , pp. 89-102
    • Fair, R.C.1
  • 21
    • 84977707061 scopus 로고
    • Stock returns, expected returns, and real activity
    • Fama, E.F. (1990). Stock returns, expected returns, and real activity. Journal of Finance 45: 1089-1108.
    • (1990) Journal of Finance , vol.45 , pp. 1089-1108
    • Fama, E.F.1
  • 22
    • 34248428827 scopus 로고
    • Incumbent performance and electoral control
    • Ferejohn, J. (1986). Incumbent performance and electoral control. Public Choice 50: 5-25.
    • (1986) Public Choice , vol.50 , pp. 5-25
    • Ferejohn, J.1
  • 24
    • 0031517622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Median voter's macroeconomic preference and inflation bias
    • Fox, G.T. (1997). Median voter's macroeconomic preference and inflation bias. Journal of Macroeconomics 19: 395-409.
    • (1997) Journal of Macroeconomics , vol.19 , pp. 395-409
    • Fox, G.T.1
  • 25
    • 0011325455 scopus 로고
    • Economic determinants of presidential elections: The Fair model
    • Gleisner, R.F. (1992). Economic determinants of presidential elections: The Fair model. Political Behavior 14: 383-394.
    • (1992) Political Behavior , vol.14 , pp. 383-394
    • Gleisner, R.F.1
  • 26
    • 85005204640 scopus 로고
    • Why did economic models falsely predict a Bush landslide in 1992?
    • Haynes, S.E. and Stone, J. (1994). Why did economic models falsely predict a Bush landslide in 1992? Contemporary Economic Policy 12: 123-130.
    • (1994) Contemporary Economic Policy , vol.12 , pp. 123-130
    • Haynes, S.E.1    Stone, J.2
  • 27
    • 84972959926 scopus 로고
    • Political parties and macroeconomic policy
    • Hibbs, D.A. (1977). Political parties and macroeconomic policy. American Political Science Review 71: 1467-1487.
    • (1977) American Political Science Review , vol.71 , pp. 1467-1487
    • Hibbs, D.A.1
  • 28
    • 84970301832 scopus 로고
    • President Reagan's mandate from the 1980 elections: A shift to the right?
    • Hibbs, D.A. (1982). President Reagan's mandate from the 1980 elections: A shift to the right? American Politics Quarterly 10: 387-420.
    • (1982) American Politics Quarterly , vol.10 , pp. 387-420
    • Hibbs, D.A.1
  • 32
    • 0000125532 scopus 로고
    • Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk
    • Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica 47: 263-291.
    • (1979) Econometrica , vol.47 , pp. 263-291
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 35
    • 0010974756 scopus 로고
    • Policy-oriented voting in response to economic issues
    • Kiewiet, D.R. (1981). Policy-oriented voting in response to economic issues. American Political Science Review 75: 448-459.
    • (1981) American Political Science Review , vol.75 , pp. 448-459
    • Kiewiet, D.R.1
  • 37
    • 0000163134 scopus 로고
    • Short-term fluctuations in U.S. voting behavior, 1896-1964
    • Kramer, G.H. (1971). Short-term fluctuations in U.S. voting behavior, 1896-1964. American Political Science Review 65: 131-143.
    • (1971) American Political Science Review , vol.65 , pp. 131-143
    • Kramer, G.H.1
  • 38
    • 78751669201 scopus 로고
    • The ecological fallacy revisited: Aggregate- Versus individual-level findings on economics and elections, and sociotropic voting
    • Kramer, G.H. (1983). The ecological fallacy revisited: Aggregate- versus individual-level findings on economics and elections, and sociotropic voting. American Political Science Review 77: 92-111.
    • (1983) American Political Science Review , vol.77 , pp. 92-111
    • Kramer, G.H.1
  • 40
    • 0000050435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The future in forecasting: Prospective presidential models
    • Lewis-Beck, M. and Tien, C. (1996). The future in forecasting: Prospective presidential models. American Politics Quarterly 24: 468-491.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 468-491
    • Lewis-Beck, M.1    Tien, C.2
  • 42
    • 0000405635 scopus 로고
    • Trends, random walks, and tests of the permanent income hypothesis
    • Mankiw, N.G. and Shapiro, M. (1985). Trends, random walks, and tests of the permanent income hypothesis. Journal of Monetary Economics 16: 165-174.
    • (1985) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.16 , pp. 165-174
    • Mankiw, N.G.1    Shapiro, M.2
  • 43
    • 0038841026 scopus 로고
    • The effect of economic policies on votes for the presidency: Some evidence from recent elections
    • Meltzer, A.H. and Vellrath, M. (1975). The effect of economic policies on votes for the presidency: Some evidence from recent elections. Journal of Law and Economics 18: 781-798.
    • (1975) Journal of Law and Economics , vol.18 , pp. 781-798
    • Meltzer, A.H.1    Vellrath, M.2
  • 45
    • 0000058335 scopus 로고
    • The political business cycle
    • Nordhaus, W. (1975). The political business cycle. Review of Economic Studies 42: 169-190.
    • (1975) Review of Economic Studies , vol.42 , pp. 169-190
    • Nordhaus, W.1
  • 46
    • 84973969232 scopus 로고
    • Promise and performance: A dynamic model of presidential popularity
    • Ostrom, C.W. and Simon, D.M. (1985). Promise and performance: A dynamic model of presidential popularity. American Political Science Review 79: 334-358.
    • (1985) American Political Science Review , vol.79 , pp. 334-358
    • Ostrom, C.W.1    Simon, D.M.2
  • 47
    • 84972191948 scopus 로고
    • Policy voting and the electoral process: The Vietnam war issue
    • Page, B.I. and Brody, R.A. (1972). Policy voting and the electoral process: The Vietnam war issue. American Political Science Review 66: 979-995.
    • (1972) American Political Science Review , vol.66 , pp. 979-995
    • Page, B.I.1    Brody, R.A.2
  • 48
    • 84936021339 scopus 로고
    • How efficient is the voting market?
    • Pelzman, S. (1990). How efficient is the voting market? Journal of Law and Economics 33: 27-63.
    • (1990) Journal of Law and Economics , vol.33 , pp. 27-63
    • Pelzman, S.1
  • 49
    • 0000301257 scopus 로고
    • Voters as fiscal conservatives
    • Pelzman, S. (1992). Voters as fiscal conservatives. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107: 327-361.
    • (1992) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.107 , pp. 327-361
    • Pelzman, S.1
  • 50
    • 84888712512 scopus 로고
    • A cross-national analysis of economic voting: Taking account of political context
    • Powell, G.B. and Whitten, G.D. (1993). A cross-national analysis of economic voting: Taking account of political context. American Journal of Political Science 37: 391-414.
    • (1993) American Journal of Political Science , vol.37 , pp. 391-414
    • Powell, G.B.1    Whitten, G.D.2
  • 51
    • 0000802822 scopus 로고
    • Contrasting rational and psychological analyses of political choice
    • Quattrone, G. and Tversky, A. (1988). Contrasting rational and psychological analyses of political choice. American Political Science Review 86: 444-456.
    • (1988) American Political Science Review , vol.86 , pp. 444-456
    • Quattrone, G.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 53
    • 0032460591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why do open economies have bigger governments?
    • Rodrik, D. (1999). Why do open economies have bigger governments? Journal of Political Economy 106: 997-1032.
    • (1999) Journal of Political Economy , vol.106 , pp. 997-1032
    • Rodrik, D.1
  • 55
    • 84977711269 scopus 로고
    • Stock returns and real economic activity: A century of evidence
    • Schwert, G.W. (1990). Stock returns and real economic activity: A century of evidence. Journal of Finance 45: 1237-1257.
    • (1990) Journal of Finance , vol.45 , pp. 1237-1257
    • Schwert, G.W.1
  • 56
    • 0000803413 scopus 로고
    • General economic conditions and national elections
    • Stigler, G. (1973). General economic conditions and national elections. American Economic Review 63: 160-167.
    • (1973) American Economic Review , vol.63 , pp. 160-167
    • Stigler, G.1
  • 57
    • 84936054920 scopus 로고
    • Simple tests of distributional effects on macroeconomic equations
    • Stoker, T.M. (1986). Simple tests of distributional effects on macroeconomic equations. Journal of Political Economy 94: 763-795.
    • (1986) Journal of Political Economy , vol.94 , pp. 763-795
    • Stoker, T.M.1
  • 58
    • 0000714123 scopus 로고
    • Empirical approaches to the problem of aggregation over individuals
    • Stoker, T.M. (1993). Empirical approaches to the problem of aggregation over individuals. Journal of Economic Literature 31: 1827-1874.
    • (1993) Journal of Economic Literature , vol.31 , pp. 1827-1874
    • Stoker, T.M.1
  • 59
    • 0001831963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A brief look at postwar US income inequality
    • Weinberg, D.H. (1996). A brief look at postwar US income inequality. Current Population Reports, June: P60-191.
    • (1996) Current Population Reports , vol.JUNE
    • Weinberg, D.H.1
  • 61
    • 0032105020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monica Lewinsky's contribution to political science
    • Zaller, J. (1998). Monica Lewinsky's contribution to political science. PS: Political Science and Politics 31: 182-189.
    • (1998) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.31 , pp. 182-189
    • Zaller, J.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.