Estimating presidential elections: The importance of state fixed effects and the role of national versus local information

Economics and Politics

Volumn 11, Issue 1, 1999, Pages 33-50

  Strumpf, Koleman S ^a,b   Phillippe Jr , John R ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA   (United States)

^b CB#3305 ^*  (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0040034506     PISSN: 09541985     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/1468-0343.00052     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Abrams, B. A. and J. L. Butkiewicz, 1995, The influence of state-level economic conditions on the 1992 Presidential Election. Public Choice 85, 1-10.
2. Blackley, P. R. and E. M. Shepard III, 1994, A statistical analysis of the effect of state-level economic conditions on the 1992 Presidential Election. Public Finance Quarterly 22, 366-382.
3. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 1997, Per capita personal income, by state and region. http://www.bea.doc.gov/bea.
4. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1995, Consumer price index. Private correspondence.
5. _, 1996, Consumer price index. Private correspondence.
6. _, 1997, Labor force statistics and consumer price index. http://state.bls.gov:80/cgi-bin/surveymost.
7. Congressional Quarterly's Guide to U.S. Elections, 1994 (Congressional Quarterly, Washington, DC).
8. Crain, W. M., H. C. Messenheimer, and R. D. Tollison, 1993, The probability of being president. Review of Economics and Statistics 75, 683-689.
9. Downs, A., 1957, An economic theory of democracy (HarperCollins, New York).
10. Fair, R. C., 1978, The effect of economic events on votes for president. Review of Economics and Statistics 60, 159-173.
11. _, 1994, The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1992 update. Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper, no. 1084.
12. _, 1996, Econometrics and presidential elections. Journal of Economic Perspectives 10(3), 89-102.
13. Levitt, S. D., 1996, How do senators vote? Disentangling the role of voter preferences, party affiliation, and senator ideology. American Economic Review 86, 425-441.
14. Meltzer, A. H. and M. Vellrath, 1975, The effects of economic policies on votes for the presidency: some evidence from recent elections. Journal of Law and Economics 18, 781-798.
15. Peltzman, S., 1990, How efficient is the voting market? Journal of Law and Economics 33, 27-63.
16. Pollard, W. A., 1983, Presidential elections: cyclical and distributional economic effects. Public Finance Quarterly 11, 217-236.
17. Snyder, J. M., 1989, Election goals and the allocation of campaign resources. Econometrica 57, 637-660.
18. Statistical Abstract of the United States, various years (US Department of Commerce, Washington, DC).
19. WEFA Group, 1995, Annual state economic measures. Private correspondence.
20. _, 1996, Forecasts of economic measures. Private correspondence.