Climate change in tropical regions from high-resolution time-slice AGCM experiments

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Volumn 131, Issue 612, 2005, Pages 3123-3145

  Coppola, Erika ^a   Giorgi, F ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF L'AQUILA   (Italy)

^b ABDUS SALAM INTERNATIONAL CENTRE FOR THEORETICAL PHYSICS   (Italy)

Author keywords

IPCC A2 climate change scenario; PRUDENCE; Tropical precipitation

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; FINITE VOLUME METHOD; HYDROLOGY; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); RAIN; STATISTICAL METHODS;

FINITE-VOLUME ELEMENT GLOBAL MODEL; TROPICAL PRECIPITATION; TROPICAL REGIONS;

METEOROLOGY;

ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; CLIMATE CHANGE; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY);

EID: 31544450862     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1256/qj.04.166     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Bengtsson, L., Botzet, M. and Esch, M. 1995 Hurricane-type vortices in a general circulation model. Tellus, 47A, 175-196
2. Bonan, G. B. 1996 A land surface model (LSM version 1.0) for ecological, hydrological, and atmospheric studies: Technical description and user's guide. NCAR technical Note NCAR/TN-417+STR. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
3. Chou, M. D. and Suarez, M. J. 1994 An efficient thermal infrared radiation parameterization for use in general circulation models. NASA Technical Memorandum No. 104606
4. Chou, M. D., Suarez, M. J., Ho, C. H., Yan, M. H. and Lee, K. T. 1998 Parameterisation for cloud overlapping and shortwave single and scattering properties for use in general circulation and cloud ensemble models. J. Climate, 11(2), 202-214
5. Chou, M. D., Lee, K. T., Tsay, S. C. and Fu, Q. 1999 Parameterization for cloud longwave scattering for use in atmospheric models. J. Climate, 12(1), 159-169
6. Christensen, J. H., Carter, T. R. and Giorgi, F. 2002 PRUDENCE employs new methods to assess European climate Giorgi, F. change. EOS, 83, 147
7. Cubasch, U., Waszkewitz, J., Hegerl, G. and Perlwitz, J. 1995 Regional climate changes as simulated in time-slice experiments. Climatic Change, 31, 273-304
8. Cubasch, U., Von Storch, H., Waszkewitz, J. and Zorita, E. 1996 Estimates of climate change in southern Europe derived from dynamical climate model output. Clim. Res., 7, 129-149
9. Cubasch, U., Meehl, G. A., Boer, G. J., Stouffer, R. J., Dix, M., Noda, A., Senior, C. A., Raper, S. and Yap, K. S. 2001 'Projections of future climate change'. Pp. 525-582 (Chapter 9) of Climate change 2001; the scientific basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Eds. J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C. A. Johnson. Cambridge University Press
10. Deque, M. and Piedelievre, J. Ph. 1995 High resolution climate simulation over Europe. Clim. Dyn., 11, 321-340
11. Giorgi, F., Bi, X. and Pal, J. S. 2004 Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. Part II: Future climate scenarios (2071-2100). Clim Dyn., 23, 839-858
12. Giorgi, F. and Francisco, R. 2000 Evaluating uncertainties in the prediction of regional climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 1295-1298
13. Giorgi, F., Hewitson, B., Christensen, J. H., Hulme, M., Von Storch, H., Whetton, P., Jones, R., Mearns, L. O. and Fu, C. 2001a 'Regional climate information - evaluation and projections'. Pp. 583-638 (Chapter 10) of Climate change 2001; the scientific basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Eds. J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, R J. van der Linden and D. Xiaoxu. Cambridge University Press
14. Giorgi, F. and Mearns, L. O. 1999 Introduction to special section: Regional climate modeling revisited. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 6335-6352
15. Giorgi, F. and Mearns, L. O. 2002 Calculation of average, uncertainty range and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the 'Reliability Ensemble Averaging (REA)' method. J. Climate, 15, 1141-1158
16. Giorgi, F., Whetton, P. W., Jones, R. G., Christensen, J. H., Mearns, L. O., Hewitson, B., Von Storch, H., Francisco, R. and Jack, C. 2001b Emerging patterns of simulated regional climatic changes for the 21st century due to anthropogenic forcings. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 3317-3320
17. Hewitson, B. C. and Crane, R. G. 1996 Climate downscaling: Techniques and application. Clim. Res., 7, 85-95
18. Holtslag, A. A. M., de Bruijn, E. I. F. and Pan, H. L. 1990 A high resolution air mass transformation model for short-range weather forecasting. Mon. Weather Rev., 118, 1561-1575
19. IPCC 1998 'The regional impacts of climate change'. A special report of IPCC Working Group II. Eds. R. T. Watson, M. C. Zinyowera, R. H. Moss and D. J. Dokken. Cambridge University Press
20. IPCC 2000 'Emission Scenarios'. A special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Coordinating lead author N. Nakicenovic. Cambridge University Press
21. Johns, T. C. 1999 Initial assessment of global response to greenhouse gas increases in a high resolution atmospheric timeslice experiment compared to the HADCM3 coupled model. DETR Report, March 1999, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Exeter, UK
22. Johns, T. C., Gregory, J. M., Ingram, W. J., Johnson, C. E., Jones, A., Mitchell, J. F. B., Roberts, D. L., Sexton, D. M. H., Stevenson, D. S., Tett, S. F. B. and Woodage, M. J. 2003 Anthropogenic climate change for 1860 to 2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emission scenarios. Clim. Dyn., 20, 583-612
23. Jones, R. G. 1999 The response of European climate to increased greenhouse gases simulated by standard and high resolution GCMs. DETR Report, March 1999, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Exeter, UK
24. Jones, R. G., Murphy, J. M., Hassell, D. and Taylor, R. 2001 Ensemble mean changes in a simulation of the European mean climate of 2071-2100 using the new Hadley Centre regional modeling system HadAM3H/HadRM3H. Hadley Centre report, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Exeter, UK
25. Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G., Woollen, J., Zhu, Y., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Higgins, W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K. C., Ropelewski, C., Wang, J., Leetmaa, A., Reynolds, R., Jenne, R. and Joseph, D. 1996 The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77(3), 437-471
26. Kiehl, J. T., Hack, J. J., Bonan, G. B., Boville, B. A., Briegleb, B. P., Williamson, D. L. and Rasch, P. J. 1996 Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM3). NCAR Technical Note, NCAR/TN-420+STR
27. 2 sensitivity of coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model experiments. Clim. Dyn., 14, 1-15
28. Lin, S. J. and Rood, R. 1996 Multidimensional Flux-Form Semi-Lagrangian Transport Schemes. Mon. Weather Rev., 124, 2046-2070
29. Lin, S. J., Atlas, R. and Yeh, K. S. 2004 Global weather prediction and high-end computer NASA. Computing in Science & Engineering, 6, 29-35
30. May, W. 1999 A time-slice experiment with the ECHAM4 AGCM at high resolution: The experimental design and the assessment of climate change as compared to a greenhouse gas experiment with ECHAM4/OPYC at low resolution. DMI Scientific Report 99-2, DMI, Copenhagen, Denmark
31. May, W. and Roeckner, E. 2001 A time-slice experiment with the ECHAM4 AGCM at high resolution: The impact of horizontal resolution on annual mean climate change. Clim. Dyn., 17, 407-420
32. Maynard, K. and Royer, J. F. 2004 Effect of 'realistic' land-cover change on a greenhouse-warmed African climate. Clim. Dyn., 22, 343-358
33. Moorthi, S. and Suarez, M. J. 1992 Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert: A parameterization of moist convection for general circulation models. Mon. Weather Rev., 120(6), 978-1002
34. New, M. G., Hulme, M. and Jones, P. D. 2000 Representing twentieth-century space time climate fields. Part II: Development of a 1901-1996 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. J. Climate, 13, 2217-2238
35. Sud, Y. C. and Walker, G. K. 1999 Microphysics of clouds with the Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert cumulus scheme (McRAS). Part I: Design and evaluation with GATE Phase III data. J. Atmos. Sci., 56(18), 3196-3220
36. Sud, Y. C. and Walker, G. K. 2003 Influence of ice-phase physics of hydrometeors on moist-convection. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(14), 1758. doi:10.1029/2003GL017587
37. Xie, P. P. and Arkin, P. A. 1997 Global precipitation: A 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 2539-2558