메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 25, Issue 5, 2005, Pages 649-664

Seasonal forecasting of Thailand summer monsoon rainfall

Author keywords

Ensemble forecast; ENSO; Local polynomials; Monsoon; Nonparametric methods; Seasonal forecasting; Summer rainfall; Thailand

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; POLYNOMIALS; RAIN; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RESOURCE ALLOCATION; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 17844380279     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.1144     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (105)

References (57)
  • 1
    • 17844384105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local polynomial technique for flood frequency analysis
    • submitted for publication
    • Apipattanavis S, Rajagopalan B, Lall U. 2005. Local polynomial technique for flood frequency analysis. Journal of Hydrology submitted for publication.
    • (2005) Journal of Hydrology
    • Apipattanavis, S.1    Rajagopalan, B.2    Lall, U.3
  • 4
    • 1642322054 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of medium-range numerical weather prediction model output to produce forecasts of streamflow
    • Clark MP, Hay LE. 2004. Use of medium-range numerical weather prediction model output to produce forecasts of streamflow. Journal of Hydrometeorology 5(1): 15-32.
    • (2004) Journal of Hydrometeorology , vol.5 , Issue.1 , pp. 15-32
    • Clark, M.P.1    Hay, L.E.2
  • 5
    • 0034061541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model for forecasting drought from teleconnections
    • Cordery I, McCall MA. 2000. A model for forecasting drought from teleconnections. Water Resources Research 36(3): 763-768.
    • (2000) Water Resources Research , vol.36 , Issue.3 , pp. 763-768
    • Cordery, I.1    McCall, M.A.2
  • 6
    • 0004248862 scopus 로고
    • (eds). Wiley-Interscience: New York
    • Fein JS, Stephens P (eds). 1987. Monsoons. Wiley-Interscience: New York.
    • (1987) Monsoons
    • Fein, J.S.1    Stephens, P.2
  • 7
    • 17144363107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using large-scale climate information to forecast seasonal streamflows in the Truckee and Carson rivers
    • Master of Science thesis, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
    • Grantz K. 2003. Using large-scale climate information to forecast seasonal streamflows in the Truckee and Carson rivers. Master of Science thesis, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO.
    • (2003)
    • Grantz, K.1
  • 11
    • 0037915845 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of IIS distributed hydrological model and its application in Chao Phraya river basin Thailand
    • Jha R, Herath S, Musiake K. 1997. Development of IIS distributed hydrological model and its application in Chao Phraya river basin Thailand. Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE 41: 227-232.
    • (1997) Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE , vol.41 , pp. 227-232
    • Jha, R.1    Herath, S.2    Musiake, K.3
  • 12
    • 0007155960 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of IIS distributed hydrological model in Nakon Sawan catchment Thailand
    • Jha R, Herath S, Musiake K. 1998. Application of IIS distributed hydrological model in Nakon Sawan catchment Thailand. Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE 42: 145-150.
    • (1998) Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE , vol.42 , pp. 145-150
    • Jha, R.1    Herath, S.2    Musiake, K.3
  • 15
    • 0035530984 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of deforestation on regional precipitation over the IndoChina peninsula
    • Kanae S, Oki T, Musiake K. 2001. Impact of deforestation on regional precipitation over the IndoChina peninsula. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2: 51-70.
    • (2001) Journal of Hydrometeorology , vol.2 , pp. 51-70
    • Kanae, S.1    Oki, T.2    Musiake, K.3
  • 16
    • 0031402539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rainfall variability over Southeast Asia - Connections with Indian monsoon and ENSO extremes: New perspectives
    • Kripalani RH, Kulkarni A. 1997. Rainfall variability over Southeast Asia - connections with Indian monsoon and ENSO extremes: new perspectives. International Journal of Climatology 17: 1155-1168.
    • (1997) International Journal of Climatology , vol.17 , pp. 1155-1168
    • Kripalani, R.H.1    Kulkarni, A.2
  • 17
    • 0031943644 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between some large-scale atmospheric parameters and rainfall over Southeast Asia: A comparison with features over India
    • Kripalani RH, Kulkarni A. 1998. The relationship between some large-scale atmospheric parameters and rainfall over Southeast Asia: a comparison with features over India. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 59: 1-11.
    • (1998) Theoretical and Applied Climatology , vol.59 , pp. 1-11
    • Kripalani, R.H.1    Kulkarni, A.2
  • 18
    • 0035305445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monsoon rainfall variations and teleconnections over South and East Asia
    • Kripalani RH, Kulkarni A. 2001. Monsoon rainfall variations and teleconnections over South and East Asia. International Journal of Climatology 21: 603-616.
    • (2001) International Journal of Climatology , vol.21 , pp. 603-616
    • Kripalani, R.H.1    Kulkarni, A.2
  • 19
    • 84977738351 scopus 로고
    • Seasonal forecasting of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: A review
    • Krishna Kumar K, Soman MK, Rupa Kumar K. 1995. Seasonal forecasting of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: a review. Weather 50(12): 449-467.
    • (1995) Weather , vol.50 , Issue.12 , pp. 449-467
    • Krishna Kumar, K.1    Soman, M.K.2    Rupa Kumar, K.3
  • 20
    • 0033603403 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the weakening relationship between Indian monsoon and ENSO
    • Krishna Kumar K, Rajagopalan B, Cane MA. 1999a. On the weakening relationship between Indian monsoon and ENSO. Science 284: 2156-2159.
    • (1999) Science , vol.284 , pp. 2156-2159
    • Krishna Kumar, K.1    Rajagopalan, B.2    Cane, M.A.3
  • 22
    • 0000470953 scopus 로고
    • Recent advances in nonparametric function estimation
    • Lall U. 1995. Recent advances in nonparametric function estimation. Reviews of Geophysics 33: 1093-1102.
    • (1995) Reviews of Geophysics , vol.33 , pp. 1093-1102
    • Lall, U.1
  • 23
    • 0029663871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nearest neighbour bootstrap for resampling hydrologic time series
    • Lall U, Sharma A. 1996. A nearest neighbour bootstrap for resampling hydrologic time series. Water Resources Research 32(3): 679-693.
    • (1996) Water Resources Research , vol.32 , Issue.3 , pp. 679-693
    • Lall, U.1    Sharma, A.2
  • 25
    • 0031816526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Merging and error analysis of regional hydrometeorological anomaly forecasts conditioned on climate precursors
    • Lui Z, Valdes JB, Entekhabi D. 1998. Merging and error analysis of regional hydrometeorological anomaly forecasts conditioned on climate precursors. Water Resources Research 34(8): 1959-1969.
    • (1998) Water Resources Research , vol.34 , Issue.8 , pp. 1959-1969
    • Lui, Z.1    Valdes, J.B.2    Entekhabi, D.3
  • 26
    • 0036003012 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Primary modes and predictability of year-to-year snowpack variations in the western United States from teleconnections with Pacific Ocean climate
    • McCabe G, Dettinger MD. 2002. Primary modes and predictability of year-to-year snowpack variations in the western United States from teleconnections with Pacific Ocean climate. Journal of Hydrometeorology 3: 13-25.
    • (2002) Journal of Hydrometeorology , vol.3 , pp. 13-25
    • McCabe, G.1    Dettinger, M.D.2
  • 27
    • 0031692504 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Asian-Australian monsoon and El Niño-southern oscillation in the NCAR climate system model
    • Meehl GA, Arblaster JM. 1998. The Asian-Australian monsoon and El Niño-southern oscillation in the NCAR climate system model. Journal of Climate 11: 1356-1385.
    • (1998) Journal of Climate , vol.11 , pp. 1356-1385
    • Meehl, G.A.1    Arblaster, J.M.2
  • 28
    • 1642570448 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of ENSO in the South Asian monsoon and pre-monsoon signals over the Tibetan plateau
    • Miyakoda K, Kinter III JL, Yang S. 2003. The role of ENSO in the South Asian monsoon and pre-monsoon signals over the Tibetan plateau. Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan 81(5): 1015-1039.
    • (2003) Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan , vol.81 , Issue.5 , pp. 1015-1039
    • Miyakoda, K.1    Kinter III, J.L.2    Yang, S.3
  • 29
    • 0042847355 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of East African seasonal rainfall using canonical correlation analysis
    • Ntale HK, Gan TY, Mwale D. 2003. Prediction of East African seasonal rainfall using canonical correlation analysis. Journal of Climate 16(12): 2105-2112.
    • (2003) Journal of Climate , vol.16 , Issue.12 , pp. 2105-2112
    • Ntale, H.K.1    Gan, T.Y.2    Mwale, D.3
  • 30
    • 3743070288 scopus 로고
    • Methods for assessing the space and time variability of ground water data
    • MS thesis, Utah State University
    • Owosina A. 1992. Methods for assessing the space and time variability of ground water data. MS thesis, Utah State University.
    • (1992)
    • Owosina, A.1
  • 31
    • 0019677564 scopus 로고
    • Some aspects of an association between the southern oscillation and Indian summer monsoon
    • Sr. B
    • Pant GB, Parthasarathy B. 1981. Some aspects of an association between the southern oscillation and Indian summer monsoon. Arch. Meteorol. Geophys. Biokl., Sr. B. 29: 245-251.
    • (1981) Arch. Meteorol. Geophys. Biokl. , vol.29 , pp. 245-251
    • Pant, G.B.1    Parthasarathy, B.2
  • 33
    • 11144254866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term salinity prediction with uncertainty analysis: Application for Colorado River above Glenwood Springs
    • MS thesis, University of Colorado at Boulder
    • Prairie JR. 2002. Long-term salinity prediction with uncertainty analysis: application for Colorado River above Glenwood Springs. MS thesis, University of Colorado at Boulder.
    • (2002)
    • Prairie, J.R.1
  • 37
    • 0032848078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nearest neighbour bootstrap resampling scheme for resampling daily precipitation and other weather variables
    • Rajagopalan B, Lall U. 1999. A nearest neighbour bootstrap resampling scheme for resampling daily precipitation and other weather variables. Water Resources Research 35(10): 3089-3101.
    • (1999) Water Resources Research , vol.35 , Issue.10 , pp. 3089-3101
    • Rajagopalan, B.1    Lall, U.2
  • 38
    • 0036646424 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal categorical climate forecasts through multiple GCM ensemble combination and regularization
    • Rajagopalan B, Lall U, Zebiak S. 2002. Optimal categorical climate forecasts through multiple GCM ensemble combination and regularization. Monthly Weather Review 130: 1792-1811.
    • (2002) Monthly Weather Review , vol.130 , pp. 1792-1811
    • Rajagopalan, B.1    Lall, U.2    Zebiak, S.3
  • 39
    • 0010982762 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of Indian summer monsoon: Status, problems and prospects
    • Rajeevan M. 2001. Prediction of Indian summer monsoon: status, problems and prospects. Current Science 81: 1451-1457.
    • (2001) Current Science , vol.81 , pp. 1451-1457
    • Rajeevan, M.1
  • 40
    • 0020925406 scopus 로고
    • The relationship between the eastern Pacific sea surface temperature and rainfall over India and Sri Lanka
    • Rasmusson EM, Carpenter TH. 1983. The relationship between the eastern Pacific sea surface temperature and rainfall over India and Sri Lanka. Monthly Weather Review 111: 354-384.
    • (1983) Monthly Weather Review , vol.111 , pp. 354-384
    • Rasmusson, E.M.1    Carpenter, T.H.2
  • 41
    • 0034105661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • All India summer monsoon rainfall prediction using an artificial neural network
    • Sahai AK, Grimm AM, Satyan V. 2000. All India summer monsoon rainfall prediction using an artificial neural network. Climate Dynamics 16: 291-302.
    • (2000) Climate Dynamics , vol.16 , pp. 291-302
    • Sahai, A.K.1    Grimm, A.M.2    Satyan, V.3
  • 43
    • 0001805672 scopus 로고
    • Analysis and modeling of hydrologic time series
    • Mandment DR (ed.). McGraw-Hill: New York
    • Salas JD. 1985. Analysis and modeling of hydrologic time series. In Handbook of Hydrology, Mandment DR (ed.). McGraw-Hill: New York; 19.1-19.72.
    • (1985) Handbook of Hydrology
    • Salas, J.D.1
  • 44
    • 0000421521 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Skill of seasonal climate forecasts in Canada using canonical correlation analysis
    • Shabbar A, Barnston GA. 1996. Skill of seasonal climate forecasts in Canada using canonical correlation analysis. Monthly Weather Review 124: 2370-2385.
    • (1996) Monthly Weather Review , vol.124 , pp. 2370-2385
    • Shabbar, A.1    Barnston, G.A.2
  • 45
    • 0023486795 scopus 로고
    • Empirical prediction of the summer monsoon rainfall over India
    • Shukla J, Mooley DA. 1987. Empirical prediction of the summer monsoon rainfall over India. Monthly Weather Review 115: 695-703.
    • (1987) Monthly Weather Review , vol.115 , pp. 695-703
    • Shukla, J.1    Mooley, D.A.2
  • 46
    • 17844399105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual and interdecadal variability of Thailand summer monsoon: Diagnostic and forecast
    • Master of Science thesis, University of Colorado, Boulder
    • Singhrattna N. 2003. Interannual and interdecadal variability of Thailand summer monsoon: diagnostic and forecast. Master of Science thesis, University of Colorado, Boulder.
    • (2003)
    • Singhrattna, N.1
  • 48
    • 1542547283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal to interannual ensemble streamflow forecasts for Ceara, Brazil: Applications of a multivariate, semi-parametric algorithm
    • Souza FA, Lall U. 2003. Seasonal to interannual ensemble streamflow forecasts for Ceara, Brazil: applications of a multivariate, semi-parametric algorithm. Water Resources Research 39: 1307-1320.
    • (2003) Water Resources Research , vol.39 , pp. 1307-1320
    • Souza, F.A.1    Lall, U.2
  • 49
    • 17844364088 scopus 로고
    • ARIMA model for long-range prediction of monsoon rainfall in peninsula India
    • India Meteorological Department Monograph Climatology 12/81
    • Thapliyal V. 1981. ARIMA model for long-range prediction of monsoon rainfall in peninsula India. India Meteorological Department Monograph Climatology 12/81.
    • (1981)
    • Thapliyal, V.1
  • 50
    • 0033172555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interdecadal changes in ENSO-monsoon system
    • Torrence C, Webster P. 1999. Interdecadal changes in ENSO-monsoon system. Journal of Climate 12(8): 2679-2690.
    • (1999) Journal of Climate , vol.12 , Issue.8 , pp. 2679-2690
    • Torrence, C.1    Webster, P.2
  • 51
    • 17844399375 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the value of probabilistic forecasts from a scientific perspective, validation of probabilistic forecasts
    • ECMWF, 9-13 September
    • Toth Z. 2002. Assessing the value of probabilistic forecasts from a scientific perspective, validation of probabilistic forecasts. In Predictability Seminar, ECMWF, 9-13 September.
    • (2002) Predictability Seminar
    • Toth, Z.1
  • 52
    • 0000470576 scopus 로고
    • Correlation in seasonal variations of weather, IV, a further study of world weather
    • Walker GT. 1924. Correlation in seasonal variations of weather, IV, a further study of world weather. Memoris of the Indian Meteorological Department 24: 275-332.
    • (1924) Memoris of the Indian Meteorological Department , vol.24 , pp. 275-332
    • Walker, G.T.1
  • 53
    • 0141857717 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmosphere-warm ocean interaction and its impacts on Asian-Australian monsoon variation
    • Wang B, Wu R, Li T. 2003. Atmosphere-warm ocean interaction and its impacts on Asian-Australian monsoon variation. Journal of Climate 16: 1195-1211.
    • (2003) Journal of Climate , vol.16 , pp. 1195-1211
    • Wang, B.1    Wu, R.2    Li, T.3
  • 56
    • 17144441215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nearest neighbour bootstrap technique for generating regional climate scenarios for integrated assessments
    • SWC 7-1-7-15
    • Yates D, Gangopadhyay S, Rajagopalan B, Strzepek K. 2003. A nearest neighbour bootstrap technique for generating regional climate scenarios for integrated assessments. Water Resources Research 39(7): 1199, SWC 7-1-7-15.
    • (2003) Water Resources Research , vol.39 , Issue.7 , pp. 1199
    • Yates, D.1    Gangopadhyay, S.2    Rajagopalan, B.3    Strzepek, K.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.