The relationship between population size and temporal variability in population size

Animal Conservation

Volumn 7, Issue 1, 2004, Pages 1-8

  Reed, David H ^a   Hobbs, Gayla R ^b,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MISSISSIPPI   (United States)

^b MISSOURI STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c PURDUE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CONSERVATION; POPULATION SIZE; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; TEMPORAL VARIATION;

AVES; VERTEBRATA;

EID: 14044256104     PISSN: 13679430     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S1367943004003476     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Berger, J. (1990). Persistence of different-sized populations: an empirical assessment of rapid extinctions in bighorn sheep. Conserv. Biol. 4: 91-98.
2. Bjørnstad, O. N., Stenseth, N. C. & Saitoh, T. (1999). Synchrony and scaling in dynamics of voles and mice in northern Japan. Ecology 80: 622-637.
3. Brook, B. W., Tonkyn, D. W., O'Grady, J. & Frankham, R. (2002). Contribution of inbreeding to extinction risk in threatened species. Conserv. Ecol. 6: 16.
4. Brown, J. H. (1971). Mammals on mountaintops: nonequilibrium insular biogeography. Am. Nat. 105: 467-478.
5. Burch, C. L. & Chao, L. (1999). Evolution in small steps and rugged landscapes in the RNA virus Φ6. Genetics 151: 921-927.
6. Charlesworth B. & Charlesworth, D. (1999). The genetic basis of inbreeding depression. Genet. Res. 74: 329-340.
7. Crnokrak, P. & Roff, D. A. (1999). Inbreeding depression in the wild. Heredity 83: 260-270.
8. Crow, J. F. & Kimura, M. (1970). An introduction to population genetics. New York: Harper & Row.
9. Dennis, B., Munholland, P. L. & Scott, J. M. (1991). Estimation of growth and extinction parameters for endangered species. Ecol. Monogr. 61: 115-143.
10. Diamond, J. M., Bishop, K. D. & Van Balen, S. (1987). Bird survival in an isolated Javan woodland: island or mirror? Conserv. Biol. 2 132-142.
11. Elena, S. F., Cooper, V. S. & Lenski, R. F. (1996). Punctuated evolution caused by selection of rare beneficial mutations. Science 272 1802-1804.
12. Ewens, W. J., Brockwell, P. J., Gani, J. M. & Resnick, S. I. (1987). Minimum viable population sizes in the face of catastrophes. In Viable populations for conservation: 59-68. Soulé, M. E. (Ed.). New York: Cambridge University Press.
13. Foufopoulos, J. & Ives, A. R. (1999). Reptile extinctions on landbridge islands: life-history attributes and vulnerability to extinction. Am. Nat. 153: 1-25.
14. Franklin, I. (1980). Evolutionary change in small populations. In Conservation biology: an evolutionary-ecological perspective: 135-150. Wilcox, B. A. (Eds). Sunderland, MA: Sinauer Associates.
15. Hanski, I. & Woiwood, I. P. (1993). Patterns of density dependence in moths and aphids. J. Anim. Ecol. 62: 656-668.
16. Hedrick, P. W. & Kalinowskim S. T. (2000). Inbreeding depression in conservation biology. Ann. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 31: 139-162.
17. Inchausti, P. & Halley, J. (2001). Investigating long-term ecological variability using the global population dynamics database. Science 293: 655-657.
18. IUCN (2000). The 2000 IUCN red list of threatened species. Gland: Species Survival Commission, IUCN.
19. Johst, K. & Wissel, C. (1997). Extinction risk in a temporally correlated fluctuating environment. Theor. Pop. Biol. 52: 91-102.
20. Jones, H. L. & Diamond, J. M. (1976). Short-time base studies of turnover in breeding birds of the California Channel Islands. Condor 76: 526-549.
21. Keller, L. F. & Waller, D. M. (2002). Inbreeding effects in wild populations. Trends Ecol. Evol. 17: 230-241.
22. Kimura, M. (1983). The neutral theory of molecular evolution. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
23. Kindvall, O. & Ahlén, I. (1992). Geometrical factors and metapopulation dynamics of the bush cricket, Metrioptera bicolor Philippi (Orthoptera: Tettigoniidae). Conserv. Biol. 6: 520-529.
24. Koenig, W. D. (2001). Spatial autocorrelation and local disappearances in wintering North American birds. Ecology 82: 2636-2644.
25. Lande, R. (1988). Genetics and demography in biological conservation. Science 241: 1455-1460.
26. Lande, R. (1993). Risks of population extinction from demographic and environmental stochasticity and random catastrophes. Am. Nat. 142: 911-927.
27. Lindström, J., Ranta, E. & Lindén, H. (1996). Large-scale synchrony in the dynamics of capercaillie, black grouse and hazel grouse populations in Finland. Oikos 76: 221-227.
28. Mangel, M. & Tier, C. (1993). Dynamics of metapopulations with demographic stochasticity and environmental catastrophes. Theor. Pop. Biol. 44: 1-31.
29. Morales, J. M. (1999). Variability in a pink environment: why 'white noise' models can be dangerous. Ecol. Lett. 2: 228-232.
30. NERC (1999). NERC & Centre for Population Biology, Imperial College. The Global Population Dynamics Database. http://www.Sw.ic.ac.uk/cpb/cpb/ gpdd.html.
31. Nei, M., Maruyama, T. & Chakraborty, R. (1975). The bottleneck effect on genetic variability in populations. Evolution 29: 1-10.
32. Newmark, W. D. (1987). A land-bridge island perspective on mammalian extinctions in western North American parks. Nature 325: 430-432.
33. Paradis, E., Baillie, S. R. Sutherland, W. J. & Gregory, R. D. (2000). Spatial synchrony in populations of birds: effects of habitat, population trend, and spatial scale. Ecology 81: 2112-2125.
34. Pimm, S. L., Diamond, J., Reed, T. M., Russell, G. J. & Verner, J. (1993) Times to extinction for small populations of large birds. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA 90: 10,871-10,875.
35. Pimm, S. L., Jones, J. L. & Diamond, J. (1988). On the risk of extinction. Am. Nat. 132: 757-785.
36. Pimm, S. L., & Redfearn, A. (1988). The variability of population densities. Nature 334: 613-615.
37. Ranta, E., Kaitala, V. & Lindström, J. (1995). Synchrony in population dynamics. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. B 262: 113-118.
38. Reed, D. H. (1998). Population size, selection, and mutation accumulation. Ph.D. thesis. University of Houston, Texas.
39. Reed, D. H. & Bryant, E. H. (2000). Experimental tests of minimum viable population size. Anim. Conserv. 3: 7-14.
40. Reed, D. H. & Frankham, R. (2003). Correlation between fitness and genetic diversity. Conserv. Biol. 17: 230-237.
41. Reed, D. H., O'Grady, J. J. Brook, B. W., Ballou, J. D. & Frankham, R. (2003a). Estimates of minimum viable population sizes for vertebrates and factors influencing those estimates. Biol. Conserv. 113: 23-34.
42. Reed, D. H., O'Grady, J. J., Ballou, J. D. & Frankham, R. (2003b). The frequency and magnitude of catastrophic die-offs in populations of vertebrates. Anim. Conserv. 6: 109-114.
43. Richman, A. D., Case, T. J. & Schwaner, T. D. (1988). Natural and unnatural extinction rates of reptiles on islands. Am. Nat. 131 611-630.
44. Ripa, J., & Lundberg, P. (1996). Noise colour and the risk of population extinctions. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. B 263: 75-77.
45. Rosenzweig, M. L. (1995). Species diversity in space and time. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
46. Schoener, T. W. & Spiller, D. A. (1992). Is extinction rate related to temporal variability in population size? An empirical answer for orb spiders. Am. Nat. 139: 1176-1207.
47. Schultz, S. T. & Lynch, M. (1997). Mutation and extinction: the role of variable mutational effects, synergistic epistasis, beneficial mutations, and degree of outcrossing. Evolution 51: 1363-1371.
48. Shaffer, M. L. (1981). Minimum population sizes for species conservation. BioScience 31: 131-134.
49. Shaffer, M. L., Watchman, L. H. Snape III, W. J. & Latchis, I. K. (2002). Population viability analysis and conservation policy. In Population viability analysis: 123-142. Beissinger, S. R. & McCullough, D. R. (Eds). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
50. Sinclair, A. R. E. (1996). Mammal populations: fluctuations, regulations, life history theory and their implications for conservation. In Frontiers in population ecology: 127-154. Floyd, R. B., Sheperd, A. W. & De Barro, P. J. (Eds). Melbourne: CSIRO Publishing.
51. Soulé, M. E. (1987). Introduction. In Viable populations for conservation: 1-10. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
52. Soulé, M. E., Bolger, D. T., Alberts, A. C., Wright, J., Sorice, M. & Hill, S. (1988). Reconstructed dynamics of rapid extinctions of chaparral-requiring birds in urban habitat islands. Conserv. Biol. 2: 75-92.
53. Sutcliffe, O. L., Thomas, C. D. & Moss, D. (1996). Spatial synchrony and asynchrony in butterfly population dynamics. J. Anim. Ecol. 65 85-95.
54. Taylor, L. R. (1961). Aggregation, variance, and the mean. Nature 189: 732-735.
55. Taylor, L. R. & Woiwood, I. P. (1980). Temporal stability as a density-dependent species characteristic. J. Anim. Ecol. 49: 209-224.
56. Taylor, L. R., Woiwood, I. P. & Perry, J. N. (1978). The density-dependence of spatial behaviour and the rarity of randomness. J. Anim. Ecol. 47: 383-406.
57. Taylor, L. R., Woiwood, I. P. & Perry, J. N. (1979). The negative binomial as an ecological model for aggregation and the density-dependence of k. J. Anim. Ecol. 48: 289-304.
58. Taylor, L. R., Woiwood, I. P. & Perry, J. N. (1980). Variance and the large scale spatial stability of aphids, moths, and birds. J. Anim. Ecol. 49: 831-854.
59. Thomas, C. D. (1990). What do real populations dynamics tell us about minimum viable population sizes? Conserv. Biol. 4: 324-327.
60. Thomas, C. D., Wilson, R. J. & Lewis, O. T. (2002). Short-term studies underestimate 30-generation changes in a butterfly metapopulation. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. B 269: 563-569.
61. Vucetich, J. A., Waite, T. A., Qvarnemark, L. & Ibargüen, S. (2000). Population variability and extinction risk. Conserv. Biol. 14 1704-1714.
62. Whitlock, M. C. (2000). Fixation of new alleles and the extinction of small populations: drift load, beneficial alleles, and sexual selection. Evolution 54: 1855-1861.