메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 132, Issue 12, 2004, Pages 2761-2779

Monthly forecasting at ECMWF

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE; CLIMATOLOGY; GEOGRAPHICAL REGIONS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; OCEANOGRAPHY; PROBABILITY; SEA LEVEL;

EID: 11844252098     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/MWR2826.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (142)

References (39)
  • 1
    • 9744283651 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of the ECMWF seasonal forecast systems 1 and 2, including the relative performance for the 1997-1998 El Niño
    • and Coauthors, ECMWF Tech. Memo. 404
    • Anderson, D., and Coauthors, 2003: Comparison of the ECMWF seasonal forecast systems 1 and 2, including the relative performance for the 1997-1998 El Niño. ECMWF Tech. Memo. 404, 93 pp.
    • (2003) , pp. 93
    • Anderson, D.1
  • 2
    • 0028582410 scopus 로고
    • Skill and return of skill in dynamic extended-range forecasts
    • Anderson, J. L., and H. M. Van den Dool, 1994: Skill and return of skill in dynamic extended-range forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 507-516.
    • (1994) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.122 , pp. 507-516
    • Anderson, J.L.1    Van den Dool, H.M.2
  • 5
    • 0003010182 scopus 로고
    • Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probabilities
    • Brier, G. W., 1950: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probabilities. Mon. Wea. Rev., 78, 1-3.
    • (1950) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.78 , pp. 1-3
    • Brier, G.W.1
  • 6
    • 0029412335 scopus 로고
    • The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric global circulation
    • Buizza, R., and T. N. Palmer, 1995: The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric global circulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1434-1456.
    • (1995) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.52 , pp. 1434-1456
    • Buizza, R.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 7
    • 0033403384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
    • Buizza, R., M. Miller, and T. N. Palmer, 1999: Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 2887-2908.
    • (1999) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 2887-2908
    • Buizza, R.1    Miller, M.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 8
    • 0006930406 scopus 로고
    • The skill of extended-range extratropical winter dynamical forecasts
    • Déqué, M., and J. F. Royer, 1992: The skill of extended-range extratropical winter dynamical forecasts. J. Climate, 5, 1346-1356.
    • (1992) J. Climate , vol.5 , pp. 1346-1356
    • Déqué, M.1    Royer, J.F.2
  • 9
    • 0025671498 scopus 로고
    • Tropical-extratropical interaction associated with the 30-60-day oscillation and its impact on medium and extended range prediction
    • Ferranti, L., T. N. Palmer, F. Molteni, and E. Klinker, 1990: Tropical-extratropical interaction associated with the 30-60-day oscillation and its impact on medium and extended range prediction. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 2177-2199.
    • (1990) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.47 , pp. 2177-2199
    • Ferranti, L.1    Palmer, T.N.2    Molteni, F.3    Klinker, E.4
  • 11
    • 0031251814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The feedback between equatorial convection and local radiative and evaporative processes: The implication for intraseasonal oscillations
    • Flatau, M., P. J. Flatau, P. Phoebus, and P. Niiler, 1997: The feedback between equatorial convection and local radiative and evaporative processes: The implication for intraseasonal oscillations. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 2373-2386.
    • (1997) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.54 , pp. 2373-2386
    • Flatau, M.1    Flatau, P.J.2    Phoebus, P.3    Niiler, P.4
  • 12
    • 1642306852 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble reforecasting: Improving medium-range forecast skill using retrospective forecasts
    • Hamill, T. M., J. S. Whitaker, and X. Wei, 2004: Ensemble reforecasting: Improving medium-range forecast skill using retrospective forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1434-1447.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.132 , pp. 1434-1447
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Whitaker, J.S.2    Wei, X.3
  • 14
    • 0345415559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Characteristics of the recent eastward shift of interannual NAO variability
    • Jung, T., M. Hilmer, E. Ruprecht, S. Kleppek, S. K. Gulev, and O. Zolina, 2003: Characteristics of the recent eastward shift of interannual NAO variability. J. Climate, 16, 3371-3382.
    • (2003) J. Climate , vol.16 , pp. 3371-3382
    • Jung, T.1    Hilmer, M.2    Ruprecht, E.3    Kleppek, S.4    Gulev, S.K.5    Zolina, O.6
  • 15
    • 0029768948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
    • and Coauthors
    • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
    • (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.77 , pp. 437-471
    • Kalnay, E.1
  • 16
    • 1642520974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the ROC score and probability forecasts
    • Kharin, V. V., and F. W. Zwiers, 2003: On the ROC score and probability forecasts. J. Climate, 16, 4145-4150.
    • (2003) J. Climate , vol.16 , pp. 4145-4150
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2
  • 18
    • 0033208324 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditional probabilities, relative operating characteristics, and relative operating levels
    • Mason, S. J., and N. E. Graham, 1999: Conditional probabilities, relative operating characteristics, and relative operating levels. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 713-725.
    • (1999) Wea. Forecasting , vol.14 , pp. 713-725
    • Mason, S.J.1    Graham, N.E.2
  • 20
    • 0022842567 scopus 로고
    • One month forecast experiments - Without anomaly boundary forcings
    • Miyakoda, K., J. Sirutis, and J. Ploshay, 1986: One month forecast experiments-Without anomaly boundary forcings. Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 2363-2401.
    • (1986) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.114 , pp. 2363-2401
    • Miyakoda, K.1    Sirutis, J.2    Ploshay, J.3
  • 22
    • 0000800652 scopus 로고
    • The value of climatological, categorical and probabilistic forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation
    • Murphy, A. H., 1977: The value of climatological, categorical and probabilistic forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 803-816.
    • (1977) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.105 , pp. 803-816
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 23
    • 0024794531 scopus 로고
    • Skill scores and correlation coefficients in model verification
    • Murphy, A. H., and E. S. Epstein, 1989: Skill scores and correlation coefficients in model verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 572-582.
    • (1989) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.117 , pp. 572-582
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Epstein, E.S.2
  • 25
    • 0001521040 scopus 로고
    • The impact of El-Niño on an ensemble of extended-range forecasts
    • Owen, J. A., and T. N. Palmer, 1987: The impact of El-Niño on an ensemble of extended-range forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 2103-2117.
    • (1987) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.115 , pp. 2103-2117
    • Owen, J.A.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 26
    • 0035086606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: A proposal for nonlocal stochastic dynamic parameterization in weather and climate prediction models
    • Palmer, T. N., 2001: A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: A proposal for nonlocal stochastic dynamic parameterization in weather and climate prediction models. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 279-304.
    • (2001) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.127 , pp. 279-304
    • Palmer, T.N.1
  • 27
    • 0025621966 scopus 로고
    • Extended range predictions with ECMWF models. I: Interannual variability in operational model integrations
    • Palmer, T. N., C. Brankovic, F. Molteni, and S. Tibaldi, 1990: Extended range predictions with ECMWF models. I: Interannual variability in operational model integrations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 116, 799-834.
    • (1990) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.116 , pp. 799-834
    • Palmer, T.N.1    Brankovic, C.2    Molteni, F.3    Tibaldi, S.4
  • 28
    • 0035079838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical singular vectors computed with linearized diabatic physics
    • Puri, K., J. Barkmeijer, and T. N. Palmer, 2001: Tropical singular vectors computed with linearized diabatic physics. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 709-731.
    • (2001) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.127 , pp. 709-731
    • Puri, K.1    Barkmeijer, J.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 30
    • 0034052601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Skill and relative value of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
    • Richardson, D. S., 2000: Skill and relative value of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 647-667.
    • (2000) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.126 , pp. 647-667
    • Richardson, D.S.1
  • 34
    • 0024913398 scopus 로고
    • Dynamical Extended Range Forecast (DERF) at the National Meteorological Center
    • Tracton, M. S., K. Mo, W. Chen, E. Kalnay, R. Kistler, and G. White, 1989: Dynamical Extended Range Forecast (DERF) at the National Meteorological Center. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 1604-1635.
    • (1989) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.117 , pp. 1604-1635
    • Tracton, M.S.1    Mo, K.2    Chen, W.3    Kalnay, E.4    Kistler, R.5    White, G.6
  • 35
    • 2442664481 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ECMWF ReAnalysis 1957-2001, ERA 40
    • Reading, United Kingdom ECMWF
    • Uppala, S., 2001: ECMWF ReAnalysis 1957-2001, ERA 40. Proc. ECMWF Workshop on Reanalysis, Reading, United Kingdom ECMWF, 1-11.
    • (2001) Proc. ECMWF Workshop on Reanalysis , pp. 1-11
    • Uppala, S.1
  • 36
    • 0019704889 scopus 로고
    • Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter
    • Wallace, J., and D. Gutzler, 1981: Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev. 109, 784-811.
    • (1981) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.109 , pp. 784-811
    • Wallace, J.1    Gutzler, D.2
  • 38
    • 0003784713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Hamburg ocean primitive equation model
    • Deutches Klimarechenzentrum Tech. Rep. 13, Hamburg, Germany
    • Wolff, J. O., E. Maier-Raimer, and S. Legutke, 1997: The Hamburg ocean primitive equation model. Deutches Klimarechenzentrum Tech. Rep. 13, Hamburg, Germany, 98 pp.
    • (1997) , pp. 98
    • Wolff, J.O.1    Maier-Raimer, E.2    Legutke, S.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.