Climate predictability on interannual to decadal time scales: The initial value problem

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 19, Issue 8, 2002, Pages 671-692

  Collins, M ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF READING   (United Kingdom)

^b MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE VARIATION; ERROR ANALYSIS; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE; TEMPORAL VARIATION; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ATLANTIC OCEAN;

EID: 0036795878     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-002-0254-8     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. The reemergence of SST anomalies in the North Pacific ocean
2. Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
3. A study of atmosphere-ocean predictability on long time scales
4. The El-Niño stochastics oscillator
5. A study of the predictability of tropical Pacific SST in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model using singular vector analysis: The role of the annual cycle and the ENSO cycle
6. On assessing the relative roles of initial and boundary conditions in interannual to decadal climate predictability
7. The internal climate variability of HadCM3 a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments
8. How far ahead could we predict El Niño?
9. The unified forecast/climate model
10. The dominant mechanisms of variability in Atlantic ocean heat transport in a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM
11. Empirical prediction of the global temperature anomaly for 2000
12. Stochastic climate models, Part II: Application to sea-surface temperature anomalies and thermocline variability
13. The Simulation of SST sea ice extents and ocean heat transport in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments
14. Predictability of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
15. Predictability of North Atlantic multidecadal climate variability
16. A predictability study of simulated North Atlantic multidecadal variability
17. A decadal climate cycle in the North Atlantic ocean as simulated by the ECHO coupled GCM
18. Interannual to decadal predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model
19. Effect of water vapour feedback on internal and anthropogenic variations of the global hydrologic cycle
20. Stochastic climate models. Part I: Theory
21. Tropical origins for recent North Atlantic climate change
22. The performance of a medium range forecast model in winter - Impact of physical parametrizations
23. The steady linear response of a spherical atmosphere to thermal and orographic forcing
24. The second Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM: Model description spinup and validation
25. Estimating sampling errors in large-scale temperature averages
26. Causes of decadal variability over the North Pacific and North America
27. A review of ENSO prediction studies
28. The physical bases of climate and climate modelling
29. Atmospheric predictability experiments with a large numerical model
30. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Methodology and validation
31. Model error in weather forecasting
32. The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model - HadAM3
33. Oceanic forcing of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation and European climate
34. Assessing potential seasonal predictability with an ensemble of multidecadal GCM simulations
35. Variability of summer rainfall over tropical North Africa (1906-92): Observations and modelling
36. Global seasonal rainfall forecasts using a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
37. External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic factors
38. Decadal predictability of north Atlantic sea surface temperature and climate
39. The elements of climate variability in the tropical Atlantic
40. Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations
41. The atmospheric response over the North Atlantic to decadal changes in sea surface temperature
42. Committed warming and its implications for climate change