Certainty and uncertainty: The two faces of the hindsight bias

Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

Volumn 87, Issue 2, 2002, Pages 323-341

  Werth, Lioba ^a   Strack, Fritz ^a   Förster, Jens ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WÜRZBURG   (Germany)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0036222626     PISSN: 07495978     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1006/obhd.2001.2976     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Hindsight bias among physicians - Weighing the likelihood of diagnoses
2. Social influence on memory: Evidence and speculations
3. Hindsight bias and strategic choice: Some problems in learning from experience
4. The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis
5. Levels of processing: A framework for memory research
6. A demonstration of hindsight bias using the Thomas confirmation vote
7. Behavioral decision theory: Processes of judgment and choice
8. Hindsight =/ Foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty
9. Perceived informativeness of facts
10. "I knew it would happen!" Remembered probabilities of once-future things
11. Subjective theories about encoding may influence recognition: Judgmental regulation in human memory
12. I knew it all along - Or, did I?
13. Hindsight bias: An interaction of automatic and motivational factors?
14. The reiteration effect in hindsight bias
15. Measures of anchoring in estimation tasks
16. Source monitoring and memory distortion
17. Source monitoring
18. Reality monitoring
19. Memory in naturalistic and laboratory contexts: Distinguishing the accuracy-oriented and quantity-oriented approaches to memory assessment
20. Monitoring and control processes in the strategic regulation of memory accuracy
21. Toward a psychology of memory accuracy
22. Illusory correlation: A further exploration of Chapman's paradigm
23. Hindsight distortion and the 1980 presidential election
24. Coping with uncertainty: A naturalistic decision-making analysis
25. Leading questions and the eyewitness report
26. Misinformation and memory: The creation of new memories
27. Semantic integration of verbal information into a visual memory
28. Reconstruction of automobile destruction: An example of the interaction between language and memory
29. "I could never have expected it to happen": The reversal of the hindsight bias
30. "I knew it all along" under all conditions? Or possibly "I could not have expected it to happen" under some conditions?
31. Misleading postevent information and memory for events: Arguments and evidence against memory impairment hypotheses
32. Numeric judgment under uncertainty: The role of knowledge in anchoring
33. Comparing is believing: A selective accessibility model of judgmental anchoring
34. Hypothesis-consistent testing and semantic priming in the anchoring paradigm: A selective accessibility model
35. Consciousness and metacognition
36. Does a surprising outcome reinforce or reverse the hindsight bias?
37. The British fireman's strike of 1977/78: An investigation of judgments in foresight and hindsight
38. Der Rückschau-Fehler: Systematische Verfälschung der Erinnerung bei Experten und Novizen
39. Der Rückschaufehler - Ein Modell zur Analyse und Erklärung systematisch verfälschter Erinnerungen
40. The effects of feedback source and plausibility on hindsight bias
41. Anchoring and hindsight bias with single and multiple anchors
42. No reduction in hindsight bias after complete information and repeated testing
43. Verzerrte Vorstellung von Vergangenem: Vorsatz oder Versehen?
44. Der Knew-it-all-along-Effekt in Urteilssituationen von hoher und geringer Selbstwertrelevanz
45. Hindsight bias: Impaired memory or biased reconstruction?
46. Memory for nonoccurrences: Metacognitive and presuppositional strategies
47. Reporting recollective experiences: Direct access to memory systems?
48. Self-reflection and recognition: The role of metacognitive knowledge in the attribution of recollective experience
49. Know thyself! The role of metamnestic knowledge in recognition memory
50. Explaining the enigmatic anchoring effect: Mechanisms of selective accessibility
51. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
52. Individual differences in reverse hindsight bias: I never thought something like Chernobyl would happen. Did I?
53. The knew-it-all-along-effect - An inferential phenomenon?
54. Social influence and suggestibility in recognition tasks
55. A new look at anchoring effects: Basic anchoring and its antecedents
56. The knew-it-all-along effect