The correspondence ratio in forecast evaluation

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 15, Issue 5, 2000, Pages 593-602

  Stensrud, David J ^a   Wandishin, Matthew S ^b  

^a NATIONAL SEVERE STORMS LABORATORY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; CORRELATION METHODS; ERRORS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; RAIN;

ANOMALY CORRELATION; CORRESPONDENCE RATIO; CRITICAL SUCCESS INDEX; ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR; VENN DIAGRAM;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

CORRESPONDENCE ANALYSIS; NUMERICAL MODEL; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 0034292466     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(2000)015<0593:TCRIFE>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. The response of numerical weather prediction systems to FGGE level IIb data. Part II: Forecast verifications and implications for predictability
2. Verification of weather forecasts
3. Wavelets and field forecast verification
4. Potential forecast skill of ensemble prediction and spread and skill distributions of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
5. Convective inhibition as a predictor of convection during AVE-SESAME II
6. An objective evaluator of techniques for predicting severe weather events
7. Short-range ensemble forecasting of quantitative precipitation
8. Verification of Eta-RSM short-range ensemble forecasts
9. Evaluation of Eta-RSM ensemble probabilistic precipitation forecasts
10. The performance of a medium range forecast model in winter-impact of physical parameterizations
11. Using ensemble forecasts for model verification
12. The step-mountain Eta coordinate model: Further developments of the convection, viscous sublayer, and turbulence closure schemes
13. The NMC nested regional spectral model
14. Global numerical weather prediction at NMC
15. A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model
16. A model for assessment of weather forecasts
17. Dependence of the critical success index on sample climate and threshold probability
18. Cumulative results of extended forecast experiments. Part I: Model performance for winter cases
19. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Methodology and validation
20. Sensitivity to numerical simulations of explosive oceanic cyclogenesis to changes in physical parameterizations
21. The impact of initial condition uncertainty on numerical simulations of large-scale explosive cyclogenesis
22. Skill scores based on the mean square error and their relationships to the correlation coefficient
23. The coefficients of correlation and determination as measures of performance in forecast verification
24. Forecast evaluation
25. A general framework for forecast verification
26. Skill scores and correlation coefficients in model verification
27. The critical success index as an indicator of warning skill
28. Using ensembles for short-range forecasting
29. A two-step scheme for the advection equation with minimized dissipation and dispersion errors
30. Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations
31. Ensemble forecasting at NMC: Operational implementation