Irreducible uncertainties, sustainable fisheries and marine reserves

Evolutionary Ecology Research

Volumn 2, Issue 4, 2000, Pages 547-557

  Mangel, Marc ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Environmental uncertainty; Marine reserves; Mean variance trade off; Open systems

Indexed keywords

EID: 0000238968     PISSN: 15220613     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. Anonymous. 1998. Report of the Herring Assessment Working Group for the Area South of 62 Degrees North. ICES C.M. 1998/ACFM:14. Available from the ICES Librarian, ICES, Palaegade 2-4, DK-1261 Copenhagen K, Denmark.
2. Anonymous. 1999. Report of the Working Group on the Assessment of Mackerel, Horse Mackerel, Sardine and Anchovy. ICES C.M. 1999/ACFM:6. Available from the ICES Librarian, ICES, Palaegade 2-4, DK-1261 Copenhagen K, Denmark.
3. Bellwood, D.R., Leis, J.M. and Stobutzki, I.C. 1998. Fishery and reef management. Science, 279: 2021-2022.
4. Bohnsack, J.A. and Ault, J.S. 1996. Management strategies to conserve marine biodiversity. Oceanography, 9: 73-82.
5. Carr, M.H. and Reed, D.C. 1993. Conceptual issues relevant to marine harvest refuges: Examples from temperature reef fishes. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 50: 2019-2028.
6. Clark, C.W. 1990. Mathematical Bioeconomics, 2nd edn. New York: Wiley Interscience.
7. Cohen, D. 1966. Optimizing reproduction in a randomly varying environment. J. Theor. Biol., 12: 119-129.
8. Cohen, D. 1967. Optimizing reproduction in a randomly varying environment when a correlation may exist between the conditions at the time a choice has to be made and a subsequent one. J. Theor. Biol., 26: 1-14.
9. Cohen, D. 1971. Maximizing final yield when growth is limited by time or by limiting resources. J. Theor. Biol., 33: 299-307.
10. Cohen, D. 1976. The optimal timing of reproduction. Am. Nat., 110: 801-807.
11. DeMartini, E.E. 1993. Modeling the potential of fishery reserves for managing Pacific coral reef fishes. Fish. Bull., 91: 414-427.
12. Dixit, A.K. and Pindyck, R.S. 1994. Investment Under Uncertainty. Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press.
13. Dixon, P.A., Milicich, M.J. and Sugihara, G. 1999. Episodic fluctuations in larval supply. Science, 283: 1528-1530.
14. Dovers, S.R. and Handmer, J.W. 1995. Ignorance, the precautionary principle and sustainability, Ambio.
15. Figurski, J. 1997. The painted greenling Oxylebius pictus: Determining the breeding season territory size. Senior thesis, Department of Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz.
16. Geller, R.J. Jackson, D.D., Kagan, Y.Y. and Mulgaria, F. 1997. Earthquakes cannot be predicted. Science, 275: 1616-1617.
17. Gillis, D.M., Pikitch, E.K. and Peterman, R.M. 1995a. Dynamic discarding decisions: Foraging theory for high-grading in a trawl fishery. Behav. Ecol., 6: 146-154.
18. Gillis, D.M., Peterman, R.M. and Pikitch, E.K. 1995b. Implications of trip regulations for high-grading: A model of the behavior of fishermen. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 52: 402-415.
19. Gubbay, S. 1995. Marine Protected Areas: Principles and Techniques for Management. London: Chapman & Hall.
20. Gunderson, D.R. 1997. Spatial patterns in the dynamics of slope rockfish stocks and their implications for management. Fish. Bull., 95: 219-230.
21. Hart, P.J.B. 1997a. Enlarging the shadow of the future - avoiding conflict and conserving fish off south Devon, UK. Preprint.
22. Hart, P.J.B. 1997b. Controlling illegal fishing in closed areas: The case of mackerel off Norway. In Developing and Sustaining World Fisheries Resources: Proceedings of the 2nd World Fisheries Congress (D.A. Hancock, D.C. Smith, A. Grant and J.P. Beumer, eds), pp. 411-414. Collingword, Australia: CSIRO.
23. Hastings, A. and Botsford, L.W. 1999. Equivalence in yield from marine reserves and traditional fisheries management. Science, 284: 1537-1538.
24. Helfman, G.S., Collette, B.B. and Facey, D.E. 1997. The Diversity of Fishes. Oxford: Blackwell.
25. Hightower, J.E. and Lenarz, W.H. 1989. Optimal harvesting policies for the widow rockfish fishery. Am. Fish. Soc. Symp., 6: 83-91.
26. Horwood, J.W., Nichols, J.H. and Milligan, S. 1998. Evaluation of closed areas for fish stock conservation. J. Appl. Ecol., 35: 893-903.
27. Keller, J.B. 1986. The probability of heads. Am. Math. Monthly, 93: 191-197.
28. Lauck, T., Clark, C.W., Mangel, M. and Munro, G.R. 1998. Implementing the precautionary principle in fisheries management through marine reserves. Ecol. Appl., 8 (suppl.): S72-S78.
29. Lewontin, R.C. and Cohen, D. 1969. On population growth in a randomly varying environment. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 62: 1056-1060.
30. Love, M. 1996. Probably More than You Want to Know about the Fishes of the Pacific Coast. Santa Barbara, CA: Really Big Press.
31. Mace, P.M. 1999. Current status and prognosis for marine capture fisheries. Fisheries, 24: 30.
32. Man, A., Law, R. and Polunin, N.C.V. 1995. Role of marine reserves in recruitment to reef fisheries: A metapopulation model. Biol. Conserv., 71: 197-204.
33. Mangel, M. 1998. No-take areas for sustainabilityof harvested species and a conservation invariant for marine reserves. Ecol. Lett., 1: 87-90.
34. Mangel, M. 2000. On the fraction of habitat allocated to marine reserves. Ecol. Lett., 3: 15-22.
35. Mangel, M. in press. Trade-offs between fish habitat and fishing mortality and the role of reserves. Bull. Marine Sci.
36. Mangel, M., Talbot, L.M., Meffe, G.K. et al. 1996. Principles for the conservation of wild living resources. Ecol. Appl. 6: 338-362.
37. Mangel, M., Fiksen, Ø. and Giske, J. in press. Logical, statistical and theoretical models in natural resource management and research. How to Practice Safe Modeling (A. Franklin and T. Shenk, eds). Island Press.
38. Miller, D.J. and Geibel, J.J. 1973. Summary of blue rockfish and lingcod life histories; A reef ecology study; and Giant kelp, Macrocystis pyrifera, Experiments in Monterey Bay, California. Fish Bulletin 158. Sacramento, CA: State of California, Department of Fish and Game.
39. Patterson, K.R. 1999. Evaluating uncertainty in harvest control law catches using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo virtual population analysis with adaptive rejection sampling and including structural uncertainty. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 56: 208-221.
40. Polacheck, T. 1990. Year around closed areas as a management tool. Natural Resource Modeling, 4: 327-355.
41. Potts, G.W. and Wootton, R.J. 1984. Fish Reproduction: Strategies and Tactics. London: Academic Press.
42. Quinn, T.J. and Deriso, R.B. 1999. Quantitative Fish Dynamics. New York: Oxford University Press.
43. Rice, J.A. 1999. Coping with uncertainty. Fisheries, 24: 4.
44. Roberts, C.M. 1997. Connectivity and management of Caribbean coral reefs. Science, 278: 1454-1457.
45. Roberts, C.M. 1998. Fishery and reef management. Science, 279: 2022-2023.
46. Rodenhouse, N.L., Sherry, T.W. and Holmes, R.T. 1997. Site-dependent regulation of population size: A new synthesis. Ecology, 78: 2025-2042.
47. Russ, G.R. and Alcala, A.C. 1996. Do marine reserves export adult fish biomass? Evidence from Apo Island, central Philippines. Marine Ecol. Prog. Ser., 132: 1-9.
48. Sale, P.F. and Cowen, R.K. 1998. Fishery and reef management. Science, 279: 2022.
49. Shackell, N.L. and Willison, J.H.M. 1995. Marine Protected Areas and Sustainable Fisheries. Wolfville, NS, Canada: Science and Management of Protected Areas Association.
50. Starfield, A.M. 1997. A pragmatic approach to modeling for wildlife conservation. J. Wildlife Manage., 61: 261-270.
51. Ward, T.J., Vanderklift, M.A., Nichols, A.O. and Kenchington, R.A. 1999. Selecting marine reserves using habitats and species assemblages as surrogates for biological diversity. Ecol. Appl., 9: 691-698.