Spatial coherence of flood-rich and flood-poor periods across Germany

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 559, Issue , 2018, Pages 813-826

  Merz, Bruno ^a,b   Dung, Nguyen Viet ^a   Apel, Heiko ^a   Gerlitz, Lars ^a   Schröter, Kai ^a   Steirou, Eva ^a   Vorogushyn, Sergiy ^a  

^a GFZ GERMAN RESEARCH CENTRE FOR GEOSCIENCES   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF POTSDAM   (Germany)

Author keywords

Catchment wetness; Climate variability; Flood regimes; Flood timing; Spatial coherence

Indexed keywords

FLOODS; GAGES; RUNOFF; TIMING CIRCUITS;

ANNUAL MAXIMUM SERIES; CATCHMENT WETNESS; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; EVENT TYPES; FLOOD REGIME; FLOOD TIMING; FLOODINGS; SPATIAL COHERENCE; SUB-CATCHMENT; TIME-PERIODS;

CATCHMENTS;

CATCHMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; DISCHARGE; FLOOD; FLOODING; HYDROLOGICAL REGIME; MAGNITUDE; SPATIAL ANALYSIS;

DANUBE BASIN; GERMANY; RHINE BASIN;

EID: 85042928808     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.02.082     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Assani, A.A., Charron, S., Matteau, M., Mesfioui, M., Quessy, J.-F., Temporal variability modes of floods for catchments in the St. Lawrence watershed (Quebec, Canada). J. Hydrol. 385 (2010), 292–299.
2. Bacchi, A., Brath, A., Kottegoda, N.T., Analysis of the relationships between flood peaks and flood volumes based on crossing properties of River Flo processes. Water Resour. Res. 28:10 (1992), 2773–2782.
3. Beurton, S., Thieken, A., Seasonality of floods in Germany. Hydrol. Sci. J. 54 (2009), 62–76, 10.1623/hysj.54.1.62.
4. BfG, 2003. Hydrologischer Atlas von Deutschland (HAD). Bundeministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit (Ed.), ISBN: 3-00-005624-6.
5. Blöschl, G., Hall, J., Parajka, J., Perdigão, R.A.P., Merz, B., Arheimer, B., Aronica, G.T., Bilibashi, A., Bonacci, O., Borga, M., Čanjevac, I., Castellarin, A., Chirico, G.B., Claps, P., Fiala, K., Frolova, N., Gorbachova, L., Gül, A., Hannaford, J., Harrigan, S., Kireeva, M., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T.R., Kohnová, S., Koskela, J.J., Ledvinka, O., Macdonald, N., Mavrova-Guirguinova, M., Mediero, L., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Murphy, C., Osuch, M., Ovcharuk, V., Radevski, I., Rogger, M., Salinas, J.L., Sauquet, E., Šraj, M., Szolgay, J., Viglione, A., Volpi, E., Wilson, D., Zaimi, K., Živković, N., Changing climate shifts timing of European floods. Science 357:6351 (2017), 588–590, 10.1126/science.aan2506.
6. Böhm, O., Wetzel, K.-F., Flood history of the Danube tributaries Lech and Isar in the Alpine foreland of Germany. Hydrol. Sci. J. 51:5 (2006), 784–798, 10.1623/hysj.51.5.784.
7. Burn, D.H., Catchment similarity for regional flood frequency analysis using seasonality measures. J. Hydrol. 202 (1997), 212–230.
8. Ettrick, T.M., Mawdlsey, J.A., Metcalfe, A.V., The influence of antecedent catchment conditions on seasonal flood risk. Water Resour. Res. 23 (1987), 481–488.
9. Gardner, R.H., Trabalka, J.R., Methods of Uncertainty Analysis for a Global Carbon Dioxide Model. 1985, Oak Ridge National Lab, TN (USA).
10. Glaser, R., Riemann, D., Schönbein, J., Barriendos, M., Brázdil, R., Bertolin, C., Camuffo, D., Deutsch, M., Dobrovolný, P., van Engelen, A., Enzi, S., Halíčková, M., Koenig, S.J., Kotyza, O., Limanówka, D., Macková, J., Sghedoni, M., Martin, B., Himmelsbach, I., The variability of European floods since AD 1500. Clim. Change 101 (2010), 235–256, 10.1007/s10584-010-9816-7.
11. Grimaldi, S., Petroselli, A., Tauro, F., Porfiri, M., Time of concentration: a paradox in modern hydrology. Hydrol. Sci. J. 57:2 (2012), 217–228.
12. Hall, J., Arheimer, B., Borga, M., Brázdil, ClapsP., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen Kriauciuniené, T.R.J., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Lang, M., Llasat, M.C., Macdonald, N., McIntyre, N., Mediero, L., Merz, B., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Neuhold, C., Parajka, J., Perdigão, R.A.P., Plavcová, L., Rogger, M., Salinas, J.L., Sauquet, E., Schär, C., Szolgay, J., Viglione, A., Blöschl, G., Un-derstanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 18 (2014), 2735–2772, 10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014.
13. Katz, R.W., Glantz, M.H., Anatomy of a rainfall index. Mon. Wea. Rev. 114 (1986), 764–771.
14. Kiem, A.S., Franks, S.W., Kuczera, G., Multi-decadal variability of flood risk. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 2003, 1035, 10.1029/2002GL015992 2.
15. Klein, B., Ermittlung von Ganglinien für die risikoorientierte Hochwasserbemessung von Talsperren. Dissertation, 2009, University of Bochum, Germany, 205.
16. Lang, M., Ouarda, T.B.M.J., Bobée, B., Towards operational guidelines for overthreshold modelling. J. Hydrol. 225 (1999), 103–117.
17. LAWA, 1997. Pegelvorschrift-Stammtext. Kulturbuchverlag Berlin GmbH, Berlin.
18. Lindström, G., Bergström, S., Runoff trends in Sweden 1807–2002. Hydrol. Sci. J.-J. Des. Sci. Hydrol. 49:1 (2004), 69–83.
19. Llasat, M.-C., Barriendos, M., Barrera, A., Rido, T., Floods in Catalonia (NE Spain) since the 14th century. climatological and meteorological aspects from historical documentary sources and old instrumental records. J. Hydrol. 313 (2005), 32–47, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.02.004.
20. Longobardi, A., Villani, P., Grayson, R.B., Western, A.W., 2003. On the relationship between runoff coefficient and catchment initial conditions. In: Proceedings of the International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, vol. 2, pp. 867–872, Modell. and Simul. Soc. of Australia and New Zealand, Townsville, Australia.
21. McCabe, G.J., Wolock, D.M., A step increase in streamflow in the conterminous United States. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 2002 38–31 – 38–34.
22. Mediero, L., Kjeldsen, T.R., Macdonald, N., Kohnova, S., Merz, B., Vorogushyn, S., Wilson, D., Alburquerque, T., Blöschl, G., Bogdanowicz, E., Castellarin, A., Hall, J., Kobold, M., Kriauciuni-ene, J., Lang, M., Madsen, H., Onuşluel Gül, G., Perdigão, R.A.P., Roald, L.A., Salinas, J.L., Toumazis, A.D., Veijalainen, N., Þórarinsson, Ó., Identification of coherent flood regions across Europe by using the longest streamflow records. J. Hydrol. 528 (2015), 341–360, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.06.016.
23. Merz, R., Blöschl, G., A process typology of regional floods. Water Resour. Res., 39(12), 2003, 1340, 10.1029/2002WR001952.
24. Merz, R., Blöschl, G., A regional analysis of event runoff coefficients with respect to climate and catchment characteristics. Water Resour. Res., 45, 2009, W01405, 10.1029/2008WR007163.
25. Merz, B., Nguyen, V.D., Vorogushyn, S., Temporal clustering of floods in Germany: do flood-rich and flood-poor periods exist?. J. Hydrol. 541 (2016), 824–838, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.07.041.
26. Moron, V., Robertson, A.W., Ward, M.N., Seasonal predictability and spatial coherence of rainfall characteristics in the tropical setting of senegal. Mon. Wea. Rev. 134 (2006), 3248–3262, 10.1175/MWR3252.1.
27. Mudelsee, M., Börngen, M., Tetzlaff, G., Grünewald, U., Extreme floods in central Europe over the past 500 years: role of cyclone pathway “Zugstrasse Vb”. J. Geophys. Res., 109(D23), 2004, D23101, 10.1029/2004JD005034.
28. Mudelsee, M., Deutsch, M., Börngen, M., Tetzlaff, G., Trends in flood risk oft he River Werra (Germany) over the past 500 years. Hydrol. Sci. J. 51 (2006), 818–833.
29. Nied, M., Pardowitz, T., Nissen, K., Ulbrich, U., Hundecha, Y., Merz, B., On the relationship between hydro-meteorological patterns and flood types. J. Hydrol. 519 (2014), 3249–3262, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.089.
30. Oppenheim, A.V., Schafer, R.W., Buck, J.R., Discrete-Time Signal Processing. 1999, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
31. Österle, H., Reconstruction of daily global radiation for past years for use in agricultural models. Phys. Chem. Earth Part B: Hydrol. Oceans Atmos. 26:3 (2001), 253–256.
32. Österle H., Werner P.-C., Gerstengarbe F.-W., 2006. Qualitätsprüfung, Ergänzung und Homogenisierung der täglichen Datenreihen in Deutschland, 1951-2003: ein neuer Datensatz. http://www.meteo.physik.uni-muenchen.de/dkt/poster.html./7. Deutsche Klimatagung/, Klimatrends: Vergangenheit und Zukunft, 9. – 11 Oktober 2006, München.
33. Petrow, T., Zimmer, J., Merz, B., Changes in the flood hazard in Germany through changing frequency and persistence of circulation patterns. Nat. Haz. Earth Syst. Sci. (NHESS) 9 (2009), 1409–1423.
34. Plate, E.J., Ihringer, J., Lutz, W., Operational models for flood calculations. ISSN 0022-1694(http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0022169488901989) J. Hydrol. 100:1 (1988), 489–506.
35. Poli, P., Hersbach, H., Dee, D., Berrisford, P., Simmons, A., Vitart, F., Laloyaux, P., Tan, D., Peubey, C., Thépaut, J., Trémolet, Y., Hólm, E., Bonavita, M., Isaksen, L., Fisher, M., ERA-20C: an atmospheric reanalysis of the twentieth century. J. Clim. 29 (2016), 4083–4097, 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0556.1.
36. Robson, A.J., Evidence for trends in UK flooding. Philos. Trans. Soc. London A 360 (2002), 1327–1343.
37. Schmocker-Fackel, P., Naef, F., More frequent flooding? changes in flood frequency in Switzerland since 1850. J. Hydrol. 381 (2010), 1–8, 10.1016/jhydrol.2009.09.022.
38. Schmocker-Fackel, P., Naef, F., Changes in flood frequencies in Switzerland since 1500. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 14 (2010), 1581–1594, 10.5194/hess-14-1581-2010.
39. Steirou, E.-S., Gerlitz, L., Apel, H., Merz, B., Links between large-scale circulation patterns and streamflow in Central Europe: a review. J. Hydrol. 549 (2017), 484–500, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.04.003.
40. Uhlemann, S., Thieken, A.H., Merz, B., A consistent set of trans-basin floods in Germany between 1952–2002. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 14 (2010), 1277–1295, 10.5194/hess-14-1277-2010.
41. USWRC, Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency, Bulletin No. 17. U.S. Water Resources Council. 1976, Subcommittee on Hydrology, Washington, D.C.
42. Ward, P.J., Eisner, S., Flörke, M., Dettinger, M.D., Kummu, M., Annual flood sensitivities to El Niño-southern oscillation at the global scale. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 18 (2014), 47–66, 10.5194/hess-18-47-2014.