Linking speciation to extinction: Diversification raises contemporary extinction risk in amphibians

Evolution Letters

Volumn 1, Issue 1, 2017, Pages 40-48

  Greenberg, Dan A ^a   Mooers, Arne Ø ^a  

^a SIMON FRASER UNIVERSITY   (Canada)

Author keywords

Amphibia; diversification; extinction risk; IUCN; peripatry; speciation rate; species longevity

Indexed keywords

EID: 85032637187     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20563744     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/evl3.4     Document Type: Letter

References (64)

1. Barraclough, T. G., and A. P. Vogler. 2000. Detecting the geographical pattern of speciation from species-level phylogenies. Am. Nat. 155:419–434.
2. Böhm, M., R. Williams, H. R. Bramhall, K. M. McMillan, A. D. Davidson, A. Garcia, L. M. Bland, J. Bielby, and B. Collen. 2016. Correlates of extinction risk in squamate reptiles: the relative importance of biology, geography, threat and range size. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 25:391–405.
3. Boyles, J. G., and J. J. Storm. 2007. The perils of picky eating: dietary breadth is related to extinction risk in insectivorous bats. PLoS One 2:e672.
4. Bromham, L., R. Lanfear, P. Cassey, G. Gibb, and M. Cardillo. 2012. Reconstructing past species assemblages reveals the changing patterns and drivers of extinction through time. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 279:4024–4032.
5. Cardillo, M., G. M. Mace, K. E. Jones, J. Bielby, O. R. P. Bininda-Emonds, W. Sechrest, et al. 2005. Multiple causes of high extinction risk in large mammal species. Science 309:1239–1241.
6. Ceballos, G., P. R. Ehrlich, A. D. Barnosky, A. García, R. M. Pringle, and T. M. Palmer. 2015. Accelerated modern human–induced species losses: entering the sixth mass extinction. Sci. Adv. 1:e1400253.
7. Claramunt, S., E. P. Derryberry, J. V. Remsen, and R. T. Brumfield. 2012. High dispersal ability inhibits speciation in a continental radiation of passerine birds. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 279:1567–1574.
8. Colles, A., L. H. Liow, and A. Prinzing. 2009. Are specialists at risk under environmental change? Neoecological, paleoecological and phylogenetic approaches. Ecol. Lett. 12:849–863.
9. Condamine, F. L., J. Rolland, and H. Morlon 2013. Macroevolutionary perspectives to environmental change. Ecol. Lett. 16:72–85.
10. Davies, T. J., G. F. Smith, D. U. Bellstedt, J. S. Boatwright, B. Bytebier, R. M. Cowling, F. Forest, L. J. Harmon, A. M. Muasya, B. D. Schrire, et al 2011. Extinction risk and diversification are linked in a plant biodiversity hotspot. PLoS Biol. 9:e1000620.
11. Ducatez, S., R. Tingley, and R. Shine. 2014. Using species co-occurrence patterns to quantify relative habitat breadth in terrestrial vertebrates. Ecosphere 5:art152.
12. Eastman, J. M., and A. Storfer 2011. Correlations of life-history and distributional-range variation with salamander diversification rates: evidence for species selection. Syst. Biol. 60:503–518.
13. Etienne, R. S., B. Haegeman, T. Stadler, T. Aze, P. N. Pearson, A. Purvis, and A. B. Philimore. 2012. Diversity-dependence brings molecular phylogenies closer to agreement with the fossil record. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 279:1300–1309.
14. Finnegan, S., S. C. Anderson, P. G. Harnik, C. Simpson, D. P. Tittensor, J. E. Byrnes, Z. V. Finkel, D. R. Lindberg, L. H. Liow, R. Lockwood, et al. 2015. Paleontological baselines for evaluating extinction risk in the modern oceans. Science 348:567–570.
15. Frost, D. R. 2016. Amphibian Species of the World: An Online Reference. Version 6.0. Available at: research.amnh.org/vz/herpetology/amphibia.
16. Gilinsky, N. L. 1994. Volatility and the Phanerozoic decline of background extinction intensity. Paleobiology 20:445–458.
17. Hadfield, J. 2010. MCMC methods for multi-response generalized linear mixed models: the MCMCglmm R package. J. Stat. Softw. 33:1–22.
18. Harnik, P. G., H. K. Lotze, S. C. Anderson, Z. V. Finkel, S. Finnegan, D. R. Lindberg, et al. 2012a. Extinctions in ancient and modern seas. Trends Ecol. Evol. 27:608–617.
19. Harnik, P. G., C. Simpson, and J. L. Payne. 2012b. Long-term differences in extinction risk among the seven forms of rarity. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 279:4969–4976.
20. Heard, S. B., and A. Ø. Mooers. 2000. Phylogenetically patterned speciation rates and extinction risks change the loss of evolutionary history during extinctions. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 267:613–620.
21. Heim, N. A., and S. E. Peters. 2011. Regional environmental breadth predicts geographic range and longevity in fossil marine genera. PLoS One 6:e18946.
22. Hoffmann, M., C. Hilton-Taylor, A. Angulo, M. Böhm, T. M. Brooks, S. H. M. Butchart, K. E. Carpenter, J. Chanson, B. Collen, N. A. Cox, et al. 2010. The impact of conservation on the status of the world's vertebrates. Science 330:1503–1509.
23. IUCN. 2016. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2016-1. Available at: http://www.iucnredlist.org
24. Jablonski, D. 1986. Larval ecology and macroevolution in marine invertebrates. Bull. Mar. Sci. 39:565–587.
25. Jablonski, D. 2008. Species selection: theory and data. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 39:501–524.
26. Jablonski, D., and K. Roy. 2003. Geographical range and speciation in fossil and living molluscs. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 270:401–406.
27. Jetz, W., G. H. Thomas, J. B. Joy, K. Hartmann, and A. Ø. Mooers. 2012. The global diversity of birds in space and time. Nature 491:444–448.
28. Jetz, W., G. H. Thomas, J. B. Joy, D. W. Redding, K. Hartmann, and A. Ø. Mooers. 2014. Global distribution and conservation of evolutionary distinctness in birds. Curr. Biol. 24:919–930.
29. Kiessling, W., and M. Aberhan. 2007. Geographical distribution and extinction risk: lessons from Triassic-Jurassic marine benthic organisms. J. Biogeogr. 34:1473–1489.
30. Lande, R., S. Engen, and B.-E. Sæther. 2003. Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation. Oxford Univ. Press, Oxford, UK.
31. Lee, T. M., and W. Jetz. 2011. Unravelling the structure of species extinction risk for predictive conservation science. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 278:1329–1338.
32. Liow, L. H., M. Fortelius, E. Bingham, K. Lintulaakso, H. Mannila, L. Flynn, and N. C. Stenseth. 2008. Higher origination and extinction rates in larger mammals. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 105:6097–6102.
33. Lozano, F. D., and M. W. Schwartz. 2005. Patterns of rarity and taxonomic group size in plants. Biol. Conserv. 126:146–154.
34. Lyons, S. K., J. H. Miller, D. Fraser, F. A. Smith, A. Boyer, E. Lindsey, and A. M. Mychajliw. 2016. The changing role of mammal life histories in Late Quaternary extinction vulnerability on continents and islands. Biol. Lett. 12:20160342.
35. Mace, G. M., N. J. Collar, K. J. Gaston, C. Hilton-Taylor, H. R. Akçakaya, N. Leader-Williams, E. J. Milner-Gulland, and S. N. Stuart. 2008. Quantification of extinction risk: IUCN's system for classifying threatened species. Conserv. Biol. 22:1424–1442.
36. Magallon, S., and M. J. Sanderson. 2001. Absolute diversification rates in Angiosperm clades. Evolution 55:1762–1780.
37. McKinney, M. L. 1997. Extinction vulnerability and selectivity: combining ecological and paleontological views. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 28:495–516.
38. Monroe, M. J., and F. Bokma. 2009. Do speciation rates drive rates of body size evolution in mammals? Am. Nat. 174:912–918.
39. Nee, S., E. C. Holmes, R. M. May, and P. H. Harvey. 1994. Extinction rates can be estimated from molecular phylogenies. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B. Biol. Sci. 344:77–82.
40. Olden, J. D., N. L. Poff, and K. R. Bestgen. 2008. Trait synergisms and the rarity, extirpation, and extinction risk of desert fishes. Ecology 89:847–856.
41. Orzechowski, E. A., R. Lockwood, J. E. K. Byrnes, S. C. Anderson, S. Finnegan, Z. V. Finkel, P. G. Harnik, D. R. Lindberg, L. H. Liow, H. K. Lotze, et al. 2015. Marine extinction risk shaped by trait-environment interactions over 500 million years. Glob. Chang. Biol. 21:3595–3607.
42. Parhar, R. K., and A. Ø. Mooers. 2011. Phylogenetically clustered extinction risks do not substantially prune the Tree of Life. PLoS One 6:e23528.
43. Pimm, S. L., G. J. Russell, J. L. Gittleman, and T. M. Brooks. 1995. The future of biodiversity. Science 269:347–350.
44. Price, J. P., and W. L. Wagner. 2004. Speciation in Hawaiian angiosperm lineages: cause, consequence, and mode. Evolution 58:2185–2200.
45. Pyron, R. A. 2014. Biogeographic analysis reveals ancient continental vicariance and recent oceanic dispersal in amphibians. Syst. Biol. 63: 779–797.
46. Pyron, R. A., and J. J. Wiens. 2013. Large-scale phylogenetic analyses reveal the causes of high tropical amphibian diversity. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. 280:20131622.
47. Rabosky, D. L. 2009. Ecological limits and diversification rate: alternative paradigms to explain the variation in species richness among clades and regions. Ecol. Lett. 12:735–743.
48. Rabosky, D. L. 2010. Extinction rates should not be estimated from molecular phylogenies. Evolution 64:1816–1824.
49. Rabosky, D. L., and I. J. Lovette. 2008. Explosive evolutionary radiations: decreasing speciation or increasing extinction through time? Evolution 62:1866–1875.
50. Reynolds, J. D., N. K. Dulvy, N. B. Goodwin, and J. A. Hutchings. 2005. Biology of extinction risk in marine fishes. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 272:2337–2344.
51. Rolland, J., and N. Salamin. 2016. Niche width impacts vertebrate diversification. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 25:1252–1263.
52. Sallan, L., and A. K. Galimberti. 2015. Body-size reduction in vertebrates following the end-Devonian mass extinction. Science 350:812–815.
53. Sandel, B., L. Arge, B. Dalsgaard, R. G. Davies, K. J. Gaston, W. J. Sutherland, and J.-C. Svenning. 2011. The influence of Late Quaternary climate-change velocity on species endemism. Science 334:660–664.
54. Schwartz, M. W., and D. Simberloff. 2001. Taxon size predicts rates of rarity in vascular plants. Ecol. Lett. 4:464–469.
55. Slatyer, R. A., M. Hirst, and J. P. Sexton. 2013. Niche breadth predicts geographical range size: a general ecological pattern. Ecol. Lett. 16:1104–1114.
56. Smith, A. M., and D. M. Green. 2005. Dispersal and the metapopulation paradigm in amphibian ecology and conservation: are all amphibian populations metapopulations? Ecography 28:110–128.
57. Smits, P. D. 2015. Expected time-invariant effects of biological traits on mammal species duration. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 112:13015–13020.
58. Sodhi, N. S., D. Bickford, A. C. Diesmos, T. M. Lee, L. P. Koh, B. W. Brook, C. H. Sekercioglu, and C. J. A. Bradshaw. 2008. Measuring the meltdown: Drivers of global amphibian extinction and decline. PLoS One 3:e1636.
59. Stanley, S. M. 1979. Macroevolution, pattern and process. W. H. Freeman, San Francisco, USA.
60. Stanley, S. M. 1990. The general correlation between rate of speciation and rate of extinction: fortuitous causal linkages. Pp. 103–172 in R. M., Ross and W. D., Allmon, eds. Causes of Evolution: A Paleontological Perspective. Chicago Univ. Press, Chicago, USA.
61. Tonini, J. F. R., K. H. Beard, R. B. Ferreira, W. Jetz, and R. A. Pyron. 2016. Fully-sampled phylogenies of squamates reveal evolutionary patterns in threat status. Biol. Conserv. 204:23–31.
62. Verde Arregoitia, L. D., S. P. Blomberg, and D. O. Fisher. 2013. Phylogenetic correlates of extinction risk in mammals: species in older lineages are not at greater risk. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 280:20131092.
63. Wells, K. D. 2007. The ecology and behavior of amphibians. Chicago Univ. Press, Chicago, USA.
64. Wollenberg, K. C., D. R. Vieites, F. Glaw, and M. Vences. 2011. Speciation in little: the role of range and body size in the diversification of Malagasy mantellid frogs. BMC Evol. Biol. 11:217.