메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 144, Issue 14, 2016, Pages 3091-3100

Projections of increased and decreased dengue incidence under climate change

Author keywords

Arboviruses; Climate (impact of); Dengue fever; Infectious disease epidemiology

Indexed keywords

CARBON; RAIN;

EID: 85027927391     PISSN: 09502688     EISSN: 14694409     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S095026881600162X     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (21)

References (29)
  • 1
    • 84876804736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The global distribution and burden of dengue
    • Bhatt S, et al. The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature 2013; 496: 504-507.
    • (2013) Nature , vol.496 , pp. 504-507
    • Bhatt, S.1
  • 2
    • 72849131204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World Health Organization. Accessed 29 August 2013
    • World Health Organization. Impact of dengue (http://www.who.int/csr/disease/dengue/impact/en/). Accessed 29 August 2013.
    • Impact of Dengue
  • 3
    • 78650689718 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the spatial dimension of dengue virus epidemic spread within a tropical urban environment
    • Vazquez-Prokopec GM, et al. Quantifying the spatial dimension of dengue virus epidemic spread within a tropical urban environment. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2010; 4 (12): e920.
    • (2010) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases , vol.4 , Issue.12 , pp. e920
    • Vazquez-Prokopec, G.M.1
  • 4
    • 84891897656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing notifications of dengue in Australia related to overseas travel, 1991 to 2012
    • Knope K, Giele C. Increasing notifications of dengue in Australia related to overseas travel, 1991 to 2012. Communicable Diseases Intelligence 2013; 37: 55-59.
    • (2013) Communicable Diseases Intelligence , vol.37 , pp. 55-59
    • Knope, K.1    Giele, C.2
  • 5
    • 84908271694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemiology of dengue in a highincome country: A case study in Queensland, Australia
    • Viennet E, et al. Epidemiology of dengue in a highincome country: A case study in Queensland, Australia. Parasites and Vectors 2014; 7: 379.
    • (2014) Parasites and Vectors , vol.7 , pp. 379
    • Viennet, E.1
  • 7
    • 36049011702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate variability and the dengue outbreak in Townsville, Queensland, 1992-93
    • Bi P, et al. Climate variability and the dengue outbreak in Townsville, Queensland, 1992-93. Environmental Health 2001; 1: 54.
    • (2001) Environmental Health , vol.1 , pp. 54
    • Bi, P.1
  • 8
    • 84857888846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate-based models for understanding and forecasting dengue epidemics
    • Descloux E, et al. Climate-based models for understanding and forecasting dengue epidemics. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2012; 6: e1470.
    • (2012) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases , vol.6 , pp. e1470
    • Descloux, E.1
  • 9
    • 84872301978 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather-driven variation in dengue activity in Australia examined using a processbased modeling approach
    • Bannister-Tyrrell M, et al. Weather-driven variation in dengue activity in Australia examined using a processbased modeling approach. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 2013; 88: 65-72.
    • (2013) American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , vol.88 , pp. 65-72
    • Bannister-Tyrrell, M.1
  • 10
    • 27844536963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of regional climate change on human health
    • Patz JA, et al. Impact of regional climate change on human health. Nature 2005; 438, 310-317.
    • (2005) Nature , vol.438 , pp. 310-317
    • Patz, J.A.1
  • 11
    • 0037077864 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential effect of population and climate changes on global distribution of dengue fever: An empirical model
    • Hales S, et al. Potential effect of population and climate changes on global distribution of dengue fever: An empirical model. Lancet 2002; 360: 830-834.
    • (2002) Lancet , vol.360 , pp. 830-834
    • Hales, S.1
  • 12
    • 0030931981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential changes in the distribution of dengue transmission under climate warming
    • Jetten TH, Focks DA. Potential changes in the distribution of dengue transmission under climate warming. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 1997; 57: 285-297.
    • (1997) American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , vol.57 , pp. 285-297
    • Jetten, T.H.1    Focks, D.A.2
  • 13
    • 84897393968 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vectorial capacity of Aedes aegypti: Effects of temperature and implications for global dengue epidemic potential
    • Liu-Helmersson J, et al. Vectorial capacity of Aedes aegypti: effects of temperature and implications for global dengue epidemic potential. PLoS ONE 2014; 9: e89783.
    • (2014) PLoS ONE , vol.9 , pp. e89783
    • Liu-Helmersson, J.1
  • 14
    • 60549099162 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dengue and climate change in Australia: Predictions for the future should incorporate knowledge from the past
    • Russell RC, et al. Dengue and climate change in Australia: predictions for the future should incorporate knowledge from the past. Medical Journal of Australia 2009; 190: 265-268.
    • (2009) Medical Journal of Australia , vol.190 , pp. 265-268
    • Russell, R.C.1
  • 15
    • 84877815735 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential distribution of dengue fever under scenarios of climate change and economic development
    • Åström C, et al. Potential distribution of dengue fever under scenarios of climate change and economic development. Ecohealth 2012; 9: 448-454.
    • (2012) Ecohealth , vol.9 , pp. 448-454
    • Åström, C.1
  • 16
    • 0028791263 scopus 로고
    • A simulation model of the epidemiology of urban dengue fever: Literature analysis, model development, preliminary validation, and samples of simulation results
    • Focks DA, et al. A simulation model of the epidemiology of urban dengue fever: literature analysis, model development, preliminary validation, and samples of simulation results. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 1995; 53: 489-506.
    • (1995) American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , vol.53 , pp. 489-506
    • Focks, D.A.1
  • 17
    • 84941022193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing the impact of virus importation rates and future climate change on dengue activity in Malaysia using a mechanistic entomology and disease model
    • Williams CR, et al. Testing the impact of virus importation rates and future climate change on dengue activity in Malaysia using a mechanistic entomology and disease model. Epidemiology and Infection 2015; 143: 2856-2864.
    • (2015) Epidemiology and Infection , vol.143 , pp. 2856-2864
    • Williams, C.R.1
  • 18
    • 84908200810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bionomic response of Aedes aegypti to two future climate change scenarios in Far North Queensland, Australia: Implications for dengue outbreaks
    • Williams CR, et al. Bionomic response of Aedes aegypti to two future climate change scenarios in Far North Queensland, Australia: implications for dengue outbreaks. Parasites and Vectors 2014; 7: 447.
    • (2014) Parasites and Vectors , vol.7 , pp. 447
    • Williams, C.R.1
  • 20
    • 56749130966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rapid estimation of Aedes aegypti population size using simulation modeling, with a novel approach to calibration and field validation
    • Williams CR, et al. Rapid estimation of Aedes aegypti population size using simulation modeling, with a novel approach to calibration and field validation. Journal of Medical Entomology 2008; 45: 1173-1179.
    • (2008) Journal of Medical Entomology , vol.45 , pp. 1173-1179
    • Williams, C.R.1
  • 22
    • 56449127144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalization of a statistical downscaling model to provide local climate change projections for Australia
    • Timbal B, Fernandez E, Li Z. Generalization of a statistical downscaling model to provide local climate change projections for Australia. Environmental Modelling and Software 2009; 24: 341-358.
    • (2009) Environmental Modelling and Software , vol.24 , pp. 341-358
    • Timbal, B.1    Fernandez, E.2    Li, Z.3
  • 23
    • 84876081917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Systematic differences in future 20 year temperature extremes in AR4 model projections over Australia as a function of model skill
    • Perkins SE, Pitman AJ, Sisson SA. Systematic differences in future 20 year temperature extremes in AR4 model projections over Australia as a function of model skill. International Journal of Climatology 2013; 33: 1153-1167.
    • (2013) International Journal of Climatology , vol.33 , pp. 1153-1167
    • Perkins, S.E.1    Pitman, A.J.2    Sisson, S.A.3
  • 25
    • 79952564421 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The extinction of dengue through natural vulnerability of its vectors
    • Williams CR, et al. The extinction of dengue through natural vulnerability of its vectors. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2010; 4: e922.
    • (2010) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases , vol.4 , pp. e922
    • Williams, C.R.1
  • 26
    • 80051510985 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Successful establishment of Wolbachia in Aedes populations to suppress dengue transmission
    • Hoffmann AA, et al. Successful establishment of Wolbachia in Aedes populations to suppress dengue transmission. Nature 2011; 476: 454-457.
    • (2011) Nature , vol.476 , pp. 454-457
    • Hoffmann, A.A.1
  • 27
    • 33644847197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and human health: Present and future risks
    • McMichael AJ, Woodruff RE, Hales S. Climate change and human health: present and future risks. Lancet 2006; 367: 859-869.
    • (2006) Lancet , vol.367 , pp. 859-869
    • McMichael, A.J.1    Woodruff, R.E.2    Hales, S.3
  • 28
    • 84929285923 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real-time symptomatic case of transfusion-transmitted dengue
    • Levi JE, et al. Real-time symptomatic case of transfusion-transmitted dengue. Transfusion 2015; 55: 961-964.
    • (2015) Transfusion , vol.55 , pp. 961-964
    • Levi, J.E.1
  • 29
    • 84876781847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implications of dengue outbreaks for blood supply, Australia
    • Faddy HM, et al. Implications of dengue outbreaks for blood supply, Australia. Emerging Infectious Diseases 2013; 19: 787.
    • (2013) Emerging Infectious Diseases , vol.19 , pp. 787
    • Faddy, H.M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.