Rapid estimation of aedes aegypti population size using simulation modeling, with a novel approach to calibration and field validation

Journal of Medical Entomology

Volumn 45, Issue 6, 2008, Pages 1173-1179

  Williams, Craig R ^a   Johnson, Petrina H ^b   Long, Sharron A ^c   Rapley, Luke P ^b   Ritchie, Scott A ^b,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

^b JAMES COOK UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^c QUEENSLAND HEALTH   (Australia)

Author keywords

Aedes aegypti; CIMSiM; Modeling; Population; Pupal crop; Simulation

Indexed keywords

AEDES; ANIMAL; ARTICLE; AUSTRALIA; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CALIBRATION; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DISEASE CARRIER; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; INSECT; POPULATION DENSITY; VALIDATION STUDY; WATER FLOW;

AEDES; ANIMALS; CALIBRATION; COMPUTER SIMULATION; INSECT VECTORS; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; POPULATION DENSITY; PUPA; QUEENSLAND; WATER MOVEMENTS;

AEDES AEGYPTI; BACTERIA (MICROORGANISMS);

EID: 56749130966     PISSN: 00222585     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1603/0022-2585(2008)45[1173:REOAAP]2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (16)

1. Chadee, D. D., N. K. Connell, A. Le Maitre, and S. B. Ferreira. 1984. Surveillance for Aedes aegypti in Tobago, West Indies (1980-82). Mosq. News 44: 490-492.
2. Clark, G. G., H. Seda, and D. J. Gubler. 1994. Use of the "CDC Backpack Aspirator" for surveillance of Aedes aegypti in San Juan, Puerto Rico. J. Am. Mosq. Control Assoc. 10: 119-124.
3. Farrar, J., D. Focks, D. Gubler, R. Barrera, M. G. Guzman, C. Simmons, S. Kalayanarooj, L. Lum, P. J. McCall, L. Lloyd, et al. 2007. Towards a global dengue research agenda. Trop. Med. Int. Health 12: 695-699.
4. Focks, D. A. 2003. A review of entomological sampling methods and indicators for dengue vectors. TDR, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
5. Focks, D. A., D. G. Haile, E. Daniels, and G. A. Mount. 1993a. Dynamic life table model for Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae): analysis of the literature and model development. J. Med. Entomol. 30: 1003-1017.
6. Focks, D. A., D. G., Haile, E. Daniels, and G. A. Mount. 1993b. Dynamic life table model for Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae): simulation results and validation. J. Med. Entomol. 30: 1018-1028.
7. Hanna, J. N., S. A. Ritchie, A. R. Richards, C. T. Taylor, A. T. Pyke, B. L. Montgomery, J. P. Piispanen, A. K. Morgan, and J. L. Humphreys. 2006. Multiple outbreaks of dengue serotype 2 in north Queensland, 2003/04. Aust. NZ J. Public Health 30: 220-225.
8. Harrington, L. C., J. P. Buonaccorsi, J. D. Edman, A. Costero, P. Kittayapong, G.G. Clark, and T.W. Scott. 2001. Analysis of survival of young and old Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) from Puerto Rico and Thailand. J. Med. Entomol. 38: 537-547.
9. James, A. A. 2005. Gene drive systems in mosquitoes: rules of the road. Trends Parasitol. 21: 64-67.
10. Maguire, M., C. Skelly, P. Weinstein, and J. Moloney. 1999. Simulation modelling of Aedes aegypti prevalence, an environmental hazard surveillance tool for the control of dengue epidemics. Int. J. Environ. Health Res. 9:253-259.
11. Nam, V. S., N. T. Yen, B. H. Kay, G. G. Marten, and J. W. Reid. 1998. Eradication of Aedes aegypti from a village in Vietnam, using copepods and community participation. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 59: 657-660.
12. Ritchie, S. A., J. Hanna, S. Hills, J. Piispanen, W. McBride, A. Pyke, and R. Spark. 2002. Dengue control in north Queensland, Australia: case recognition and selective indoor residual spraying. World Health Organization Dengue Bull. 26: 7-13.
13. Ritchie, S. A., P. Moore, M. Carruthers, C. Williams, B. Montgomery, P. Foley, S. Ahboo, A. F. van den Hurk, M. D. Lindsay, R. Cooper, N. Beebe, and R. C. Russell. 2006. Discovery of a widespread infestation of Aedes albopictus in the Torres Strait, Australia. J. Am. Mosq. Control Assoc. 22: 358-365.
14. Sinkins, S. P. 2004. Wolbachia and cytoplasmic incompatibility in mosquitoes. Insect Biochem. Mol. Biol. 234: 723-729.
15. Tun-Lin, W., B.H. Kay, and A. Barnes. 1995. Understanding productivity, a key to Aedes aegypti surveillance. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 53: 595-601.
16. 2-baited EVS traps for collection of adult Aedes aegypti in Cairns, Queensland, Australia. J. Am. Mosq. Control Assoc. 22: 296-300.