The future value of ecosystem services: Global scenarios and national implications

Ecosystem Services

Volumn 26, Issue , 2017, Pages 289-301

  Kubiszewski, Ida ^a   Costanza, Robert ^a   Anderson, Sharolyn ^b   Sutton, Paul ^c  

^a AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^b National Parks Service   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF DENVER   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 85020064246     PISSN: 22120416     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.05.004     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. Adams, W.M., Aveling, R., Brockington, D., Dickson, B., Elliott, J., Hutton, J., Roe, D., Vira, B., Wolmer, W., Biodiversity conservation and the eradication of poverty. Science 306:5699 (2004), 1146–1149.
2. Alexander, P., Prestele, R., Verburg, P.H., Arneth, A., Baranzelli, C., Batista e Silva, F., Brown, C., Butler, A., Calvin, K., Dendoncker, N., Doelman, J.C., Dunford, R., Engström, K., Eitelberg, D., Fujimori, S., Harrison, P.A., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Holzhauer, S., Humpenöder, F., Jacobs-Crisioni, C., Jain, A.K., Krisztin, T., Kyle, P., Lavalle, C., Lenton, T., Liu, J., Meiyappan, P., Popp, A., Powell, T., Sands, R.D., Schaldach, R., Stehfest, E., Steinbuks, J., Tabeau, A., van Meijl, H., Wise, M.A., Rounsevell, M.D.A., Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections. Global Change Biol. 23:2 (2017), 767–781.
3. Anderson, S., Giordano, A., Costanza, R., Kubiszewski, I., Sutton, P., Maes, J., Neale, A., National ecosystem service mapping approaches. Burkhard, B., Maes, J., (eds.) Ecosystem Services Mapping, 2017, Pensoft Publishers, Bulgaria.
4. Balvanera, P., Uriarte, M., Almeida-Leñero, L., Altesor, A., DeClerck, F., Gardner, T., Hall, J., Lara, A., Laterra, P., Peña-Claros, M., Silva Matos, D.M., Vogl, A.L., Romero-Duque, L.P., Arreola, L.F., Caro-Borrero, Á.P., Gallego, F., Jain, M., Little, C., de Oliveira Xavier, R., Paruelo, J.M., Peinado, J.E., Poorter, L., Ascarrunz, N., Correa, F., Cunha-Santino, M.B., Hernández-Sánchez, A.P., Vallejos, M., Ecosystem services research in Latin America: the state of the art. Ecosyst. Serv. 2 (2012), 56–70.
5. Bateman, I.J., Harwood, A.R., Mace, G.M., Watson, R.T., Abson, D.J., Andrews, B., Binner, A., Crowe, A., Day, B.H., Dugdale, S., Fezzi, C., Foden, J., Hadley, D., Haines-Young, R., Hulme, M., Kontoleon, A., Lovett, A.A., Munday, P., Pascual, U., Paterson, J., Perino, G., Sen, A., Siriwardena, G., van Soest, D., Termansen, M., Bringing ecosystem services into economic decision-making: land use in the United Kingdom. Science 341:6141 (2013), 45–50.
6. Baveye, P.C., Baveye, J., Gowdy, J., Monetary valuation of ecosystem services: it matters to get the timeline right. Ecol. Econ. 95 (2013), 231–235.
7. Beddoe, R., Costanza, R., Farley, J., Garza, E., Kent, J., Kubiszewski, I., Martinez, L., McCowen, T., Murphy, K., Myers, N., Ogden, Z., Stapleton, K., Woodward, J., Overcoming systemic roadblocks to sustainability: the evolutionary redesign of worldviews, institutions, and technologies. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 106:8 (2009), 2483–2489.
8. Boumans, R., Costanza, R., Farley, J., Wilson, M.A., Portela, R., Rotmans, J., Villa, F., Grasso, M., Modeling the dynamics of the integrated earth system and the value of global ecosystem services using the GUMBO model. Ecol. Econ. 41:3 (2002), 529–560.
9. Boumans, R., Roman, J., Altman, I., Kaufman, L., The Multiscale Integrated Model of Ecosystem Services (MIMES): simulating the interactions of coupled human and natural systems. Ecosyst. Serv. 12 (2015), 30–41.
10. Braat, L., de Groot, R., The ecosystem services agenda: bridging the worlds of natural science and economics, conservation and development, and public and private policy. Ecosyst. Serv. 1 (2012), 4–15.
11. Costanza, R., Social goals and the valuation of ecosystem services. Ecosystems 3:1 (2000), 4–10.
12. Costanza, R., Nature: ecosystems without commodifying them. Nature, 443, 2006, 749.
13. Costanza, R., Kubiszewski, I., The authorship structure of “ecosystem services” as a transdisciplinary field of scholarship. Ecosyst. Serv. 1:1 (2012), 16–25.
14. Costanza, R., dArge, R., de Groot, R., Farber, S., Grasso, M., Hannon, B., Limburg, K., Naeem, S., Oneill, R.V., Paruelo, J., Raskin, R.G., Sutton, P., van den Belt, M., The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital. Nature 387:6630 (1997), 253–260.
15. Costanza, R., de Groot, R., Sutton, P.C., van der Ploeg, S., Anderson, S., Kubiszewski, I., Farber, S., Turner, R.K., Changes in the global value of ecosystem services. Global Environ. Change 26 (2014), 152–158.
16. Costanza, R., Kubiszewski, I., Cork, S., Atkins, P.W.B., Bean, A., Diamond, A., Grigg, N., Korb, E., Logg-Scarvell, J., Navis, R., Patrick, K., Scenarios for Australia in 2050: a synthesis and proposed survey. J. Future Stud. 19:3 (2015), 49–76.
17. Costanza, R., Daly, L., Fioramonti, L., Giovannini, E., Kubiszewski, I., Mortensen, L.F., Pickett, K.E., Ragnarsdottir, K.V., De Vogli, R., Wilkinson, R., Modelling and measuring sustainable wellbeing in connection with the UN sustainable development goals. Ecol. Econ. 130 (2016), 350–355.
18. Daly, H.E., The return of Lauderdale's paradox. Ecol. Econ. 25 (1998), 21–23.
19. de Groot, R., Brander, L., van der Ploeg, S., Costanza, R., Bernard, F., Braat, L., Christie, M., Crossman, N., Ghermandi, A., Hein, L., Hussain, S., Kumar, P., McVittie, A., Portela, R., Rodriguez, L.C., ten Brink, P., van Beukering, P., Global estimates of the value of ecosystems and their services in monetary units. Ecosyst. Serv. 1:1 (2012), 50–61.
20. Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), Foresight Futures 2020: Revised Scenarios and Guidance. 2003, Department of Trade and Industry, London.
21. Donovan, S., Goldfuss, C., Holdren, J., 2015. Incorporating Ecosystem Services into Federal Decision Making. M-16-01. Executive Office of the President of the United States. Washington, DC.
22. Egoh, B.N., O'Farrell, P.J., Charef, A., Josephine Gurney, L., Koellner, T., Nibam Abi, H., Egoh, M., Willemen, L., An African account of ecosystem service provision: use, threats and policy options for sustainable livelihoods. Ecosyst. Serv. 2 (2012), 71–81.
23. Farber, S.C., Costanza, R., Wilson, M.A., Economic and ecological concepts for valuing ecosystem services. Ecol. Econ. 41:3 (2002), 375–392.
24. Gallopín, G., Hammond, A., Raskin, P., Swart, R., Branch points: Global scenarios and human choice. 1997, Stockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
25. Gascoigne, W.R., Hoag, D., Koontz, L., Tangen, B.A., Shaffer, T.L., Gleason, R.A., Valuing ecosystem and economic services across land-use scenarios in the Prairie Pothole Region of the Dakotas, USA. Ecol. Econ. 70:10 (2011), 1715–1725.
26. Hunt, D.V.L., Lombardi, D.R., Atkinson, S., Barber, A.R.G., Barnes, M., Boyko, C.T., Brown, J., Bryson, J., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R.F.D., Farmani, R., Gaterell, M., Hale, J., Hales, C., Hewitt, C.N., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., Scenario archetypes: converging rather than diverging themes. Sustainability 4:4 (2012), 740–772.
27. IPBES, 2016. The methodological assessment report on scenarios and models of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Bonn, Germany, Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, Bonn, Germany. 348 pages.
28. Jacobs, S., Dendoncker, N., Martín-López, B., Barton, D.N., Gomez-Baggethun, E., Boeraeve, F., McGrath, F.L., Vierikko, K., Geneletti, D., Sevecke, Katharina J., Pipart, N., Primmer, E., Mederly, P., Schmidt, S., Aragão, A., Baral, H., Bark, Rosalind H., Briceno, T., Brogna, D., Cabral, P., De Vreese, R., Liquete, C., Mueller, H., Peh, K.S.H., Phelan, A., Rincón, Alexander R., Rogers, S.H., Turkelboom, F., Van Reeth, W., van Zanten, B.T., Wam, H.K., Washbourne, C.-L., A new valuation school: integrating diverse values of nature in resource and land use decisions. Ecosyst. Serv. 22 (2016), 213–220 Part B.
29. Kubiszewski, I., Farley, J., Costanza, R., The production and allocation of information as a good that is enhanced with increased use. Ecol. Econ. 69 (2010), 1344–1354.
30. Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., Dorji, P., Thoennes, P., Tshering, K., An initial estimate of the value of ecosystem services in Bhutan. Ecosyst. Serv. 3 (2013), e11–e21.
31. Lenton, T.M., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J.W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., Schellnhuber, H.J., Tipping elements in the earth's climate system. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 105(6), 2008, 1786.
32. Maes, J., Egoh, B., Willemen, L., Liquete, C., Vihervaara, P., Schägner, J.P., Grizzetti, B., Drakou, E.G., Notte, A.L., Zulian, G., Bouraoui, F., Luisa Paracchini, M., Braat, L., Bidoglio, G., Mapping ecosystem services for policy support and decision making in the European Union. Ecosyst. Serv. 1:1 (2012), 31–39.
33. McCauley, D.J., Selling out on nature. Nature 443 (2006), 27–28.
34. McGrail, S., Environmentalism in transition? emerging perspectives, issues and futures practices in contemporary environmentalism. J. Futures Stud. 15:3 (2011), 117–144.
35. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA), Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Synthesis. 2005, Island Press.
36. Mitsch, W.J., Day, J.W. Jr., Restoration of wetlands in the Mississippi–Ohio–Missouri (MOM) river basin: experience and needed research. Ecol. Eng. 26:1 (2006), 55–69.
37. Molnar, J.L., Kubiszewski, I., Managing natural wealth: research and implementation of ecosystem services in the United States and Canada. Ecosyst. Serv. 2 (2012), 45–55.
38. O'Brien, P., Scenario Planning: A Strategic Tool. 2000, Bureau of Rural Sciences, Canberra.
39. O'Neill, B.C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K.L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D.S., van Ruijven, B.J., van Vuuren, D.P., Birkmann, J., Kok, K., Levy, M., Solecki, W., The roads ahead: narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environ. Change 42 (2017), 169–180.
40. Pascual, U., Balvanera, P., Díaz, S., Pataki, G., Roth, E., Stenseke, M., Watson, R.T., Başak Dessane, E., Islar, M., Kelemen, E., Maris, V., Quaas, M., Subramanian, S.M., Wittmer, H., Adlan, A., Ahn, S., Al-Hafedh, Y.S., Amankwah, E., Asah, S.T., Berry, P., Bilgin, A., Breslow, S.J., Bullock, C., Cáceres, D., Daly-Hassen, H., Figueroa, E., Golden, C.D., Gómez-Baggethun, E., González-Jiménez, D., Houdet, J., Keune, H., Kumar, R., Ma, K., May, P.H., Mead, A., O'Farrell, P., Pandit, R., Pengue, W., Pichis-Madruga, R., Popa, F., Preston, S., Pacheco-Balanza, D., Saarikoski, H., Strassburg, B.B., van den Belt, M., Verma, M., Wickson, F., Yagi, N., Valuing nature's contributions to people: the IPBES approach. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustainability 26–27 (2017), 7–16.
41. Peterson, G., Cumming, G., Carpenter, S., Scenario planning: a tool for conservation in an uncertain world. Conserv. Biol. 17:2 (2003), 358–366.
42. Pittock, J., Cork, S., Maynard, S., The state of the application of ecosystems services in Australia. Ecosyst. Serv. 1:1 (2012), 111–120.
43. Popp, A., Calvin, K., Fujimori, S., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Stehfest, E., Bodirsky, B.L., Dietrich, J.P., Doelmann, J.C., Gusti, M., Hasegawa, T., Kyle, P., Obersteiner, M., Tabeau, A., Takahashi, K., Valin, H., Waldhoff, S., Weindl, I., Wise, M., Kriegler, E., Lotze-Campen, H., Fricko, O., Riahi, K., Vuuren, D.P.v., Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environ. Change 42 (2017), 331–345.
44. Raskin, P., Banuri, T., Gallopin, G., Gutman, P., Hammond, A., Kates, R., Swart, R., Great transition: the promise of lure of the times ahead. 2002, Stockholm Environment Institute, Boston.
45. Rees, W.E., Ecological footprints and biocapacity: essential elements in sustainability assessment. Dewulf, J., Van Langenhove, H., (eds.) Renewables-Based Technology, 2006, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK, 143–157.
46. Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D.P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O'Neill, B.C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., Lutz, W., Popp, A., Cuaresma, J.C., Kc, S., Leimbach, M., Jiang, L., Kram, T., Rao, S., Emmerling, J., Ebi, K., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Da Silva, L.A., Smith, S., Stehfest, E., Bosetti, V., Eom, J., Gernaat, D., Masui, T., Rogelj, J., Strefler, J., Drouet, L., Krey, V., Luderer, G., Harmsen, M., Takahashi, K., Baumstark, L., Doelman, J.C., Kainuma, M., Klimont, Z., Marangoni, G., Lotze-Campen, H., Obersteiner, M., Tabeau, A., Tavoni, M., The shared socioeconomic pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: an overview. Global Environ. Change 42 (2017), 153–168.
47. Schmidt, S., Manceur, A.M., Seppelt, R., Uncertainty of monetary valued ecosystem services – value transfer functions for global mapping. PLoS One 11:3 (2016), 1–22.
48. Sukhdev, P., Kumar, P., The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB). 2010, European Communities Brussels http://www.TEEBweb.org.
49. Sutton, P.C., Anderson, S.J., Costanza, R., Kubiszewski, I., The ecological economics of land degradation: impacts on ecosystem service values. Ecol. Econ. 129 (2016), 182–192.
50. Turner, K.G., Anderson, S., Gonzales-Chang, M., Costanza, R., Courville, S., Dalgaard, T., Dominati, E., Kubiszewski, I., Ogilvy, S., Porfirio, L., Ratna, N., Sandhu, H., Sutton, P.C., Svenning, J.-C., Turner, G.M., Varennes, Y.-D., Voinov, A., Wratten, S., A review of methods, data, and models to assess changes in the value of ecosystem services from land degradation and restoration. Ecol. Model. 319 (2016), 190–207.
51. United Nations, 2015. Transforming our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Outcome document for the UN Summit to Adopt the Post-2015 Development Agenda, New York.
52. van der Ploeg, S., De Groot, R.S., Wang, Y., The TEEB Valuation Database: overview of structure, data, and results. 2010, Foundation for Sustainable Development, Wageningen, Netherlands http://www.fsd.nl/esp/77979/5/0/30.
53. van Vuuren, D.P., Kok, M.T.J., Girod, B., Lucas, P.L., de Vries, B., Scenarios in global environmental assessments: key characteristics and lessons for future use. Global Environ. Change 22:4 (2012), 884–895.
54. Wackernagel, M., Rees, W.E., Our ecological footprint: reducing human impact on the earth. 1996, New Society Publishers, Gabriola Island.
55. Westman, W.E., How much are nature's services worth?. Science 197:4307 (1977), 960–964.