Weather whiplash in agricultural regions drives deterioration of water quality

Biogeochemistry

Volumn 133, Issue 1, 2017, Pages 7-15

  Loecke, Terrance D ^a   Burgin, Amy J ^a   Riveros Iregui, Diego A ^b   Ward, Adam S ^c   Thomas, Steven A ^d   Davis, Caroline A ^e   Clair, Martin A St ^f  

^a UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS   (United States)

^b University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill   (United States)

^c INDIANA UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA LINCOLN   (United States)

^e UNIVERSITY OF IOWA   (United States)

^f Department of Business Administration and Economics   (United States)

Author keywords

Agriculture; Climate variability; Nitrate; Water quality

Indexed keywords

EID: 85014784570     PISSN: 01682563     EISSN: 1573515X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10533-017-0315-z     Document Type: Letter

References (46)

1. ACIS (2016) Applied Climate Information System. http://www.rcc-acis.org/docs_webservices.html. Accessed 20 May 2016
2. Alexander RB, Smith R, Schwarz GE et al (2008) Differences in phosphorus and nitrogen delivery to the Gulf of Mexico from the Mississippi River Basin. Environ Sci Technol 42:822–830
3. Al-Kaisi MM, Elmore RW, Guzman JG et al (2013) Drought impact on crop production and the soil environment: 2012 experiences from Iowa. J Soil Water Conserv 68:19A–24A. doi:10.2489/jswc.68.1.19A
4. Balkcom KS, Blackmer AM, Hansen DJ et al (2003) Testing soils and cornstalks to evaluate nitrogen management on the watershed scale. J Environ Qual 32:1015–1024
5. Baron JS, Hall EK, Nolan BT et al (2012) The interactive effects of excess reactive nitrogen and climate change on aquatic ecosystems and water resources of the United States. Biogeochemistry 114:71–92. doi:10.1007/s10533-012-9788-y
6. Bates D, Maechler M, Bolker B, Walker S (2015) Fitting linear mixed-effects models using lme4. J Stat Softw 67:1–48. doi:10.18637/jss.v067.i01
7. Bernot MJ, Dodds WK (2005) Nitrogen retention, removal, and saturation in lotic ecosystems. Ecosystems 8:442–453
8. Bivand R, Pebesma E, Gomez-Rubio V (2013) Applied spatial data analysis with R, 2nd edn. Springer, New York
9. Broussard W, Turner RE (2009) A century of changing land-use and water-quality relationships in the continental US. Front Ecol Environ 7:302–307. doi:10.1890/080085
10. Broxton PD, Zeng X, Sulla-Menashe D, Troch PA (2014) A global land cover climatology using MODIS data. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 53:1593–1605. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-13-0270.1
11. CMDS (2016) Climate model data services. https://cds.nccs.nasa.gov/nex/. Accessed 20 May 2016
12. Dai A (2012) Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nat Clim Chang 3:52–58. doi:10.1038/nclimate1633
13. David MB, Gentry LE, Kovacic DA, Smith KM (1997) Nitrogen balance in and export from an agricultural watershed. J Environ Qual 26:1038–1048
14. David MB, Drinkwater LE, McIsaac GF (2010) Sources of nitrate Yields in the Mississippi River Basin. J Environ Qual 39:1657. doi:10.2134/jeq2010.0115
15. Des Moines Water Works (2015) Clean Water Act Litigation FAQ. http://www.dmww.com/about-us/announcements/clean-water-act-litigation-faq.aspx. Accessed 20 Sep 2016
16. Des Moines Water Works (2016a) DES MOINES WATER WORKS’ 2015 DENITRIFICATION RECORD. http://www.dmww.com/about-us/news-releases/des-moines-water-works-2015-denitrification-record.aspx. Accessed 20 Sep 2016
17. Des Moines Water Works (2016b) DES MOINES WATER WORKS’ 2015 DENITRIFICATION RECORD
18. Diaz RJ, Rosenberg R (2008) Spreading dead zones and consequences for marine ecosystems. Science 321:926–929. doi:10.1126/science.1156401
19. Donner SD, Kucharik CJ (2008) Corn-based ethanol production compromises goal of reducing nitrogen export by the Mississippi River. Science 105:2–7
20. Donner SD, Scavia D (2007) How climate controls the flux of nitrogen by the Mississippi River and the development of hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico. Limnol Oceanogr 52:856–861. doi:10.4319/lo.2007.52.2.0856
21. Donner SD, Coe MT, Lenters JD et al (2002) Modeling the impact of hydrological changes on nitrate transport in the Mississippi River Basin from 1955 to 1994. Global Biogeochem Cycles 16:16–19. doi:10.1029/2001GB001396
22. Fernandez F (2009) Have I lost my nitrogen this spring? In: Univ. Illinois Bull. Pest Manag. Crop Dev. http://bulletin.ipm.illinois.edu/article.php?id=1116
23. Hatfield JL, Cruse RM, Tomer MD (2013) Convergence of agricultural intensification and climate change in the Midwestern United States: implications for soil and water conservation. Mar Freshw Res 64:423–435. doi:10.1071/MF12164
24. Helsel DR (2006) Fabricating data: how substituting values for nondetects can ruin results, and what can be done about it. Chemosphere 65:2434–2439. doi:10.1016/j.chemosphere.2006.04.051
25. Hoffman MD, Gelman A (2014) The No-{U}-turn sampler: adaptively setting path lengths in {H}amiltonian {M}onte {C}arlo. J Mach Learn Res 15:1593–1623
26. Howarth R, Swaney D, Billen G et al (2012) Nitrogen fluxes from the landscape are controlled by net anthropogenic nitrogen inputs and by climate. Front Ecol Environ 10:37–43. doi:10.1890/100178
27. Kaushal SS, Groffman PM, Band LE et al (2008) Interaction between urbanization and climate variability amplifies watershed nitrate export in Maryland. Environ Sci Technol 42:5872–5878
28. Kaushal SS, Mayer PM, Vidon PG et al (2014) Land use and climate variability amplify carbon, nutrient, and contaminant pulses: a review with management implications. JAWRA 50:585–614. doi:10.1111/jawr.12204
29. Kunkel KE, Andsager K, Easterling DR (1999) Long-term trends in extreme precipitation events over the conterminous United States and Canada. J Clim 12:2515–2527
30. McIsaac GF, David MB, Gertner GZ, Goolsby D (2001) Nitrate flux in the Mississippi River. Nature 414:166–167. doi:10.1038/35102672
31. Moatar F, Meybeck M (2005) Compared performances of different algorithms for estimating annual nutrient loads discharged by the eutrophic River Loire. Hydrol Process 19:429–444. doi:10.1002/hyp.5541
32. Murphy J, Hirsch RM, Sprague LA (2013) Nitrate in the Mississippi River and its tributaries, 1980–2010: an update. USGS Scientific Investigations Report 2013-5169
33. Nakagawa S, Schielzeth H (2013) A general and simple method for obtaining R2 from generalized linear mixed-effects models. Methods Ecol Evol 4:133–142. doi:10.1111/j.2041-210x.2012.00261.x
34. NCCS THREDDS (2016) NCCS THREDDS. http://www2.usgs.gov/climate_landuse/clu_rd/nccv/viewer.asp. Accessed 20 May 2016
35. NWIS (2016a) United States Geological Survey National Water Information System. http://nwis.waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/qwdata?huc2_cd=07&group_key=NONE&sitefile_output_format=html_table&column_name=agency_cd&column_name=site_no&column_name=station_nm&inventory_output=0&rdb_inventory_output=file&TZoutput=0&pm_cd_compare=Greater than&radi. Accessed 20 May 2016
36. NWIS U (2016b) USGS National Water Information System. http://waterdata.usgs.gov/usa/nwis/nwis. Accessed 20 May 2016
37. Paulsen S, Stoddard J, Holdsworth S et al (2006) Wadeable streams assessment: a collaborative study of the nation’s streams. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2014-10/documents/2007_5_16_streamsurvey_wsa_assessment_may2007.pdf. Accessed 5 Mar 2017
38. Peterson TC, Hoerling MP, Stott PA, Herring S (2013) Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective. Am Meteorol Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1
39. Royer TV, David MB, Gentry LE (2006) Timing of riverine export of nitrate and phosphorus from agricultural watersheds in Illinois: implications for reducing nutrient loading to the Mississippi River. Environ Sci Technol 40:4126–4131
40. Secchi S, Tyndall J, Schulte LA, Asbjornsen H (2008) High crop prices and conservation: raising the stakes. J Soil Water Conserv 63:68A–73A
41. Sobota DJ, Compton JE, Harrison JA (2013) Reactive nitrogen inputs to US lands and waterways: how certain are we about sources and fluxes? Front Ecol Environ 11:82–90
42. Sprague L, Hirsch RM, Aulenbach BT (2011) Nitrate in the Mississippi River and its tributaries, 1980 to 2008: are we making progress? Environ Sci Technol 45:7209–7216. doi:10.1021/es201221s
43. Taylor KE, Stouffer RJ, Meehl GA (2012) An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 93:485–498. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1
44. U.S.C. (1986) 42 U.S.C. § 300f. USA
45. US EPA Watershed Assessment, Tracking & Environmental Results Systems. http://water.epa.gov/scitech/datait/tools/waters/
46. Verhoeven JT, Arheimer B, Yin C, Hefting MM (2006) Regional and global concerns over wetlands and water quality. Trends Ecol Evol 21:96–103. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.015