A reduced-form approach for representing the impacts of wind and solar PV deployment on the structure and operation of the electricity system

Energy Economics

Volumn 64, Issue , 2017, Pages 651-664

  Johnson, Nils ^a   Strubegger, Manfred ^a   McPherson, Madeleine ^b   Parkinson, Simon C ^a,c   Krey, Volker ^a   Sullivan, Patrick ^d  

^a INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS   (Austria)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO   (Canada)

^c UNIVERSITY OF VICTORIA   (Canada)

^d NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

Integrated assessment modeling; Integration of renewables; Renewable energy; Residual load duration curves

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELS; COAL STORAGE; ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; ECONOMICS; ELECTRIC ENERGY STORAGE; ENERGY POLICY; HYDROGEN STORAGE; RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES;

ELECTRICITY SUPPLY AND DEMANDS; GLOBAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENTS; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELS; INTEGRATION OF RENEWABLES; RENEWABLE ENERGIES; RENEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES; RESIDUAL LOAD; VARIABLE RENEWABLE ENERGIES;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY; ELECTRICITY SUPPLY; INTEGRATED APPROACH; MODELING; PHOTOVOLTAIC SYSTEM; SOLAR POWER; WIND POWER;

EID: 85009776786     PISSN: 01409883     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.07.010     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Denholm, P., Hand, M., Grid flexibility and storage required to achieve very high penetration of variable renewable electricity. Energy Policy 39 (2011), 1817–1830.
2. Ehteshami, S.M.M., Chan, S.H., The role of hydrogen and fuel cells to store renewable energy in the future energy network — potentials and challenges. Energy Policy 73 (2014), 103–109.
3. Eurek, K., Sullivan, P., Gleason, M., Hettinger, D., Heimiller, D.M., Lopez, A., An improved global wind resource estimate for integrated assessment models. Energy Econ. 64 (2017), 552–567 (in this issue).
4. Heinen, S., Elzinga, D., Kim, S.-K., Ikeda, Y., Impact of smart grid technologies on peak load to 2050. International Energy Agency Working Paper, Paris, 2011.
5. Hirth, L., Ueckerdt, F., Edenhofer, O., Integration costs revisited — an economic framework for wind and solar variability. Renew. Energy 74 (2015), 925–939.
6. Holttinen, H., Meibom, P., Orths, A., van Hulle, F., Lange, B., O'Malley, M., Pierik, J., Ummels, B., Tande, J.O., Estanqueiro, A., Matos, M., Ricardo, J., Gomez, E., Soder, L., Strbac, G., Shakoor, A., Smith, J.C., Milligan, M., Ela, E., Design and operation of power systems with large amounts of wind power. Final report, IEA WIND Task 25, Phase one 2006–2008. VTT Tiedotteita — Research Notes 2493, 2009.
7. Keane, A., Milligan, M., Dent, C.J., Hasche, B., D'Annunzio, C., Dragoon, K., Holttinen, H., Samaan, N., Soder, L., O'Malley, M., Capacity value of wind power. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 26 (2011), 564–572.
8. Krey, V., Global energy-climate scenarios and models: a review. Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Energy Environ. 3 (2014), 363–383.
9. Krey, V., Clarke, L., Role of renewable energy in climate mitigation: a synthesis of recent scenarios. Clim. Pol. 11 (2011), 1–28.
10. Kumar, N., Besuner, P., Lefton, S., Agan, D., Hilleman, D., Power plant cycling costs. Subcontract Report, NREL/SR-5500-55433, 2012.
11. Lew, D., Brinkman, G., Ibanez, E., Florita, A., Heaney, M., Hodge, B.-M., Hummon, M., Stark, G., The western wind and solar integration study phase 2. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Technical Report, NREL/TP-5500-55588, 2013.
12. Luderer, G., Krey, V., Calvin, K., Merrick, J., Mima, S., Pietzcker, R., Van Vliet, J., Wada, K., The role of renewable energy in climate stabilization: results from the EMF27 scenarios. Clim. Chang. 123 (2014), 427–441.
13. Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R.C., Carrara, S., Sytze de Boer, H., Fujimori, S., Johnson, N., Mima, S., Arent, D., Renewable energy futures: an overview of results from the ADVANCE project. Energy Econ., 2016 (in this issue).
14. McCollum, D., Krey, V., Kolp, P., Nagai, Y., Riahi, K., Transport electrification: a key element for energy system transformation and climate stabilization. Clim. Chang. 123 (2014), 651–664.
15. Messner, S., Schrattenholzer, L., MESSAGE-MACRO: linking an energy supply model with a macroeconomic module and solving it iteratively. Energy 25 (2000), 267–282.
16. Messner, S., Strubegger, M., User's guide for MESSAGE III, Working Paper WP-95-069. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria, 1995.
17. Milligan, M., Ela, E., Hodge, B.-M., Kirby, B., Lew, D., Clark, C., DeCesaro, J., Lynn, K., Integration of variable generation, cost-causation, and integration costs. Electr. J. 24 (2011), 51–63.
18. Milligan, M., Clark, K., King, J., Kirby, B., Guo, T., Liu, G., Examination of potential benefits of an energy imbalance market in the Western Interconnection. Technical Report, NREL/TP-5500-57115, 2013, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO.
19. Parsons, B., Milligan, M., Zavadil, B., Brooks, D., Kirby, B., Dragoon, K., Caldwell, J., Grid impacts of wind power: a summary of recent studies in the United States. Wind Energy 7 (2004), 87–108.
20. Perez, R., Taylor, M., Hoff, T., Ross, J.P., Reaching consensus in the definition of photovoltaics capacity credit in the USA: a practical application of satellite-derived solar resource data. IEEE J. Sel. Top. App. Earth Obs. Remote Sens. 1 (2008), 28–33.
21. Pietzcker, R.C., Stetter, D., Manger, S., Luderer, G., Using the sun to decarbonize the power sector: the economic potential of photovoltaics and concentrating solar power. Appl. Energy 135 (2014), 704–720.
22. Riahi, K., Grübler, A., Nakicenovic, N., Scenarios of long-term socio-economic and environmental development under climate stabilization. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 74 (2007), 887–935.
23. K. Riahi, F. Dentener, D. Gielen, A. Grübler, J. Jewell, Z. Klimont, V. Krey, D.L. McCollum, S. Pachauri, S. Rao, B. van Ruijven, D. van Vuuren, C. Wilson, Chapter 17 – energy pathways for sustainable development, in: Global Energy Assessment – toward a sustainable future, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 2012, pp. 1203–1306.
24. Schroder, A., Kunz, F., Meiss, J., Mendelevitch, R., von Hirschhausen, C., Current and prospective costs of electricity generation until 2050. Data Documentation 68, DIW Berlin, 2013.
25. Sioshansi, R., Denholm, P., The value of concentrating solar power and thermal energy storage. Technical Report, NREL-TP-6 A2–45833, 2010, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO.
26. Sullivan, P., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Impacts of considering electric sector variability and reliability in the MESSAGE model. Energy Strategy Rev. 1 (2013), 157–163.
27. Ueckerdt, F., Brecha, R., Luderer, G., Analyzing major challenges of wind and solar variability in power systems. Renew. Energy 81 (2015), 1–10.
28. Ueckerdt, F., Brecha, R., Luderer, G., Sullivan, P., Schmid, E., Bauer, N., Böttger, D., Pietzcker, R., Representing power sector variability and the integration of variable renewables in long-term energy-economy models using residual load duration curves. Energy 90:Part 2 (2015), 1799–1814.
29. Ueckerdt, F., Pietzcker, R., Luderer, G., Scholz, Y., Stetter, D., Giannousakis, A., Modelling region-specific challenges and options of integrating variable renewables in the global energy-economy-climate model REMIND. Energy Econ. 64 (2017), 665–684 (in this issue).