Last Interglacial climate and sea-level evolution from a coupled ice sheet-climate model

Climate of the Past

Volumn 12, Issue 12, 2016, Pages 2195-2213

  Goelzer, Heiko ^a,c   Huybrechts, Philippe ^a   Marie France, Loutre ^b   Fichefet, Thierry ^b  

^a VRIJE UNIVERSITEIT BRUSSEL   (Belgium)

^b UNIVERSITÉ CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN   (Belgium)

^c UTRECHT UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ALBEDO; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE VARIATION; ICE SHEET; ICE SHELF; LAST INTERGLACIAL; MASS BALANCE; MELTING; MELTWATER; NORTHERN HEMISPHERE; SEA ICE; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE; VISCOSITY; WARMING;

ARCTIC; GREENLAND; GREENLAND ICE SHEET;

EID: 85006357067     PISSN: 18149324     EISSN: 18149332     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/cp-12-2195-2016     Document Type: Article

References (72)

1. Bamber, J. L., Riva, R. E. M., Vermeersen, B. L. A., LeBrocq, A. M.: Reassessment of the Potential Sea-Level Rise from a Collapseof the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, Science, 324, 901-903, doi:10.1126/science.1169335, 2009.
2. Beckmann, A., Goosse, H.: A parameterization of ice shelfoceaninteraction for climate models, Ocean Modell., 5, 157-170, doi:10.1016/S1463-5003(02)00019-7, 2003.
3. Berger, A.: Long-term variations of daily insolation and Quaternaryclimatic changes, J. Atmos. Sci., 35, 2362-2367, 1978.
4. Bianchi, C., Gersonde, R.: The Southern Ocean surfacebetween Marine Isotope Stages 6 and 5d: Shape and timingof climate changes, Palaeogeogr. Palaeocl., 187, 151-177, doi:10.1016/S0031-0182(02)00516-3, 2002.
5. Born, A., Nisancioglu, K. H.: Melting of Northern Greenlandduring the last interglaciation, The Cryosphere, 6, 1239-1250, doi:10.5194/tc-6-1239-2012, 2012.
6. Brovkin, V., Ganopolski, A., Svirezhev, Y.: A continuousclimate-vegetation classification for use in climate-biospherestudies, Ecol. Model., 101, 251-261, doi:10.1016/S0304-3800(97)00049-5, 1997.
7. Calov, R., Robinson, A., Perrette, M., Ganopolski, A.: Simulatingthe Greenland ice sheet under present-day and palaeoconstraints including a new discharge parameterization, TheCryosphere, 9, 179-196, doi:10.5194/tc-9-179-2015, 2015.
8. Capron, E., Govin, A., Stone, E. J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Mulitza, S., Otto-Bliesner, B., Rasmussen, T. L., Sime, L. C., Waelbroeck, C., Wolff, E. W.: Temporal and spatial structureof multi-millennial temperature changes at high latitudes duringthe Last Interglacial, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 103, 116-133, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.08.018, 2014.
9. Clark, P., Marshall, S., Clarke, G., Hostetler, S., Licciardi, J., Teller, J.: Freshwater forcing of abrupt climatechange during the last glaciation, Science, 293, 283-287, doi:10.1126/science.1062517, 2001.
10. CLIMAP project members: Seasonal reconstruction of the earth'ssurface at the last glacial maximum, Geol. Soc. Am. Map ChartSer., MC-36, 1981.
11. Colville, E. J., Carlson, A. E., Beard, B. L., Hatfield, R. G., Stoner, J. S., Reyes, A. V., Ullman, D. J.: Sr-Nd-PbIsotope Evidence for Ice-Sheet Presence on Southern GreenlandDuring the Last Interglacial, Science, 333, 620-623, doi:10.1126/science.1204673, 2011.
12. Dansgaard, W., Clausen, H. B., Gundestrup, N., Hammer, C.U., Johnsen, S. F., Kristinsdottir, P. M., Reeh, N.: ANew Greenland Deep Ice Core, Science, 218, 1273-1277, doi:10.1126/science.218.4579.1273, 1982.
13. de Boer, B., van de Wal, R. S. W., Lourens, L. J., Bintanja, R., Reerink, T. J.: A continuous simulation of global ice volume overthe past 1 million years with 3-D ice-sheet models, Clim. Dynam., 41, 1365-1384, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1562-2, 2013.
14. de Boer, B., Stocchi, P., van de Wal, R. S. W.: A fully coupled3-D ice-sheet-sea-level model: algorithm and applications, Geosci. Model Dev., 7, 2141-2156, doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2141-2014, 2014.
15. de Boer, B., Dolan, A. M., Bernales, J., Gasson, E., Goelzer, H., Golledge, N. R., Sutter, J., Huybrechts, P., Lohmann, G., Rogozhina, I., Abe-Ouchi, A., Saito, F., van de Wal, R.S. W.: Simulating the Antarctic ice sheet in the late-Pliocenewarm period: PLISMIP-ANT, an ice-sheet model intercomparisonproject, The Cryosphere, 9, 881-903, doi:10.5194/tc-9-881-2015, 2015.
16. DeConto, R. M., Pollard, D.: Contribution of Antarcticato past and future sea-level rise, Nature, 531, 591-597, doi:10.1038/nature17145, 2016.
17. Depoorter, M. A., Bamber, J. L., Griggs, J. A., Lenaerts, J. T. M., Ligtenberg, S. R. M., van den Broeke, M. R., Moholdt, G.:Calving fluxes and basal melt rates of Antarctic ice shelves, Nature, 502, 89-92, doi:10.1038/nature12567, 2013.
18. Driesschaert, E., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H., Huybrechts, P., Janssens, I., Mouchet, A., Munhoven, G., Brovkin, V., Weber, S.: Modelingthe influence of Greenland ice sheet melting on the Atlanticmeridional overturning circulation during the next millennia, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, 10707, doi:10.1029/2007GL029516, 2007.
19. Duplessy, J. C., Roche, D. M., Kageyama, M.: The deepocean during the last interglacial period, Science, 316, 89-91, doi:10.1126/science.1138582, 2007.
20. Dutton, A., Carlson, A. E., Long, A. J., Milne, G. A., Clark, P. U., DeConto, R., Horton, B. P., Rahmstorf, S., Raymo, M. E.:Sea-level rise due to polar ice-sheet mass loss during past warmperiods, Science, 349, 1-9, doi:10.1126/science.aaa4019, 2015.
21. Dutton, A., Lambeck, K.: Ice Volume and Sea LevelDuring the Last Interglacial, Science, 337, 216-219, doi:10.1126/science.1205749, 2012.
22. EPICA community members: Eight glacial cycles from an Antarcticice core, Nature, 429, 623-628, doi:10.1038/Nature02599, 2004.
23. Fretwell, P., Pritchard, H. D., Vaughan, D. G., Bamber, J. L., Barrand, N. E., Bell, R., Bianchi, C., Bingham, R. G., Blankenship, D. D., Casassa, G., Catania, G., Callens, D., Conway, H., Cook, A. J., Corr, H. F. J., Damaske, D., Damm, V., Ferraccioli, F., Forsberg, R., Fujita, S., Gim, Y., Gogineni, P., Griggs, J. A., Hindmarsh, R. C. A., Holmlund, P., Holt, J. W., Jacobel, R. W., Jenkins, A., Jokat, W., Jordan, T., King, E. C., Kohler, J., Krabill, W., Riger-Kusk, M., Langley, K. A., Leitchenkov, G., Leuschen, C., Luyendyk, B. P., Matsuoka, K., Mouginot, J., Nitsche, F. O., Nogi, Y., Nost, O. A., Popov, S. V., Rignot, E., Rippin, D. M., Rivera, A., Roberts, J., Ross, N., Siegert, M. J., Smith, A. M., Steinhage, D., Studinger, M., Sun, B., Tinto, B. K., Welch, B.C., Wilson, D., Young, D. A., Xiangbin, C., Zirizzotti, A.:Bedmap2: improved ice bed, surface and thickness datasets forAntarctica, The Cryosphere, 7, 375-393, doi:10.5194/tc-7-375-2013, 2013.
24. Fürst, J. J., Goelzer, H., Huybrechts, P.: Effect of higher-orderstress gradients on the centennial mass evolution of the Greenlandice sheet, The Cryosphere, 7, 183-199, doi:10.5194/tc-7-183-2013, 2013.
25. Goelzer, H., Huybrechts, P., Loutre, M. F., Goosse, H., Fichefet, T., and Mouchet, A.: Impact of Greenland and Antarctic ice sheet interactionson climate sensitivity, Clim. Dynam., 37, 1005-1018, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0885-0, 2011.
26. Goelzer, H., Huybrechts, P., Raper, S. C. B., Loutre, M. F., Goosse, H., Fichefet, T.: Millennial total sea level commitments projectedwith the Earth system model of intermediate complexityLOVECLIM, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 045401, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/045401, 2012.
27. Goelzer, H., Huybrechts, P., Loutre, M.-F., Fichefet, T.: Impactof ice sheet meltwater fluxes on the climate evolution atthe onset of the Last Interglacial, Clim. Past, 12, 1721-1737, doi:10.5194/cp-12-1721-2016, 2016.
28. Golledge, N. R., Menviel, L., Carter, L., Fogwill, C. J., England, M. H., Cortese, G., Levy, R. H.: Antarctic contribution tomeltwater pulse 1A from reduced Southern Ocean overturning, Nat. Commun., 5, 5107, doi:10.1038/ncomms6107, 2014.
29. Goosse, H., Fichefet, T.: Importance of ice-ocean interactionsfor the global ocean circulation: A model study, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 23337-23355, doi:10.1029/1999JC900215, 1999.
30. Goosse, H., Brovkin, V., Fichefet, T., Haarsma, R., Huybrechts, P., Jongma, J., Mouchet, A., Selten, F., Barriat, P.-Y., Campin, J.-M., Deleersnijder, E., Driesschaert, E., Goelzer, H., Janssens, I., Loutre, M.-F., Morales Maqueda, M. A., Opsteegh, T., Mathieu, P.-P., Munhoven, G., Pettersson, E. J., Renssen, H., Roche, D. M., Schaeffer, M., Tartinville, B., Timmermann, A., Weber, S. L.:Description of the Earth system model of intermediate complexityLOVECLIM version 1.2, Geosci. Model Dev., 3, 603-633, doi:10.5194/gmd-3-603-2010, 2010.
31. Grant, K. M., Rohling, E. J., Bar-Matthews, M., Ayalon, A., Medina-Elizalde, M., Ramsey, C. B., Satow, C., Roberts, A. P.: Rapid coupling between ice volume and polar temperatureover the past 150 000 years, Nature, 491, 744-747, doi:10.1038/nature11593, 2012.
32. Helsen, M. M., van de Berg, W. J., van de Wal, R. S. W., van denBroeke, M. R., Oerlemans, J.: Coupled regional climate-icesheetsimulation shows limited Greenland ice loss during theEemian, Clim. Past, 9, 1773-1788, doi:10.5194/cp-9-1773-2013, 2013.
33. Holden, P. B., Edwards, N. R., Wolff, E.W., Lang, N. J., Singarayer, J. S., Valdes, P. J., Stocker, T. F.: Interhemispheric coupling, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet and warm Antarctic interglacials, Clim. Past, 6, 431-443, doi:10.5194/cp-6-431-2010, 2010.
34. Huybrechts, P.: Sea-level changes at the LGM from ice-dynamicreconstructions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets duringthe glacial cycles, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 21, 203-231, doi:10.1016/S0277-3791(01)00082-8, 2002.
35. Huybrechts, P., de Wolde, J.: The dynamic response of theGreenland and Antarctic ice sheets to multiple-century climaticwarming, J. Climate, 12, 2169-2188, 1999.
36. Huybrechts, P., Goelzer, H., Janssens, I., Driesschaert, E., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H., Loutre, M. F.: Response of the Greenland andAntarctic Ice Sheets to Multi-Millennial Greenhouse Warmingin the Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity LOVECLIM, Surv. Geophys., 32, 397-416, doi:10.1007/s10712-011-9131-5, 2011.
37. Janssens, I., Huybrechts, P.: The treatment of meltwater retentionin mass-balance parameterizations of the Greenland icesheet, Ann. Glaciol., 31, 133-140, 2000.
38. Kopp, R. E., Simons, F. J., Mitrovica, J. X., Maloof, A.C., Oppenheimer, M.: Probabilistic assessment of sealevel during the last interglacial stage, Nature, 462, 863-867, doi:10.1038/nature08686, 2009.
39. Kopp, R. E., Simons, F. J., Mitrovica, J. X., Maloof, A. C., Oppenheimer, M.: A probabilistic assessment of sea level variationswithin the last interglacial stage, Geophys. J. Int., 193, 711-716, doi:10.1093/gji/ggt029, 2013.
40. Landais, A., Masson-Delmotte, V., Capron, E., Langebroek, P. M., Bakker, P., Stone, E. J., Merz, N., Raible, C. C., Fischer, H., Orsi, A., Prié, F., Vinther, B., Dahl-Jensen, D.: How warmwas Greenland during the last interglacial period?, Clim. Past, 12, 1933-1948, doi:10.5194/cp-12-1933-2016, 2016.
41. Lisiecki, L. E., Raymo, M. E.: A Pliocene-Pleistocene stack of57 globally distributed benthic delta O-18 records, Paleoceanography, 20, PA1003, doi:10.1029/2004pa001071, 2005.
42. Loutre, M. F., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H., Huybrechts, P., Goelzer, H., and Capron, E.: Factors controlling the last interglacial climateas simulated by LOVECLIM1.3, Clim. Past, 10, 1541-1565, doi:10.5194/cp-10-1541-2014, 2014.
43. MacGregor, J. A., Fahnestock, M. A., Catania, G. A., Paden, J. D., Prasad Gogineni, S., Young, S. K., Rybarski, S. C., Mabrey, A.N., Wagman, B. M., Morlighem, M.: Radiostratigraphy andage structure of the Greenland Ice Sheet, J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 120, 212-241, doi:10.1002/2014JF003215, 2015.
44. Masson-Delmotte, V., Schulz, M., Abe-Ouchi, A., Beer, J., Ganopolski, A., González Rouco, J., Jansen, E., Lambeck, K., Luterbacher, J., Naish, T., Osborn, T., Otto-Bliesner, B., Quinn, T., Ramesh, R., Rojas, M., Shao, X., Timmermann, A.: Informationfrom paleoclimate archives, in: Climate Change 2013:The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I tothe Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change, edited by: Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., Midgley, P. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 383-464, 2013.
45. Masson-Delmotte, V., Steen-Larsen, H. C., Ortega, P., Swingedouw, D., Popp, T., Vinther, B. M., Oerter, H., Sveinbjornsdottir, A. E., Gudlaugsdottir, H., Box, J. E., Falourd, S., Fettweis, X., Galleé, H., Garnier, E., Gkinis, V., Jouzel, J., Landais, A., Minster, B., Paradis, N., Orsi, A., Risi, C., Werner, M., White, J. W. C.:Recent changes in north-west Greenland climate documented byNEEM shallow ice core data and simulations, and implicationsfor past-temperature reconstructions, The Cryosphere, 9, 1481-1504, doi:10.5194/tc-9-1481-2015, 2015.
46. Mckay, N. P., Overpeck, J. T., Otto-Bliesner, B. L.: The roleof ocean thermal expansion in Last Interglacial sea level rise, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L14605, doi:10.1029/2011GL048280, 2011.
47. Menviel, L., Spence, P., England, M. H.: Contribution of enhancedAntarctic Bottom Water formation to Antarctic warmevents and millennial-scale atmospheric CO2 increase, EarthPlanet. Sc. Lett., 413, 37-50, doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2014.12.050, 2015.
48. Merz, N., Born, A., Raible, C. C., Fischer, H., Stocker, T.F.: Dependence of Eemian Greenland temperature reconstructionson the ice sheet topography, Clim. Past, 10, 1221-1238, doi:10.5194/cp-10-1221-2014, 2014.
49. Merz, N., Born, A., Raible, C. C., Stocker, T. F.: Warm Greenlandduring the last interglacial: the role of regional changes insea ice cover, Clim. Past, 12, 2011-2031, doi:10.5194/cp-12-2011-2016, 2016.
50. NEEM community members: Eemian interglacial reconstructedfrom a Greenland folded ice core, Nature, 493, 489-494, doi:10.1038/nature11789, 2013.
51. Nowicki, S. M. J., Payne, T., Larour, E., Seroussi, H., Goelzer, H., Lipscomb, W., Gregory, J., Abe-Ouchi, A., Shepherd, A.:Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) contributionto CMIP6, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-105, in review, 2016.
52. Opsteegh, J. D., Haarsma, R. J., Selten, F. M., Kattenberg, A.: ECBILT: a dynamic alternative to mixed boundary conditionsin ocean models, Tellus, 50, 348-367, doi:10.1034/j.1600-0870.1998.t01-1-00007.x, 1998.
53. Pedersen, R. A., Langen, P. L., Vinther, B. M.: Greenland duringthe last interglacial: the relative importance of insolation andoceanic changes, Clim. Past, 12, 1907-1918, doi:10.5194/cp-12-1907-2016, 2016.
54. Pollard, D., DeConto, R. M.: ModellingWest Antarctic ice sheetgrowth and collapse through the past five million years, Nature, 458, 329-332, doi:10.1038/nature07809, 2009.
55. Pollard, D., DeConto, R. M., Alley, R. B.: PotentialAntarctic Ice Sheet retreat driven by hydrofracturing andice cliff failure, Earth Planet. Sc. Lett., 412, 112-121, doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2014.12.035, 2015.
56. Robinson, A., Calov, R., Ganopolski, A.: Greenland ice sheetmodel parameters constrained using simulations of the EemianInterglacial, Clim. Past, 7, 381-396, doi:10.5194/cp-7-381-2011, 2011.
57. Robinson, A., Goelzer, H.: The importance of insolationchanges for paleo ice sheet modeling, The Cryosphere, 8, 1419-1428, doi:10.5194/tc-8-1419-2014, 2014.
58. Rohling, E. J., Foster, G. L., Grant, K. M., Marino, G., Roberts, A. P., Tamisiea, M. E., Williams, F.: Sea-level and deep-seatemperaturevariability over the past 5.3 million years, Nature, 508, 477-482, doi:10.1038/nature13230, 2014.
59. Shakun, J. D., Lea, D. W., Lisiecki, L. E., Raymo, M. E.: An800-kyr record of global surface ocean delta O-18 and implicationsfor ice volume-temperature coupling, Earth Planet. Sc.Lett., 426, 58-68, doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2015.05.042, 2015.
60. Sjolte, J., Hoffmann, G.: Modelling stable waterisotopes in monsoon precipitation during the previousinterglacial, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 85, 119-135, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.12.006, 2014.
61. Steen-Larsen, H. C., Masson-Delmotte, V., Hirabayashi, M., Winkler, R., Satow, K., Prié, F., Bayou, N., Brun, E., Cuffey, K.M., Dahl-Jensen, D., Dumont, M., Guillevic, M., Kipfstuhl, S., Landais, A., Popp, T., Risi, C., Steffen, K., Stenni, B., Sveinbjörnsdottír, A. E.: What controls the isotopic compositionof Greenland surface snow?, Clim. Past, 10, 377-392, doi:10.5194/cp-10-377-2014, 2014.
62. Steig, E. J., Huybers, K., Singh, H. A., Steiger, N. J., Ding, Q. H., Frierson, D. M. W., Popp, T., White, J. W. C.:Influence of West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse on Antarcticsurface climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 4862-4868, doi:10.1002/2015GL063861, 2015.
63. Stocker, T. F.: The Seesaw Effect, Science, 282, 61-62, doi:10.1126/science.282.5386.61, 1998.
64. Stone, E. J., Lunt, D. J., Annan, J. D., Hargreaves, J. C.: Quantificationof the Greenland ice sheet contribution to Last Interglacialsea level rise, Clim. Past, 9, 621-639, doi:10.5194/cp-9-621-2013, 2013.
65. Swingedouw, D., Fichefet, T., Huybrechts, P., Goosse, H., Driesschaert, E., Loutre, M. F.: Antarctic ice-sheet melting providesnegative feedbacks on future climate warming, Geophys.Res. Lett., 35, L17705, doi:10.1029/2008GL034410, 2008.
66. Thompson, W. G., Curran, H. A., Wilson, M. A., White, B.: Sea-level oscillations during the last interglacial highstandrecorded by Bahamas corals, Nat. Geosci., 4, 684-687, doi:10.1038/ngeo1253, 2011.
67. Turney, C. S. M., Jones, R. T.: Does the Agulhas Current amplifyglobal temperatures during super-interglacials?, J. QuaternarySci., 25, 839-843, doi:10.1002/jqs.1423, 2010.
68. van de Berg, W. J., van den Broeke, M., Ettema, J., van Meijgaard, E., Kaspar, F.: Significant contribution of insolationto Eemian melting of the Greenland ice sheet, Nat. Geosci., 4, 1-5, doi:10.1038/ngeo1245, 2011.
69. van de Berg, W. J., van den Broeke, M. R., van Meijgaard, E., Kaspar, F.: Importance of precipitation seasonality for the interpretationof Eemian ice core isotope records from Greenland, Clim. Past, 9, 1589-1600, doi:10.5194/cp-9-1589-2013, 2013.
70. Vernon, C. L., Bamber, J. L., Box, J. E., van den Broeke, M. R., Fettweis, X., Hanna, E., Huybrechts, P.: Surface mass balancemodel intercomparison for the Greenland ice sheet, TheCryosphere, 7, 599-614, doi:10.5194/tc-7-599-2013, 2013.
71. Yau, A. M., Bender, M. L., Robinson, A., Brook, E. J.:Reconstructing the last interglacial at Summit, Greenland: Insightsfrom GISP2, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 113, 9710-9715, doi:10.1073/pnas.1524766113, 2016.
72. Zweck, C., Huybrechts, P.: Modeling of the northern hemisphereice sheets during the last glacial cycle and glaciological sensitivity, J. Geophys. Res, 110, D07103, doi:10.1029/2004JD005489, 2005.