메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 378, Issue , 2016, Pages 68-78

Modeling temporal changes in human-caused wildfires in Mediterranean Europe based on Land Use-Land Cover interfaces

Author keywords

Generalized Additive Models; LULC interfaces; Mediterranean Europe; Socio economic changes; Wildfire

Indexed keywords

ECONOMICS; FIRES; LAND USE;

EID: 84989966083     PISSN: 03781127     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.07.020     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (62)

References (56)
  • 1
    • 0000501656 scopus 로고
    • Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle
    • In: B.N., Csaaki, F. (Eds.), International Symposium on Information Theory. Akadeemiai Kiadi, Budapest, Hungary, pp.
    • Akaike, H., 1973. Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In: Petran, B.N., Csaaki, F. (Eds.), International Symposium on Information Theory. Akadeemiai Kiadi, Budapest, Hungary, pp. 267–281.
    • (1973) Petran , pp. 267-281
    • Akaike, H.1
  • 2
    • 84873715078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A methodology for investigating trends in changes in the timing of the fire season with applications to lightning-caused forest fires in Alberta and Ontario, Canada
    • Albert-Green, A., Dean, C.B., Martell, David L., Woolford, Douglas G., A methodology for investigating trends in changes in the timing of the fire season with applications to lightning-caused forest fires in Alberta and Ontario, Canada. Can. J. For. Res. 43 (2012), 39–45, 10.1139/cjfr-2011-0432.
    • (2012) Can. J. For. Res. , vol.43 , pp. 39-45
    • Albert-Green, A.1    Dean, C.B.2    Martell, D.L.3    Woolford, D.G.4
  • 4
    • 33748622589 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic risk assessment for wildfires
    • Brillinger, D.R., Preisler, H.K., Benoit, J.W., Probabilistic risk assessment for wildfires. Environmetrics 17 (2006), 623–633, 10.1002/env.768.
    • (2006) Environmetrics , vol.17 , pp. 623-633
    • Brillinger, D.R.1    Preisler, H.K.2    Benoit, J.W.3
  • 5
    • 0004027886 scopus 로고
    • Del éxodo rural y del éxodo urbano. Ocaso y Renacimiento de los asentamientos rurales en España
    • Ministerio de Agricultura, Pesca y Alimentación Madrid
    • Camarero, L., Del éxodo rural y del éxodo urbano. Ocaso y Renacimiento de los asentamientos rurales en España. 1993, Ministerio de Agricultura, Pesca y Alimentación, Madrid.
    • (1993)
    • Camarero, L.1
  • 6
    • 84942161291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Harmonized classification scheme of fire causes in the EU adopted for the European Fire Database of EFFIS
    • Publications Office of the European Union European Union, Luxembourg
    • Camia, A., Durrant, T., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., Harmonized classification scheme of fire causes in the EU adopted for the European Fire Database of EFFIS. JRC Scientific and Policy Reports, 2013, Publications Office of the European Union, European Union, Luxembourg.
    • (2013) JRC Scientific and Policy Reports
    • Camia, A.1    Durrant, T.2    San-Miguel-Ayanz, J.3
  • 7
    • 84938789569 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The European Fire Database: technical specifications and data submission
    • Publications Office of the European Union Luxembourg
    • Camia, A., Durrant, T., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., The European Fire Database: technical specifications and data submission. JRC Science and Policy Reports, 2014, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 23.
    • (2014) JRC Science and Policy Reports , pp. 23
    • Camia, A.1    Durrant, T.2    San-Miguel-Ayanz, J.3
  • 8
    • 34250263445 scopus 로고
    • Smoothing noisy data with spline functions
    • Craven, P., Wahba, G., Smoothing noisy data with spline functions. Numer. Math. 31 (1978), 377–403, 10.1007/BF01404567.
    • (1978) Numer. Math. , vol.31 , pp. 377-403
    • Craven, P.1    Wahba, G.2
  • 9
  • 11
    • 84989873670 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • EUROSTAT, 2015. Regional statistics
    • EUROSTAT, 2015. Regional statistics.
  • 12
    • 0003581240 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Principles and Methods in Landscape Ecology
    • Chapman and Hall Ltd Cambridge
    • Farina, A., Principles and Methods in Landscape Ecology. 1998, Chapman and Hall Ltd, Cambridge.
    • (1998)
    • Farina, A.1
  • 13
    • 84909952344 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increases in fire risk due to warmer summer temperatures and wildland urban interface changes do not necessarily lead to more fires
    • Fox, D.M., Martin, N., Carrega, P., Andrieu, J., Adnès, C., Emsellem, K., Ganga, O., Moebius, F., Tortorollo, N., Fox, E.A., Increases in fire risk due to warmer summer temperatures and wildland urban interface changes do not necessarily lead to more fires. Appl. Geogr. 56 (2015), 1–12, 10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.10.001.
    • (2015) Appl. Geogr. , vol.56 , pp. 1-12
    • Fox, D.M.1    Martin, N.2    Carrega, P.3    Andrieu, J.4    Adnès, C.5    Emsellem, K.6    Ganga, O.7    Moebius, F.8    Tortorollo, N.9    Fox, E.A.10
  • 14
    • 7744220722 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regression Using JMP
    • SAS Institute, Inc Cary, NC
    • Freund, R.J., Littell, R.C., Creighton, L., Regression Using JMP. 2003, SAS Institute, Inc, Cary, NC.
    • (2003)
    • Freund, R.J.1    Littell, R.C.2    Creighton, L.3
  • 15
    • 84930526589 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of future land use/land cover on wildfire occurrence in the Madrid region (Spain)
    • Gallardo, M., Gómez, I., Vilar, L., Martínez-Vega, J., Martín, M.P., Impacts of future land use/land cover on wildfire occurrence in the Madrid region (Spain). Reg. Environ. Change 16 (2015), 1047–1061, 10.1007/s10113-015-0819-9.
    • (2015) Reg. Environ. Change , vol.16 , pp. 1047-1061
    • Gallardo, M.1    Gómez, I.2    Vilar, L.3    Martínez-Vega, J.4    Martín, M.P.5
  • 17
    • 32044449925 scopus 로고
    • Generalized cross validation as a method for choosing a good ridge parameter
    • Golub, G.H., Heath, M., Wahba, G., Generalized cross validation as a method for choosing a good ridge parameter. Technometrics 21 (1979), 215–223, 10.2307/1268518.
    • (1979) Technometrics , vol.21 , pp. 215-223
    • Golub, G.H.1    Heath, M.2    Wahba, G.3
  • 18
    • 0037202446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene
    • Guisan, A., Edwards, T.C., Hastie, T., Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene. Ecol. Model. 157 (2002), 89–100, 10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00204-1.
    • (2002) Ecol. Model. , vol.157 , pp. 89-100
    • Guisan, A.1    Edwards, T.C.2    Hastie, T.3
  • 19
    • 0003506109 scopus 로고
    • Multivariate Data Analysis
    • Macmillan Publishing Company New York
    • Hair, J.F.J., Anderson, R.E., Tatham, R.L., Black, W.C., Multivariate Data Analysis. 1995, Macmillan Publishing Company, New York.
    • (1995)
    • Hair, J.F.J.1    Anderson, R.E.2    Tatham, R.L.3    Black, W.C.4
  • 20
    • 84972488102 scopus 로고
    • Generalized additive models
    • Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., Generalized additive models. Stat. Sci. 1 (1986), 297–318.
    • (1986) Stat. Sci. , vol.1 , pp. 297-318
    • Hastie, T.1    Tibshirani, R.2
  • 21
    • 0003598526 scopus 로고
    • Generalized Additive Models
    • Chapman & Hall/CRC
    • Hastie, T.J., Tibshirani, R.J., Generalized Additive Models. 1990, Chapman & Hall/CRC.
    • (1990)
    • Hastie, T.J.1    Tibshirani, R.J.2
  • 22
    • 0035041983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The restructuring of rural Spain?
    • Hoggart, K., Paniagua, A., The restructuring of rural Spain?. J. Rural Stud. 17 (2001), 63–80.
    • (2001) J. Rural Stud. , vol.17 , pp. 63-80
    • Hoggart, K.1    Paniagua, A.2
  • 23
    • 77954720079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do factors causing wildfires vary in space? Evidence from geographically weighted regression
    • Koutsias, N., Martínez-Fernández, J., Allgöwer, B., Do factors causing wildfires vary in space? Evidence from geographically weighted regression. GISci. Remote Sens. 47 (2010), 221–240, 10.2747/1548-1603.47.2.221.
    • (2010) GISci. Remote Sens. , vol.47 , pp. 221-240
    • Koutsias, N.1    Martínez-Fernández, J.2    Allgöwer, B.3
  • 24
    • 79955920321 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land cover analysis in wildland–urban interfaces according to wildfire risk: a case study in the South of France
    • Lampin-Maillet, C., Long-Fournel, M., Ganteaume, A., Jappiot, M., Ferrier, J.P., Land cover analysis in wildland–urban interfaces according to wildfire risk: a case study in the South of France. For. Ecol. Manage. 261 (2011), 2200–2213, 10.1016/j.foreco.2010.11.022.
    • (2011) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.261 , pp. 2200-2213
    • Lampin-Maillet, C.1    Long-Fournel, M.2    Ganteaume, A.3    Jappiot, M.4    Ferrier, J.P.5
  • 28
    • 56249083510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human-caused wildfire risk rating for prevention planning in Spain
    • Martínez, J., Vega-García, C., Chuvieco, E., Human-caused wildfire risk rating for prevention planning in Spain. J. Environ. Manage. 90 (2009), 1241–1252, 10.1016/j.jenvman.2008.07.005.
    • (2009) J. Environ. Manage. , vol.90 , pp. 1241-1252
    • Martínez, J.1    Vega-García, C.2    Chuvieco, E.3
  • 29
    • 67349251284 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling Mediterranean landscape succession-disturbance dynamics: a landscape fire-succession model
    • Millington, J.D.A., Wainwright, J., Perry, G.L.W., Romero-Calcerrada, R., Malamud, B.D., Modelling Mediterranean landscape succession-disturbance dynamics: a landscape fire-succession model. Environ. Model. Softw. 24 (2009), 1196–1208, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2009.03.013.
    • (2009) Environ. Model. Softw. , vol.24 , pp. 1196-1208
    • Millington, J.D.A.1    Wainwright, J.2    Perry, G.L.W.3    Romero-Calcerrada, R.4    Malamud, B.D.5
  • 30
    • 0035205571 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal (1958–1995) pattern of change in a cultural landscape of northwestern Portugal: implications for fire occurrence
    • Moreira, F., Rego, F.C., Ferreira, P.G., Temporal (1958–1995) pattern of change in a cultural landscape of northwestern Portugal: implications for fire occurrence. Landscape Ecol. 16 (2001), 557–567, 10.1023/A:1013130528470.
    • (2001) Landscape Ecol. , vol.16 , pp. 557-567
    • Moreira, F.1    Rego, F.C.2    Ferreira, P.G.3
  • 32
    • 2642653634 scopus 로고
    • The evolutionary significance of FIRE in the Mediterranean regions
    • Naveh, Z., The evolutionary significance of FIRE in the Mediterranean regions. Vegetatio 29 (1975), 199–208.
    • (1975) Vegetatio , vol.29 , pp. 199-208
    • Naveh, Z.1
  • 33
    • 0003863216 scopus 로고
    • Landscape Ecology
    • New York (USA)
    • Naveh, Z., Lieberman, J., 1984. Landscape Ecology. New York (USA).
    • (1984)
    • Naveh, Z.1    Lieberman, J.2
  • 35
    • 84859751452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling spatial patterns of fire occurrence in Mediterranean Europe using Multiple Regression and Random Forest
    • Oliveira, S., Oehler, F., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., Camia, A., Pereira, J.M.C., Modeling spatial patterns of fire occurrence in Mediterranean Europe using Multiple Regression and Random Forest. For. Ecol. Manage. 275 (2012), 117–129, 10.1016/j.foreco.2012.03.003.
    • (2012) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.275 , pp. 117-129
    • Oliveira, S.1    Oehler, F.2    San-Miguel-Ayanz, J.3    Camia, A.4    Pereira, J.M.C.5
  • 36
    • 79951745299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the comparative importance of fire danger rating indices and their integration with spatial and temporal variables for predicting daily human-caused fire occurrences in Spain
    • Padilla, M., Vega-García, C., On the comparative importance of fire danger rating indices and their integration with spatial and temporal variables for predicting daily human-caused fire occurrences in Spain. Int. J. Wildland Fire 20 (2011), 46–58, 10.1071/WF09139.
    • (2011) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.20 , pp. 46-58
    • Padilla, M.1    Vega-García, C.2
  • 38
    • 83055184539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fire regime changes in the Western Mediterranean Basin: from fuel-limited to drought-driven fire regime
    • Pausas, J.G., Fernández-Muñoz, S., Fire regime changes in the Western Mediterranean Basin: from fuel-limited to drought-driven fire regime. Climatic Change 110 (2012), 215–226, 10.1007/s10584-011-0060-6.
    • (2012) Climatic Change , vol.110 , pp. 215-226
    • Pausas, J.G.1    Fernández-Muñoz, S.2
  • 40
    • 45849101197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wildland fire probabilities estimated from weather model-deduced monthly mean fire danger indices
    • Preisler, H.K., Chen, S., Fujioka, F., Benoit, J.W., Westerling, A.L., Wildland fire probabilities estimated from weather model-deduced monthly mean fire danger indices. Int. J. Wildland Fire 17 (2008), 305–316, 10.1071/WF06162.
    • (2008) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.17 , pp. 305-316
    • Preisler, H.K.1    Chen, S.2    Fujioka, F.3    Benoit, J.W.4    Westerling, A.L.5
  • 41
    • 79952186941 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eternal flame: an introduction to the fire history of the Mediterranean
    • E. Chuvieco Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
    • Pyne, S.J., Eternal flame: an introduction to the fire history of the Mediterranean. Chuvieco, E., (eds.) Earth Observation of Wildland Fires in Mediterranean Ecosystems, 2009, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg, 257.
    • (2009) Earth Observation of Wildland Fires in Mediterranean Ecosystems , pp. 257
    • Pyne, S.J.1
  • 42
    • 84978796834 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
    • R Foundation for Statistical Computing Vienna, Austria
    • RCoreTeam, R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. 2014, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
    • (2014)
    • RCoreTeam1
  • 43
    • 77954874613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interaction effects: centering, variance inflation factor, and interpretation issues
    • Robinson, C., Schumacker, R.E., Interaction effects: centering, variance inflation factor, and interpretation issues. Multiple Linear Regression Viewpoints, 35, 2009.
    • (2009) Multiple Linear Regression Viewpoints , vol.35
    • Robinson, C.1    Schumacker, R.E.2
  • 44
    • 0842306425 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of land abandonment in landscape dynamics in the SPA ‘Encinares del río Alberche y Cofio, Central Spain, 1984–1999’
    • Romero-Calcerrada, R., Perry, G.L.W., The role of land abandonment in landscape dynamics in the SPA ‘Encinares del río Alberche y Cofio, Central Spain, 1984–1999’. Landscape Urban Plann. 66 (2004), 217–232, 10.1016/S0169-2046(03)00112-9.
    • (2004) Landscape Urban Plann. , vol.66 , pp. 217-232
    • Romero-Calcerrada, R.1    Perry, G.L.W.2
  • 47
    • 39749110779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integration of socio-economic and environmental variables for modeling long-term fire danger in Southern Europe
    • Sebastián-López, A., Salvador-Civil, R., Gonzalo-Jimenez, J., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., Integration of socio-economic and environmental variables for modeling long-term fire danger in Southern Europe. Eur. J. Forest Res. 127 (2008), 149–163, 10.1007/s10342-007-0191-5.
    • (2008) Eur. J. Forest Res. , vol.127 , pp. 149-163
    • Sebastián-López, A.1    Salvador-Civil, R.2    Gonzalo-Jimenez, J.3    San-Miguel-Ayanz, J.4
  • 48
    • 79151483386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Natura 2000 in the Mediterranean Region
    • European Communities Luxembourg
    • Sundseth, K., Natura 2000 in the Mediterranean Region. 2009, European Communities, Luxembourg, 12.
    • (2009) , pp. 12
    • Sundseth, K.1
  • 50
    • 84927709594 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in landscape fire-hazard during the second half of the 20th century: agriculture abandonment and the changing role of driving factors
    • Viedma, O., Moity, Nicolás, Moreno, José M., Changes in landscape fire-hazard during the second half of the 20th century: agriculture abandonment and the changing role of driving factors. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 207 (2015), 126–140, 10.1016/j.agee.2015.04.011.
    • (2015) Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. , vol.207 , pp. 126-140
    • Viedma, O.1    Moity, N.2    Moreno, J.M.3
  • 51
    • 84989957307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling socio-economic drivers of forest fires in the Mediterranean Europe
    • D.X. Viegas Imprensa da Universidade de Coimbra Coimbra
    • Vilar, L., Camia, A., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., Modelling socio-economic drivers of forest fires in the Mediterranean Europe. Viegas, D.X., (eds.) Advances in Forest Fire Research, 2014, Imprensa da Universidade de Coimbra, Coimbra, 1874–1882.
    • (2014) Advances in Forest Fire Research , pp. 1874-1882
    • Vilar, L.1    Camia, A.2    San-Miguel-Ayanz, J.3
  • 52
    • 55549112593 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empleo de técnicas de regresión logística para la obtención de modelos de riesgo humano de incendio forestal a escala regional
    • Vilar, L., Martín, M.P., Martínez, F.J., Empleo de técnicas de regresión logística para la obtención de modelos de riesgo humano de incendio forestal a escala regional. Bol. AGE 47 (2008), 5–29.
    • (2008) Bol. AGE , vol.47 , pp. 5-29
    • Vilar, L.1    Martín, M.P.2    Martínez, F.J.3
  • 53
    • 80255140362 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Logistic regression models for human-caused wildfire risk estimation: analysing the effect of the spatial accuracy in fire occurrence data
    • Vilar, L., Martín, M.P., Martínez, F.J., Logistic regression models for human-caused wildfire risk estimation: analysing the effect of the spatial accuracy in fire occurrence data. Eur. J. For. Res. 130 (2011), 983–996, 10.1007/s10342-011-0488-2.
    • (2011) Eur. J. For. Res. , vol.130 , pp. 983-996
    • Vilar, L.1    Martín, M.P.2    Martínez, F.J.3
  • 54
    • 77952501976 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model for predicting human-caused wildfire occurrence in the region of Madrid, Spain
    • Vilar, L., Woolford, D.G., Martell, D.L., Martín, M.P., A model for predicting human-caused wildfire occurrence in the region of Madrid, Spain. Int. J. Wildland Fire 19 (2010), 325–337, 10.1071/WF09030.
    • (2010) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.19 , pp. 325-337
    • Vilar, L.1    Woolford, D.G.2    Martell, D.L.3    Martín, M.P.4
  • 55
    • 85153659511 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized Additive Models: An Introduction with R
    • Chapman and Hall/CRC Press Boca Raton, FL
    • Wood, S.N., Generalized Additive Models: An Introduction with R. 2006, Chapman and Hall/CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL.
    • (2006)
    • Wood, S.N.1
  • 56
    • 0037202456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GAMs with integrated model selection using penalized regression splines and applications to environmental modelling
    • Wood, S.N., Augustin, N.H., GAMs with integrated model selection using penalized regression splines and applications to environmental modelling. Ecol. Model., 157, 2002, 10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00193-X.
    • (2002) Ecol. Model. , vol.157
    • Wood, S.N.1    Augustin, N.H.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.