메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 19, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 325-337

A model for predicting human-caused wildfire occurrence in the region of Madrid, Spain

Author keywords

Fire risk; Generalised additive models; Geographic information systems; Iogistic; Non parametric spline smoothing; Socioeconomic variables; Urban interface; Wildland; Wildland fire

Indexed keywords


EID: 77952501976     PISSN: 10498001     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1071/WF09030     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (132)

References (43)
  • 1
    • 0000501656 scopus 로고
    • Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle
    • (Eds B Petran, F Csaaki), (Akadeemiai Kiadi: Budapest, Hungary
    • Akaike H (1973) Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In 'International Symposium on Information Theory'. (Eds B Petran, F Csaaki) pp. 267-281. (Akadeemiai Kiadi: Budapest, Hungary)
    • (1973) International Symposium on Information Theory , pp. 267-281
    • Akaike, H.1
  • 3
    • 2542570862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk assessment: A forest fire example
    • (Ed. DR Goldstein) Lecture Notes, Monograph Series, (Institute of Mathematical Statistics: Beechwood, OH)
    • Brillinger DR, Preisler HK, Benoit JW (2003) Risk assessment: a forest fire example. In 'Science and Statistics: a Festschrift for Terry Speed'. (Ed. DR Goldstein) Lecture Notes, Monograph Series, vol.40, pp. 177-196. (Institute of Mathematical Statistics: Beechwood, OH)
    • (2003) Science and Statistics: A Festschrift for Terry Speed , vol.40 , pp. 177-196
    • Brillinger, D.R.1    Preisler, H.K.2    Benoit, J.W.3
  • 4
    • 33748622589 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic risk assessment for wildfires
    • DOI 10.1002/env.768
    • Brillinger DR, Preisler HK, Benoit JW (2006) Probabilistic risk assessment for wildfires. Environmetrics 17, 623-633. doi:10.1002/ENV.768 (Pubitemid 44379597)
    • (2006) Environmetrics , vol.17 , Issue.6 , pp. 623-633
    • Brillinger, D.R.1    Preisler, H.K.2    Benoit, J.W.3
  • 5
    • 0006405916 scopus 로고
    • How many fires?
    • Available at, [Verified 14 December 2009]
    • Bruce D (1963) How many fires? Fire Control Notes 24(2), 45-50. Available at http://www.fs.fed.us/fire/fmt/fmt-pdfs/024-02.pdf [Verified 14 December 2009]
    • (1963) Fire Control Notes , vol.24 , Issue.2 , pp. 45-50
    • Bruce, D.1
  • 6
    • 0003963682 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disturbance and forest health in Oregon and Washington
    • USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, (Portland, OR
    • Campbell S, Liegel L (1996) Disturbance and forest health in Oregon and Washington. USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, General Technical Report PNW-GTR-381. (Portland, OR)
    • (1996) General Technical Report PNW-GTR-381
    • Campbell, S.1    Liegel, L.2
  • 7
    • 0035147621 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental and social factors influencing wildfires in the upper Midwest, United States
    • doi:10.1890/1051-0761(2001)011 [0111:EASFIW]2.0.CO;2
    • Cardille JA,Ventura SJ,TurnerMG(2001) Environmental and social factors influencing wildfires in the upper midwest, United States. Ecological Applications 11(1), 111-127. doi:10.1890/1051-0761(2001)011 [0111:EASFIW]2.0. CO;2
    • (2001) Ecological Applications , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 111-127
    • Cardille, J.A.1    Ventura, S.J.2    Turner, M.G.3
  • 9
    • 70450260872 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of a framework for fire risk assessment using remote sensing and geographic information system technologies
    • doi:10.1016/J.ECOLMODEL. 2008.11.017
    • Chuvieco E, Aguado I, Yebra M, Nieto H, Salas J, Martín MP, Vilar L, Martínez J, et al. (2009) Development of a framework for fire risk assessment using remote sensing and geographic information system technologies. Ecological Modelling 221, 46-58. doi:10.1016/J.ECOLMODEL. 2008.11.017
    • (2009) Ecological Modelling , vol.221 , pp. 46-58
    • Chuvieco, E.1    Aguado, I.2    Yebra, M.3    Nieto, H.4    Salas, J.5    Martín, M.P.6    Vilar, L.7    Martínez, J.8
  • 10
    • 34250263445 scopus 로고
    • Smoothing noisy data with spline functions
    • doi:10.1007/BF01404567
    • Craven P, Wahba G (1978) Smoothing noisy data with spline functions. Numerische Mathematik 31, 377-403. doi:10.1007/BF01404567
    • (1978) Numerische Mathematik , vol.31 , pp. 377-403
    • Craven, P.1    Wahba, G.2
  • 11
    • 0002737575 scopus 로고
    • A stochastic model for the occurrence of man-caused forest fires
    • doi:10.1139/X73-038
    • Cunningham AA, Martell DL (1973)A stochastic model for the occurrence of man-caused forest fires. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 3(2), 282-287. doi:10.1139/X73-038
    • (1973) Canadian Journal of Forest Research , vol.3 , Issue.2 , pp. 282-287
    • Cunningham, A.A.1    Martell, D.L.2
  • 13
    • 32044449925 scopus 로고
    • Generalized cross validation as a method for choosing a good ridge parameter
    • doi:10.2307/1268518
    • Golub GH, Heath M, Wahba G (1979) Generalized cross validation as a method for choosing a good ridge parameter. Technometrics 21(2), 215-223. doi:10.2307/1268518
    • (1979) Technometrics , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 215-223
    • Golub, G.H.1    Heath, M.2    Wahba, G.3
  • 14
    • 0037202446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: Setting the scene
    • DOI 10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00204-1, PII S0304380002002041
    • Guisan A, Edwards TC, Hastie T (2002) Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene. Ecological Modelling 157, 89-100. doi:10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00204-1 (Pubitemid 35255408)
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 89-100
    • Guisan, A.1    Edwards Jr, T.C.2    Hastie, T.3
  • 15
    • 77952469044 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Instrumentos económicos para la prevención y la lucha contra incendios
    • (Ed. Fundación Santander-Central Hispano) (Antes Del Fuego, Soluciones a los incendios forestales en España: Madrid) Available at, [Verified 14 December 2009]
    • Izquierdo J (2007) Instrumentos económicos para la prevención y la lucha contra incendios. In 'Hacia la viabilidad económica Del medio rural y de los bosques'. (Ed. Fundación Santander-Central Hispano) (Antes Del Fuego, Soluciones a los incendios forestales en España: Madrid) Available at http://www. fundacionbancosantander.com/publicaciones-ficha. cfm?idArticulo=671 [Verified 14 December 2009]
    • (2007) Hacia la Viabilidad Económica Del Medio Rural y de Los Bosques
    • Izquierdo, J.1
  • 16
    • 34548246016 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate analysis of landscape wildfire dynamics in a Mediterranean ecosystem of Greece
    • doi:10.1111/J.1475-4762. 2007.00756.X
    • Kalabokidis KD, Koutsias N, Konstantinidis P, Vasilakos C (2007) Multivariate analysis of landscape wildfire dynamics in a Mediterranean ecosystem of Greece. Area 39(3), 392-402. doi:10.1111/J.1475-4762. 2007.00756.X
    • (2007) Area , vol.39 , Issue.3 , pp. 392-402
    • Kalabokidis, K.D.1    Koutsias, N.2    Konstantinidis, P.3    Vasilakos, C.4
  • 18
    • 33745185719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling probability of ignition in Taiwan Red Pine Forests
    • Lin C (1999) Modelling probability of ignition in Taiwan Red Pine Forests. Taiwan Journal Forest Science 14(3), 339-344.
    • (1999) Taiwan Journal Forest Science , vol.14 , Issue.3 , pp. 339-344
    • Lin, C.1
  • 19
    • 0008830999 scopus 로고
    • Constructing and testing logistic regression models for binary data: Applications to the National Fire Danger Rating System. USDA Forest Service
    • Ogden, UT
    • Loftsgaarden D, Andrews PL (1992) Constructing and testing logistic regression models for binary data: applications to the National Fire Danger Rating System. USDA Forest Service, GeneralTechnical Report INT-286. (Ogden, UT)
    • (1992) GeneralTechnical Report INT-286
    • Loftsgaarden, D.1    Andrews, P.L.2
  • 20
    • 77952524051 scopus 로고
    • Modelos de probabilidad para el estudio de la ocurrencia de incendios forestales
    • Universidad de Santiago de Compostela: Santiago de Compostela, Spain
    • Lorenzo MC, Pérez MC (1995) Modelos de probabilidad para el estudio de la ocurrencia de incendios forestales. In 'Proceedings: IX reunión ASEPELT España'. Vol.4. (Universidad de Santiago de Compostela: Santiago de Compostela, Spain)
    • (1995) Proceedings: IX Reunión ASEPELT España' , vol.4
    • Lorenzo, M.C.1    Pérez, M.C.2
  • 21
    • 33847195036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Factors influencing wildfire occurrence and distribution in easternKentucky, USA
    • doi:10.1071/WF06007
    • Maingi JK, Henry MC (2007) Factors influencing wildfire occurrence and distribution in easternKentucky, USA. International Journal ofWildland Fire 16, 23-33. doi:10.1071/WF06007
    • (2007) International Journal OfWildland Fire , vol.16 , pp. 23-33
    • Maingi, J.K.1    Henry, M.C.2
  • 22
    • 77952480293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subsecretaría General de política forestal y desertificación
    • Available at, [Verified 19 March 2009]
    • Ministry of the Environment, Rural and Marine Affairs (2006) Subsecretaría General de política forestal y desertificació n. Área de defensa contra incendios forestales. Los incendios forestales en España. Decenio 1996-2005. Available at http://www.mma.es/portal/ secciones/biodiversidad/ defensa - incendios / estadisticas - incendios / pdf / estadisticasdecenio - 1996-2005.pdf [Verified 19 March 2009]
    • (2006) Área de Defensa Contra Incendios Forestales. Los Incendios Forestales en España. Decenio , pp. 1996-2005
  • 23
    • 0024931293 scopus 로고
    • Modelling seasonal variation in daily people-caused forest fire occurrence
    • doi:10.1139/X89-237
    • Martell DL, Belivacqua E (1989) Modelling seasonal variation in daily people-caused forest fire occurrence. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 19(12), 1555-1563. doi:10.1139/X89-237
    • (1989) Canadian Journal of Forest Research , vol.19 , Issue.12 , pp. 1555-1563
    • Martell, D.L.1    Belivacqua, E.2
  • 24
    • 0001254665 scopus 로고
    • A logistic model for predicing daily people-caused forest fire occurrence in Ontario
    • doi:10.1139/X87-068
    • Martell DL, Otukol S, Stocks BJ (1987)A logistic model for predicing daily people-caused forest fire occurrence in Ontario. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 17(5), 394-401. doi:10.1139/X87-068
    • (1987) Canadian Journal of Forest Research , vol.17 , Issue.5 , pp. 394-401
    • Martell, D.L.1    Otukol, S.2    Stocks, B.J.3
  • 25
    • 55549125803 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • El factor humano en los incendios forestales: Análisis de factores socio-económicos relacionados con la incidencia de incendios forestales en España
    • Eds E Chuvieco, MP Martín, (Instituto de Economía y Geografía, CSIC: Madrid)
    • Martínez J, Martínez J, Martín MP (2004) El factor humano en los incendios forestales: Análisis de factores socio-económicos relacionados con la incidencia de incendios forestales en España. In 'Nuevas tecnologías para la estimación Del riesgo de incendios forestales'. (Eds E Chuvieco, MP Martín) pp. 101-142. (Instituto de Economía y Geografía, CSIC: Madrid)
    • (2004) Nuevas Tecnologías Para la Estimación Del Riesgo de Incendios Forestales , pp. 101-142
    • Martínez, J.1    Martínez, J.2    Martín, M.P.3
  • 26
    • 56249083510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human-caused wildfire risk rating for prevention planning in Spain
    • doi:10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2008.07.005
    • Martínez J, Vega-García C, Chuvieco E (2009) Human-caused wildfire risk rating for prevention planning in Spain. Journal of Environmental Management 90, 1241-1252. doi:10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2008.07.005
    • (2009) Journal of Environmental Management , vol.90 , pp. 1241-1252
    • Martínez, J.1    Vega-García, C.2    Chuvieco, E.3
  • 27
    • 49749119417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, Available at, [Verified 19 March 2009]
    • Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, (2004) Hechos y cifras de la Agricultura, la Pesca y la Alimentación en España. Available at http://www.mapa.es/es/ministerio/pags/hechoscifras/introhechos [Verified 19 March 2009]
    • (2004) Hechos y Cifras de la Agricultura, la Pesca y la Alimentación en España
  • 28
    • 77952475629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incendios forestales en España. Diagnóstico de las causas
    • (Ed. Fundación Santander-Central Hispano) (Antes Del Fuego. Soluciones a los incendios forestales en España: Madrid) Available at, [Verified 14 December 2009]
    • Moyano E (2007) Incendios forestales en España. Diagnóstico de las causas. In 'Hacia la viabilidad económica Del medio rural y de los bosques'. (Ed. Fundación Santander-Central Hispano) (Antes Del Fuego. Soluciones a los incendios forestales en España: Madrid) Available at http://www.fundacionbancosantander.com/publicaciones-ficha.cfm? idArticulo=671 [Verified 14 December 2009]
    • (2007) Hacia la Viabilidad Económica Del Medio Rural y de Los Bosques
    • Moyano, E.1
  • 29
    • 80255138492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Demanda territorial de defensa contra incendios forestales. un caso de estudio: Comunidad de Madrid
    • September 2001, [Verified 14 December 2009]
    • Nicolás JM, Caballero D (2001) Demanda territorial de defensa contra incendios forestales. Un caso de estudio: comunidad de Madrid. In 'Proceedings in the III Spanish National Forest Congress', 25-28 September 2001, Granada, Spain.Available at http://www.gnomusy.com/ publications / 20010925 - Nicolas - Caballero -Demanda- Defensa . pdf [Verified 14 December 2009]
    • (2001) Proceedings in the III Spanish National Forest Congress, Granada, Spain.Available at , pp. 25-28
    • Nicolás, J.M.1    Caballero, D.2
  • 31
    • 0035136295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GIS analysis of spatial and temporal patterns of human-caused wildfires in the temperate rain forest ofVancouver Island, Canada
    • doi:10.1016/ S0378-1127(00)00271-281
    • Pew KL, Larsen CPS (2001) GIS analysis of spatial and temporal patterns of human-caused wildfires in the temperate rain forest ofVancouver Island, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management 140, 1-18. doi:10.1016/ S0378-1127(00)00271-281
    • (2001) Forest Ecology and Management , vol.140 , pp. 1-18
    • Pew, K.L.1    Larsen, C.P.S.2
  • 32
    • 35648956301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biophysical and anthropogenic controls of forest fires in the Deccan Plateau, India
    • doi:10.1016/J.JENVMAN. 2006.11.017
    • Prasad VK, Badarinath KVS, Eaturu A (2008) Biophysical and anthropogenic controls of forest fires in the Deccan Plateau, India. Journal of Environmental Management 86, 11-13. doi:10.1016/J.JENVMAN. 2006.11.017
    • (2008) Journal of Environmental Management , vol.86 , pp. 11-13
    • Prasad, V.K.1    Badarinath, K.V.S.2    Eaturu, A.3
  • 33
    • 34548203181 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical model for forecasting monthly large wildfire events in Western United States
    • DOI 10.1175/JAM2513.1
    • Preisler HK,WesterlingAL (2007) Statistical model for forecasting monthly large wildfire events in western United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 46, 1020-1030. doi:10.1175/JAM2513.1 (Pubitemid 47322754)
    • (2007) Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology , vol.46 , Issue.7 , pp. 1020-1030
    • Preisler, H.K.1    Westerling, A.L.2
  • 35
    • 45849101197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wildland fire probabilities estimated from weather model-deduced monthly mean fire danger indices
    • DOI 10.1071/WF06162
    • Preisler HK, Chen S, Fujioka F, Benoit JW,Westerling AL (2008)Wildland fire probabilities estimated from weather model-deduced monthly mean fire danger indices. International Journal ofWildland Fire 17, 305-316. doi:10.1071/WF06162 (Pubitemid 351881814)
    • (2008) International Journal of Wildland Fire , vol.17 , Issue.3 , pp. 305-316
    • Preisler, H.K.1    Chen, S.-C.2    Fujioka, F.3    Benoit, J.W.4    Westerling, A.L.5
  • 36
    • 35748932852 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R Development Core Team (R Foundation for Statistical Computing:Vienna) Available at, [Verified 19 March 2009]
    • R Development Core Team (2007) 'R: a Language and Environment for Statistical Computing.'(R Foundation for Statistical Computing:Vienna) Available at http://www.R-project.org [Verified 19 March 2009]
    • (2007) R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
  • 41
    • 55549112593 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empleo de técnicas de regresión logística para la obtención de modelos de riesgo humano de incendio forestal a escala regional
    • Vilar Del Hoyo L, Martín Isabel MP, Martínez Vega FJ (2008) Empleo de técnicas de regresión logística para la obtención de modelos de riesgo humano de incendio forestal a escala regional. Boletín de la AGE 47, 5-29.
    • (2008) Boletín de la AGE , vol.47 , pp. 5-29
    • Vilar Del Hoyo, L.1    Martín Isabel, M.P.2    Martínez Vega, F.J.3
  • 43
    • 0037202456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GAMs with integrated model selection using penalized regression splines and applications to environmental modelling
    • DOI 10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00193-X, PII S030438000200193X
    • Wood SN, Augustin NH (2002) GAMs with integrated model selection using penalized regression splines and applications to environmental modelling. Ecological Modelling 157, 157-177. doi:10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00193-X (Pubitemid 35255413)
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 157-177
    • Wood, S.N.1    Augustin, N.H.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.