-
1
-
-
84924455033
-
An improved bulk air-sea surface flux algorithm, including spray-mediated transfer
-
Andreas, E. L, L. Mahrt, and D. Vickers, 2015: An improved bulk air-sea surface flux algorithm, including spray-mediated transfer. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 141, 642-654, doi:10.1002/qj.2424.
-
(2015)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.141
, pp. 642-654
-
-
Andreas, E.L.1
Mahrt, L.2
Vickers, D.3
-
2
-
-
84952298672
-
The forecast skill horizon
-
Buizza, R., and M. Leutbecher, 2015: The forecast skill horizon. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 141, 3366-3382, doi:10.1002/qj.2619.
-
(2015)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.141
, pp. 3366-3382
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Leutbecher, M.2
-
3
-
-
84859407281
-
2013 National Hurricane Center forecast verification report
-
Cangialosi, J. P., and J. L. Franklin, 2013: 2013 National Hurricane Center forecast verification report. NHC Rep., 84 pp. [Available online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/pdfs/Verification_2013.pdf.]
-
(2013)
NHC Rep
, pp. 84
-
-
Cangialosi, J.P.1
Franklin, J.L.2
-
4
-
-
84900301566
-
Is tropical cyclone intensity guidance improving?
-
DeMaria, M., C. R. Sampson, J. A. Knaff, and K. D. Musgrave, 2014: Is tropical cyclone intensity guidance improving? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 387-398, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00240.1.
-
(2014)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.95
, pp. 387-398
-
-
DeMaria, M.1
Sampson, C.R.2
Knaff, J.A.3
Musgrave, K.D.4
-
5
-
-
2042515875
-
Environmental control of tropical cyclone intensity
-
Emanuel, K., C. DesAutels, C. Holloway, and R. Korty, 2004: Environmental control of tropical cyclone intensity. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 843-858, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2004)061<0843: ECOTCI>2.0.CO;2.
-
(2004)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.61
, pp. 843-858
-
-
Emanuel, K.1
DesAutels, C.2
Holloway, C.3
Korty, R.4
-
6
-
-
33645536714
-
A statistical deterministic approach to hurricane risk assessment
-
Emanuel, K., S. Ravela, E. Vivant, and C. Risi, 2006: A statistical deterministic approach to hurricane risk assessment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 299-314, doi:10.1175/BAMS-87-3-299.
-
(2006)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.87
, pp. 299-314
-
-
Emanuel, K.1
Ravela, S.2
Vivant, E.3
Risi, C.4
-
7
-
-
44449100119
-
Hurricanes and global warming: Results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations
-
Emanuel, K., R. Sundararajan, and J. Williams, 2008: Hurricanes and global warming: Results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 347-367, doi:10.1175/BAMS-89-3-347.
-
(2008)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.89
, pp. 347-367
-
-
Emanuel, K.1
Sundararajan, R.2
Williams, J.3
-
8
-
-
84876219310
-
The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project
-
Gall, R., J. Franklin, F. Marks, E. N. Rappaport, and F. Toepfer, 2013: The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project. Bull. Amer.Meteor. Soc., 94, 329-343, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00071.1.
-
(2013)
Bull. Amer.Meteor. Soc
, vol.94
, pp. 329-343
-
-
Gall, R.1
Franklin, J.2
Marks, F.3
Rappaport, E.N.4
Toepfer, F.5
-
9
-
-
78651083069
-
The ExperimentalHWRFSystem:Astudy on the influence of horizontal resolution on the structure and intensity changes in tropical cyclones using an idealized framework
-
Gopalakrishnan, S. G., F. Marks, X. Zhang, J.-W. Bao, K.-S. Yeh, and R. Atlas, 2011: The ExperimentalHWRFSystem:Astudy on the influence of horizontal resolution on the structure and intensity changes in tropical cyclones using an idealized framework. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 1762-1784, doi:10.1175/2010MWR3535.1.
-
(2011)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.139
, pp. 1762-1784
-
-
Gopalakrishnan, S.G.1
Marks, F.2
Zhang, X.3
Bao, J.-W.4
Yeh, K.-S.5
Atlas, R.6
-
10
-
-
84901627088
-
Sensitivity of tropical cyclone simulations to parametric uncertainties in air-sea fluxes and implications for parameter estimation
-
Green, B. W., and F. Zhang, 2014: Sensitivity of tropical cyclone simulations to parametric uncertainties in air-sea fluxes and implications for parameter estimation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 2290-2308, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00208.1.
-
(2014)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.142
, pp. 2290-2308
-
-
Green, B.W.1
Zhang, F.2
-
11
-
-
85027955319
-
Numerical simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) in the turbulent gray zone
-
Green, B. W., and F. Zhang, 2015: Numerical simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) in the turbulent gray zone. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 7, 142-161, doi:10.1002/2014MS000399.
-
(2015)
J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst
, vol.7
, pp. 142-161
-
-
Green, B.W.1
Zhang, F.2
-
12
-
-
84957850332
-
Predictability of tropical cyclone intensity: Scale-dependent forecast error growth in high-resolution stochastic kinetic-energy backscatter ensembles
-
Judt, F., S. S. Chen, and J. Berner, 2016: Predictability of tropical cyclone intensity: Scale-dependent forecast error growth in high-resolution stochastic kinetic-energy backscatter ensembles. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 142, 43-57, doi:10.1002/qj.2626.
-
(2016)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.142
, pp. 43-57
-
-
Judt, F.1
Chen, S.S.2
Berner, J.3
-
13
-
-
0029768948
-
The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
-
Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2.
-
(1996)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.77
, pp. 437-471
-
-
Kalnay, E.1
-
14
-
-
84944605093
-
Evaluating environmental impacts on tropical cyclone rapid intensification predictability utilizing statistical models
-
Kaplan, J., and Coauthors, 2015: Evaluating environmental impacts on tropical cyclone rapid intensification predictability utilizing statistical models. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1374-1396, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-15-0032.1.
-
(2015)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.30
, pp. 1374-1396
-
-
Kaplan, J.1
-
15
-
-
0031692888
-
The GFDL Hurricane Prediction System and its performance in the 1995 hurricane season
-
Kurihara, Y., R. E. Tuleya, and M. A. Bender, 1998: The GFDL Hurricane Prediction System and its performance in the 1995 hurricane season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1306-1322, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1998)126<1306:TGHPSA>2.0.CO;2.
-
(1998)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.126
, pp. 1306-1322
-
-
Kurihara, Y.1
Tuleya, R.E.2
Bender, M.A.3
-
16
-
-
84884941860
-
Atlantic hurricane database uncertainty and presentation of a new database format
-
Landsea, C. W., and J. L. Franklin, 2013:Atlantic hurricane database uncertainty and presentation of a new database format. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3576-3592, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00254.1.
-
(2013)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.141
, pp. 3576-3592
-
-
Landsea, C.W.1
Franklin, J.L.2
-
17
-
-
27144439536
-
The interaction of Supertyphoon Maemi (2003) with a warm ocean eddy
-
Lin, I.-I., C.-C. Wu, K. Emanuel, I.-H. Lee, C.-R. Wu, and I.-F. Pun, 2005: The interaction of Supertyphoon Maemi (2003) with a warm ocean eddy. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 2635-2649, doi:10.1175/MWR3005.1.
-
(2005)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.133
, pp. 2635-2649
-
-
Lin, I.-I.1
Wu, C.-C.2
Emanuel, K.3
Lee, I.-H.4
Wu, C.-R.5
Pun, I.-F.6
-
18
-
-
0014534148
-
Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues
-
Lorenz, E. N., 1969: Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues. J. Atmos. Sci., 26, 636-646, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1969)26<636:APARBN>2.0.CO;2.
-
(1969)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.26
, pp. 636-646
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
19
-
-
34548254483
-
A physicsbased parameterization of air-sea momentum flux at high wind speeds and its impact on hurricane intensity predictions
-
Moon, I.-J., I. Ginis, T. Hara, and B. Thomas, 2007: A physicsbased parameterization of air-sea momentum flux at high wind speeds and its impact on hurricane intensity predictions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 2869-2878, doi:10.1175/MWR3432.1.
-
(2007)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.135
, pp. 2869-2878
-
-
Moon, I.-J.1
Ginis, I.2
Hara, T.3
Thomas, B.4
-
20
-
-
84988415711
-
-
Ph.D. dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
-
Moskaitis, J. R., 2009: Toward improved tropical cyclone intensity forecasts: Probabilistic prediction, predictability, and the role of verification. Ph.D. dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 214 pp. [Available online at http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/47846.]
-
(2009)
Toward improved tropical cyclone intensity forecasts: Probabilistic prediction, predictability, and the role of verification
, pp. 214
-
-
Moskaitis, J.R.1
-
21
-
-
77649276736
-
Evaluation of planetary boundary layer parameterizations in tropical cyclones by comparison of in situ observations and highresolution simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003). Part I: Initialization, maximumwinds, and the outer-core boundary layer
-
Nolan, D. S., J. A. Zhang, and D. P. Stern, 2009: Evaluation of planetary boundary layer parameterizations in tropical cyclones by comparison of in situ observations and highresolution simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003). Part I: Initialization, maximumwinds, and the outer-core boundary layer. Mon.Wea. Rev., 137, 3651-3674, doi:10.1175/2009MWR2785.1.
-
(2009)
Mon.Wea. Rev
, vol.137
, pp. 3651-3674
-
-
Nolan, D.S.1
Zhang, J.A.2
Stern, D.P.3
-
22
-
-
84906700277
-
The real butterfly effect
-
Palmer, T.N., A.Döring, and G. Seregin, 2014:The real butterfly effect. Nonlinearity, 27, R123-R141, doi:10.1088/0951-7715/27/9/R123.
-
(2014)
Nonlinearity
, vol.27
, pp. R123-R141
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
Dörin, A.2
Seregin, G.3
-
23
-
-
34249004702
-
Data assimilation by field alignment
-
Ravela, S., K. Emanuel, and D. McLaughlin, 2007: Data assimilation by field alignment. Physica D, 230, 127-145, doi:10.1016/j.physd.2006.09.035.
-
(2007)
Physica D
, vol.230
, pp. 127-145
-
-
Ravela, S.1
Emanuel, K.2
McLaughlin, D.3
-
24
-
-
43149116121
-
A generalization of Lorenz's model for the predictability of flows with many scales of motion
-
Rotunno, R., and C. Snyder, 2008: A generalization of Lorenz's model for the predictability of flows with many scales of motion. J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 1063-1075, doi:10.1175/2007JAS2449.1.
-
(2008)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.65
, pp. 1063-1075
-
-
Rotunno, R.1
Snyder, C.2
-
25
-
-
75249104611
-
Large-eddy simulation of an idealized tropical cyclone
-
Rotunno, R., Y. Chen, W.Wang, C. Davis, J. Dudhia, and C. L. Holland, 2009: Large-eddy simulation of an idealized tropical cyclone. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 1783-1788, doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2884.1.
-
(2009)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.90
, pp. 1783-1788
-
-
Rotunno, R.1
Chen, Y.2
Wang, W.3
Davis, C.4
Dudhia, J.5
Holland, C.L.6
-
26
-
-
84963804676
-
New ocean winds satellite mission to probe hurricanes and tropical convection
-
Ruf, C. S., and Coauthors, 2016: New ocean winds satellite mission to probe hurricanes and tropical convection. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 385-395, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00218.1.
-
(2016)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.97
, pp. 385-395
-
-
Ruf, C.S.1
-
27
-
-
84962221891
-
Intrinsic versus practical limits of atmospheric predictability and the significance of the butterfly effect
-
Sun, Y. Q., and F. Zhang, 2016: Intrinsic versus practical limits of atmospheric predictability and the significance of the butterfly effect. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 1419-1438, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-15-0142.1.
-
(2016)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.73
, pp. 1419-1438
-
-
Sun, Y.Q.1
Zhang, F.2
-
28
-
-
77955538403
-
Midlevel ventilation's constraint on tropical cyclone intensity
-
Tang, B., and K. Emanuel, 2010: Midlevel ventilation's constraint on tropical cyclone intensity. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 1817-1830, doi:10.1175/2010JAS3318.1.
-
(2010)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.67
, pp. 1817-1830
-
-
Tang, B.1
Emanuel, K.2
-
29
-
-
84959502774
-
Effects of vertical wind shear on the predictability of tropical cyclones: Practical versus intrinsic limit
-
Tao, D., and F. Zhang, 2015: Effects of vertical wind shear on the predictability of tropical cyclones: Practical versus intrinsic limit. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 7, 1534-1553, doi:10.1002/2015MS000474.
-
(2015)
J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst
, vol.7
, pp. 1534-1553
-
-
Tao, D.1
Zhang, F.2
-
30
-
-
84988422822
-
Advances in convection-permitting tropical cyclone analysis and prediction through EnKF assimilation of reconnaissance aircraft observations
-
in press
-
Weng, Y., and F. Zhang, 2016: Advances in convection-permitting tropical cyclone analysis and prediction through EnKF assimilation of reconnaissance aircraft observations. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2016-018, in press.
-
(2016)
J. Meteor. Soc. Japan
-
-
Weng, Y.1
Zhang, F.2
-
31
-
-
74949142278
-
Limitation of onedimensional ocean models for coupled hurricane-ocean model forecasts
-
Yablonsky, R. M., and I. Ginis, 2009: Limitation of onedimensional ocean models for coupled hurricane-ocean model forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 4410-4419, doi:10.1175/2009MWR2863.1.
-
(2009)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.137
, pp. 4410-4419
-
-
Yablonsky, R.M.1
Ginis, I.2
-
32
-
-
84874905605
-
Effects of vertical wind shear on the predictability of tropical cyclones
-
Zhang, F., and D. Tao, 2013: Effects of vertical wind shear on the predictability of tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 975-983, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-12-0133.1.
-
(2013)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.70
, pp. 975-983
-
-
Zhang, F.1
Tao, D.2
-
33
-
-
84928538026
-
Predicting hurricane intensity and associated hazards
-
Zhang, F., and Y. Weng, 2015: Predicting hurricane intensity and associated hazards. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 25-33, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00231.1.
-
(2015)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.96
, pp. 25-33
-
-
Zhang, F.1
Weng, Y.2
-
34
-
-
34248324431
-
Mesoscale predictability of moist baroclinic waves: Convection-permitting experiments and multistage error growth dynamics
-
Zhang, F., N. Bei, R. Rotunno, C. Snyder, and C. C. Epifanio, 2007: Mesoscale predictability of moist baroclinic waves: Convection-permitting experiments and multistage error growth dynamics. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 3579-3594, doi:10.1175/JAS4028.1.
-
(2007)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.64
, pp. 3579-3594
-
-
Zhang, F.1
Bei, N.2
Rotunno, R.3
Snyder, C.4
Epifanio, C.C.5
-
35
-
-
84977992958
-
Potential impacts of assimilating all-sky satellite radiances from GOES-R on convection-permitting analysis and prediction of tropical cyclones throughEnKF assimilation of reconnaissance aircraft observations
-
Zhang, F., M. Minimide, and E. E. Clothiaux, 2016: Potential impacts of assimilating all-sky satellite radiances from GOES-R on convection-permitting analysis and prediction of tropical cyclones throughEnKF assimilation of reconnaissance aircraft observations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 2954-2963, doi:10.1002/2016GL068468.
-
(2016)
Geophys. Res. Lett
, vol.43
, pp. 2954-2963
-
-
Zhang, F.1
Minimide, M.2
Clothiaux, E.E.3
-
36
-
-
84905026914
-
Predictability of tropical cyclone intensity evaluated through 5-yr forecasts with a convection-permitting regional-scale model in the Atlantic basin
-
Zhang, Y., Z. Meng, F. Zhang, and Y. Weng, 2014: Predictability of tropical cyclone intensity evaluated through 5-yr forecasts with a convection-permitting regional-scale model in the Atlantic basin. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 1003-1022, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-13-00085.1.
-
(2014)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.29
, pp. 1003-1022
-
-
Zhang, Y.1
Meng, Z.2
Zhang, F.3
Weng, Y.4
|