Land-cover changes predict steep declines for the Sumatran orangutan (Pongo abelii)

Science Advances

Volumn 2, Issue 3, 2016, Pages

  Wich, Serge A ^a,b   Singleton, Ian ^c   Nowak, Matthew G ^c,d   Atmoko, Sri Suci Utami ^e   Nisam, Gonda ^c   Arif, Sugesti Mhd ^c   Putra, Rudi H ^f   Ardi, Rio ^g   Fredriksson, Gabriella ^b,c   Usher, Graham ^c   Gaveau, David L A ^h   Kühl, Hjalmar S ^i,j  

^a LIVERPOOL JOHN MOORES UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF AMSTERDAM   (Netherlands)

^c Orangutan Conservation Programme   (Indonesia)

^d SOUTHERN ILLINOIS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^e Universitas Nasional   (Indonesia)

^f Banda Aceh   (Indonesia)

^g Human Orangutan Conflict and Mitigation Programme   (Indonesia)

^h CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL FORESTRY RESEARCH   (Indonesia)

ⁱ MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR EVOLUTIONARY ANTHROPOLOGY   (Germany)

^j GERMAN CENTRE FOR INTEGRATIVE BIODIVERSITY RESEARCH IDIV HALLE JENA LEIPZIG   (Germany)

more..

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DEFORESTATION; LAND USE; SURVEYS;

CRITICALLY ENDANGERED; FOREST LOSS; LAND-COVER CHANGE; LAND-USE CHANGE; PROVINCIAL LEGISLATION; SUMATRA;

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT;

ANIMAL; ECOSYSTEM; ENDANGERED SPECIES; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; INDONESIA; ORANGUTAN; POPULATION DYNAMICS;

ANIMALS; CONSERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES; ECOSYSTEM; ENDANGERED SPECIES; INDONESIA; PONGO; POPULATION DYNAMICS;

EID: 84983608421     PISSN: None     EISSN: 23752548     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1500789     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. J. Franklin, Mapping Species Distributions: Spatial Inference and Prediction (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK, 2010).
2. S. T. Buckland, D. R. Anderson, K. P. Burnham, J. L. Laake, D. L. Borchers, L. Thomas, Introduction to Distance Sampling: Estimating Abundance of Biological Populations (Oxford Univ. Press, New York, 2001).
3. S. T. Buckland, D. R. Anderson, K. P. Burnham, J. L. Laake, D. L. Borchers, L. Thomas, Advanced Distance Sampling: Estimating Abundance of Biological Populations (Oxford Univ. Press, New York, 2004).
4. H. G. Andrewartha, L. C. Birch, The Distribution and Abundance of Animals (University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1954).
5. G. Caughley, A. Gunn, Conservation Biology in Theory and Practice (Blackwell Science, Cambridge, MA, 1996).
6. A. B. Rylands, E. A. Williamson, M. Hoffmann, R. A. Mittermeier, Primate surveys and conservation assessments. Oryx 42, 313–314 (2008).
7. A. R. Mootnick, B. P. L. Chan, P. Moisson, T. Nadler, The status of the Hainan gibbon Nomascus hainanus and the Eastern black gibbon Nomascus nasutus. Int. Zoo Yearbook 46, 259–264 (2012).
8. B. Holst, P. Medici, O. Marinho-Filho, D. G. Kleiman, K. Leus, A. Pissinatti, G. Vivekananda, J. D. Ballou, K. Traylor-Holzer, B. Raboy, F. C. Passos, K. Vleeschouwer, M. Montenegro, Lion tamarin Population and Habitat Viability Assessment Workshop 2005: Final Report (IUCN/SSC Conservation Breeding Specialist Group, Apple Valley, MN, 2006).
9. L. Jerusalinsky, M. Talebi, F. R. de Melo, Eds., Plano de Ação Nacional para a Conservação dos Muriquis (Série Espécies Ameaçadas 11. Instituto Chico Mendes de Conservação da Biodiversidade. Brasília, 2011).
10. R. Williams, S. L. Hedley, P. S. Hammond, Modeling distribution and abundance of Antarctic baleen whales using ships of opportunity. Ecol. Soc. 11, 1 (2006).
11. R. Williams, S. L. Hedley, T. A. Branch, M. V. Bravington, A. N. Zerbini, K. P. Findlay, Chilean blue whales as a case study to illustrate methods to estimate abundance and evaluate conservation status of rare species. Conserv. Biol. 25, 526–535 (2011).
12. K. Kaschner, N. J. Quick, R. Jewell, R. Williams, C. M. Harris, Global coverage of cetacean line-transect surveys: Status quo, data gaps and future challenges. PLOS One 7, e44075 (2012).
13. S. A. Wich, G. M. Fredriksson, G. Usher, H. H. Peters, D. Priatna, F. Basalamah, W. Susanto, H. Kühl, Hunting of Sumatran orang-utans and its importance in determining distribution and density. Biol. Conserv. 146, 163–169 (2012).
14. H. S. Kuehl, C. Nzeingui, S. Le Duc Yeno, B. Huijbregts, C. Boesch, P. D. Walsh, Discriminating between village and commercial hunting of apes. Biol. Conserv. 142, 1500–1506 (2009).
15. E. J. Stokes, S. Strindberg, P. C. Bakabana, P. W. Elkan, F. C. Iyenguet, B. Madzoké, G. A. F. Malanda, B. S. Mowana, C. Moukoumbou, F. K. Ouakabadio, H. J. Rainey, Monitoring great ape and elephant abundance at large spatial scales: Measuring effectiveness of a conservation landscape. PLOS One 5, e10294 (2010).
16. H. Kühl, F. Maisels, M. Ancrenaz, E. A. Williamson, Best Practice Guidelines for Surveys and Monitoring of Great Ape Populations (IUCN/SSC Primate Specialist Group, Gland, Switzerland, 2008).
17. J. Junker, S. Blake, C. Boesch, G. Campbell, L. du Toit, C. Duvall, A. Ekobo, G. Etoga, A. Galat-Luong, J. Gamys, J. Ganas-Swaray, S. Gatti, A. Ghiurghi, N. Granier, J. Hart, J. Head, I. Herbinger, T. C. Hicks, B. Huijbregts, I. S. Imong, N. Kuempel, S. Lahm, J. Lindsell, F. Maisels, M. McLennan, L. Martinez, B. Morgan, D. Morgan, F. Mulindahabi, R. Mundry, K. P. N’Goran, E. Normand, A. Ntongho, D. T. Okon, C.-A. Petre, A. Plumptre, H. Rainey, S. Regnaut, C. Sanz, E. Stokes, A. Tondossama, S. Tranquilli, J. Sunderland-Groves, P. Walsh, Y. Warren, E. A. Williamson, H. S. Kuehl, Recent decline in suitable environmental conditions for African great apes. Diversity Distrib. 18, 1077–1091 (2012).
18. S. A. Wich, E. Meijaard, A. J. Marshall, S. Husson, M. Ancrenaz, R. C. Lacy, C. P. van Schaik, J. Sugardjito, T. Simorangkir, K. Traylor-Holzer, M. Doughty, J. Supriatna, R. Dennis, M. Gumal, C. D. Knott, I. Singleton, Distribution and conservation status of the orang-utan (Pongo spp.) on Borneo and Sumatra: How many remain? Oryx 42, 329–339 (2008).
19. I. Singleton, S. A. Wich, M. Griffiths, M. Pongo abelii. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2008 (2008). URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2008.RLTS.T39780A10266609.en. Downloaded on 04 October 2015.
20. J. M. Y. Robertson, C. P. Van Schaik, Causal factors underlying the dramatic decline of the Sumatran orang-utan. Oryx 35, 26–38 (2001).
21. S. A. Wich, Riswan, J. Jenson, J. Refisch, C. Nelleman, Orangutans and the Economics of Sustainable Forest Management in Sumatra (UNEP/GRASP/PanEco/YEL/ICRAF/GRID-Arendal, Birkeland Trykkeri AS, Birkeland, Norway, 2011).
22. I. Singleton, S. Wich, S. Husson, S. Stephens, S. Utami Atmoko, M. Leighton, N. Rosen, K. Traylor-Holzer, R. Lacy, O. Byers, Orangutan Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Final Report. (IUCN/SSC Conservation Breeding Specialist Group, Apple Valley, MN, 2004).
23. R. Kormos, C. F. Kormos, T. Humle, A. Lanjouw, H. Rainer, R. Victurine, R. A. Mittermeier, M. S. Diallo, A. B. Rylands, E. A. Williamson, Great apes and biodiversity offset projects in Africa: The case for national offset strategies. PLOS One 9, e111671 (2014).
24. C. P. van Schaik, A. Priatna, D. Priatna, Population estimates and habitat preferences of orang-utans based on line transects of nests, in The Neglected Ape, R. D. Nadler et al. Eds. (Plenum Press, New York, 1995), pp. 109–116.
25. A. Hooijer, S. Page, J. Jauhiainen, W. A. Lee, X. X. Lu, A. Idris, G. Anshari, Subsidence and carbon loss in drained tropical peatlands. Biogeosciences 9, 1053–1071 (2012).
26. R. Buij, I. Singleton, E. Krakauer, C. P. van Schaik, Rapid assessment of orangutan density. Biol. Conserv. 114, 103–113 (2003).
27. S. Wich, R. Buij, C. van Schaik, Determinants of orangutan density in the dryland forests of the Leuser Ecosystem. Primates 45, 177–182 (2004).
28. G. Campbell-Smith, M. Campbell-Smith, I. Singleton, M. Linkie, Apes in space: Saving an imperilled orangutan population in Sumatra. PLOS One 6, e17210 (2011).
29. G. Campbell-Smith, M. Campbell-Smith, I. Singleton, M. Linkie, Raiders of the lost bark: Orangutan foraging strategies in a degraded landscape. PLOS One 6, e20962 (2011).
30. G. Campbell‐Smith, R. Sembiring, M. Linkie, Evaluating the effectiveness of human–orangutan conflict mitigation strategies in Sumatra. J. Appl. Ecol. 49, 367–375 (2012).
31. D. L. A. Gaveau, S. Wich, J. Epting, D. Juhn, M. Kanninen, N. Leader-Williams, The future of forests and orangutans (Pongo abelii) in Sumatra: Predicting impacts of oil palm plantations, road construction, and mechanisms for reducing carbon emissions from deforestation. Environ. Res. Lett. 4, 034013 (2009).
32. W. F. Laurance, B. M. Croes, N. Guissouegou, R. Buij, M. Dethier, A. Alfonso, Impacts of roads, hunting, and habitat alteration on nocturnal mammals in African rainforests. Conserv. Biol. 22, 721–732 (2008).
33. W. F. Laurance, M. Goosem, S. G. W. Laurance, Impacts of roads and linear clearings on tropical forests. Trends Ecol. Evol. 24 659–669 (2009).
34. D. P. Edwards, W. F. Laurance, Biodiversity despite selective logging. Science 339, 646–647 (2013).
35. W. F. Laurance, G. R. Clements, S. Sloan, C. S. O’Connell, N. D. Mueller, M. Goosem, O. Venter, D. P. Edwards, B. Phalan, A. Balmford, R. Van Der Ree, I. B. Arrea, A global strategy for road building. Nature 513, 229–232 (2014).
36. A. Nater, P. Nietlisbach, N. Arora, C. P. van Schaik, M. A. van Noordwijk, E. P. Willems, I. Singleton, S. A. Wich, B. Goossens, K. S. Warren, E. J. Verschoor, D. Perwitasari-Farajallah, J. Pamungkas, M. Krützen, Sex-biased dispersal and volcanic activities shaped phylogeo-graphic patterns of extant orangutans (genus: Pongo). Mol. Biol. Evol. 28, 2275–2288 (2011).
37. A. Nater, N. Arora, M. P. Greminger, C. P. van Schaik, I. Singleton, S. A. Wich, G. Fredriksson, D. Perwitasari-Farajallah, J. Pamungkas, M. Krützen, Marked population structure and recent migration in the critically endangered Sumatran orangutan (Pongo abelii). J. Hered. 104, 2–13 (2013).
38. S. A. Wich, G. Usher, H. H. Peters, Mokhamad, F. R. Khakim, M. G. Nowak. G. M. Fredriksson, Preliminary data on the highland Sumatran orangutans (Pongo abelii) of Batang Toru, in High Altitude Primates, N. B. Grow, S. Gursky-Doyen, A. Krzton, Eds. (Springer, New York, 2014), pp. 265–283.
39. R. Buij, S. A. Wich, A. H. Lubis, E. H. M. Sterck, Seasonal movements in the Sumatran orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus abelii) and consequences for conservation. Biol. Conserv. 107, 83–87 (2002).
40. S. L. Hedley, S. T. Buckland, D. L. Borchers, Spatial distance sampling models, in Advanced Distance Sampling: Estimating Abundance of Biological Populations, S. T. Buckland, D. R. Anderson, K. P. Burnham, J. L. Laake, D. L. Borchers, L. Thomas, Eds. (Oxford Univ. Press, New York, 2004), pp. 48–70.
41. S. E. Laing, S. T. Buckland, R. W. Burn, D. Lambie, A. Amphlett, Dung and nest surveys: Estimating decay rates. J. Appl. Ecol. 40, 1102–1111 (2003).
42. S. A. Wich, I. Singleton, S. S. Utami-Atmoko, M. L. Geurts, H. D. Rijksen, C. P. van Schaik, The status of the Sumatran orang-utan Pongo abelii: An update. Oryx 37, 49–54 (2003).
43. L. Thomas, S. T. Buckland, E. A. Rexstad, J. L. Laake, S. Strindberg, S. L. Hedley, J. R. B. Bishop, T. A. Marques, K. P. Burnham, Distance software: Design and analysis of distance sampling surveys for estimating population size. J. Appl. Ecol. 47, 5–14 (2010).
44. M. Murai, H. Ruffler, A. Berlemont, G. Campbell, F. Esono, A. Agbor, D. Mbomio, A. Ebana, A. Nze, H. S. Kühl, Priority areas for large mammal conservation in Equatorial Guinea. PLOS One 8, e75024 (2013).
45. P. K. McGregor, Quantifying responses to playback: One, many, or composite multivariate measures? in Playback and Studies of Animal Communication, P. K. McGregor, Ed. (Plenum Press, New York, 1992), pp. 76–96.
46. B. G. Tabachnick, L.S. Fidell, Using Multivariate Statistics, (Pearson, Boston, MA, ed. 6, 2013).
47. C. F. Dormann, J. M. McPherson, M. B. Araújo, R. Bivand, J. Bolliger, G. Carl, R. G. Davies, A. Hirzel, W. Jetz, W. D. Kissling, I. Kühn, R. Ohlemüller, P. R. Peres-Neto, B. Reineking, B. Schröder, F. M. Schurr, R. Wilson, Methods to account for spatial autocorrelation in the analysis of species distributional data: A review. Ecography 30, 609–628 (2007).
48. J. W. Lichstein, T. R. Simmons, S. A. Shriner, K. E. Franzreb, Spatial autocorrelation and autoregressive models in ecology. Ecol. Monogr. 72, 445–463 (2002).
49. P. McCullagh, J. A. Nelder, Generalized Linear Models (Chapman and Hall/CRC, London, 1989).
50. S. Hedley, S. Buckland, Spatial models for line transect sampling. J. Agr. Biol. Envir. St. 9, 181–199 (2004).
51. R Development Core Team, A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing in R. (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, 2008).
52. A. J. Marshall, R. Lacy, M. Ancrenaz, O. Byers, S. J. Husson, M. Leighton, E. Meijaard, N. Rosen, I. Singleton, S. Stephens, K. Traylor-Holzer, S. S. Utami Atmoko, C. P. van Schaik, S. A. Wich, Orangutan population biology, life history, and conservation, in Orangutans: Geographic Variation in Behavioral Ecology and Conservation (Oxford Univ. Press, New York, 2009), pp. 311–326.
53. B. F. J. Manly, Randomization, Bootstrap and Monte Carlo Methods in Biology (Chapman & Hall, New York, 1997).
54. C. Brun, A. R. Cook, J. S. H. Lee, S. A. Wich, L. P. Koh, L. R. Carrasco, Analysis of deforestation and protected area effectiveness in Indonesia: A comparison of Bayesian spatial models. Glob. Environ. Chang. 31, 285–295 (2015).
55. J. Miettinen, C. Shi, W. J. Tan, S. C. Liew, 2010 Land cover map of insular Southeast Asia in 250-m spatial resolution. Remote Sens. Lett. 3, 11–20 (2012).
56. A. Baccini, S. J. Goetz, W. S. Walker, N. T. Laporte, M. Sun, D. Sulla-Menashe, J. Hackler, P. S. A. Beck, R. Dubayah, M. A. Friedl, S. Samantha, R. A. Houghton, Estimated carbon dioxide emissions from tropical deforestation improved by carbon-density maps. Nat. Clim. Chang. 2, 182–185 (2012).