Hurricane evacuation route choice of major bridges in Miami Beach, Florida

Transportation Research Record

Volumn 2532, Issue , 2015, Pages 164-173

  Sadri, Arif Mohaimin ^a   Ukkusuri, Satish V ^a   Murray Tuite, Pamela ^b   Gladwin, Hugh ^c  

^a PURDUE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University   (United States)

^c FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BEACHES; CAUSEWAYS; NORMAL DISTRIBUTION;

CHOICE OF MAJORS; EVACUATION ROUTES; FLORIDA; GEOGRAPHICS; HURRICANE EVACUATION; KEY LOCATION; LOSS OF LIFE; MAJOR BRIDGES; ROUTE CHOICE; STORM SURGES;

HURRICANES;

EID: 84975859965     PISSN: 03611981     EISSN: 21694052     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3141/2532-18     Document Type: Article

References (74)

1. Hurricane Arthur, July 3-4, 2014. National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2014. http://www.weather.gov/mhx/Arthur. Accessed July 20, 2014.
2. Benfield, A. Annual Global Climate and Catastrophe Report. Impact Forecasting, Chicago, Ill., 2012. http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com/Documents/20130124-if-annual-global-climate-catastrophe-report.pdf. Accessed July 1, 2014.
3. Dow, K., and S. L. Cutter. Emerging Hurricane Evacuation Issues: Hurricane Floyd and South Carolina. Natural Hazards Review, Vol. 3, No. 6, 2002, pp. 12-18.
4. Lindell, M. K., J. C. Lu, and C. S. Prater. Household Decision Making and Evacuation in Response to Hurricane Lili. Natural Hazards Review, Vol. 6, No. 4, 2005, pp. 171-179.
5. Wolshon, B. Planning for the Evacuation of New Orleans. ITE Journal, Vol. 72, No. 2, 2002, pp. 44-49.
6. Sadri, A. M., S. Ukkusuri, P. Murray-Tuite, and H. Gladwin. How to Evacuate? A Model to Understand Routing Decisions During Hurricane Evacuation. Journal of Transportation Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 140, No. 1, 2013, pp. 61-69.
7. State and County QuickFacts: Miami Beach, Florida. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce. http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/12/1245025.html. Accessed July 17, 2014.
8. Lindell, M. K., J. C. Lu, and C. S. Prater. Household Decision Making and Evacuation in Response to Hurricane Lili. Natural Hazards Review, Vol. 6, No. 4, 2005, pp. 171-179.
9. Gladwin, H., J. K. Lazo, B. H. Morrow, W. G. Peacock, and H. E. Willoughby. Social Science Research Needs for the Hurricane Forecast and Warning System. Natural Hazards Review, Vol. 8, No. 3, 2007, pp. 87-95.
10. Lindell, M. K., and C. S. Prater. A Hurricane Evacuation Management Decision Support System (EMDSS). Natural Hazards, Vol. 40, No. 3, 2007, pp. 627-634.
11. Gladwin, C. H., H. Gladwin, and W. G. Peacock. Modeling Hurricane Evacuation Decisions with Ethnographic Methods. International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters, Vol. 19, No. 2, 2001, pp. 117-143.
12. Urbina, E., and B. Wolshon. National Review of Hurricane Evacuation Plans and Policies: A Comparison and Contrast of State Practices. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 37, No. 3, 2003, pp. 257-275.
13. Baker, E. J. Hurricane Evacuation Behavior. International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters, Vol. 9, No. 2, 1991, pp. 287-310.
14. Carnegie, J., and D. Deka. Using Hypothetical Disaster Scenarios to Predict Evacuation Behavioral Response. Presented at 89th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2010.
15. Baker, E. J. Predicting Response to Hurricane Warnings: A Reanalysis of Data from Four Studies. Mass Emergencies, Vol. 4, No. 1, 1979, pp. 9-24.
16. Dow, K., and S. L. Cutter. Crying Wolf: Repeat Responses to Hurricane Evacuation Orders. Coastal Management, Vol. 26, No. 4, 1998, pp. 237-252.
17. Dash, N., and H. Gladwin. Evacuation Decision Making and Behavioral Responses: Individual and Household. Natural Hazards Review, Vol. 8, No. 3, 2007, pp. 69-77.
18. Hasan, S., S. Ukkusuri, H. Gladwin, and P. Murray-Tuite. A Behavioral Model to Understand Household-Level Hurricane Evacuation Decision Making. Journal of Transportation Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 137, No. 5, 2011, pp. 341-348.
19. Murray-Tuite, P., W. Yin, S. V. Ukkusuri, and H. Gladwin. Changes in Evacuation Decisions Between Hurricanes Ivan and Katrina. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2312, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2012, pp. 98-107.
20. Sorensen, J. H. When Shall We Leave? Factors Affecting the Timing of Evacuation Departures. International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters, Vol. 9, No. 2, 1991, pp. 153-165.
21. Fu, H., and C. G. Wilmot. A Sequential Logit Dynamic Travel Demand Model for Hurricane Evacuation. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1964, the Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2006, pp. 211-218.
22. Fu, H., and C. G. Wilmot. Survival Analysis-Based Dynamic Travel Demand Models for Hurricane Evacuation. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1964, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2006, pp. 211-218.
23. Lindell, M. K., and C. S. Prater. Critical Behavioral Assumptions in Evacuation Time Estimate Analysis for Private Vehicles: Examples from Hurricane Research and Planning. Journal of Urban Planning and Development, Vol. 133, No. 1, 2007, pp. 18-29.
24. Hasan, S., R. Mesa-Arango, and S. Ukkusuri. A Random-Parameter Hazard-Based Model to Understand Household Evacuation Timing Behavior. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, Vol. 27, 2013, pp. 108-116.
25. Vogt, B. M. Issues in Nursing Home Evacuations. International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters, Vol. 9, 1991, pp. 247-265.
26. Heath, S. E., P. H. Kass, A. M. Beck, and L. T. Glickman. Human and Pet Related Risk Factors for Household Evacuation Failure During a Natural Disaster. American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol. 153, No. 7, 2001, pp. 659-665.
27. Stopher, P. R., R. Alsnih, and J. Rose. Developing Decision Support System for Emergency Evacuation: Case Study of Bush Fires. Presented at 84th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2005.
28. Dixit, V. V., A. Pande, E. Radwan, and M. A. Abdel-Aty. Understanding the Impact of a Recent Hurricane on Mobilization Time During a Subsequent Hurricane. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2041, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2008, pp. 49-57.
29. Dixit, V. V., C. Wilmot, and B. Wolshon. Modeling Risk Attitudes in Evacuation Departure Choices. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2312, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2012, pp. 159-163.
30. Sadri, A. M., S. V. Ukkusuri, and P. Murray-Tuite. A Random Parameter Ordered Probit Model to Understand the Mobilization Time During Hurricane Evacuation. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, Vol. 32, 2013, pp. 21-30.
31. Southworth, F. Regional Evacuation Modeling: A State-of-the-Art Review. ORL/TM-11740. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., 1991.
32. Mei, B. Development of Trip Generation Models of Hurricane Evacuation. Master's thesis. Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, 2002.
33. Modali, N. K. Modeling Destination Choice and Measuring the Transferability of Hurricane Evacuation Patterns. Master's thesis. Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, 2005.
34. Smith, S. K., and C. McCarty. Fleeing the Storm(s): An Examination of Evacuation Behavior During Florida's 2004 Hurricane Season. Demography, Vol. 46, No. 1, 2009, pp. 127-145.
35. Mileti, D. S., P. W. O'Brien, and J. H. Sorensen. Toward an Explanation of Mass Care Shelter Use in Evacuations. International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters, Vol. 10, No. 1, 1992, pp. 25-42.
36. Moore, H. E., F. L. Bates, M. V. Layman, and V. J. Parenton. Before the Wind: A Study of the Response to Hurricane Carla. Publication 1095. National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1963.
37. Cheng, G., C. G. Wilmot, and E. J. Baker. Destination Choice Model for Hurricane Evacuation. Presented at 87th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2008.
38. Mesa-Arango, R., S. Hasan, S. V. Ukkusuri, and P. Murray-Tuite. A Household-Level Model for Hurricane Evacuation Destination Type Choice Using Hurricane Ivan Data. Natural Hazards Review, Vol. 14, No. 1, 2012, pp. 11-20.
39. Sadri, A. M., S. V. Ukkusuri, P. Murray-Tuite, and H. Gladwin. Analysis of Hurricane Evacuee Mode Choice Behavior. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, Vol. 48, 2014, pp. 37-46.
40. Deka, D., and J. Carnegie. Analyzing Evacuation Behavior of Transportation- Disadvantaged Populations in Northern New Jersey. Presented at 89th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2010.
41. Yin, W., P. Murray-Tuite, S. V. Ukkusuri, and H. Gladwin. An Agent- Based Modeling System for Travel Demand Simulation for Hurricane Evacuation. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, Vol. 42, 2014, pp. 44-59.
42. Barrett, B., B. Ran, and R. Pillai. Developing a Dynamic Traffic Management Modeling Framework for Hurricane Evacuation. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1733, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 2000, pp. 115-121.
43. Wilmot, C. G., and B. Mei. Comparison of Alternative Trip Generation Models for Hurricane Evacuation. Natural Hazards Review, 2004, pp. 170-178.
44. Murray-Tuite, P. M., and H. S. Mahmassani. Transportation Network Evacuation Planning with Household Activity Interactions. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1894, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2004, pp. 150-159.
45. Wolshon, B., E. Urbina, C. Wilmot, and M. Levitan. Review of Policies and Procedures for Hurricane Evacuation, I: Transportation Planning, Preparedness, and Response. Natural Hazards Review, Vol. 6, No. 3, 2005, pp. 129-142.
46. Wolshon, B., E. Urbina, M. Levitan, and C. Wilmot. Review of Policies and Practices for Hurricane Evacuation, II: Traffic Operations, Management, and Control. Natural Hazards Review, Vol. 6, No. 3, 2005, pp. 143-161.
47. Liu, Y., X. Lai, and G.-L. Chang. Cell-Based Network Optimization Model for Staged Evacuation Planning Under Emergencies. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1964, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2006, pp. 127-135.
48. Dixit, V. V., and E. Radwan. Strategies to Improve Dissipation into Destination Networks Using Macroscopic Network Flow Models. Presented at 88th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2009.
49. Robinson, R. M., A. J. Khattak, J. A. Sokolowski, P. Foytik, and X. Wang. Role of Traffic Incidents in Hampton Roads Hurricane Evacuations. Presented at 88th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2009.
50. Yazici, A., and K. Ozbay. Evacuation Network Modeling via Dynamic Traffic Assignment with Probabilistic Demand and Capacity Constraints. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2196, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2010, pp. 11-20.
51. Cova, T. J., and J. P. Johnson. A Network Flow Model for Lane-Based Evacuation Routing. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 37, No. 7, 2003, pp. 579-604.
52. Chiu, Y.-C., and P. B. Mirchandani. Online Behavior-Robust Feedback Information Routing Strategy for Mass Evacuation, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Vol. 9, No. 2, 2008, pp. 264-274.
53. Shen, Z., J. Pannala, R. Rai, and T. S. Tsoi. Modeling Transportation Networks During Disruptions and Emergency Evacuations. University of California Transportation Center, Berkeley, 2008. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/1257t9zn.pdf. Accessed June 20, 2014.
54. Lammel, G., and G. Flotterod. Towards System Optimum: Finding Optimal Routing Strategies in Time Dependent Networks for Large-Scale Evacuation Problems. Report TRANSP-OR 090420. Transport and Mobility Laboratory, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland, 2009.
55. Robinson, R. M., and A. Khattak. Route Change Decision Making by Hurricane Evacuees Facing Congestion. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2196, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2010, pp. 168-175.
56. Wu, H., M. K. Lindell, and C. S. Prater. Logistics of Hurricane Evacuation in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behavior, Vol. 15, No. 4, 2012, pp. 1369-8478.
57. Sadri, A. M., S. V. Ukkusuri, P. Murray-Tuite, and H. Gladwin. How to Evacuate: Model for Understanding the Routing Strategies During Hurricane Evacuation. Journal of Transportation Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 140, No. 1, 2013, pp. 61-69.
58. Post, Buckley, Schuh, and Jernigan, Inc. Hurricane Andrew Assessment- Florida. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and Federal Emergency Management Agency, 1993. http://www.csc.noaa.gov/hes/docs/postStorm/H-ANDREW-ASSESSMENT-REVIEW-HES-UTILIZATION-INFO-DISSEMINATION.pdf. Accessed July 15, 2014.
59. GPSVisualizer. http://www.gpsvisualizer.com. Accessed July 05, 2014.
60. Google Maps. https://www.google.com/maps. Accessed July 06, 2014.
61. Train, K., Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 2003.
62. Washington, S., M. Karlaftis, and F. Mannering. Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis, 2nd ed. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Fla., 2011.
63. Washington, S., M. Karlaftis, and F. Mannering. Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis, 1st ed. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Fla., 2003.
64. Revelt, D., and K. Train. Mixed Logit with Repeated Choices: Households' Choice of Appliance Efficiency Level. Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 80, No. 4, 1997, pp. 647-657.
65. McFadden, D., and K. Train. Mixed MNL Models for Discrete Response. Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 15, 2000, pp. 447-470.
66. McFadden, D. Econometric Models of Probabilistic Choice. In A Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass., 1981.
67. Gkritza, K., and F. Mannering. Mixed Logit Analysis of Safety-Belt Use in Single- and Multi-Occupant Vehicles. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 40, 2008, pp. 443-451.
68. Bhat, C. Simulation Estimation of Mixed Discrete Choice Models Using Randomized and Scrambled Halton Sequences. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Vol. 37, No. 1, 2003, pp. 837-855.
69. McFadden, D., and P. Ruud. Estimation by Simulation. Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 76, No. 4, 1994, pp. 591-608.
70. Stern, S. Simulation-Based Estimation. Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 35, No. 4, 1997, pp. 2006-2039.
71. Anastasopoulos, P. C., and F. L. Mannering. A Note on Modeling Vehicle Accident Frequencies with Random-Parameters Count Models. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 41, No. 1, 2009, pp. 153-159.
72. NLOGIT Version 4. Econometric Software, Plainview, N.Y., 2007.
73. Ben-Akiva, M., and S. Lerman. Discrete Choice Analysis. MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass., 1985.
74. Florida Department of Transportation, Tallahassee. http://www.dot.state.fl.us/planning/statistics/trafficdata. Accessed July 20, 2014.