Exploratory multinomial logit model–based driver injury severity analyses for teenage and adult drivers in intersection-related crashes

Traffic Injury Prevention

Volumn 17, Issue 4, 2016, Pages 413-422

  Wu, Qiong ^a   Zhang, Guohui ^a   Ci, Yusheng ^a,b   Wu, Lina ^a,c   Tarefder, Rafiqul A ^a   Alcántara, Adélamar “Dely” ^d  

^a MSC01 1070

^b HARBIN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (China)

^c HEILONGJIANG INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (China)

^d UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO   (United States)

Author keywords

driver injury severity; multinomial logit model; teenage driver; transferability

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; EPIDEMIOLOGY; FEMALE; HUMAN; INJURY SCALE; MALE; MORTALITY; NEW MEXICO; STATISTICAL MODEL; STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL DATA; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT; WOUNDS AND INJURIES;

ACCIDENTS, TRAFFIC; ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; ENVIRONMENT DESIGN; FEMALE; HUMANS; LOGISTIC MODELS; MALE; NEW MEXICO; TRAUMA SEVERITY INDICES; WOUNDS AND INJURIES;

EID: 84962852749     PISSN: 15389588     EISSN: 1538957X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/15389588.2015.1100722     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. M.A.Abdel-Aty, J.Keller. Exploring the overall and specific crash severity levels at signalized intersections. Accid Anal Prev. 2005;37:417–425.
2. G.Bham, B.Javvadi, U.Manepalli. Multinomial logistic regression model for single-vehicle and multivehicle collisions on urban US highways in Arkansas. J Transp Eng. 2011;138:786–797.
3. K.A.Braitman, B.B.Kirley, A.T.McCartt, N.K.Chaudhary. Crashes of novice teenage drivers: characteristics and contributing factors. J Safety Res. 2008;39:47–54.
4. M.X.Cammisa, A.F.Williams, W.A.Leaf. Vehicles driven by teenagers in four states. J. Safety Res. 1999;30:25–30.
5. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Deaths: Final Data for 2010. Natl Vital Stat Rep. 2010;61(4). Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr61/nvsr61_04.pdf.
6. H.-L.Chang, T.-H.Yeh. Risk factors to driver fatalities in single-vehicle crashes: comparisons between non-motorcycle drivers and motorcyclists. J Transp Eng. 2006;132(3):227–236.
7. F.Chen, S.Chen. Injury severities of truck drivers in single- and multi-vehicle accidents on rural highways. Accid Anal Prev. 2011;43:1677–1688.
8. H.Chen, L.Cao, D.B.Logan. Analysis of risk factors affecting the severity of intersection crashes by logistic regression. Traffic Inj Prev. 2012;13:300–307.
9. Federal Highway Administration. Our Nation's Highway 2011. Washington, DC: Office of Highway Policy Information, US. Department of Transportation; 2011. Available at: https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/pubs/hf/pl11028/.
10. J.A.Geyer, D.R.Ragland. Vehicle occupancy and crash risk. Transp Res Rec. 2002;1908:187–194.
11. W.Hu, E.T.Donnell. Median barrier crash severity: some new insights. Accid Anal Prev. 2010;42:1697–1704.
12. S.Kaplan, C.G.Prato. Risk factors associated with bus accident severity in the United States: a generalized ordered logit model. J Safety Res. 2012;43(3):171–180.
13. P.Karaca-Mandic, G.Ridgeway. Behavioral impact of graduated driver licensing on teenage driving risk and exposure. J Health Econ. 2010;29:48–61.
14. A.Lambert-Bélanger, S.Dubois, B.Weaver, N.Mullen, M.Bédard. Aggressive driving behaviour in young drivers (aged 16 through 25) involved in fatal crashes. J Safety Res. 2012;43:333–338.
15. F.L.Mannering, C.R.Bhat. Analytic Methods in Accident Research: methodological frontier and future directions. Anal Methods Accid Res. 2014;1:1–22.
16. D.McFadden Econometric models of probabilistic choice. In: A Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press; 1981.
17. J.C.Milton, V.N.Shankar, F.L.Mannering. Highway accident severities and the mixed logit model: an exploratory empirical analysis. Accid Anal Prev. 2008;40:260–266.
18. D.N.Moore, W.H.Schneider, P.T.Savolainen, M.Farzaneh. Mixed logit analysis of bicyclist injury severity resulting from motor vehicle crashes at intersection and non-intersection locations. Accid Anal Prev. 2011;43(3):621–630.
19. National Safety Council. Analysis of Intersection Fatal and Nonfatal Crashes from 2005 to 2009. Washington, DC: National Coalition for Safer Roads; 2011. Available at: http://ncsrsafety.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/Analysis-of-intersections-fatal.pdf.
20. New Mexico Department of Transportation. New Mexico Traffic Crash Annual Report. Santa Fe, NM: Traffic Safety Division at New Mexico Department of Transportation; 2010. Available at: http://tru.unm.edu/Crash-Reports/Annual-Reports/annual-report-2010.pdf.
21. NHTSA. Traffic Safety Facts 2010 Data. Washington, DC: National Center for Statistics and Analysis; 2012. Available at: http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811630.pdf.
22. K.Obeng Injury severity, vehicle safety features, and intersection crashes. Traffic Inj Prev. 2008;9(3):268–276.
23. C.-W.Pai Motorcyclist injury severity in angle crashes at T-junctions: identifying significant factors and analysing what made motorists fail to yield to motorcycles. Saf Sci. 2009;47:1097–1106.
24. C.Peek-Asa, C.Britton, T.Young, M.Pawlovich, S.Falb. Teenage driver crash incidence and factors influencing crash injury by rurality. J Safety Res. 2010;41:487–492.
25. P.T.Savolainen, F.L.Mannering. Additional evidence on the effectiveness of motorcycle training and motorcyclists' risk-taking behavior. Transp Res Rec. 2007;2031:52–58.
26. W.H.Schneider, P.T.Savolainen, K.Zimmerman. Driver injury severity resulting from single-vehicle crashes along horizontal curves an rural two-lane highways. Transp Res Rec. 2009;2102:85–92.
27. B.Simons-Morton, N.Lerner, J.Singer. The observed effects of teenage passengers on the risky driving behavior of teenage drivers. Accid Anal Prev. 2005;37:973–982.
28. R.Tay, J.Choi, L.Kattan, A.Khan. A multinomial logit model of pedestrian–vehicle crash severity. Int J Sustain Transp. 2011;5(4):233–249.
29. A.Theofilatos, D.Graham, G.Yannis. Factors affecting accident severity inside and outside urban areas in Greece. Traffic Inj Prev. 2012;13:458–467.
30. T.L.Traynor The impact of driver alcohol use on crash severity: a crash specific analysis. Transp Res Part E Logist Transp Rev. 2005;41:421–437.
31. G.F.Ulfarsson, F.L.Mannering. Differences in male and female injury severities in sport-utility vehicle, minivan, pickup and passenger car accidents. Accid Anal Prev. 2004;36(2):135–147.
32. R.G.Ulmer, S.A.Ferguson, A.F.Williams, D.F.Preusser. Teenage crash reduction associated with delayed licensure in Connecticut. J Safety Res. 2001;32:31–41.
33. S.P.Washington, M.G.Karlaftis, F.L.Mannering. Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis. Washington, DC: Chapman & Hall/CRC; 2003.
34. A.F.Williams Contribution of the components of graduated licensing to crash reductions. J Safety Res. 2007;38(2):177–184.
35. A.F.Williams Commentary: teenage driver fatal crash rate trends: what do they reveal? Traffic Inj Prev. 2014;15:663–665.
36. Q.Wu, F.Chen, G.Zhang, X.C.Liu, H.Wang, S.M.Bogus. Mixed logit model–based driver injury severity investigations in single- and multi-vehicle crashes on rural two-lane highways. Accid Anal Prev. 2014;72:105–115.
37. P.L.Zador Alcohol-related relative risk of fatal driver injuries in relation to driver age and sex. J Stud Alcohol. 1991;54:302–310.
38. Y.Zhang, C.Fu, S.Cheng. Exploring driver injury severity at intersection: an ordered probit analysis. Adv Mech Eng. 2014;7(2):1--11.