Historical trends in precipitation, temperature and drought in the Alabama–Coosa–Tallapoosa and Apalachicola–Chattahoochee–Flint river basins

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 37, Issue 2, 2017, Pages 583-595

  Maleski, Jerome J ^a   Martinez, Christopher J ^a  

^a J Crayton Pruitt Family Department of Biomedical Engineering   (United States)

Author keywords

ACF; ACT; drought; field significance; Mann Kendall; precipitation; running trends; SPEI; temperature

Indexed keywords

PRECIPITATION (CHEMICAL); TEMPERATURE; WATERSHEDS;

DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGES; FIELD SIGNIFICANCE; HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGIES; INCREASING TEMPERATURES; MANN-KENDALL; RUNNING TRENDS; SPEI; STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX;

DROUGHT;

AIR TEMPERATURE; DROUGHT; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); TREND ANALYSIS;

ALABAMA; APALACHICOLA BASIN; CHATTAHOOCHEE BASIN; FLORIDA [UNITED STATES]; TALLAPOOSA COUNTY; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84962816297     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4723     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Andreadis KM, Lettenmaier DP. 2006. Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33: L10403, doi: 10.1029/2006GL025711.
2. Andreae MO, Rosenfeld D. 2008. Aerosol–cloud–precipitation interactions. Part 1: the nature and sources of cloud-active aerosols. Earth Sci. Rev. 89(1–2): 13–41.
3. Barber NL, Stamey TC. 2000. Droughts in Georgia (No. 2000-380). Geological Survey (US). http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2000/0380/ (accessed 1 March 2014).
4. Barsugli J, Anderson C, Smith JB, Vogel JM. 2009. Options for improving climate modeling to assist water utility planning for climate change. Western Utilities Climate Alliance (WUCA) White Paper, 144 pp. www.wucaonline.org/assets/pdf/actions_whitepaper_120909.pdf (accessed 1 March 2014).
5. Bolson J, Martinez C, Breuer N, Srivastava P, Knox P. 2013. Climate information use among southeast US water managers: beyond barriers and toward opportunities. Reg. Environ. Change 13(S1): 141–151, doi: 10.1007/s10113-013-0463-1.
6. Braganza K. 2004. Diurnal temperature range as an index of global climate change during the twentieth century. Geophys. Res. Lett. 31(13): L13217.
7. Burkey J. 2006. A Non-Parametric Monotonic Trend Test Computing Mann-Kendall Tau, Tau-B, And Sens Slope Written in Mathworks-MATLAB Implemented Using Matrix Rotations. King County, Department of Natural Resources and Parks, Science and Technical Services Section: Seattle, WA.
8. Burn DH, Hag Elnur MA. 2002. Detection of hydrologic trends and variability. J. Hydrol. 255(1–4): 107–122.
9. Chan S, Misra V. 2010. A diagnosis of the 1979–2005 extreme rainfall events in the southeastern United States with isentropic moisture tracing. Mon. Weather Rev. 138(4): 1172–1185.
10. Charlson RJ, Schwartz SE, Hales JM, Cess RD, Coakley JA, Hansen JE, Hofmann DJ. 1992. Climate forcing by anthropogenic aerosols. Science 255(5043): 423–430.
11. CRS. 2008. Apalachicola–Chattahoochee–Flint (ACF) drought: federal water management issues. CRS Report for Congress Order Code RL34326. Congressional Research Service (CRS).
12. Dai A, Trenberth KE, Karl TR. 1999. Effects of clouds, soil moisture, precipitation, and water vapor on diurnal temperature range. J. Clim. 12(8): 2451–2473.
13. Durre I, Wallace JM. 2001. The warm season dip in diurnal temperature range over the eastern United States. J. Clim. 14(3): 354–360.
14. Fall S, Niyogi D, Gluhovsky A, Pielke RA, Kalnay E, Rochon G. 2010. Impacts of land use land cover on temperature trends over the continental United States: assessment using the North American Regional Reanalysis. Int. J. Climatol. 30: 1980–1993.
15. Fall S, Watts A, Nielsen-Gammon J, Jones E, Niyogi D, Christy JR, Pielke RA Sr. 2011. Analysis of the impacts of station exposure on the U.S. Historical Climatology Network temperatures and temperature trends. J. Geophys. Res. 116: D14120, doi: 10.1029/2010JD015146.
16. Feldman DL. 2009. Preventing the repetition: or, what Los Angeles' experience in water management can teach Atlanta about urban water disputes. Water Resour. Res. 45: W04422, doi: 10.1029/2008WR007605.
17. Gilbert RO. 1987. Statistical Methods for Environmental Pollution Monitoring. John Wiley & Sons: New York, NY.
18. Groisman P, Knight R, Climatic N, Carolina N. 2004. Contemporary changes of the hydrological cycle over the contiguous United States: trends derived from in situ observations. J. Hydrometeorol. 5(1): 64–85.
19. Guttman NB. 1999. Accepting the standardized precipitation index: a calculation algorithm. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 35(2): 311–322.
20. Helsel DR, Hirsch RM. 2002. Statistical methods in water resources (Vol. 323). Reston, VA: US Geological survey.
21. Jones A, Roberts DL, Woodage MJ, Johnson CE. 2001. Indirect sulphate aerosol forcing in a climate model with an interactive sulphur cycle. J. Geophys. Res. 106(D17): 20293.
22. Kalnay E, Cai M, Li H, Tobin J. 2006. Estimation of the impact of land-surface forcings on temperature trends in eastern United States. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos. 111: D06106, doi: 10.1029/2005JD006555.
23. Karl TR, Knight RW. 1998. Secular trends of precipitation amount, frequency, and intensity in the United States. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79(2): 231–241.
24. Karl TR, Knight RW, Gallo KP, Peterson TC, Jones PD, Kukla G, Plummer N, Razuvayev V, Lindseay J, Charlson RJ, Knight RW, Kukla G, Plummer N. 1993. A new perspective on recent global warming: asymmetric trends of daily maximum and minimum temperature. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 74(6): 1007–1023.
25. Kawase H, Yoshikane T, Hara M, Kimura F, Sato T, Ohsawa S. 2008. Impact of extensive irrigation on the formation of cumulus clouds. Geophys. Res. Lett. 35(1): L01806.
26. Khan S, Gabriel HF, Rana T. 2008. Standard precipitation index to track drought and assess impact of rainfall on watertables in irrigation areas. Irrig. Drain. Syst. 22(2): 159–177.
27. Kunkel KE, Andsager K, Easterling DR, Al KET. 1999. Long-term trends in extreme precipitation events over the Conterminous United States and Canada. J. Clim. 12(8): 2515–2527, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<2515:LTTIEP>2.0.CO;2.
28. Kunkel KE, Liang X-Z, Zhu J, Lin Y. 2006. Can CGCMs simulate the twentieth-century “warming hole” in the central United States? J. Clim. 19(17): 4137–4153.
29. Lauritsen RG, Rogers JC. 2012. U.S. diurnal temperature range variability and regional causal mechanisms, 1901–2002. J. Clim. 25(20): 7216–7231.
30. Leibensperger EM, Mickley LJ, Jacob DJ, Chen W-T, Seinfeld JH, Nenes A, Adams PJ, Streets DG, Kumar N, Rind D. 2012. Climatic effects of 1950–2050 changes in US anthropogenic aerosols—part 2: climate response. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 12(7): 3349–3362.
31. Lettenmaier DP, Wood EF, Wallis JR. 1994. Hydro-climatological trends in the continental United States, 1948–88. J. Clim. 7(4): 586–607.
32. Livezey RER, Chen WYW. 1983. Statistical field significance and its determination by Monte Carlo Techniques. Mon. Weather Rev. 111(1): 46–59, doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1983)111<0046:SFSAID>2.0.CO;2.
33. Lobell DB, Bonfils C. 2008. The effect of irrigation on regional temperatures: a spatial and temporal analysis of trends in California, 1934–2002. J. Clim. 21(10): 2063–2071.
34. Lohmann U, Feichter J. 2005. Global indirect aerosol effects: a review. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 5(3): 715–737.
35. Lorenzo-Lacruz J, Vicente-Serrano SM, López-Moreno JI, Beguería S, García-Ruiz JM, Cuadrat JM. 2010. The impact of droughts and water management on various hydrological systems in the headwaters of the Tagus River (central Spain). J. Hydrol. 386(1–4): 13–26.
36. Martinez CJ, Maleski JJ, Miller MF. 2012. Trends in precipitation and temperature in Florida, USA. J. Hydrol. 452–453: 259–281.
37. Meehl GA, Arblaster JM, Branstator G. 2012. Mechanisms contributing to the warming hole and the consequent U.S. east–west differential of heat extremes. J. Clim. 25(18): 6394–6408.
38. Menne MJ, Williams CN. 2009. Homogenization of temperature series via pairwise comparisons. J. Clim. 22(7): 1700–1717.
39. Menne MJ, Williams CN, Vose RS. 2009. The U.S. Historical Climatology Network monthly temperature data, version 2. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 90(7): 993–1007.
40. Menne M, Williams CN, Vose RS. 2010a. United States Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) Version 2 Serial Monthly Dataset. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory: Oak Ridge, TN.
41. Menne MJ, Williams CN, Palecki MA. 2010b. On the reliability of the U.S. surface temperature record. J. Geophys. Res. 115(D11): D11108.
42. Misra V, Michael J-P, Boyles R, Chassignet EP, Griffin M, O'Brien JJ. 2012. Reconciling the spatial distribution of the surface temperature trends in the southeastern United States. J. Clim. 25(10): 3610–3618.
43. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NOAA and NESDIS). 2002. Climate Reference Network site information handbook, NOAA-CRN/OSD-2002-0002R0UD0, 19 pp., U.S. Department of Commerce, Natl. Clim. Data Cent.: Asheville, N. C.
44. Pederson N, Bell AR, Knight TA, Leland C, Malcomb N, Anchukaitis KJ, Tackett K, Scheff J, Brice A, Catron B, Blozan W, Riddle J. 2012. A long-term perspective on a modern drought in the American Southeast. Environ. Res. Lett. 7(1): 014034.
45. Portmann RW, Solomon S, Hegerl GC, Held IM, Hegerlb GC. 2009. Spatial and seasonal patterns in climate change, and precipitation across the temperatures, United States. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 106(18): 7324–7329.
46. Qian Y, Huang M, Yang B, Berg LK. 2013. A modeling study of irrigation effects on surface fluxes and land–air–cloud interactions in the Southern Great Plains. J. Hydrometeorol. 14(3): 700–721.
47. Ramanathan V, Crutzen PJ, Kiehl JT, Rosenfeld D. 2001. Aerosols, climate, and the hydrological cycle. Science 294(5549): 2119–2124.
48. Robinson WA, Reudy R, Hansen JE. 2002. General circulation model simulations of recent cooling in the east-central United States. J. Geophys. Res. 107(D24): ACL4-1.
49. Rosenfeld D. 1999. TRMM observed first direct evidence of smoke from forest fires inhibiting rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett. 26(20): 3105–3108.
50. Sacks WJ, Cook BI, Buenning N, Levis S, Helkowski JH. 2008. Effects of global irrigation on the near-surface climate. Clim. Dyn. 33(2–3): 159–175.
51. Schwartz SE. 1996. The whitehouse effect—shortwave radiative forcing of climate by anthropogenic aerosols: an overview. J. Aerosol Sci. 27(3): 359–382.
52. Seager R, Tzanova A, Nakamura J. 2009. Drought in the southeastern United States: causes, variability over the last millennium, and the potential for future hydroclimate change. J. Clim. 22(19): 5021–5045.
53. Soulé P, Yin Z. 1995. Short-to long-term trends in hydrologic drought conditions in the contiguous United States. Clim. Res. 5(1): 149–157.
54. Stevens B, Feingold G. 2009. Untangling aerosol effects on clouds and precipitation in a buffered system. Nature 461(7264): 607–613.
55. Trenberth KE, Jones PD, Ambenje P, Bojariu R, Easterling S, Klein Tank A, Parker D, Rahimzadeh F, Renwick JA, Rusticucci M, Soden B, Zhai P. 2007. Observations: surface and atmospheric climate change. Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 235–336.
56. U.S. EPA. 2012. Our nation's air—status and trends through 2010. http://www.epa.gov/airtrends/2011/ (accessed 1 January 2015)
57. USGS. 2012. National Hydrography Dataset (NHD). http://nhd.usgs.gov/data.html (accessed 1 January 2013)
58. Vicente-Serrano SM, Beguería S, López-Moreno JI. 2010. A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. J. Clim. 23(7): 1696–1718.
59. Vose RS, Applequist S, Menne MJ, Williams CN, Thorne P. 2012. An intercomparison of temperature trends in the U.S. Historical Climatology Network and recent atmospheric reanalyses. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39 L10703, doi: 10.1029/2012GL051387.
60. Wang H, Fu R, Kumar A, Li W. 2010. Intensification of summer rainfall variability in the southeastern United States during recent decades. J. Hydrometeorol. 11(4): 1007–1018.
61. Williams CN, Menne MJ, Thorne PW. 2012. Benchmarking the performance of pairwise homogenization of surface temperatures in the United States. J. Geophys. Res. 117(D5): D05116.
62. Yu S, Alapaty K, Mathur R, Pleim J, Zhang Y, Nolte C, Eder B, Foley K, Nagashima T. 2014. Attribution of the United States “warming hole”: aerosol indirect effect and precipitable water vapor. Sci. Rep. 4: 6929.
63. Zhang J, Wang W-C, Wu L. 2009. Land-atmosphere coupling and diurnal temperature range over the contiguous United States. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36(6): L06706.
64. Zhang Z, Dehoff AD, Pody RD. 2010. New approach to identify trend pattern of streamflows. J. Hydrol. Eng. 15(3): 244–248.