메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 106, Issue , 2016, Pages 182-193

Does cost optimization approximate the real-world energy transition?

Author keywords

Energy scenarios; Energy system models; Ex post analysis; Near optimal; Optimization; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

OPTIMIZATION; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84962019758     PISSN: 03605442     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.03.038     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (163)

References (83)
  • 1
    • 84961993140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Universioty College London, London
    • UCL Neologisms of Jeremy Bentham 2015, Universioty College London, London.
    • (2015) Neologisms of Jeremy Bentham
  • 2
    • 0016997121 scopus 로고
    • ETA: a model for energy technology assessment
    • Manne A.S. ETA: a model for energy technology assessment. Bell J Econ 1976, 7(2):379-406.
    • (1976) Bell J Econ , vol.7 , Issue.2 , pp. 379-406
    • Manne, A.S.1
  • 3
    • 84959833401 scopus 로고
    • Waiting for the breeder
    • Manne A.S. Waiting for the breeder. Rev Econ Stud 1974, 41:47-65.
    • (1974) Rev Econ Stud , vol.41 , pp. 47-65
    • Manne, A.S.1
  • 4
    • 0141983130 scopus 로고
    • Economic growth and climate: the carbon dioxide problem
    • Nordhaus W.D. Economic growth and climate: the carbon dioxide problem. Am Econ Rev 1977, 67(1):341-346.
    • (1977) Am Econ Rev , vol.67 , Issue.1 , pp. 341-346
    • Nordhaus, W.D.1
  • 6
    • 0019728587 scopus 로고
    • MARKAL, a linear-programming model for energy systems analysis: technical description of the BNL version
    • Fishbone L.G., Abilock H. MARKAL, a linear-programming model for energy systems analysis: technical description of the BNL version. Int J Energy Res 1981, 5(4):353-375.
    • (1981) Int J Energy Res , vol.5 , Issue.4 , pp. 353-375
    • Fishbone, L.G.1    Abilock, H.2
  • 10
    • 80052736699 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • OSeMOSYS: the open source energy modeling system: an introduction to its ethos, structure and development
    • Howells M., Rogner H., Strachan N., Heaps C., Huntington H., Kypreos S., et al. OSeMOSYS: the open source energy modeling system: an introduction to its ethos, structure and development. Energy Policy 2011, 39(10):5850-5870.
    • (2011) Energy Policy , vol.39 , Issue.10 , pp. 5850-5870
    • Howells, M.1    Rogner, H.2    Strachan, N.3    Heaps, C.4    Huntington, H.5    Kypreos, S.6
  • 12
    • 38349019610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ETSAP-TIAM: the TIMES integrated assessment model Part I: model structure
    • Loulou R., Labriet M. ETSAP-TIAM: the TIMES integrated assessment model Part I: model structure. CMS 2008, 5(1-2):7-40.
    • (2008) CMS , vol.5 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 7-40
    • Loulou, R.1    Labriet, M.2
  • 14
    • 84883007045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling for insight using tools for energy model optimization and analysis (Temoa)
    • Hunter K., Sreepathi S., DeCarolis J.F. Modeling for insight using tools for energy model optimization and analysis (Temoa). Energy Econ 2013, 40(0):339-349.
    • (2013) Energy Econ , vol.40 , pp. 339-349
    • Hunter, K.1    Sreepathi, S.2    DeCarolis, J.F.3
  • 15
    • 84960475022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling to generate alternatives with an energy system optimization model
    • DeCarolis J.F., Babaee S., Li B., Kanungo S. Modelling to generate alternatives with an energy system optimization model. Environ Model Softw 2016, 79:300-310.
    • (2016) Environ Model Softw , vol.79 , pp. 300-310
    • DeCarolis, J.F.1    Babaee, S.2    Li, B.3    Kanungo, S.4
  • 16
    • 84928956338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Renewables, nuclear, or fossil fuels? Scenarios for Great Britain's power system considering costs, emissions and energy security
    • Pfenninger S., Keirstead J. Renewables, nuclear, or fossil fuels? Scenarios for Great Britain's power system considering costs, emissions and energy security. Appl Energy 2015, 152(0):83-93.
    • (2015) Appl Energy , vol.152 , pp. 83-93
    • Pfenninger, S.1    Keirstead, J.2
  • 17
    • 84876675773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future capacity growth of energy technologies: are scenarios consistent with historical evidence?
    • Wilson C., Grubler A., Bauer N., Krey V., Riahi K. Future capacity growth of energy technologies: are scenarios consistent with historical evidence?. Clim Change 2013, 118(2):381-395.
    • (2013) Clim Change , vol.118 , Issue.2 , pp. 381-395
    • Wilson, C.1    Grubler, A.2    Bauer, N.3    Krey, V.4    Riahi, K.5
  • 18
    • 0000014351 scopus 로고
    • Technical analysis of IIASA energy scenarios
    • Keepin B., Wynne B. Technical analysis of IIASA energy scenarios. Nature 1984, 312(5996):691-695.
    • (1984) Nature , vol.312 , Issue.5996 , pp. 691-695
    • Keepin, B.1    Wynne, B.2
  • 19
    • 84939895291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Characterising the evolution of energy system models using model archaeology
    • Dodds P., Keppo I., Strachan N. Characterising the evolution of energy system models using model archaeology. Environ Model Assess 2014, 1-20.
    • (2014) Environ Model Assess , pp. 1-20
    • Dodds, P.1    Keppo, I.2    Strachan, N.3
  • 20
    • 34247238862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Communicating uncertainty in the IPCC's greenhouse gas emissions scenarios
    • Schenk N., Lensink S. Communicating uncertainty in the IPCC's greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Clim Change 2007, 82(3-4):293-308.
    • (2007) Clim Change , vol.82 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 293-308
    • Schenk, N.1    Lensink, S.2
  • 21
    • 21944436365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated assessment modeling of global climate change: transparent rational tool for policy making or opaque screen hiding value-laden assumptions?
    • Schneider S. Integrated assessment modeling of global climate change: transparent rational tool for policy making or opaque screen hiding value-laden assumptions?. Environ Model Assess 1997, 2(4):229-249.
    • (1997) Environ Model Assess , vol.2 , Issue.4 , pp. 229-249
    • Schneider, S.1
  • 22
    • 80053320723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Certainty, uncertainty, and climate change
    • Morgan M.G. Certainty, uncertainty, and climate change. Clim Change 2011, 108(4):707-721.
    • (2011) Clim Change , vol.108 , Issue.4 , pp. 707-721
    • Morgan, M.G.1
  • 23
    • 84947811516 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Energy scenario choices: insights from a retrospective review of UK energy futures
    • Trutnevyte E., McDowall W., Tomei J., Keppo I. Energy scenario choices: insights from a retrospective review of UK energy futures. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 2016, 55:326-337.
    • (2016) Renew Sustain Energy Rev , vol.55 , pp. 326-337
    • Trutnevyte, E.1    McDowall, W.2    Tomei, J.3    Keppo, I.4
  • 24
    • 84865285149 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The case for repeatable analysis with energy economy optimization models
    • DeCarolis J.F., Hunter K., Sreepathi S. The case for repeatable analysis with energy economy optimization models. Energy Econ 2012, 34(6):1845-1853.
    • (2012) Energy Econ , vol.34 , Issue.6 , pp. 1845-1853
    • DeCarolis, J.F.1    Hunter, K.2    Sreepathi, S.3
  • 25
    • 84920131831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The economics of mitigating climate change: what can we know?
    • Rosen R.A., Guenther E. The economics of mitigating climate change: what can we know?. Technol Forecast Soc Change 2015, 91(0):93-106.
    • (2015) Technol Forecast Soc Change , vol.91 , pp. 93-106
    • Rosen, R.A.1    Guenther, E.2
  • 26
    • 0034352997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perils of long-range energy forecasting: reflections on looking far ahead
    • Smil V. Perils of long-range energy forecasting: reflections on looking far ahead. Technol Forecast Soc Change 2000, 65(3):251-264.
    • (2000) Technol Forecast Soc Change , vol.65 , Issue.3 , pp. 251-264
    • Smil, V.1
  • 27
    • 0036902279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What can history teach us? A retrospective examination of long-term energy forecasts for the United States
    • Craig P.P., Gadgil A., Koomey J.G. What can history teach us? A retrospective examination of long-term energy forecasts for the United States. Annu Rev Energy Environ 2002, 27(1):83-118.
    • (2002) Annu Rev Energy Environ , vol.27 , Issue.1 , pp. 83-118
    • Craig, P.P.1    Gadgil, A.2    Koomey, J.G.3
  • 28
    • 43449131832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-range energy forecasts are no more than fairy tales
    • Smil V. Long-range energy forecasts are no more than fairy tales. Nature 2008, 453(7192):154.
    • (2008) Nature , vol.453 , Issue.7192 , pp. 154
    • Smil, V.1
  • 29
    • 0032909729 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mixed levels of uncertainty in complex policy models
    • Casman E.A., Morgan M.G., Dowlatabadi H. Mixed levels of uncertainty in complex policy models. Risk Anal 1999, 19(1):33-42.
    • (1999) Risk Anal , vol.19 , Issue.1 , pp. 33-42
    • Casman, E.A.1    Morgan, M.G.2    Dowlatabadi, H.3
  • 30
    • 0030301846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Learning from integrated assessment of climate change
    • Morgan M.G., Dowlatabadi H. Learning from integrated assessment of climate change. Clim Change 1996, 34(3-4):337-368.
    • (1996) Clim Change , vol.34 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 337-368
    • Morgan, M.G.1    Dowlatabadi, H.2
  • 31
    • 51749115717 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide
    • Morgan M.G., Keith D.W. Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide. Clim Change 2008, 90(3):189-215.
    • (2008) Clim Change , vol.90 , Issue.3 , pp. 189-215
    • Morgan, M.G.1    Keith, D.W.2
  • 32
    • 84885068095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating integrated assessment models of global climate change
    • Schwanitz V.J. Evaluating integrated assessment models of global climate change. Environ Model Softw 2013, 50(0):120-131.
    • (2013) Environ Model Softw , vol.50 , pp. 120-131
    • Schwanitz, V.J.1
  • 33
    • 0020381028 scopus 로고
    • Modeling for insights, not numbers: the experiences of the energy modeling forum
    • Huntington H.G., Weyant J.P., Sweeney J.L. Modeling for insights, not numbers: the experiences of the energy modeling forum. Omega 1982, 10(5):449-462.
    • (1982) Omega , vol.10 , Issue.5 , pp. 449-462
    • Huntington, H.G.1    Weyant, J.P.2    Sweeney, J.L.3
  • 35
    • 84959810873 scopus 로고
    • A behavioral model of rational choice
    • Simon H.A. A behavioral model of rational choice. Q J Econ 1955, 69(1):99-118.
    • (1955) Q J Econ , vol.69 , Issue.1 , pp. 99-118
    • Simon, H.A.1
  • 36
    • 0030266119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reasoning the fast and frugal way: models of bounded rationality
    • Gigerenzer G., Goldstein D.G. Reasoning the fast and frugal way: models of bounded rationality. Psychol Rev 1996, 103(4):650-669.
    • (1996) Psychol Rev , vol.103 , Issue.4 , pp. 650-669
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Goldstein, D.G.2
  • 37
    • 0020452741 scopus 로고
    • Efficient random generation of feasible alternatives - a land use example
    • Chang S.Y., Brill E.D., Hopkins L.D. Efficient random generation of feasible alternatives - a land use example. J Reg Sci 1982, 22(3):303-314.
    • (1982) J Reg Sci , vol.22 , Issue.3 , pp. 303-314
    • Chang, S.Y.1    Brill, E.D.2    Hopkins, L.D.3
  • 39
    • 84878964270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • EXPANSE methodology for evaluating the economic potential of renewable energy from an energy mix perspective
    • Trutnevyte E. EXPANSE methodology for evaluating the economic potential of renewable energy from an energy mix perspective. Appl Energy 2013, 111(0):593-601.
    • (2013) Appl Energy , vol.111 , pp. 593-601
    • Trutnevyte, E.1
  • 40
    • 0842264193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Engineering complex systems
    • Ottino J.M. Engineering complex systems. Nature 2004, 427(6973):399.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.427 , Issue.6973 , pp. 399
    • Ottino, J.M.1
  • 41
    • 77950341232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Short term decisions for long term problems - the effect of foresight on model based energy systems analysis
    • Keppo I., Strubegger M. Short term decisions for long term problems - the effect of foresight on model based energy systems analysis. Energy 2010, 35(5):2033-2042.
    • (2010) Energy , vol.35 , Issue.5 , pp. 2033-2042
    • Keppo, I.1    Strubegger, M.2
  • 42
    • 77949485409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-objective planning of distributed energy resources: a review of the state-of-the-art
    • Alarcon-Rodriguez A., Ault G., Galloway S. Multi-objective planning of distributed energy resources: a review of the state-of-the-art. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 2010, 14(5):1353-1366.
    • (2010) Renew Sustain Energy Rev , vol.14 , Issue.5 , pp. 1353-1366
    • Alarcon-Rodriguez, A.1    Ault, G.2    Galloway, S.3
  • 43
    • 84855924900 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Critical mid-term uncertainties in long-term decarbonisation pathways
    • Usher W., Strachan N. Critical mid-term uncertainties in long-term decarbonisation pathways. Energy Policy 2012, 41:433-444.
    • (2012) Energy Policy , vol.41 , pp. 433-444
    • Usher, W.1    Strachan, N.2
  • 44
    • 84945537843 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An integrated systematic analysis of uncertainties in UK energy transition pathways
    • Pye S., Sabio N., Strachan N. An integrated systematic analysis of uncertainties in UK energy transition pathways. Energy Policy 2015, (0).
    • (2015) Energy Policy
    • Pye, S.1    Sabio, N.2    Strachan, N.3
  • 45
    • 33845466646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Internalisation of external cost in the power generation sector: analysis with Global Multi-regional MARKAL model
    • Rafaj P., Kypreos S. Internalisation of external cost in the power generation sector: analysis with Global Multi-regional MARKAL model. Energy Policy 2007, 35(2):828-843.
    • (2007) Energy Policy , vol.35 , Issue.2 , pp. 828-843
    • Rafaj, P.1    Kypreos, S.2
  • 46
    • 84857440515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring the potential for energy conservation in French households through hybrid modeling
    • Giraudet L.-G., Guivarch C., Quirion P. Exploring the potential for energy conservation in French households through hybrid modeling. Energy Econ 2012, 34(2):426-445.
    • (2012) Energy Econ , vol.34 , Issue.2 , pp. 426-445
    • Giraudet, L.-G.1    Guivarch, C.2    Quirion, P.3
  • 47
    • 84862116938 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Failure to achieve stringent carbon reduction targets in a second-best policy world
    • Strachan N., Usher W. Failure to achieve stringent carbon reduction targets in a second-best policy world. Clim Change 2012, 113(2):121-139.
    • (2012) Clim Change , vol.113 , Issue.2 , pp. 121-139
    • Strachan, N.1    Usher, W.2
  • 48
    • 79151476092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using modeling to generate alternatives (MGA) to expand our thinking on energy futures
    • DeCarolis J.F. Using modeling to generate alternatives (MGA) to expand our thinking on energy futures. Energy Econ 2011, 33(2):145-152.
    • (2011) Energy Econ , vol.33 , Issue.2 , pp. 145-152
    • DeCarolis, J.F.1
  • 49
    • 84865741144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Context-specific energy strategies: Coupling energy system visions with feasible implementation scenarios
    • Trutnevyte E., Stauffacher M., Schlegel M., Scholz R.W. Context-specific energy strategies: Coupling energy system visions with feasible implementation scenarios. Environ Sci Technol 2012, 46(17):9240-9248.
    • (2012) Environ Sci Technol , vol.46 , Issue.17 , pp. 9240-9248
    • Trutnevyte, E.1    Stauffacher, M.2    Schlegel, M.3    Scholz, R.W.4
  • 51
    • 71549146843 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of top-down and bottom-up estimates of sectoral and regional greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials
    • van Vuuren D.P., Hoogwijk M., Barker T., Riahi K., Boeters S., Chateau J., et al. Comparison of top-down and bottom-up estimates of sectoral and regional greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials. Energy Policy 2009, 37(12):5125-5139.
    • (2009) Energy Policy , vol.37 , Issue.12 , pp. 5125-5139
    • van Vuuren, D.P.1    Hoogwijk, M.2    Barker, T.3    Riahi, K.4    Boeters, S.5    Chateau, J.6
  • 52
    • 85019196388 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An exploratory analysis of the dutch electricity system in transition
    • Kwakkel J.H., Yücel G. An exploratory analysis of the dutch electricity system in transition. J Knowl Econ 2012, 1-16.
    • (2012) J Knowl Econ , pp. 1-16
    • Kwakkel, J.H.1    Yücel, G.2
  • 53
    • 77954658557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing a systematic "science of the past" to create our future
    • Cornell S., Constanza R., Sorlin S., van der Leeuw S. Developing a systematic "science of the past" to create our future. Glob Environ Change 2010, 20(3):426-427.
    • (2010) Glob Environ Change , vol.20 , Issue.3 , pp. 426-427
    • Cornell, S.1    Constanza, R.2    Sorlin, S.3    van der Leeuw, S.4
  • 56
    • 84877104481 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Retrospective modeling of the merit-order effect on wholesale electricity prices from distributed photovoltaic generation in the Australian National Electricity Market
    • McConnell D., Hearps P., Eales D., Sandiford M., Dunn R., Wright M., et al. Retrospective modeling of the merit-order effect on wholesale electricity prices from distributed photovoltaic generation in the Australian National Electricity Market. Energy Policy 2013, 58(0):17-27.
    • (2013) Energy Policy , vol.58 , pp. 17-27
    • McConnell, D.1    Hearps, P.2    Eales, D.3    Sandiford, M.4    Dunn, R.5    Wright, M.6
  • 57
    • 0019999478 scopus 로고
    • Use of mathematical models to generate alternative solutions to water-resources planning problems
    • Chang S.Y., Brill E.D., Hopkins L.D. Use of mathematical models to generate alternative solutions to water-resources planning problems. Water Resour Res 1982, 18(1):58-64.
    • (1982) Water Resour Res , vol.18 , Issue.1 , pp. 58-64
    • Chang, S.Y.1    Brill, E.D.2    Hopkins, L.D.3
  • 58
    • 79956301085 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology interactions among low-carbon energy technologies: what can we learn from a large number of scenarios?
    • McJeon H.C., Clarke L., Kyle P., Wise M., Hackbarth A., Bryant B.P., et al. Technology interactions among low-carbon energy technologies: what can we learn from a large number of scenarios?. Energy Econ 2011, 33(4):619-631.
    • (2011) Energy Econ , vol.33 , Issue.4 , pp. 619-631
    • McJeon, H.C.1    Clarke, L.2    Kyle, P.3    Wise, M.4    Hackbarth, A.5    Bryant, B.P.6
  • 60
    • 80855144165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Supporting energy initiatives in small communities by linking visions with energy scenarios and multi-criteria assessment
    • Trutnevyte E., Stauffacher M., Scholz R.W. Supporting energy initiatives in small communities by linking visions with energy scenarios and multi-criteria assessment. Energy Policy 2011, 39(12):7884-7895.
    • (2011) Energy Policy , vol.39 , Issue.12 , pp. 7884-7895
    • Trutnevyte, E.1    Stauffacher, M.2    Scholz, R.W.3
  • 61
    • 37349067230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hybrid modeling: new answers to old challenges - introduction to the special issue of the Energy Journal
    • Hourcade J.C., Jaccard M., Bataille C., Ghersi F. Hybrid modeling: new answers to old challenges - introduction to the special issue of the Energy Journal. Energy J 2006, 1-11.
    • (2006) Energy J , pp. 1-11
    • Hourcade, J.C.1    Jaccard, M.2    Bataille, C.3    Ghersi, F.4
  • 62
    • 73149097889 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of computer tools for analzsing the integration of renewable energy into various energy systems
    • Connolly D., Lund H., Mathiesen B.V., Leahy M. A review of computer tools for analzsing the integration of renewable energy into various energy systems. Appl Energy 2010, 87(4):1059-1082.
    • (2010) Appl Energy , vol.87 , Issue.4 , pp. 1059-1082
    • Connolly, D.1    Lund, H.2    Mathiesen, B.V.3    Leahy, M.4
  • 63
    • 4043100553 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stabilization wedges: solving the climate problem for the next 50 years with current technologies
    • Pacala S., Socolow R. Stabilization wedges: solving the climate problem for the next 50 years with current technologies. Science 2004, 305(5686):968-972.
    • (2004) Science , vol.305 , Issue.5686 , pp. 968-972
    • Pacala, S.1    Socolow, R.2
  • 64
    • 84893773813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The allure of energy visions: are some visions better than others?
    • Trutnevyte E. The allure of energy visions: are some visions better than others?. Energy Strategy Rev 2014, (2):211-219.
    • (2014) Energy Strategy Rev , Issue.2 , pp. 211-219
    • Trutnevyte, E.1
  • 65
    • 9644294462 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification of a small reliable and efficient set of consistent scenarios
    • Tietje O. Identification of a small reliable and efficient set of consistent scenarios. Eur J Oper Res 2005, 162(2):418-432.
    • (2005) Eur J Oper Res , vol.162 , Issue.2 , pp. 418-432
    • Tietje, O.1
  • 66
    • 84930414573 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling long term energy futures after Nordhaus (1973)
    • Nemet G.F. Modeling long term energy futures after Nordhaus (1973). J Nat Resour Policy Res 2015, 7(2-3):141-146.
    • (2015) J Nat Resour Policy Res , vol.7 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 141-146
    • Nemet, G.F.1
  • 71
    • 77953361526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risks, revenues and investment in electricity generation: why policy needs to look beyond costs
    • Gross R., Blyth W., Heptonstall P. Risks, revenues and investment in electricity generation: why policy needs to look beyond costs. Energy Econ 2010, 32(4):796-804.
    • (2010) Energy Econ , vol.32 , Issue.4 , pp. 796-804
    • Gross, R.1    Blyth, W.2    Heptonstall, P.3
  • 72
    • 0037793373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • When systems are overthrown: the 'dash for gas' in the British Electricity Supply Industry
    • Winskel M. When systems are overthrown: the 'dash for gas' in the British Electricity Supply Industry. Soc Stud Sci 2002, 32(4):565-599.
    • (2002) Soc Stud Sci , vol.32 , Issue.4 , pp. 565-599
    • Winskel, M.1
  • 74
    • 84860836257 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From electricity smart grids to smart energy systems - a market operation based approach and understanding
    • Lund H., Andersen A.N., Ostergaard P.A., Mathiesen B.V., Connolly D. From electricity smart grids to smart energy systems - a market operation based approach and understanding. Energy 2012, 42(1):96-102.
    • (2012) Energy , vol.42 , Issue.1 , pp. 96-102
    • Lund, H.1    Andersen, A.N.2    Ostergaard, P.A.3    Mathiesen, B.V.4    Connolly, D.5
  • 75
    • 84961285748 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reinvigorating the scenario technique to expand uncertainty consideration
    • Trutnevyte E., Guivarch C., Lempert R., Strachan N. Reinvigorating the scenario technique to expand uncertainty consideration. Clim Change 2016, 1-7.
    • (2016) Clim Change , pp. 1-7
    • Trutnevyte, E.1    Guivarch, C.2    Lempert, R.3    Strachan, N.4
  • 77
    • 84899942950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Systematic construction of global socioeconomic pathways using internally consistent element combinations
    • Schweizer V., O'Neill B. Systematic construction of global socioeconomic pathways using internally consistent element combinations. Clim Change 2014, 122(3):431-445.
    • (2014) Clim Change , vol.122 , Issue.3 , pp. 431-445
    • Schweizer, V.1    O'Neill, B.2
  • 79
    • 33645811102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A general, analytic method for generating robust strategies and narrative scenarios
    • Lempert R.J., Groves D.G., Popper S.W., Bankes S.C. A general, analytic method for generating robust strategies and narrative scenarios. Manage Sci 2006, 52(4):514-528.
    • (2006) Manage Sci , vol.52 , Issue.4 , pp. 514-528
    • Lempert, R.J.1    Groves, D.G.2    Popper, S.W.3    Bankes, S.C.4
  • 82
    • 84922622643 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Our knowledge of the world is often not simple: policymakers should not duck that fact, but should deal with it
    • Morgan G. Our knowledge of the world is often not simple: policymakers should not duck that fact, but should deal with it. Risk Anal 2015, 35(1):19-20.
    • (2015) Risk Anal , vol.35 , Issue.1 , pp. 19-20
    • Morgan, G.1
  • 83
    • 78650814083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Keep it complex
    • Stirling A. Keep it complex. Nature 2010, 468(7327):1029-1031.
    • (2010) Nature , vol.468 , Issue.7327 , pp. 1029-1031
    • Stirling, A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.